Global coffee shops market size valued USD 85.75 Billion in 2024 and Is Expected To Reach USD 145.96 Billion by the end of 2034, CAGR of 4.75%

This dataset ranks the top 10 UK coffee shop, café, and dessert parlour brands based on forecasted outlet numbers as of December 2025. It provides a snapshot of market presence by brand and highlights the leading players in the out-of-home coffee and dessert sectors.

The Coffee Market Report is Segmented by Product Type (Whole-Bean, Ground Coffee, and More), Distribution Channel (On-Trade and Off-Trade), Coffee Species (Arabica, Robusta and More), Origin (Single Origin/Specialty and Mixed), and Geography (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, South America, and Middle East and Africa). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD) and Volume (Tons).

In 2024, Market Research Intellect valued the Coffee Shop Market Report at USD 45.4 billion, with expectations to reach USD 68.4 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 5.5%.Understand drivers of market demand, strategic innovations, and the role of top competitors.

In 2023, the sales at coffee shops in Japan amounted to an estimated **** trillion Japanese yen. Coffee shops cater to the ample demand for caffeinated drinks in Japanese society, offering a dedicated space for coffee consumption. Japan is one of the largest coffee markets in the world. To satisfy domestic demand, large quantities of coffee are imported, making Japan one of the major coffee importing countries in the world. The country’s largest source of imports is Brazil. Coffee consumption in Japan Coffee is one of the most popular non-alcoholic beverages in Japan, together with tea, mineral water, and carbonated drinks. On average, almost three-quarters of Japanese people drink coffee daily. Coffee consumption is common in a variety of settings. In Japan, most coffee drinks are consumed at home, while drinking coffee at work or school is another common setting. Most coffee drinkers are not regular visitors to coffee shops in Japan. Leading coffee shop chains There are four big coffee shop chain companies operating in Japan, the largest of which, in terms of the number of establishments, is Starbucks. Starbucks is also the leading foreign brand among them, while Doutor and Komeda are the largest chains of Japanese origin. Coffee shops of these brands are often encountered in the busiest spots at or near train stations in metropolitan areas in Japan.

The global cafe chain market is a dynamic and rapidly expanding sector, projected to experience significant growth over the next decade. While precise figures for market size and CAGR are not provided, a reasonable estimate, considering the presence of major global players like Starbucks and McDonald's McCafé, alongside numerous regional chains, would place the 2025 market size in the tens of billions of dollars, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) between 4% and 7% throughout the forecast period (2025-2033). This growth is fueled by several key drivers, including rising disposable incomes in emerging markets, increasing consumer preference for premium coffee experiences, and the expanding popularity of specialty coffee drinks beyond traditional espresso-based offerings. The market also sees strong growth in innovative beverage options, convenient mobile ordering and loyalty programs. Furthermore, the trend towards healthier food options within cafe settings is gaining momentum. The increasing prevalence of third-wave coffee shops emphasizing artisanal sourcing and brewing techniques also contributes to market expansion. However, the market faces certain restraints. Fluctuations in coffee bean prices, intense competition among established players and emerging brands, and the rising costs of labor and real estate can affect profitability. Market segmentation reveals a diverse landscape encompassing premium chains, quick-service cafes, and independent coffee shops. Geographic variations in coffee consumption patterns and regulatory environments across different regions also impact market performance. The competitive landscape is characterized by a mix of global giants with extensive brand recognition and a large number of regional and local competitors vying for market share. Successful players are continuously adapting their offerings to cater to evolving consumer preferences, embracing technological advancements, and focusing on providing superior customer experiences.

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Specialty Coffee Shops Market Size 2025-2029

The specialty coffee shops market size is forecast to increase by USD 50.8 billion at a CAGR of 7.1% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant growth due to the increasing consumption of coffee and coffee pods, with a focus on premium and artisanal offerings. This trend is driven by consumers' growing appreciation for the unique flavors and quality of specialty coffee. Additionally, the emphasis on sustainability in the coffee industry is another key driver, as consumers are increasingly conscious of the environmental and ethical implications of their coffee choices. However, the market faces challenges as well. Fluctuating prices of raw coffee beans pose a significant threat to profitability, as specialty coffee shops often source high-quality beans at a premium.
These price fluctuations can make it challenging for businesses to maintain consistent pricing and profit margins. To navigate these challenges, specialty coffee shops must focus on building strong relationships with their suppliers and implementing pricing strategies that allow them to absorb price increases while still offering competitive prices to customers. By staying agile and responsive to market trends, specialty coffee shops can capitalize on the growing demand for premium coffee and differentiate themselves from mass-market competitors.

