Between 2025 and 2029, shopping center space rent is expected to see the highest annualized return on investment among different types of commercial properties in the UK. Total returns look at the expected rate of return on a real estate investment. On the other hand, industrial properties are not only forecast to see the highest commercial real estate rental growth, but also the highest capital value growth by 2029.

The prime yields in the UK expanded across most property types between 2022 and 2025. In April 2025, yields were the lowest in the London West End offices market at *****percent. In contrast, shopping center yields stood at ****percent. Yield is an indicator for the expected return of a property investment and is calculated as the ratio of rental income and the property value. Several factors can drive yields - increased demand could raise property values, causing lower yields, while a fall in demand could create the opposite effect. Which is the largest commercial real estate sector in the UK? Office real estate has traditionally accounted for the lion’s share of the commercial property investment market, but since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, investors’ interest has shifted towards industrial real estate. With the e-commerce sector growing and supply chain management becoming more important than ever, so has the industrial and logistic sector. This increase in importance is also reflected in the occupiers market, with the annual take-up exceeding the ten-year average for three years in a row. How is the commercial property market expected to develop in the coming years? The industrial and logistic property market is forecast to outperform retail and offices in terms of capital value growth in the period between 2025 and 2028. According to the same forecast, rental growth is expected to turn positive for all property types in 2025, except for shopping centers.

Commercial real estate in the UK is expected to see an annualized total return of *** percent between 2025 and 2029. During that period, capital values are forecast to grow faster than rents. Within the sector, shopping center, industrial, and retail warehouse real estate stands out as the commercial property type with the highest total returns.

Industrial multi-lets and industrial distribution properties had the lowest yields in the industrial real estate sector, amounting to **** percent in February 2025. Conversely, yields were the highest for retail warehousing (restricted), at ************* Yield is an indicator for the expected return of a property investment and is calculated as the ratio of rental income and the property value. Several factors can drive yields — increased demand could raise property values, causing lower yields, while a fall in demand could create the opposite effect. Overall, yields expanded across all commercial property types in 2023.

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Europe Commercial Real Estate Market Size 2025-2029

The europe commercial real estate market size is forecast to increase by USD 91.4 billion at a CAGR of 5.7% between 2024 and 2029.

The European commercial real estate market is experiencing significant growth, with increasing private investments fueling the expansion. This trend is driven by the region's robust economic conditions and the attractiveness of European markets to global investors. However, the market's growth trajectory is not without challenges. Rising interest rates pose a threat to potential investors, increasing the cost of borrowing and potentially reducing the appeal of commercial real estate investments. Additionally, regulatory hurdles and supply chain inconsistencies temper growth potential, necessitating careful planning and strategic navigation. Despite these challenges, opportunities abound for companies seeking to capitalize on the market's momentum. By staying informed of regulatory changes and supply chain developments, and maintaining a strong understanding of market trends, businesses can effectively navigate these challenges and seize growth opportunities in the European commercial real estate market.

What will be the size of the Europe Commercial Real Estate Market during the forecast period?

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In Europe's commercial real estate market, environmental impact assessments are increasingly important in property development, as sustainability becomes a key consideration. Real estate consulting firms provide valuable insights through property appraisals and predictive modeling, helping investors make informed decisions. Zoning regulations and planning permissions shape the landscape for asset management, while green certifications offer competitive advantages. Flexible workspaces, such as serviced and coworking spaces, are on the rise, catering to the changing needs of businesses. Energy audits and facility management ensure efficient operations, reducing costs and enhancing tenant satisfaction. Lease administration, tenant screening, and property valuations are essential components of effective asset management. Real estate analytics and property listings enable data-driven insights, driving transaction advisory services. Construction management and project management are crucial for delivering high-quality buildings, while virtual offices provide flexibility for remote teams. Property marketing and maintenance round out the essential services for successful real estate investments.

How is this market segmented?

