In a survey conducted in 2024 about the Australian public's view on climate change, ** percent of respondents claimed that they were concerned about more droughts and flooding affecting crop production and food supply. Additionally, ** percent of respondents stated that they were concerned about more bushfires in the country. Consequences of global warming in Australia The consequences of climate change have already affected many regions on a global scale, but Australia is experiencing especially adverse impacts. As the driest inhabited continent on earth, climate change increases the risk of extremely high temperatures, droughts, and bushfires every year. The highest temperatures recorded in Australia as of 2022 exceeded ** degrees Celsius in many locations in the country. This leads to significant impacts on not only wildlife and flora but also on livelihoods in Australia. The estimated change in GDP from unmitigated climate change was forecast to have negative economic ramifications for Australia. Public view on climate change Due to the tangible impacts of global climate change, it is not surprising that the majority of the public perceives global warming in Australia as a pressing and serious problem, which has to be addressed sooner rather than later. Around ** percent of Australians stated that the Australian government’s actions on climate change are not sufficient against the impact global warming has on the country. Still highly dependent on fossil fuels, the energy sector is the biggest greenhouse gas emitter in Australia. Almost ** percent of the Australian public claimed that climate adaptation funding should be paid by fossil fuel producers. This would also lessen the burden for taxpayers on the funding of climate change adaptation.
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This is a repository of global and regional human population data collected from: the databases of scenarios assessed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Sixth Assessment Report, Special Report on 1.5 C; Fifth Assessment Report), multi-national databases of population projections (World Bank, International Database, United Nation population projections), and other very long-term population projections (Resources for the Future).
More specifically, it contains:
- in `other_pop_data` folder files from World Bank, the International Database from the US Census, and from IHME
- in the `SSP` folder, the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, as in the version 2.0 downloaded from IIASA and as in the version 3.0 downloaded from IIASA workspace
- in the `UN` folder, the demographic projections from UN
- `IAMstat.xlsx`, an overview file of the metadata accompanying the scenarios present in the IPCC databases
- `RFF.csv`, an overview file containing the population projections obtained by Resources For the Future
'- the remaining `.csv` files with names `AR6#`, `AR5#`, `IAMC15#` contain the IPCC scenarios assessed by the IPCC for preparing the IPCC assessment reports. They can be downloaded from AR5, SR 1.5, and AR6
This data in intended to be downloaded for use together with the package downloadable here.
The dataset was used as a supporting material for the paper "Underestimating demographic uncertainties in the synthesis process of the IPCC" accepted on npj Climate Action (DOI : 10.1038/s44168-024-00152-y).
In general, the younger U.S. generation is more concerned about climate change than the older generations. Between 2015 and 2018, ** percent of those between 18 and 34 years of age agreed that global warming would pose a serious threat within their lifetime, while only ** percent of those aged 55 years and older agreed with the statement. This likely reflects the different time periods that are experienced by each age group, where older generations will have less time in their lives for the effects to be realized. A larger percentage of the younger generation also believed that climate change was a very serious issue in comparison to the older generations. About ** percent of the younger respondents believed there was a scientific consensus regarding climate change as of January 2018. The differences in the perception of climate change may also be due to the exposure and education of younger people in climate change discussions as well as the relationship between age and political ideology. Climate and political ideology Overall, about ** percent of U.S. adults believe that global warming is mainly caused by human activity. However, there is a great disparity between political beliefs where ** percent of people who identified as Liberal Democrats believe in anthropogenic climate change, in comparison to that ** percent of identified Conservative Republicans were in agreement. This discrepancy can also be seen in politicians and their opinions on acting on climate change.
The methodology used to produce these projections differs from ICLUS v2.0 (https://cfpub.epa.gov/ncea/iclus/recordisplay.cfm?deid=322479). The demographic components of change (i.e., rates of fertility and mortality) for ICLUS v2.1 were taken directly from the Wittgenstein Centre Data Explorer (http://witt.null2.net/shiny/wic/). These projections were produced more recently than the Census projections used in ICLUS v2.0, and incorporate more recent observations of population change. SSP2 is a “middle-of-the-road” projection, where social, economic and technological trends do not shift markedly from historical patterns, resulting in a U.S. population of 455 million people by 2100. Domestic migration trends remain largely consistent with the recent past, however the amenity value of local climate (average precipitation and temperature for summer and winter) is used in ICLUS v2.1.1 to influence migration patterns. The name of the climate model used as the source of future climate patterns is included at the end of the file name (e.g., "GISS-E2-R" or "HadGEM2-ES"). The approach for incorporating climate change into the migration model is described in the ICLUS v2.0 documentation. The SSP5 narrative describes a rapidly growing and flourishing global economy that remains heavily dependent on fossil fuels, and a U.S. population that exceeds 730 million by 2100. ICLUS v2.1 land use projections under SSP5 result in a considerably larger expansion of developed lands relative to SSP2. The the amenity value of local climate (average precipitation and temperature for summer and winter) is used in ICLUS v2.1.1 to influence migration patterns. The name of the climate model used as the source of future climate patterns is included at the end of the file name (e.g., "GISS-E2-R" or "HadGEM2-ES"). The approach for incorporating climate change into the migration model is described in the ICLUS v2.0 documentation. RCP4.5 assumes that global greenhoue gas emissions increase into the latter part of the century, before leveling off and eventually stabilizing by 2100 as a result of various climate change policies. RCP8.5 assumes that global greenhoue gas emissions increase through the year 2100.