What will be the Size of the Specialty Coffee Shops Market during the forecast period?

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The specialty coffee shop market continues to evolve, with dynamic shifts in consumer preferences, technology, and business models. The coffee shop community is at the forefront of this transformation, driving innovation in various sectors. Third wave coffee, characterized by its focus on high-quality beans, artisanal roasting, and precise brewing methods, is a prime example of this evolution. Espresso machines and coffee shop technology have advanced significantly, enabling shops to offer a wider range of beverages and enhance the customer experience. Direct trade coffee and coffee blends have gained popularity, allowing shops to source beans directly from farmers and create unique flavor profiles.
Coffee shop events, such as workshops and education sessions, have become essential tools for engaging customers and building brand loyalty. Specialty coffee shops are also embracing technology, with apps and social media marketing enabling seamless ordering and delivery. Sustainability and profitability are key concerns for coffee shop owners. Coffee packaging and roasting techniques have evolved to reduce waste and increase efficiency. Coffee shop pricing strategies are also undergoing changes, with subscription services and alternative brewing methods like pour over and cold brew offering new revenue streams. The coffee shop landscape is characterized by a diverse range of business models, from independent shops to franchise chains.

How is this Specialty Coffee Shops Industry segmented?

The specialty coffee shops industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

Type

  Independent coffee shops
  Chain coffee shops


Distribution Channel

  Offline
  Online


Age Group

  18-24 Years
  25-39 Years
  40-59 Years
  Above 60


Geography

  North America

    US
    Canada
    Mexico


  Europe

    France
    Germany
    The Netherlands
    UK


  Middle East and Africa

    UAE


  APAC

    Australia
    China
    India
    Japan
    South Korea


  South America

    Brazil


  Rest of World (ROW)

By Type Insights

The independent coffee shops segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

The independent coffee shop market experiences continuous growth due to the increasing preference for specialty coffee and unique shop experiences. This sector encompasses various offerings, including Fair Trade Coffee and Coffee Certifications, which prioritize ethical sourcing and sustainable practices. Coffee Shop Innovation is evident in the use of Coffee Equipment, such as Pour Over devices and Espresso Machines, and Coffee Shop Technology, like Coffee Shop Apps and Social Media Marketing. Single-Origin Coffee and Brewing Methods, like Cold Brew, showcase the diversity of Specialty Coffee Beans. Coffee Accessories, Coffee Shop Decor, and Coffee Education provide customers with immersive experiences.

Coffee Shop Workshops and Coffee Shop Events foster a strong Coffee Shop Community. Third Wave Coffee and Direct Trade Coffee emphasize the importance of transparency and quality. Coffee Blends, Coffee Shop Delivery, and Coffee Shop Pricing cater to the convenience of consumers. Coffee Shop Sustainability and Coffee Shop Profitability ar

This dataset outlines the various occasions on which consumers purchase coffee out-of-home in the UK. It categorises consumption by purpose or context—such as on-the-go, breakfast, social, work-related, and treat—providing valuable insight into consumer behaviour and usage trends within the coffee shop market.

This dataset compares the price of coffee across leading sandwich and bakery chains in the UK. It highlights pricing differences between operators, providing insight into competitive positioning and pricing strategy within the out-of-home coffee market.

In 2024, the branded coffee shop market in the United Kingdom was estimated to have a value of *** billion British pounds. This was an increase of over ** percent from the previous year, signifying a continued recovery from the dramatic decline in market value that occurred in 2020, when the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic heavily impacted the UK's coffee shop industry. However, the 2024 figure was around ** percent lower than before the pandemic, when it stood at **** billion British pounds in 2018.

The global coffee shop market is projected to reach a valuation of approximately USD 237 billion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.5% from 2025 to 2033.

Market Size statistics on the Coffee & Snack Shops industry in the US

The coffee market attained a value of USD 138.15 Billion in 2024. The market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.60% during the forecast period of 2025-2034. By 2034, the market is expected to reach USD 216.60 Billion.

The popularity of ready-to-drink (RTD) beverages is contributing to the coffee market share for meeting growing consumer demand for convenience, portability, and innovation. These beverages appeal to busy, on-the-go lifestyles and those seeking quick yet high-quality coffee experiences. Major brands are leading the charge with cold brews, flavoured lattes, and functional options. In May 2025, Solo Coffee launched its Ready-to-Go Espresso ideal for iced lattes and cocktails in Tesco United Kingdom stores. This format is also benefitting from strong retail and online distribution for enhancing accessibility and impulse purchases.