The market research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments. TypeRentalLeaseSalesEnd-userOfficesRetailLeisureOthersEnd-UserCorporateInvestmentGovernmentLocationUrbanSuburbanGeographyEuropeFranceGermanyItalyUK

By Type Insights

The rental segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

Commercial real estate in Europe encompasses various sectors, including rental, office buildings, industrial properties, residential, and retail spaces. Debt financing plays a crucial role in the market, with mortgage lending and equity financing facilitating property transactions. Logistics facilities are in high demand due to the growth of e-commerce, necessitating infrastructure development and urban planning. ESG factors are increasingly influencing investment decisions, with a focus on energy efficiency, green building, and property technology. Building Information Modeling (BIM) and big data analytics are transforming property management and due diligence. Occupancy rates and rental yields remain essential indicators of market health, with vacancy rates impacting property values. Urban regeneration and mixed-use developments are shaping cityscapes, while market volatility and real estate cycles pose risks. Artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things, and smart building technologies are revolutionizing property management and investment strategies. Despite the robust leasing market and rising rents, investment markets exhibit caution due to economic uncertainties and finance rates. Office rental growth, particularly in the UK, Benelux markets, and peripheral Europe, accelerated in the third quarter of 2022, increasing annual growth to over 5%. However, buyers remain hesitant to pay earlier price levels, impacting capital markets and property values. Risk management and portfolio diversification are essential strategies for navigating these evolving trends.

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The Rental segment was valued at USD billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Market Dynamics

Our researchers analyzed the data with 2024 as the base year, along with the key drivers, trends, and challeng

The investment yields of warehouse and industrial space in the UK continued to rise in 2024. As of June, yields were the highest for good secondary estates, at 7.25 percent. Conversely, prime distribution and warehousing properties with a lease term of 20 years and a higher open market value had the lowest yield, at five percent.

Doorda's UK Commercial Real Estate Data provides a comprehensive database of over 6 million commercial locations sourced from 20 data sources, offering unparalleled insights for business intelligence and analytics purposes.

Volume and stats: - 6M Commercial locations with internals - 1.7M Named Commercial Occupants - 1.4M Non-Domestic Energy Performance Inspections

Our Commercial Real Estate Data offers a multitude of use cases: - Market Analysis - Competitor Analysis - Lead Generation - Risk Management - Location Planning

The key benefits of leveraging our Commercial Real Estate Property Data include: - Data Accuracy - Informed Decision-Making - Competitive Advantage - Efficiency - Single Source

Covering a wide range of industries and sectors, our data empowers organisations to make informed decisions, uncover market trends, and gain a competitive edge in the UK market.

In the third quarter of 2024, the 12-month rolling value of commercial real estate investment in the UK rose for the second consecutive quarter. Despite the improving investor sentiment, at about 31 billion U.S. dollars, investment activity was just slightly higher than in the 12 months ending in the third quarter of 2023 - the lowest value on record. Commercial real estate includes different property types, such as offices, industrial, logistics, retail, and build-to-rent residential buildings. In 2023, offices and industrial properties attracted the highest share of investments. Meanwhile, shopping centers had the highest investment yields.

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Commercial Real Estate Market Size 2025-2029

The commercial real estate market size is forecast to increase by USD 427.3 billion, at a CAGR of 4.6% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant growth, fueled by increasing marketing initiatives and the rising emphasis on remote work and online shopping. This trend is transforming the commercial real estate landscape, with a shift towards adaptive spaces that cater to the evolving needs of businesses and consumers. The increasing adoption of marketing strategies, such as digital marketing and experiential retail, is driving demand for commercial properties that can effectively showcase brands and create memorable customer experiences. Additionally, the shift towards remote work and online shopping is leading to a surge in demand for data centers, logistics facilities, and flexible office spaces.
However, this market is not without challenges. The rapid pace of technological advancements and changing consumer preferences pose significant obstacles for commercial real estate developers and investors. The need to adapt to these shifts and stay competitive requires a deep understanding of market trends and the ability to pivot quickly. Furthermore, regulatory changes and economic instability can also impact the market's growth trajectory. To capitalize on the opportunities and navigate the challenges effectively, companies must stay informed about the latest market trends and consumer preferences. Investing in technology and innovation, while also maintaining flexibility and adaptability, will be key to success in the evolving the market.