Approximately 25% of mammals are currently threatened with extinction, a risk that is amplified under climate change. Species persistence under climate change is determined by the combined effects of climatic factors on multiple demographic rates (survival, development, reproduction), and hence, population dynamics. Thus, to quantify which species and regions on Earth are most vulnerable to climate-driven extinction, a global understanding of how different demographic rates respond to climate is urgently needed. Here, we perform a systematic review of literature on demographic responses to climate, focusing on terrestrial mammals, for which extensive demographic data are available. To assess the full spectrum of responses, we synthesize information from studies that quantitatively link climate to multiple demographic rates. We find only 106 such studies, corresponding to 87 mammal species. These 87 species constitute < 1% of all terrestrial mammals. Our synthesis reveals a strong m...
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Climate change is one of the biggest challenges facing the world. As the EU continues to act to meet its climate objectives, it is important to understand the views, expectations and behaviour of its citizens concerning climate change. This Eurobarometer survey measures these and compares them with the previous poll on climate change carried out in 2015.
In 2023, a total of ************* people across Latin America and the Caribbean were directly affected by climate change-related disasters. This represented an increase when compared to the previous year, slightly up from approximately *********** people. Since 1990, figures reached a record high in 2014, when a total of ************ people were directly affected by storms, floods, fires and other natural disasters related to climate change. That year, heavy rains affected several regions of Latin America and the Caribbean, causing floods, river overflows and landslides that affected a large number of people.
A total of ****** people were directly affected by climate change-related disasters in Argentina in 2023. This figure represented a decrease from the previous year, when the number of affected people stood at over *******. During the period in consideration, climate change-related disasters in the South American country had the greatest impact in 1998 and 2018, with a total of ******* and ******* people affected, respectively. Climate change-related disasters include storms, floods, wet mass movements, extreme temperatures, droughts and fires.
The ".RDS" files are ready to use as-is in an analysis of capture-mark-recapture data with state-assignment details in the accompanying code. Data in the excel files require minimal manipulation which is documented in the accompanying code.
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Rapid climate change over the coming century will impact suitable habitat for many tree species. In response to these changes in climate, areas that become unsuitable will see higher mortality and lower growth and recruitment. Therefore, early detection of demographic trends is critical for effective forest management. Recent 10-year remeasurement data from the United States (US) Department of Agriculture (USDA) Forest Service’s Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) Program’s national annual inventory of forest land provides an ideal data set for analyzing such trends over large areas. However, failure to distinguish between areas of future habitat contraction and expansion or persistence when estimating demographic trends may mask species’ shifts. We used remeasurement data to compare observed tree demographic rates with projected impacts of climate change for five important tree species in the Pacific Northwest. Projected impacts were based on spatial-Bayesian hierarchical models of species distributions, which were used to project areas where habitat would persist (remain climatically suitable), expand (become suitable), or contract (become unsuitable) under four future climate scenarios for the 2080s. We compared estimates of mortality and net-growth between these areas of shifting suitability and a naïve division of habitat based on elevation and latitude. Within these regions, we assessed the sustainability of mortality and determined that observational data suggest that climate change impacts were already being felt in some areas by some species. While there is an extensive literature on bioclimatic species distribution models, this work demonstrates they can be adapted to the practical problem of detecting early climate-related trends using national forest inventory data. Of the species examined, California black oak (Quercus kelloggii) had the most notable instances of observed data suggesting population declines in the core of its current range.
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Data for "Climate change impacts on population growth across a species’ range differ due to nonlinear responses of populations to climate and variation in rates of climate change "
Population trend data for over 1000 species across the terrestrial, freshwater and marine realm. Data contains trend info, trait data, climatic niche as well as temperature data at the study sites of the population data collection.
