17 datasets found
  1. c

    CMIP6 climate projections

    • cds.climate.copernicus.eu
    • cds-test-cci2.copernicus-climate.eu
    • +1more
    netcdf
    Updated Jan 10, 2025
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    ECMWF (2025). CMIP6 climate projections [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.24381/cds.c866074c
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    netcdfAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jan 10, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    ECMWF
    License

    https://object-store.os-api.cci2.ecmwf.int:443/cci2-prod-catalogue/licences/cmip6-wps/cmip6-wps_23f724282307e697d793a31124a30efac989841c65936f5b2b3f738b7c861bf7.pdfhttps://object-store.os-api.cci2.ecmwf.int:443/cci2-prod-catalogue/licences/cmip6-wps/cmip6-wps_23f724282307e697d793a31124a30efac989841c65936f5b2b3f738b7c861bf7.pdf

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1860 - Dec 31, 2300
    Description

    This catalogue entry provides daily and monthly global climate projections data from a large number of experiments, models and time periods computed in the framework of the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). CMIP6 data underpins the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 6th Assessment Report. The use of these data is mostly aimed at:

    addressing outstanding scientific questions that arose as part of the IPCC reporting process; improving the understanding of the climate system; providing estimates of future climate change and related uncertainties; providing input data for the adaptation to the climate change; examining climate predictability and exploring the ability of models to predict climate on decadal time scales; evaluating how realistic the different models are in simulating the recent past.

    The term "experiments" refers to the three main categories of CMIP6 simulations:

    Historical experiments which cover the period where modern climate observations exist. These experiments show how the GCMs performs for the past climate and can be used as a reference period for comparison with scenario runs for the future. The period covered is typically 1850-2014. Climate projection experiments following the combined pathways of Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) and Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP). The SSP scenarios provide different pathways of the future climate forcing. The period covered is typically 2015-2100.

    This catalogue entry provides both two- and three-dimensional data, along with an option to apply spatial and/or temporal subsetting to data requests. This is a new feature of the global climate projection dataset, which relies on compute processes run simultaneously in the ESGF nodes, where the data are originally located. The data are produced by the participating institutes of the CMIP6 project.

  2. NEX-GDDP-CMIP6: NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Climate...

    • developers.google.com
    Updated Jul 2, 2014
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    NASA / Climate Analytics Group (2014). NEX-GDDP-CMIP6: NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Climate Projections [Dataset]. https://developers.google.com/earth-engine/datasets/catalog/NASA_GDDP-CMIP6
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 2, 2014
    Dataset provided by
    NASAhttp://nasa.gov/
    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1950 - Dec 31, 2100
    Area covered
    Earth
    Description

    The NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 dataset is comprised of global downscaled climate scenarios derived from the General Circulation Model (GCM) runs conducted under the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6, see Thrasher et al. 2022) and across two of the four "Tier 1" greenhouse gas emissions scenarios known as Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). The CMIP6 GCM runs were developed in support of the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR6). This dataset includes downscaled projections from ScenarioMIP model runs for which daily scenarios were produced and distributed through the Earth System Grid Federation. This collection contains 34 different models. One model, "GFDL-CM4," has data for two different configurations that can be differentiated by further filtering on the grid_label property. Bands are replaced as new versions become available and the version property is updated with them. See also the provider tech note. You can submit data questions about CMIP6 to the provider and see their answers.

  3. a

    Statistically downscaled climate scenarios from CMIP6 global climate models...

    • catalogue.arctic-sdi.org
    • data.urbandatacentre.ca
    • +2more
    Updated May 10, 2025
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    (2025). Statistically downscaled climate scenarios from CMIP6 global climate models (CanDCS-U6 & CanDCS-M6) [Dataset]. https://catalogue.arctic-sdi.org/geonetwork/srv/search?keyword=Statistical%20analysis
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    Dataset updated
    May 10, 2025
    Description

    Environment and Climate Change Canada’s (ECCC) Climate Research Division (CRD) and the Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium (PCIC) previously produced statistically downscaled climate scenarios based on simulations from climate models that participated in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) in 2015. ECCC and PCIC have now updated the CMIP5-based downscaled scenarios with two new sets of downscaled scenarios based on the next generation of climate projections from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6). The scenarios are named Canadian Downscaled Climate Scenarios–Univariate method from CMIP6 (CanDCS-U6) and Canadian Downscaled Climate Scenarios–Multivariate method from CMIP6 (CanDCS-M6). CMIP6 climate projections are based on both updated global climate models and new emissions scenarios called “Shared Socioeconomic Pathways” (SSPs). Statistically downscaled datasets have been produced from 26 CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs) under three different emission scenarios (i.e., SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5), with PCIC later adding SSP3-7.0 to the CanDCS-M6 dataset. The CanDCS-U6 was downscaled using the Bias Correction/Constructed Analogues with Quantile mapping version 2 (BCCAQv2) procedure, and CanDCS-M6 was downscaled using the N-dimensional Multivariate Bias Correction (MBCn) method. The CanDCS-U6 dataset was produced using the same downscaling target data (NRCANmet) as the CMIP5-based downscaled scenarios, while the CanDCS-M6 dataset implements a new target dataset (ANUSPLIN and PNWNAmet blended dataset). Statistically downscaled individual model output and ensembles are available for download. Downscaled climate indices are available across Canada at 10km grid spatial resolution for the 1950-2014 historical period and for the 2015-2100 period following each of the three emission scenarios. Note: projected future changes by statistically downscaled products are not necessarily more credible than those by the underlying climate model outputs. In many cases, especially for absolute threshold-based indices, projections based on downscaled data have a smaller spread because of the removal of model biases. However, this is not the case for all indices. Downscaling from GCM resolution to the fine resolution needed for impacts assessment increases the level of spatial detail and temporal variability to better match observations. Since these adjustments are GCM dependent, the resulting indices could have a wider spread when computed from downscaled data as compared to those directly computed from GCM output. In the latter case, it is not the downscaling procedure that makes future projection more uncertain; rather, it is indicative of higher variability associated with finer spatial scale. Individual model datasets and all related derived products are subject to the terms of use (https://pcmdi.llnl.gov/CMIP6/TermsOfUse/TermsOfUse6-1.html) of the source organization.