What will be the Size of the Commercial Real Estate Market during the forecast period?

Explore in-depth regional segment analysis with market size data - historical 2019-2023 and forecasts 2025-2029 - in the full report.
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The market continues to evolve, with dynamic market activities unfolding across various sectors. Environmental impact assessments are increasingly crucial in property development, shaping the design and construction process. Tenant representation plays a pivotal role in securing suitable spaces for businesses, while 3D modeling facilitates effective space planning and data visualization. Due diligence is an ongoing process, ensuring compliance with legal and regulatory requirements. Property tax assessments, vacancy rates, and property management are essential components of commercial real estate investment strategies. Distressed properties present opportunities for joint ventures and strategic investments, while interior design and machine learning contribute to enhancing tenant experience and optimizing building performance.

Investment properties, industrial properties, and urban planning strategies benefit from big data analytics and virtual tours, enabling informed decision-making. Commercial mortgages and brokerage services facilitate the buying and selling of properties, while occupancy costs and building codes ensure operational efficiency and safety. The market is a complex, ever-changing landscape, with continuous market dynamics shaping its various sectors. From environmental impact assessments to tenant representation, property management, and investment strategies, the integration of various components is essential for success in this dynamic industry.

How is this Commercial Real Estate Industry segmented?

The commercial real estate industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

End-user

  Offices
  Retail
  Leisure
  Others


Channel

  Rental
  Lease
  Sales


Transaction Type

  Commercial Leasing
  Property Sales
  Property Management


Service Type

  Brokerage Services
  Property Development
  Valuation Consulting
  Facilities Management


Geography

  North America

    US
    Canada


  Europe

    France
    Germany
    Italy
    UK


  Middle East and Africa

    Egypt
    KSA
    Oman
    UAE


  APAC

    China
    India
    Japan


  South America

    Argentina
    Brazil


  Rest of World (ROW)

By End-user Insights

The offices segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

The U.S. commercial real estate market is undergoing major shifts, particularly in the office segment, driven by flexible work models, evolving corporate needs, and technological advancements. Businesses now favor adaptable, tech-enabled spaces to attract talent, fueling demand for co-working hubs like Regus and WeWork. Industry leaders such as Google and Amazon are redefining office design to boost collaboration and satisfaction.

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The Offices segment was valued at USD 476.50 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during th

Prime yields in the commercial real estate market in the UK increased the most for office real estate in the second half of 2023. The yield shift amounted to 0.46 percent, which was about five times the increase for retail real estate. The prime yields for different property types vary widely across the different markets in the UK.

Industrial real estate is forecast to experience the highest annualized capital growth in the commercial real estate sector in the UK between 2025 and 2029. On average, capital values for commercial property are expected to increase by ***** percent per year, while for industrial real estate, that figure amounted to *** percent. Additionally, industrial is forecast to experience the ******-highest return on investment in the commercial property sector.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

LON:UKCM UK COMMERCIAL PROPERTY REIT LIMITED

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

The industrial real estate sector is forecasted to see the highest annualized rental growth in the UK between 2024 and 2028, followed by West End offices. According to the forecast, industrial real estate rents are expected to grow by 3.2 percent per year in this period, while West End office space rents are expected to increase by 2.7 percent. When it comes to total commercial real estate returns in the UK, the industrial and retail warehousing sectors are forecast to outperform all other property types.