Consumers are increasingly opting for premium and craft coffee products due to their unique flavour profiles and artisan production. In March 2025, Nestlé expanded its premium coffee portfolio by launching its first Nespresso boutique in New Delhi. This is driving growth in micro-roasters, limited edition batches, and single-origin beans. Premiumization is also influencing packaging innovation, such as resealable bags and informative labels explaining origin and tasting notes. The trend is strongest in developed markets with established coffee cultures but is expanding globally.

The rise of coffee subscription services is driving the coffee market development for offering consumers a personalized, convenient, and consistent supply of high-quality coffee. These services are catering to the evolving preferences by delivering freshly roasted beans or specialty brews directly to the homes of customers, often tailored to individual taste profiles. In December 2024, London-based specialty coffee and brunch chain Yolk launched its BrewClub subscription service for offering a premium alternative to the existing United Kingdom coffee subscriptions. This model also enhances brand loyalty and customer retention, giving roasters and retailers recurring revenue streams.

Cafes and Coffee Shop Market Outlook

According to our latest research, the global cafes and coffee shop market size reached USD 237.4 billion in 2024, reflecting robust consumer demand and evolving lifestyle trends. The market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6.2% from 2025 to 2033, with the market size projected to reach USD 406.1 billion by 2033. This sustained growth is fueled by rising urbanization, increasing disposable incomes, and a burgeoning café culture worldwide, as consumers continue to seek premium coffee experiences and convenient social spaces.

One of the primary growth drivers for the cafes and coffee shop market is the global shift in consumer preferences toward specialty beverages and unique café experiences. Urbanization and the increasing pace of modern lifestyles have made cafes and coffee shops not just places to purchase coffee, but also social hubs for meetings, work, and leisure. The proliferation of specialty coffee shops, which offer artisanal brews and innovative beverage options, is attracting a diverse clientele, including millennials and Gen Z, who value quality, ambiance, and sustainability. Additionally, the integration of technology, such as mobile ordering and contactless payments, has streamlined operations and enhanced customer convenience, further propelling market expansion.

Another significant factor contributing to market growth is the expanding product offerings beyond traditional coffee. Many cafes and coffee shops now provide a wide range of beverages, including teas, smoothies, and cold brews, as well as an array of food items such as pastries, sandwiches, and salads. This diversification appeals to a broader audience and increases average transaction values. Furthermore, the rise of health-conscious consumers has led to the introduction of organic, plant-based, and low-calorie menu options, allowing cafes and coffee shops to tap into new customer segments and adapt to evolving dietary preferences.

The rapid adoption of digital platforms and online delivery services has also played a pivotal role in shaping the cafes and coffee shop market. With the advent of food delivery apps and e-commerce platforms, consumers can now enjoy their favorite coffee and snacks from the comfort of their homes or offices. This trend has been accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic, which prompted cafes and coffee shops to pivot toward online ordering and delivery to maintain business continuity. As a result, the integration of omnichannel strategies has become essential for market players, enabling them to reach a wider customer base and drive incremental sales.

From a regional perspective, Asia Pacific has emerged as the fastest-growing market, driven by a burgeoning middle class and increasing Western influence on lifestyle and dining habits. North America and Europe continue to hold significant market shares, supported by established café cultures and high consumer spending on premium beverages. Meanwhile, Latin America and the Middle East & Africa are witnessing steady growth, fueled by urbanization and rising disposable incomes. The global landscape is characterized by a mix of international chains and independent operators, each catering to distinct consumer preferences and market dynamics.

Service Type Analysis

The cafes and coffee shop market is segmented by service type into cafes, coffee shops, specialty coffee shops, drive-thru coffee shops, and others. Traditional cafes and coffee shops remain the backbone of this industry, accounting for a substantial share of the market. These establishments cater to a wide demographic, offering a blend of beverages and light meals in a comfortable setting. The ambiance and personalized service in these outlets continue to attract both regular patrons and new customers seeking a relaxing environment for socializing or working. The flexibility to adapt menus and themes according to local tastes gives cafes and coffee shops a competitive edge in diverse markets.

Specialty coffee shops have experienced remarkable growth in recent years, as consumers become more discerning about the quality, sourcing, and preparation of their coffee. These outlets emphasize unique brewing methods, single-origin beans, and barista expertise, appealing to coffee aficionados and younger, trend-conscious consumers. Specialty coffee shops often serve as trendsetters, introducing innovative flavors and brewing

According to Cognitive Market Research, The global takeout coffee market will be worth USD 39.1 billion in 2023 and grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.80% from 2023 to 2030.