  4. g

    Data from: BASD-CMIP6-PE: bias-adjusted and statistically downscaled CMIP6...

    • dataservices.gfz-potsdam.de
    Updated 2023
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    Carlos Antonio Fernandez-Palomino; Fred F Hattermann; Valentina Krysanova; Fiorella Vega-Jácome; Christoph Menz; Stephanie Gleixner; Axel Bronstert; Fred F Hattermann; Valentina Krysanova (2023). BASD-CMIP6-PE: bias-adjusted and statistically downscaled CMIP6 projections over Peru and Ecuador [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.5880/pik.2023.001
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    Dataset updated
    2023
    Dataset provided by
    GFZ Data Services
    datacite
    Authors
    Carlos Antonio Fernandez-Palomino; Fred F Hattermann; Valentina Krysanova; Fiorella Vega-Jácome; Christoph Menz; Stephanie Gleixner; Axel Bronstert; Fred F Hattermann; Valentina Krysanova
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    Description

    The new climate dataset BASD-CMIP6-PE for Peru and Ecuador based on the bias-adjusted and statistically downscaled CMIP6 projections of 10 GCMs addresses the need for reliable high-resolution (1d, 10km) climate data covering Peru and Ecuador. This dataset includes both historical simulations (1850-2014) and future projections (2015-2100) for precipitation and minimum, mean, and maximum temperature under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs; SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5). The BASD-CMIP6-PE climate data were generated using the trend-preserving Bias Adjustment and Statistical Downscaling (BASD) method (Lange, 2019, 2021) and data from regional observational datasets such as RAIN4PE (Fernandez-Palomino et al., 2021a, b) for precipitation and PISCO-temperature (Huerta et al., 2018) for temperatures as reference data. The Reliability of the BASD-CMIP6-PE was evaluated through hydrological modeling across Peruvian and Ecuadorian river basins in the historical period. The evaluation showed that the BASD-CMIP6-PE is reliable for describing the spatial patterns of atmospheric variables and streamflow simulation, including low and high flows. This suggests the usefulness of the new dataset for climate change impact assessment studies in Peru and Ecuador. The BASD-CMIP6-PE data are available for the domain covering Peru and Ecuador, located between 19°S and 2°N and 82-67°W, at 0.1° spatial and daily temporal resolution. The precipitation unit is mm, and the temperature is in °C. The data are in the NetCDF format and arranged by model, model member, experiment, variable, temporal resolution, and subset period (e.g., canesm5_r1i1p1f1_ssp126_pr_daily_2015_2020.nc).

  5. u

    The ensemble of CMIP6 daily predictor variables for statistical downscaling...

    • data.urbandatacentre.ca
    • beta.data.urbandatacentre.ca
    Updated Sep 30, 2024
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    (2024). The ensemble of CMIP6 daily predictor variables for statistical downscaling - Catalogue - Canadian Urban Data Catalogue (CUDC) [Dataset]. https://data.urbandatacentre.ca/dataset/gov-canada-a6844511-e070-4bf1-867f-a87f09f94df1
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    Dataset updated
    Sep 30, 2024
    License

    Open Government Licence - Canada 2.0https://open.canada.ca/en/open-government-licence-canada
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    Canada
    Description

    One of the ways of obtaining local-scale climate change scenarios is to use regression-based statistical downscaling of GCMs. In this approach, an empirical relationship between GCM predictors (i.e., near-surface and upper-level atmosphere circulation variables) and surface predictands (such as observed temperature or precipitation from a station) is derived by linear or non-linear transfer functions. For this purpose, an ensemble of daily predictor variables are produced from CanESM5, MPI-ESM1.2-HR, NorESM2-MM, and two reanalysis datasets. A total of 26 predictor variables are included in each ensemble, composed of both raw and derived variables, with multiple atmospheric variables available at three different pressure levels. Predictor variables are available at the daily scale on a 64 by 128 latitude-longitude global Gaussian grid with T42 spectral truncation. The historical simulation for 1979-2014 as well as the four Tier 1 Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) prioritized by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5) and SSP1-1.9 (due to its relevance for the Paris Agreement) for 2015-2100 are available for each GCM (O'Neill et al., 2016). Two reanalysis dataset options are available for the historical period 1979-2014 (ECMWF ERA5 and NCEP-DOE Reanalysis 2). GCMs chosen for inclusion into the CMIP6 predictors dataset was determined by three factors. Firstly, the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) must have been calculated according to the Gregory methodology and the selected GCMs must cover a range of ECS values (see sections 1.1. and 1.2.). Secondly, the GCM must have run the historical simulation and as many of the five SSPs as possible (SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5). Thirdly, for the relevant simulations, the seven base variables at all three included pressure levels (if applicable) must be available for download on Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF) website (https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/cmip6/).