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Better understanding of the changing relationship between human populations and climate is a global research priority. The 20th century in the contiguous United States offers a particularly well-documented example of human demographic expansion during a period of radical socioeconomic and environmental change. One would expect that as human society has been transformed by technology, we would become increasingly decoupled from climate and more dependent on social infrastructure. Here we use spatially-explicit models to evaluate climatic, socio-economic and biophysical correlates of demographic change in the contiguous United States between 1900 and 2000. Climate-correlated variation in population growth has caused the U.S. population to shift its realized climate niche from cool, seasonal climates to warm, aseasonal climates. As a result, the average annual temperature experienced by U.S. citizens between 1920 and 2000 has increased by more than 1.5°C and the temperature seasonality has decreased by 1.1°C during a century when climate change accounted for only a 0.24°C increase in average annual temperature and a 0.15°C decrease in temperature seasonality. Thus, despite advancing technology, climate-correlated demographics continue to be a major feature of contemporary U.S. society. Unfortunately, these demographic patterns are contributing to a substantial warming of the climate niche during a period of rapid environmental warming, making an already bad situation worse.
The first version of the Canadian Global Coupled Model, CGCM1, and its control climate are described by Flato et al. (1999). The atmospheric component of the model is essentially GCMII described by McFarlane et al. (1992). It is a spectral model with triangular truncation at wave number 32 (yielding a surface grid resolution of roughly 3.7 degrees x3.7 degrees) and 10 vertical levels. The ocean component is based on the GFDL MOM1.1 code and has a resolution of approximately 1.8 degrees x1.8 degrees and 29 vertical levels. The model uses heat and water flux adjustments obtained from uncoupled ocean and atmosphere model runs (of 10 years and 4000 years duration respectively), followed by an `adaption' procedure in which the flux adjustment fields are modified by a 14 year integration of the coupled model. A multi-century control simulation with the coupled model has been performed using the present-day CO2 concentration to evaluate the stability of the coupled model's climate, and to compare the modelled climate and its variability to that observed. An ensemble of four transient climate change simulations has been performed and is described in Boer et al. (1999a; b). Three of these simulations use an effective greenhouse gas forcing change corresponding to that observed from 1850 to the present, and a forcing change corresponding to an increase of CO2 at a rate of 1% per year (compounded) thereafter until year 2100. The direct forcing effect of sulphate aerosols is also included by increasing the surface albedo (as in Reader and Boer, 1999) based on loadings from the sulphur cycle model of Langner and Rodhe (1991). The fourth simulation considers the effect of greenhouse gas forcing only. The change in climate predicted by a model clearly depends directly on this specification of greenhouse gas (and aerosol) forcing, and of course these are not well known. The prescription described above is similar to the IPCC "business as usual" scenario, and using a standard scenario allows the results of this model to be compared to those of other modelling groups around the world. Some initial results from these simulations are presented below. The climate sensitivity of CGCM1 is about 3.5 degrees C. For the A2 emissions scenario the main emphasis is on a strengthening of regional and local culture, with a return to family values in many regions. The A2 world consolidates into a series of roughly continental economic regions, emphasizing local cultural roots. In some regions, increased religious participation leads many to reject a materialist path and to focus attention on contributing to the local community. Elsewhere, the trend is towards ncreased investment in education and science and growth in economic productivity. Social and political structures diversify with some regions moving towards stronger welfare systems and reduced income inequality, while others move towards "lean" government. Environmental concerns are relatively weak, although some attention is paid to bringing local pollution under control and maintaining local environmental amenities. The A2 world sees more international tensions and less cooperation than in A1 or B1. People, ideas and capital are less mobile so that technology diffuses slowly. International disparities in productivity, and hence income per capita, are maintained or increased. With the emphasis on family and community life, fertility rates decline only slowly, although they vary among regions. Hence, this scenario family has high population growth (to 15 billion by2100) with comparatively low incomes per capita relative to the A1 andB1 worlds, at US$7,200 in 2050 and US$16,000 in 2100.Technological change is rapid in some regions and slow in others as industry adjusts to local resource endowments, culture, and education levels. Regions with abundant energy and mineral resources evolve more resource intensive economies, while those poor in resources place very high priority on minimizing import dependence through technological innovation to improve resource efficiency and make use of substitute inputs. The fuel mix in different regions is determined primarily by resource availability. And divisions among regions persist in terms of their mix of technologies, with high-income but resource-poor regions shifting toward advance... Visit https://dataone.org/datasets/doi%3A10.5063%2FAA%2Fdpennington.40.5 for complete metadata about this dataset.
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This dataset is a comprehensive collection of survey responses aimed at understanding the role of media in shaping public beliefs about climate change issues in the United States. The survey was conducted between February 15, 2024 and February 28, 2024, targeting a diverse demographic across the country. The dataset comprises detailed information on media consumption habits, perceptions of climate change, trust in various media sources, political affiliations, and engagement in pro-environmental behaviors.