The demand for takeout coffee is rising due to the increasing number of coffee shops in various countries.
Demand for instant coffee remains higher in the takeout coffee market.
The on-trade category held the highest takeout coffee market revenue share in 2023.
Europe will continue to lead, whereas the North American takeout coffee market will experience the most robust growth until 2030.

Increasing Number of Coffee Shops to Provide Viable Market Output

A significant market driver for Takeout Coffee has been the increasing number of coffee shops. The rising popularity of coffee culture and the preference for specialty coffee among consumers have led to a surge in coffee shop openings. Modern consumers' convenience and busy lifestyles drive the demand for grab-and-go options, making takeout coffee from these establishments highly appealing.

For instance, in February 2023, Third Wave Coffee (TWC) announced the opening its 91st store in Oberoi Mall in Mumbai, India.

Moreover, coffee shops often offer diverse coffee flavors, brewing methods, and customization options, attracting a broad customer base. The global expansion of major coffee chains has also contributed to this trend. As a result, the proliferation of coffee shops continues to fuel the growth of the takeout coffee market, offering consumers a wide array of choices and convenience.

Increasing Consumption of Coffee in Emerging Economies to Propel Market Growth

The market for Takeout Coffee has revolutionized because of the increasing consumption of coffee in emerging economies. As these economies experience urbanization and rising incomes, there is a growing trend towards adopting Western-style coffee culture. Coffee shops and chains have expanded their presence in these regions, making coffee more accessible and appealing to a broader demographic.

According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) 2022, Indonesia is reported to be the largest consumer of coffee, followed by China and Mexico. Coffee consumption in Indonesia has grown among consumers in recent years due to its convenience, affordability, and ability to provide alertness and relaxation.

Additionally, the younger population in emerging economies is more open to trying new beverages, including various coffee options, which has fueled demand. The perception of coffee as a trendy and social beverage has also contributed to its popularity. Furthermore, the rising awareness of the potential health benefits of coffee consumption, such as improved alertness and antioxidant properties, has encouraged its consumption.

Rising focus on health is propelling market growth

Key Dynamics of

Takeout Coffee Market

Key Drivers of

Takeout Coffee Market

Urbanization and fast-paced lifestyles driving on-the-go consumption: As urban populations increase, the need for convenient, grab-and-go coffee choices has risen significantly. Takeout coffee seamlessly integrates into hectic schedules, particularly for working professionals, students, and commuters.

Growth of coffee shop chains and specialty cafés: Major brands such as Starbucks, Costa Coffee, and Tim Hortons are rapidly expanding in both established and developing markets. Their emphasis on convenient takeaway formats, mobile ordering, and app-based loyalty programs is propelling the growth of takeout sales.

Rising consumer expenditure on premium beverages: With increasing disposable incomes and a heightened appreciation for artisanal and specialty coffee, consumers are more inclined to invest in high-quality takeout options. Cold brews, oat milk lattes, and seasonal blends are contributing to market value enhancement.

Key Restraints for

Takeout Coffee Market

Sustainability issues regarding single-use packaging: Takeout coffee produces significant amounts of disposable cups, lids, and sleeves, much of which ultimately ends up in landfills. Heightened environmental awareness is compelling brands to implement eco-friendly packaging solutions or face potential consumer backlash.

Price sensitivity among certain consumer demographics: Although takeaway coffee remains popular, escalating inflation and cost-of...

The US Coffee Market Report is Segmented by Product Type (Whole Bean, Ground Coffee, Instant Coffee, and Coffee Pods and Capsules), Type (Conventional and Specialty), Packaging Type (Flexible, Rigid, and Single-Serve), Distribution Channel (On-Trade and Off-Trade Channel) and Geography (California, Texas, Florida, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Starbucks is one of the largest brands in the world. In 2025, the global coffee shop chain was valued at approximately 38.76 billion U.S. dollars. This shows a significant decrease compared to the company's previous value of 60.67 billion U.S. dollars in 2024.

The United Kingdom Cafes and Bars Market Report is Segmented by Service Type (Dine-In, Takeaway, and More), Cuisine (Bars and Pubs, Cafes, and More), Outlet (Independent and Chained), and Location (Leisure, Lodging, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

This dataset showcases the top 10 branded coffee and sandwich shop chains in the UK ranked by forecasted net outlet growth between December 2024 and December 2025. It includes both absolute and percentage growth figures, providing insight into the fastest-growing brands within the sector.

The United States Cafes and Bars Market Report is Segmented by Service Type (Dine-In, Takeaway, and More), Cuisine (Bars and Pubs, Cafes, and More), Outlet (Independent and Chained), and Location (Leisure, Lodging, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).