  6. d

    Daily CMIP6 and NSIDC CDR (National Snow and Ice Data Center Climate Data...

    • search.dataone.org
    Updated Nov 1, 2024
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    Alexandra Jahn; Céline Heuzé (2024). Daily CMIP6 and NSIDC CDR (National Snow and Ice Data Center Climate Data Record) Arctic sea ice area and sea ice extent, 1980-2100 [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.18739/A2CC0TV9V
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    Dataset updated
    Nov 1, 2024
    Dataset provided by
    Arctic Data Center
    Authors
    Alexandra Jahn; Céline Heuzé
    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1980 - Dec 21, 2100
    Area covered
    Variables measured
    BT_SIA, BT_SIE, NT_SIA, NT_SIE, CDR_SIA, CDR_SIE, Arctic_SIA, Arctic_SIE
    Description

    This dataset contains the daily Arctic sea ice area (SIA) and sea ice extent (SIE) data for all CMIP6 models and the historical period based on the NOAA/NSIDC Climate Data Record (CDR) created for Heuzé and Jahn, The first ice-free day in the Arctic Ocean could occur before 2030, accepted, Nature Communications. This is a derived dataset based on publicly available underlying data: - For the CMIP6 data, the SIA and SIE data included here is based on the daily siconc and siconca CMIP6 model output freely available on the CMIP6 data portals (https://pcmdi.llnl.gov/CMIP6/). These pan-Arctic daily SIA and SIE were calculated north of 30N, on each model's native grid, using each models grid area data (areacello or areacella). SIA was defined as sea ice concentration multiplied by the grid cell area and summed over all grid cells. SIE was defined as the sum of the grid cell area for all grid cells where the sea ice concentration was larger than 0.15. All processed SIA and SIE data is included in this dataset, even if the model was later excluded from the analysis for one reason or another (see Heuzé and Jahn 2024, Methods section). All data included has the same number of days as the underlying model. The historical data spans 1980-2014 and can be found in the CMIP6_historical_data.zip file, and the scenario data spans 2015 to the end of the 21st century simulation, for multiple scenarios (SSPs), and can be found in CMIP6_ssp_data.zip. Files are provided as .zip files to make it easy to download all data at once, as the SIA and SIE data is saved in one file per model and ensemble member, and for the scenario simulations, also per ssp. - For the NOAA/NSIDC Climate Data Record (CDR), the SIA and SIE data included here is based on the NOAA/NSIDC Climate Data Record of Passive Microwave Sea Ice Concentration, Version 4, doi:10.7265/efmz-2t65, Meier et al 2021. The sea ice concentration is multiplied by the grid size of each grid box, for this data, 25x25 kilometers (km) = 625 kilometers squared (km2), and then summed over the full domain. In doing that, we include the interpolated data in the pole hole as included in the sea ice concentration data, but exclude all land/coastal grid points (i.e., values > 2.5 in the underlying data). As the filename indicates, we removed all leap year data from this data (dropped every Feb 29th) so that all years have 365 days. Note that while the file name says this data is for 19790101 to 20231231, it does indeed include 1978 as first year (so 1978-01-01-2023-12-31), with daily data starting on 1978-10-25 (nan before then). We did not change the name of the data file to still allow all archived scripts using this datafile to run. Scripts that work on this data associated with Heuzé and Jahn (2024) can be found at: https://zenodo.org/records/14008665, doi:10.5281/zenodo.14006059 References: Meier, W. N., F. Fetterer, A. K. Windnagel, and S. Stewart. 2021. NOAA/NSIDC Climate Data Record of Passive Microwave Sea Ice Concentration, Version 4. Boulder, Colorado, USA. NSIDC: National Snow and Ice Data Center https://doi.org/10.7265/efmz-2t65

  7. c

    Gridded monthly climate projection dataset underpinning the IPCC AR6...

    • cds.climate.copernicus.eu
    • cds-test-cci2.copernicus-climate.eu
    netcdf
    Updated Feb 1, 2023
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    ECMWF (2023). Gridded monthly climate projection dataset underpinning the IPCC AR6 Interactive Atlas [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.24381/cds.5292a2b0
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    netcdfAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Feb 1, 2023
    Dataset authored and provided by
    ECMWF
    License

    https://object-store.os-api.cci2.ecmwf.int:443/cci2-prod-catalogue/licences/cc-by/cc-by_f24dc630aa52ab8c52a0ac85c03bc35e0abc850b4d7453bdc083535b41d5a5c3.pdfhttps://object-store.os-api.cci2.ecmwf.int:443/cci2-prod-catalogue/licences/cc-by/cc-by_f24dc630aa52ab8c52a0ac85c03bc35e0abc850b4d7453bdc083535b41d5a5c3.pdf

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1860 - Dec 31, 2300
    Description