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Property Management Market Size 2025-2029

The property management market size is forecast to increase by USD 13.19 billion, at a CAGR of 8.4% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant shifts driven by the increasing adoption of technology and regulatory requirements. One key trend is the integration of blockchain and smart contracts in property listings, enhancing transparency and security. This technological advancement necessitates a shift in skill sets for property management professionals, as proficiency in blockchain and related technologies becomes increasingly valuable. Another significant challenge arises from the evolving regulatory landscape. Compliance with government regulations for property management is essential, and failure to do so can result in penalties and reputational damage. As property management companies navigate these regulatory requirements, they must also adapt to the changing technological landscape and invest in their workforce to remain competitive. In summary, the market is undergoing transformative changes, driven by the adoption of emerging technologies and evolving regulatory requirements. Companies seeking to capitalize on market opportunities must invest in their workforce and stay abreast of technological advancements, while navigating the complex regulatory landscape. Adherence to regulations and the integration of blockchain and smart contracts are critical components of strategic planning in this dynamic market.

What will be the Size of the Property Management Market during the forecast period?

Explore in-depth regional segment analysis with market size data - historical 2019-2023 and forecasts 2025-2029 - in the full report.
Request Free SampleThe market continues to evolve, with dynamic market dynamics shaping the industry across various sectors. Fair housing laws and regulatory compliance remain a constant focus, as property managers navigate the complexities of tenant screening, background checks, and lease agreements. Capital improvements and maintenance requests require ongoing attention, with accounting software and financial reporting essential for effective budgeting and cash flow management. Green building and energy efficiency are increasingly important, as property managers seek to reduce operational costs and appeal to environmentally-conscious tenants. Property tax assessments and real estate taxes demand diligent due diligence, while insurance compliance and risk management ensure the protection of assets and mitigation of potential liabilities. Janitorial services and appliance repair are crucial for maintaining property conditions, while IoT integration and smart home technology enhance tenant communication and convenience. Security systems, access control, and pest control contribute to the safety and well-being of residents. Property valuation and marketing strategies are vital for maximizing returns on investment. Predictive modeling and data analytics help property managers anticipate trends and make informed decisions. HVAC systems, rent collection, and lease renewals are ongoing concerns, as is maintaining electrical systems and ensuring renters insurance coverage. Data security and tenant retention are critical in today's digital age, with cloud computing and mobile apps streamlining operations and enhancing tenant experiences. Building maintenance and fire safety are ongoing priorities, as property managers balance the needs of tenants with the requirements of regulatory bodies and stakeholders.

How is this Property Management Industry segmented?

The property management industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD million' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments. ApplicationCommercialIndustrialResidentialRecreational marinasComponentSoftwareServicesEnd-UserHousing AssociationsProperty Managers/ AgentsProperty InvestorsOthersDeployment TypeOn-PremisesCloud-BasedGeographyNorth AmericaUSCanadaEuropeFranceGermanyItalyUKMiddle East and AfricaUAEAPACAustraliaChinaIndiaJapanSouth AmericaArgentinaBrazilRest of World (ROW)

By Application Insights

The commercial segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.Commercial property management encompasses the administration and operation of non-residential properties, including office buildings, retail spaces, industrial facilities, and commercial complexes. The commercial segment entails tasks unique to commercial real estate, such as lease negotiations, tenant retention strategies, facility maintenance, and adherence to commercial property regulations. The complexity of managing diverse commercial real estate portfolios and the necessity of specialized expertise in commercial leases and tenant relationships have fueled the demand for professi