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A simple question about climate change, with one choice designed to match consensus statements by scientists, was asked on 35 US nationwide, single-state or regional surveys from 2010 to 2015. Analysis of these data (over 28,000 interviews) yields robust and exceptionally well replicated findings on public beliefs about anthropogenic climate change, including regional variations, change over time, demographic bases, and the interacting effects of respondent education and political views. We find that more than half of the US public accepts the scientific consensus that climate change is happening now, caused mainly by human activities. A sizable, politically opposite minority (about 30 to 40%) concede the fact of climate change, but believe it has mainly natural causes. Few (about 10 to 15%) say they believe climate is not changing, or express no opinion. The overall proportions appear relatively stable nationwide, but exhibit place-to-place variations. Detailed analysis of 21 consecutive surveys within one fairly representative state (New Hampshire) finds a mild but statistically significant rise in agreement with the scientific consensus over 2010–2015. Effects from daily temperature are detectable but minor. Hurricane Sandy, which brushed New Hampshire but caused no disaster there, shows no lasting impact on that state’s time series—suggesting that non-immediate weather disasters have limited effects. In all datasets political orientation dominates among individual-level predictors of climate beliefs, moderating the otherwise positive effects from education. Acceptance of anthropogenic climate change rises with education among Democrats and Independents, but not so among Republicans. The continuing series of surveys provides a baseline for tracking how future scientific, political, socioeconomic or climate developments impact public acceptance of the scientific consensus.
Climate change and atmospheric deposition of nitrogen (N) and sulfur (S) are important drivers of forest demography. Here we apply previously-derived growth and survival responses for 94 tree species, representing >90% of the contiguous U.S. forest basal area, to project how changes in mean annual temperature, precipitation, and N and S deposition from 20 different future scenarios may affect forest composition to 2100. We find that under the low climate change scenario (RCP 4.5), reductions in aboveground tree biomass from higher temperatures are roughly offset by increases in aboveground tree biomass from reductions in N and S deposition. However, under the higher climate change scenario (RCP 8.5) the decreases from climate change overwhelm increases from reductions in N and S deposition. These broad trends underlie wide variation among species. We found that averaged across temperature scenarios, the relative abundance of 60 species was projected to decrease by more than 5%, 20 sp...
In the Climate Analysis NRW, the climatic situation in NRW is recorded, presented and the (thermally) polluted settlement areas (= impact areas) are identified and demarcated from corresponding compensation areas and evaluated. The climate analysis was carried out in accordance with VDI guideline 3787, sheet 1. The ‘Population affected’ map shows the percentage of people per municipality who, according to the climate analysis, live in areas with an ‘unfavourable thermal situation’ or a ‘very unfavourable thermal situation’. The ‘Population affected’ map also takes into account the areas that are distinguished as climate change prevention areas in the climate analysis. The population figures are based on the population data from the 2011 ZENSUS survey, which are available in a resolution of 100 m × 100 m and were interspersed with the polluted areas.
Climate change is one of the greatest challenges of the modern age. As Europe takes action to meet its objectives, it is important to understand the attitudes and behaviour of EU citizens towards climate change and their expectations for the future. This Eurobarometer survey measures these and compares them with the last poll on this issue carried out in 2013. #####The results by volumes are distributed as follows: * Volume A: Countries * Volume AA: Groups of countries * Volume A' (AP): Trends * Volume AA' (AAP): Trends of groups of countries * Volume B: EU/socio-demographics * Volume C: Country/socio-demographics ---- Researchers may also contact GESIS - Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences: http://www.gesis.org/en/home/
In a survey conducted in 2024 about the Australian public's view on climate change, ** percent of respondents claimed that they were concerned about more droughts and flooding affecting crop production and food supply. Additionally, ** percent of respondents stated that they were concerned about more bushfires in the country. Consequences of global warming in Australia The consequences of climate change have already affected many regions on a global scale, but Australia is experiencing especially adverse impacts. As the driest inhabited continent on earth, climate change increases the risk of extremely high temperatures, droughts, and bushfires every year. The highest temperatures recorded in Australia as of 2022 exceeded ** degrees Celsius in many locations in the country. This leads to significant impacts on not only wildlife and flora but also on livelihoods in Australia. The estimated change in GDP from unmitigated climate change was forecast to have negative economic ramifications for Australia. Public view on climate change Due to the tangible impacts of global climate change, it is not surprising that the majority of the public perceives global warming in Australia as a pressing and serious problem, which has to be addressed sooner rather than later. Around ** percent of Australians stated that the Australian government’s actions on climate change are not sufficient against the impact global warming has on the country. Still highly dependent on fossil fuels, the energy sector is the biggest greenhouse gas emitter in Australia. Almost ** percent of the Australian public claimed that climate adaptation funding should be paid by fossil fuel producers. This would also lessen the burden for taxpayers on the funding of climate change adaptation.