    This catalogue entry provides gridded data from global (CMIP5 and CMIP6) and regional (CORDEX) projections for the set of 22 variables and indices included in the IPCC Interactive Atlas, a novel contribution from Working Group I (WGI) to the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). These variables and indices are relevant for the climatic impact-drivers used in the regional assessments conducted in AR6 (Chapters 10, 11, 12 and Atlas), related to heat and cold, wet and dry, snow and ice, and wind. This dataset is particularly intended for Climate Data Store (CDS) users who want to develop customised products not directly available from the IPCC Interactive Atlas (e.g. regional information at national or subnational scales). This dataset includes gridded information with monthly/annual temporal resolution for historical experiments and climate projections based on Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) / Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) scenarios for CMIP5/6 and CORDEX multi-model ensembles for the 22 variables and indices (computed from daily data). The ensembles are harmonised using regular grids with horizontal resolutions of 2° (CMIP5), 1° (CMIP6), 0.5° (CORDEX), and 0.25° (European CORDEX domain); details on the particular ensembles for each dataset are included in the documentation links. This dataset allows the reproduction, expansion and customisation of the climate change products displayed in the IPCC Interactive Atlas. This includes the global/continental maps of CMIP/CORDEX climate changes (for future periods across scenarios or for global warming levels, e.g. +2°C), and the regionally-aggregated time series, scatter plots, or global warming level plots. Related datasets, also available through the CDS, include the CMIP5/6 global climate projections and the CORDEX regional climate projections. The original CMIP and CORDEX data was produced by the institutions and modelling centres participating in these initiatives, as described in AR6 WGI Annex II, with partial support from different programmes, including support from Copernicus for some of the EURO-CORDEX runs and for data curation and publication of world-wide CORDEX datasets. As a result, the dataset is fully reproducible from the CDS for CORDEX, but not for CMIP (some models and versions are different in the CDS and the Atlas ensembles).
    This dataset is distributed as part of the IPCC-DDC Atlas products under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC-BY 4.0) and Copernicus has supported the standardisation and technical curation.

  8. c

    CMIP5 daily data on single levels

    • cds.climate.copernicus.eu
    netcdf
    Updated Oct 15, 2019
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    ECMWF (2019). CMIP5 daily data on single levels [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.24381/cds.d3513dbf
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    netcdfAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Oct 15, 2019
    Dataset authored and provided by
    ECMWF
    License

    https://object-store.os-api.cci2.ecmwf.int:443/cci2-prod-catalogue/licences/esgf-cmip5/esgf-cmip5_1fe0fc3e6a6d03717651f8de7a111f80c75b5aef1d4e8989a8ccfb8f02b15ef2.pdfhttps://object-store.os-api.cci2.ecmwf.int:443/cci2-prod-catalogue/licences/esgf-cmip5/esgf-cmip5_1fe0fc3e6a6d03717651f8de7a111f80c75b5aef1d4e8989a8ccfb8f02b15ef2.pdf

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1800 - Dec 31, 2100
    Description

    This catalogue entry provides daily climate projections on single levels from a large number of experiments, models, members and time periods computed in the framework of the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). The term "single levels" is used to express that the variables are computed at one vertical level which can be surface (or a level close to the surface) or a dedicated pressure level in the atmosphere. Multiple vertical levels are excluded from this catalogue entry. CMIP5 data are used extensively in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Assessment Reports (the latest one is IPCC AR5, which was published in 2014). The use of these data is mostly aimed at:

    addressing outstanding scientific questions that arose as part of the IPCC reporting process; improving the understanding of the climate system; providing estimates of future climate change and related uncertainties; providing input data for the adaptation to the climate change; examining climate predictability and exploring the ability of models to predict climate on decadal time scales; evaluating how realistic the different models are in simulating the recent past.

    The term "experiments" refers to the three main categories of CMIP5 simulations:

    Historical experiments which cover the period where modern climate observations exist. These experiments show how the GCMs performs for the past climate and can be used as a reference period for comparison with scenario runs for the future. The period covered is typically 1850-2005.; Ensemble of experiments from the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP), which prescribes the oceanic variables for all models and during all period of the experiment. This configuration removes the added complexity of ocean-atmosphere feedbacks in the climate system. The period covered is typically 1950-2005. Ensemble of climate projection experiments following the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 2.6, 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5. The RCP scenarios provide different pathways of the future climate forcing. The period covered is typically, 2006-2100 some extended RCP experimental data is available from 2100-2300.

    In CMIP5, the same experiments were run using different GCMs. In addition, for each model, the same experiment was repeatedly done using slightly different conditions (like initial conditions or different physical parameterisations for instance) producing in that way an ensemble of experiments closely related. Note that CMIP5 GCM data can be also used as lateral boundary conditions for Regional Climate Models (RCMs). RCMs are also available in the CDS (see CORDEX datasets). The data are produced by the participating institutes of the CMIP5 project. The latest CMIP GCM experiments will form the CMIP6 dataset, which will be published in the CDS in a later stage.

  9. u

    Data from: Community Earth System Model v2 Large Ensemble (CESM2 LENS)

    • rda.ucar.edu
    • oidc.rda.ucar.edu
    • +1more
    Updated May 20, 2022
    + more versions
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    (2022). Community Earth System Model v2 Large Ensemble (CESM2 LENS) [Dataset]. https://rda.ucar.edu/lookfordata/datasets/?nb=y&b=topic&v=Atmosphere
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    Dataset updated
    May 20, 2022
    Description

    The US National Center for Atmospheric Research partnered with the IBS Center for Climate Physics in South Korea to generate the CESM2 Large Ensemble which consists of 100 ensemble members ... at 1 degree spatial resolution covering the period 1850-2100 under CMIP6 historical and SSP370 future radiative forcing scenarios. Data sets from this ensemble were made downloadable via the Climate Data Gateway on June 14, 2021. NCAR has copied a subset (currently ~500 TB) of CESM2 LENS data to Amazon S3 as part of the AWS Public Datasets Program. To optimize for large-scale analytics we have represented the data as ~275 Zarr stores format accessible through the Python Xarray library. Each Zarr store contains a single physical variable for a given model run type and temporal frequency (monthly, daily).