Property unit trust revenue is expected to contract at a compound annual rate of 9.8% over the five years through 2023-24. Regulations under the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive II have inflated the costs because of additional tax now charged on research. The pandemic damaged property unit trusts as retail and commercial heavy portfolios faced lower rental income from struggling retailers and businesses with less need for office space. Following the EU referendum and the pandemic, there was a reduction in the industry's assets under management due to funds outflow, adversely affecting revenue. In 2023-24, property unit trusts are experiencing considerable withdrawals as investors' confidence declined in the UK due to economic challenges. The Bank of England's interest rate has spiked from 0.25% in 2021 to 5.25% in 2024, prompting investors to shift their demand to alternative investments that offer higher returns — this includes cash savings. Additionally, there was an uptick in construction loans. Demand for retail and office spaces fell, impacted by the surge in online shopping and the adoption of hybrid working models. In response, trusts have suspended trading several times, highlighting their liquidity weakness. Property unit trust revenue is estimated to fall by 5.5% in 2023-24 to £316.7 million, with the average profit margin set to fall to 9.1% Property unit trust revenue is expected to shrink at a compound annual rate of 0.5% to £308.2 million over the five years through 2028-29. In the short term, economic uncertainty driven by inflation and high energy costs is likely to curb investment and revenue in the property unit trust sector. Yet, adapting investment strategies to include mixed-use developments could cushion this impact by aligning with the evolving demand for online shopping and hybrid work environments, which favour efficient and versatile spaces. To strengthen their position, especially against REITs, property unit trusts are moving towards Property Authorised Investment Funds (PAIFs) for better tax efficiency. Despite these adaptations, challenges like global geopolitical tensions, persistent inflation and rising interest rates will continue to pose staunch obstacles.

SafeGraph Places provides baseline location information for every record in the SafeGraph product suite via the Places schema and polygon information when applicable via the Geometry schema. The current scope of a place is defined as any location humans can visit with the exception of single-family homes. This definition encompasses a diverse set of places ranging from restaurants, grocery stores, and malls; to parks, hospitals, museums, offices, and industrial parks. Premium sets of Places include apartment buildings, Parking Lots, and Point POIs (such as ATMs or transit stations).

SafeGraph Places is a point of interest (POI) data offering with varying coverage and properties depending on the country. Note that address conventions and formatting vary across countries. SafeGraph has coalesced these fields into the Places schema.

SafeGraph provides clean and accurate geospatial datasets on 51M+ physical places/points of interest (POI) globally. Hundreds of industry leaders like Mapbox, Verizon, Clear Channel, and Esri already rely on SafeGraph POI data to unlock business insights and drive innovation.

Prime yields for high street retail properties in the UK have increased since 2019. As of June 2025, yields were the highest for good secondary properties in markets such as Truro, Leamington Spa, Colchester, and the lowest on Bond Street in London. High street shops on Oxford Street in London had a prime yield of *** percent.

These National Statistics provide monthly estimates of the number of residential and non-residential property transactions in the UK and its constituent countries. National Statistics are accredited official statistics.

England and Northern Ireland statistics are based on information submitted to the HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT) database by taxpayers on SDLT returns.

Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT) replaced SDLT in Scotland from 1 April 2015 and this data is provided to HMRC by https://www.revenue.scot/" class="govuk-link">Revenue Scotland to continue the time series.

Land Transaction Tax (LTT) replaced SDLT in Wales from 1 April 2018. To continue the time series, the https://gov.wales/welsh-revenue-authority" class="govuk-link">Welsh Revenue Authority (WRA) have provided HMRC with a monthly data feed of LTT transactions since July 2021.

LTT figures for the latest month are estimated using a grossing factor based on data for the most recent and complete financial year. Until June 2021, LTT transactions for the latest month were estimated by HMRC based upon year on year growth in line with other UK nations.

LTT transactions up to the penultimate month are aligned with LTT statistics.

Go to Stamp Duty Land Tax guidance for the latest rates and information.

Go to Stamp Duty Land Tax rates from 1 December 2003 to 22 September 2022 and Stamp Duty: rates on land transfers before December 2003 for historic rates.

The latest release was published 09:30 27 June 2025 and was updated with provisional data from completed transactions during May 2025.

The next release will be published 09:30 31 July 2025 and will be updated with provisional data from completed transactions during June 2025.

https://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/ukgwa/20240320184933/https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/monthly-property-transactions-completed-in-the-uk-with-value-40000-or-above" class="govuk-link">Archive versions of the Monthly property transactions completed in the UK with value of £40,000 or above are available via the UK Government Web Archive, from the National Archives.