  10. CMIP6 Humidex Indices Bias Corrected and downscaled with MBCn against...

    • open.canada.ca
    html
    Updated Dec 19, 2022
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    Environment and Climate Change Canada (2022). CMIP6 Humidex Indices Bias Corrected and downscaled with MBCn against ERA5-Land [Dataset]. https://open.canada.ca/data/dataset/aa7b7cd9-0bc1-4df3-bd8a-17cf4e396897
    Explore at:
    htmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Dec 19, 2022
    Dataset provided by
    Environment And Climate Change Canadahttps://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change.html
    License

    Open Government Licence - Canada 2.0https://open.canada.ca/en/open-government-licence-canada
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1950 - Dec 31, 2100
    Description

    Humidex (Masterton and Richardson 1979) is an index developed by the Meteorological Service of Canada to describe how hot and humid the weather feels to the average person. In Canada, it is recommended that outdoor activities be moderated when the humidex exceeds 30, and that all unnecessary activities cease when it passes 40 (Mekis et al., 2015). With the increase in temperature projected by climate models over the coming decades over Canada, increases are also expected in the number of days with high-value Humidex across the country, which will have important consequences for human health. This dataset consists of a multi-model ensemble of statistically downscaled climate model projections for three humidex threshold indices (annual number of days when humidex exceeds 30, 35 and 40, noted HXmax30, HXmax35 and HXmax40 respectively) on a 0.1-degree latitude-longitude grid over Canada. The three indices (HXmax30, HXmax35 and HXmax40) are available for download at annual time step and 30-year averages from 1950 to 2100, for each of the 19 individual models and for the 10th, 50th, and 90th ensemble percentiles. The multi-model ensemble is using output from 19 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) global climate models (GCM) that are available at the Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF) Data Nodes, for three emission scenarios called “Shared Socioeconomic Pathways” (SSPs) (Riahi et al. 2017): SSP126, SSP245 and SSP585. The GCM outputs were statistically downscaled and bias corrected using the N-dimensional probability density function transform multivariate quantile mapping method (Cannon, 2018) against ERA5-Land data (Muñoz, 2019), using a method described in Diaconescu et al. (2022). This method is based on the observation that the time when Humidex reaches its daily maximum coincide statistically with the time when temperature reaches its daily maximum and relative humidity reaches its daily minimum. In order to eliminate model biases and the errors in the adjustment method, the daily maximum temperature and daily minimum relative humidity from GCMs are statistically downscaled and bias corrected against the hourly temperature and relative humidity at the time of daily maximum humidex from ERA5-Land. The bias-corrected values are used to compute the daily maximum humidex and next the three threshold annual indices. These ensembles of indices are intended to enable users to better identify and reduce the susceptibility of vulnerable populations to illness and mortality due to increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme heat events due to climate change. References: Cannon, A. J. (2018). 'Multivariate quantile mapping bias correction: an N-dimensional probability density function transform for climate model simulations of multiple variables', Climate Dynamics, 50(1-2), 31-49. Available at https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3580-6 Diaconescu, E. P. et al. (2022) ' A short note on the use of daily climate data to calculate Humidex heat-stress indices', International Journal of Climatology, 1– 13. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.7833 Masterton, J. M., and Richardson, F. (1979) 'Humidex: a method of quantifying human discomfort due to excessive heat and humidity', Environment Canada, Atmospheric Environment, 45. Mekis, É., et al. (2015) 'Observed trends in severe weather conditions based on humidex, wind chill, and heavy rainfall events in Canada for 1953–2012', Atmosphere-Ocean, 53, 383-397. Available at https://doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2015.1086970, (Accessed: 19 April 2022). Muñoz Sabater, J., 2019: ERA5-Land hourly data from 1981 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). (Accessed on < 25-Jun-2021 >), https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.e2161bac Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D. P., Kriegler, E., Edmonds, J., O’Neill, B. C., Fujimori, S., Bauer, N., Calvin, K., Dellink, R., Fricko, O., Lutz, W., Popp, A., Crespo Cuaresma, J., KC, S., Leimbach, M., Jiang, L., Kram, T., Rao, S., Emmerling, J., Ebi, K., Hasegawa, T., Havlik, P., Humpenöder, F., Aleluia Da Silva, L., Smith, S., Stehfest, E., Bosetti, V., Eom, J., Gernaat, D., Masui, T., Rogelj, J., Strefler, J., Drouet, L., Krey, V., Luderer, G., Harmsen, M., Takahashi, K., Baumstark, L., Doelman, J., Kainuma, M., Klimont, Z., Marangoni, G., Lotze-Campen, H., Obersteiner, M., Tabeau, A., & Tavoni, M. (2017). The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An Overview. Global Environmental Change, 42, 153-168. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009

  11. WCRP CMIP6: Met Office Hadley Centre (MOHC) UKESM1-0-LL model output for the...

    • catalogue.ceda.ac.uk
    Updated Oct 31, 2022
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    Met Office Hadley Centre (MOHC) (2022). WCRP CMIP6: Met Office Hadley Centre (MOHC) UKESM1-0-LL model output for the "ssp370SST-lowBC" experiment [Dataset]. https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/c6edaf0dbc6d47c6ae72f8b8ac41b2f2
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    Dataset updated
    Oct 31, 2022
    Dataset provided by
    Centre for Environmental Data Analysishttp://www.ceda.ac.uk/
    Authors
    Met Office Hadley Centre (MOHC)
    License

    https://artefacts.ceda.ac.uk/licences/specific_licences/CMIP6_Terms_of_Use.pdfhttps://artefacts.ceda.ac.uk/licences/specific_licences/CMIP6_Terms_of_Use.pdf

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 2015 - Dec 30, 2099
    Area covered
    Earth
    Variables measured
    time, depth, height, latitude, area_type, longitude, wind_speed, runoff_flux, air_pressure, area_fraction, and 88 more
    Description

    The World Climate Research Program (WCRP) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 6 (CMIP6) data from the Met Office Hadley Centre (MOHC) UKESM1-0-LL model output for the "SSP3-7.0, prescribed SSTs, with low black carbon emissions" (ssp370SST-lowBC) experiment. These are available at the following frequencies: AERday, AERmon, AERmonZ, Amon, CFday, CFmon, Eday, EdayZ, Emon, EmonZ, Lmon, SIday, SImon and day. The runs included the ensemble member: r1i1p1f2.

    CMIP6 was a global climate model intercomparison project, coordinated by PCMDI (Program For Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison) on behalf of the WCRP and provided input for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 6th Assessment Report (AR6).

    The official CMIP6 Citation, and its associated DOI, is provided as an online resource linked to this record.

  12. u

    GARD-LENS: A downscaled large ensemble dataset for understanding the future...

    • rda.ucar.edu
    • data.ucar.edu
    • +1more
    Updated May 20, 2022
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    (2022). GARD-LENS: A downscaled large ensemble dataset for understanding the future climate and its uncertainties [Dataset]. https://rda.ucar.edu/lookfordata/datasets/?nb=y&b=topic&v=Atmosphere
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    Dataset updated
    May 20, 2022
    Description

    The Generalized Analog Regression Downscaling method Large Ensemble (GARD-LENS) dataset is comprised of daily precipitation, mean temperature, and temperature range over the Contiguous U.S., Alaska, and Hawaii at 12 km, ... 4 km, and 1 km resolutions, respectively. GARD-LENS downscales three CMIP6 global climate model large ensembles, CESM2, CanESM5, and EC-Earth3, totaling 200 ensemble members. GARD-LENS is the first downscaled SMILE (single model initial-condition large ensemble), providing information about the role of internal climate variability at high resolutions. GARD LENS uses GMET as a training dataset for the period 1980-2014, although Hawaii GMET data is only available for 1990-2014. The total dataset consists of 200 ensemble member files per region per variable (e.g., 200 files for t_mean for CONUS), for a total of 1800 files and a total dataset size of roughly 12 TB. The 150-year record of this large ensemble dataset provides ample data for assessing trends and extremes and allows users to robustly assess internal variability, forced climate signals, and time of emergence at high resolutions. As the need for high resolution, robust climate datasets continues to grow, GARD-LENS will be a valuable tool for scientists and practitioners who wish to account for internal variability in their future climate analyses and adaptation plans.

  13. WCRP CMIP6: the EC-Earth-Consortium team EC-Earth3 model output for the...

    • catalogue.ceda.ac.uk
    • data-search.nerc.ac.uk
    Updated Dec 22, 2021
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    NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (2021). WCRP CMIP6: the EC-Earth-Consortium team EC-Earth3 model output for the "piClim-ghg" experiment [Dataset]. https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/2edee495292548c6ad84e4a3de7043b2
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    Dataset updated
    Dec 22, 2021
    Dataset provided by
    Centre for Environmental Data Analysishttp://www.ceda.ac.uk/
    License

    https://artefacts.ceda.ac.uk/licences/specific_licences/CMIP6_Terms_of_Use.pdfhttps://artefacts.ceda.ac.uk/licences/specific_licences/CMIP6_Terms_of_Use.pdf

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1850 - Dec 31, 1879
    Area covered
    Earth
    Variables measured
    time, height, latitude, longitude, air_pressure, eastward_wind, northward_wind, air_temperature, specific_humidity, precipitation_flux, and 15 more
    Description

    The World Climate Research Program (WCRP) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, Phase 6 (CMIP6) data from the the EC-Earth-Consortium team EC-Earth3 model output for the "effective radiative forcing by present-day greenhouse gases" (piClim-ghg) experiment. These are available at the following frequencies: Amon and day. The runs included the ensemble member: r1i1p1f1.

    CMIP6 was a global climate model intercomparison project, coordinated by PCMDI (Program For Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison) on behalf of the WCRP and provided input for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 6th Assessment Report (AR6).

    The the EC-Earth-Consortium team team consisted of the following agencies: La Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET), Barcelona Supercomputing Centre (BSC), Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (CNR-ISAC), Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI), Italian National Agency for New Technologies, Energy and Sustainable Economic Development (ENEA), Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (Geomar), Irish Centre for High-End Computing (ICHEC), International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP), Instituto Dom Luiz (IDL), Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht (IMAU), Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA), KIT Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), Lund University, Met Eireann, The Netherlands eScience Center (NLeSC), Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU), University of Oxford, SURFsara, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SMHI), Stockholm University, Unite ASTR, University College Dublin, University of Bergen, University of Copenhagen, University of Helsinki, University of Santiago de Compostela, Uppsala University, University of Utrecht, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam and Wageningen University.

    The official CMIP6 Citation, and its associated DOI, is provided as an online resource linked to this record.

  14. Temperature and precipitation gridded data for global and regional domains...

    • cds.climate.copernicus.eu
    • cds-stable-bopen.copernicus-climate.eu
    netcdf
    Updated Apr 9, 2025
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    ECMWF (2025). Temperature and precipitation gridded data for global and regional domains derived from in-situ and satellite observations [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.24381/cds.11dedf0c
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    netcdfAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Apr 9, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecastshttp://ecmwf.int/
    Authors
    ECMWF
    License

    https://object-store.os-api.cci2.ecmwf.int:443/cci2-prod-catalogue/licences/insitu-gridded-observations-global-and-regional/insitu-gridded-observations-global-and-regional_15437b363f02bf5e6f41fc2995e3d19a590eb4daff5a7ce67d1ef6c269d81d68.pdfhttps://object-store.os-api.cci2.ecmwf.int:443/cci2-prod-catalogue/licences/insitu-gridded-observations-global-and-regional/insitu-gridded-observations-global-and-regional_15437b363f02bf5e6f41fc2995e3d19a590eb4daff5a7ce67d1ef6c269d81d68.pdf

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1750 - Jan 1, 2021
    Description

    This dataset provides high-resolution gridded temperature and precipitation observations from a selection of sources. Additionally the dataset contains daily global average near-surface temperature anomalies. All fields are defined on either daily or monthly frequency. The datasets are regularly updated to incorporate recent observations. The included data sources are commonly known as GISTEMP, Berkeley Earth, CPC and CPC-CONUS, CHIRPS, IMERG, CMORPH, GPCC and CRU, where the abbreviations are explained below. These data have been constructed from high-quality analyses of meteorological station series and rain gauges around the world, and as such provide a reliable source for the analysis of weather extremes and climate trends. The regular update cycle makes these data suitable for a rapid study of recently occurred phenomena or events. The NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies temperature analysis dataset (GISTEMP-v4) combines station data of the Global Historical Climatology Network (GHCN) with the Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature (ERSST) to construct a global temperature change estimate. The Berkeley Earth Foundation dataset (BERKEARTH) merges temperature records from 16 archives into a single coherent dataset. The NOAA Climate Prediction Center datasets (CPC and CPC-CONUS) define a suite of unified precipitation products with consistent quantity and improved quality by combining all information sources available at CPC and by taking advantage of the optimal interpolation (OI) objective analysis technique. The Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station dataset (CHIRPS-v2) incorporates 0.05° resolution satellite imagery and in-situ station data to create gridded rainfall time series over the African continent, suitable for trend analysis and seasonal drought monitoring. The Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals dataset (IMERG) by NASA uses an algorithm to intercalibrate, merge, and interpolate “all'' satellite microwave precipitation estimates, together with microwave-calibrated infrared (IR) satellite estimates, precipitation gauge analyses, and potentially other precipitation estimators over the entire globe at fine time and space scales for the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) and its successor, Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) satellite-based precipitation products. The Climate Prediction Center morphing technique dataset (CMORPH) by NOAA has been created using precipitation estimates that have been derived from low orbiter satellite microwave observations exclusively. Then, geostationary IR data are used as a means to transport the microwave-derived precipitation features during periods when microwave data are not available at a location. The Global Precipitation Climatology Centre dataset (GPCC) is a centennial product of monthly global land-surface precipitation based on the ~80,000 stations world-wide that feature record durations of 10 years or longer. The data coverage per month varies from ~6,000 (before 1900) to more than 50,000 stations. The Climatic Research Unit dataset (CRU v4) features an improved interpolation process, which delivers full traceability back to station measurements. The station measurements of temperature and precipitation are public, as well as the gridded dataset and national averages for each country. Cross-validation was performed at a station level, and the results have been published as a guide to the accuracy of the interpolation. This catalogue entry complements the E-OBS record in many aspects, as it intends to provide high-resolution gridded meteorological observations at a global rather than continental scale. These data may be suitable as a baseline for model comparisons or extreme event analysis in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 dataset.

  15. o

    Data from: Community Earth System Model v2 Large Ensemble (CESM2 LENS)

    • registry.opendata.aws
    Updated Dec 7, 2021
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    National Center for Atmospheric Research (2021). Community Earth System Model v2 Large Ensemble (CESM2 LENS) [Dataset]. https://registry.opendata.aws/ncar-cesm2-lens/
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    Dataset updated
    Dec 7, 2021
    Dataset provided by
    <a href="https://ncar.ucar.edu/">National Center for Atmospheric Research</a>
    Description

    The US National Center for Atmospheric Research partnered with the IBS Center for Climate Physics in South Korea to generate the CESM2 Large Ensemble which consists of 100 ensemble members at 1 degree spatial resolution covering the period 1850-2100 under CMIP6 historical and SSP370 future radiative forcing scenarios. Data sets from this ensemble were made downloadable via the Climate Data Gateway on June 14th, 2021. NCAR has copied a subset (currently ~500 TB) of CESM2 LENS data to Amazon S3 as part of the AWS Public Datasets Program. To optimize for large-scale analytics we have represented the data as ~275 Zarr stores format accessible through the Python Xarray library. Each Zarr store contains a single physical variable for a given model run type and temporal frequency (monthly, daily).

  16. u

    Data from: GeoMIP SSP5 run data

    • rda.ucar.edu
    • data.ucar.edu
    • +1more
    Updated May 20, 2022
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    (2022). GeoMIP SSP5 run data [Dataset]. https://rda.ucar.edu/lookfordata/datasets/?nb=y&b=topic&v=Atmosphere
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    Dataset updated
    May 20, 2022
    Description

    Stratospheric Aerosol Geoengineering experiments have been produced by CESM2 (WACCM6). Two experiments have been performed following the CMIP6 WACCM6 SSP5-34-OS experiment as a baseline scenario with stratospheric sulfur injections to ... limit global warming to 1.5C or 2.0C above 1850-1900 conditions, called Geo SSP5-34-OS 1.5 and Geo SSP5-34-OS 2.0, respectively. A third experiment has been performed that follows CMIP6 WACCM6 SSP5-85 as a baseline and to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees C, called Geo SSP5-85 1.5. Sulfur injections were applied at four predefined latitudes, 30N, 15N, 15S, and 30S, to reach three surface temperature targets: global mean temperature, and inter-hemispheric and pole-to-equator temperature gradients using a feedback algorithm. All experiments have two ensemble members. More details can be found in the reference paper.

  17. u

    CESM2 Large Ensemble

    • rda.ucar.edu
    • oidc.rda.ucar.edu
    • +1more
    Updated May 20, 2022
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    (2022). CESM2 Large Ensemble [Dataset]. https://rda.ucar.edu/lookfordata/datasets/?nb=y&b=topic&v=Atmosphere
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    Dataset updated
    May 20, 2022
    Description

    The CESM2 Large Ensemble consists of 100 members at 1 degree spatial resolution covering the period 1850-2100 under CMIP6 historical and SSP370 future radiative forcing scenarios. Two separate sets of ... biomass burning emissions forcing files were used within the ensemble. Members 1-50 were forced with CMIP6 protocols identical to those used in Danabasoglu et al. (2020) in the paper for CESM2. For members 51-100, the most relevant species for biomass burning fluxes from the CMIP6 protocols were smoothed with an 11-year running mean filter, impacting the fluxes over the years 1990-2020. The CESM2 Large Ensemble uses a combination of different oceanic and atmospheric initial states to create ensemble spread as follows: Members 1-10: These begin from years 1001, 1021, 1041, 1061, 1081, 1101, 1121, 1141, 1161, and 1181 of the 1400-year pre-industrial control simulation. This segment of the control simulation was chosen to minimize drift. Members 11-90: These begin from 4 pre-selected years of the pre-industrial control simulation based on the phase of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). For each of the 4 initial states, there are 20 ensemble members created by randomly perturbing the atmospheric temperature field on the order of -14K. The chosen start dates (model years 1231, 1251, 1281, and 1301) sample AMOC and Sea Surface Height (SSH) in the Labrador Sea at their maximum, minimum and transition states. Members 91-100: These begin from years 1011, 1031, 1051, 1071, 1091, 1111, 1131, 1151, 1171, and 1191 of the 1400-year pre-industrial control simulation. This set includes the extensive "MOAR" output, which can be used to drive regional climate models. The initialization design allows assessment of oceanic (AMOC) and atmospheric contributions to ensemble spread, and the impact of AMOC initial-condition memory on the global earth system.

  18. Not seeing a result you expected?
    Learn how you can add new datasets to our index.

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ECMWF (2025). CMIP6 climate projections [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.24381/cds.c866074c

CMIP6 climate projections

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87 scholarly articles cite this dataset (View in Google Scholar)
netcdfAvailable download formats
Dataset updated
Jan 10, 2025
Dataset authored and provided by
ECMWF
License

https://object-store.os-api.cci2.ecmwf.int:443/cci2-prod-catalogue/licences/cmip6-wps/cmip6-wps_23f724282307e697d793a31124a30efac989841c65936f5b2b3f738b7c861bf7.pdfhttps://object-store.os-api.cci2.ecmwf.int:443/cci2-prod-catalogue/licences/cmip6-wps/cmip6-wps_23f724282307e697d793a31124a30efac989841c65936f5b2b3f738b7c861bf7.pdf

Time period covered
Jan 1, 1860 - Dec 31, 2300
Description

This catalogue entry provides daily and monthly global climate projections data from a large number of experiments, models and time periods computed in the framework of the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). CMIP6 data underpins the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 6th Assessment Report. The use of these data is mostly aimed at:

addressing outstanding scientific questions that arose as part of the IPCC reporting process; improving the understanding of the climate system; providing estimates of future climate change and related uncertainties; providing input data for the adaptation to the climate change; examining climate predictability and exploring the ability of models to predict climate on decadal time scales; evaluating how realistic the different models are in simulating the recent past.

The term "experiments" refers to the three main categories of CMIP6 simulations:

Historical experiments which cover the period where modern climate observations exist. These experiments show how the GCMs performs for the past climate and can be used as a reference period for comparison with scenario runs for the future. The period covered is typically 1850-2014. Climate projection experiments following the combined pathways of Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) and Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP). The SSP scenarios provide different pathways of the future climate forcing. The period covered is typically 2015-2100.

This catalogue entry provides both two- and three-dimensional data, along with an option to apply spatial and/or temporal subsetting to data requests. This is a new feature of the global climate projection dataset, which relies on compute processes run simultaneously in the ESGF nodes, where the data are originally located. The data are produced by the participating institutes of the CMIP6 project.

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