Vacancy rates across the office real estate sector in the U.S. increased in the first quarter of 2025. This was in line with a general trend of rising vacancies that started in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. In the *** quarter of 2025, about **** percent of office space across the country was vacant. In some major U.S. markets, vacancies exceeded ** percent. With a considerable part of the workforce working from home or following a hybrid working model, businesses are cautious when it comes to upscaling or renewing leases. Workplaces may never be the same again The COVID-19 pandemic has changed the way that companies operate, with working from home has becoming the new normal for many U.S. employees. The function of the office has evolved from the primary workplace to a space where employees collaborate, exchange ideas, and socialize. That has shifted occupiers’ attention toward spaces with modern designs that can accommodate the office of the future. Many businesses used the pandemic time to revisit their office guidelines, remodel or do a full or partial fit-out. With so much focus on quality, older buildings with poorer design or energy performance are likely to suffer lower demand, resulting in a two-speed market. What do higher vacancy rates mean for investors? Simply put, if landlords do not have tenants, their income stream is disrupted, and they cannot service their debts. April 2023 data shows that several U.S. metros had a significantly high share of distressed office real estate debt. In Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord, NC-SC, more than one-third of the commercial mortgage-backed securities for offices were delinquent, in special servicing, or a combination of both. As of March 2025. offices had the highest delinquency rate in the commercial property sector.

In 2023, the office space vacancy share across India was recorded at **** percent. This means a slight decrease compared to the previous year. In addition, the total number of transactions of office space increased in comparison to previous year.

The Commercial Real Estate (CRE) industry is exhibiting significant variations across markets, with persistently high office vacancy rates juxtaposed against thriving prime office spaces. Hard hit by the widespread adoption of remote and hybrid work models, the overall office vacancy rate rose to 20.4% in Q4 2024 from the pre-pandemic rate of 16.8%. However, leasing volumes for prime office spaces are set to climb, providing opportunities for seasoned investors. On the other hand, the multifamily sector is gaining from a prominent move towards renting, primarily driven by housing affordability concerns and changing lifestyle preferences. This has increased demand for multifamily properties and opportunities to convert underutilized properties, such as offices, into residential rentals. The industrial real estate segment is also evolving, with the boom in e-commerce necessitating the development of strategically located warehouses for quick fulfillment and last-mile delivery. Industry revenue has gained at a CAGR of 0.8% to reach $1.4 trillion through the end of 2025, including a 0.4% climb in 2025 alone. The industry is grappling with multiple challenges, including high interest rates, wide buyer-seller expectation gaps and significant disparities in demand across different geographies and asset types. The Federal Reserve's persistent high-interest-rate environment creates refinancing hurdles for properties purchased during the low-rate period of 2020-2021. Because of remote working trends, office delinquency rates are predicted to climb from 11.0% in late 2024 to 14.0% by 2026, leading to a job market increasingly concentrated in certain urban centers. Through the end of 2030, the CRE industry is expected to stabilize as the construction pipeline shrinks, reducing new supply and, in turn, rebalancing supply and demand dynamics. With this adjustment, occupancy rates are likely to improve, and rents may observe gradual growth. The data center segment is set to witness accelerating demand propelled by the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence, cloud computing and the Internet of Things. Likewise, mixed-use properties are poised to gain popularity, driven by the growing appeal of flexible spaces that accommodate diverse businesses and residents. This new demand, coupled with the retiring baby boomer generation's preference for leisure-centric locales, is expected to push the transformation of traditional shopping plazas towards destination centers, offering continued opportunities for savvy CRE investors. Industry revenue will expand at a CAGR of 1.9% to reach $1.6 trillion in 2030.

Graph and download economic data for Rental Vacancy Rate for the United States (USRVAC) from 1986 to 2024 about vacancy, rent, rate, and USA.

The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has led to major cyclical and structural changes in the office real estate sector. As a result of the economic downturn and rising unemployment, along with an increasing share of businesses that introduce the option to work from home, office real estate demand in certain regions worldwide is forecast see a short term decline. In 2022, office real estate vacancy rates are forecast to peak at **** percent in the United States, **** percent in Europe, and **** percent in Greater China. In the Asia Pacific region and in Canada, vacancies are expected to reach their highest point in 2022.

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Europe Commercial Real Estate Market Size 2025-2029

The europe commercial real estate market size is forecast to increase by USD 91.4 billion at a CAGR of 5.7% between 2024 and 2029.

The European commercial real estate market is experiencing significant growth, with increasing private investments fueling the expansion. This trend is driven by the region's robust economic conditions and the attractiveness of European markets to global investors. However, the market's growth trajectory is not without challenges. Rising interest rates pose a threat to potential investors, increasing the cost of borrowing and potentially reducing the appeal of commercial real estate investments. Additionally, regulatory hurdles and supply chain inconsistencies temper growth potential, necessitating careful planning and strategic navigation. Despite these challenges, opportunities abound for companies seeking to capitalize on the market's momentum. By staying informed of regulatory changes and supply chain developments, and maintaining a strong understanding of market trends, businesses can effectively navigate these challenges and seize growth opportunities in the European commercial real estate market.

What will be the size of the Europe Commercial Real Estate Market during the forecast period?

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In Europe's commercial real estate market, environmental impact assessments are increasingly important in property development, as sustainability becomes a key consideration. Real estate consulting firms provide valuable insights through property appraisals and predictive modeling, helping investors make informed decisions. Zoning regulations and planning permissions shape the landscape for asset management, while green certifications offer competitive advantages. Flexible workspaces, such as serviced and coworking spaces, are on the rise, catering to the changing needs of businesses. Energy audits and facility management ensure efficient operations, reducing costs and enhancing tenant satisfaction. Lease administration, tenant screening, and property valuations are essential components of effective asset management. Real estate analytics and property listings enable data-driven insights, driving transaction advisory services. Construction management and project management are crucial for delivering high-quality buildings, while virtual offices provide flexibility for remote teams. Property marketing and maintenance round out the essential services for successful real estate investments.

How is this market segmented?

The market research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments. TypeRentalLeaseSalesEnd-userOfficesRetailLeisureOthersEnd-UserCorporateInvestmentGovernmentLocationUrbanSuburbanGeographyEuropeFranceGermanyItalyUK

By Type Insights

The rental segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

Commercial real estate in Europe encompasses various sectors, including rental, office buildings, industrial properties, residential, and retail spaces. Debt financing plays a crucial role in the market, with mortgage lending and equity financing facilitating property transactions. Logistics facilities are in high demand due to the growth of e-commerce, necessitating infrastructure development and urban planning. ESG factors are increasingly influencing investment decisions, with a focus on energy efficiency, green building, and property technology. Building Information Modeling (BIM) and big data analytics are transforming property management and due diligence. Occupancy rates and rental yields remain essential indicators of market health, with vacancy rates impacting property values. Urban regeneration and mixed-use developments are shaping cityscapes, while market volatility and real estate cycles pose risks. Artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things, and smart building technologies are revolutionizing property management and investment strategies. Despite the robust leasing market and rising rents, investment markets exhibit caution due to economic uncertainties and finance rates. Office rental growth, particularly in the UK, Benelux markets, and peripheral Europe, accelerated in the third quarter of 2022, increasing annual growth to over 5%. However, buyers remain hesitant to pay earlier price levels, impacting capital markets and property values. Risk management and portfolio diversification are essential strategies for navigating these evolving trends.

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The Rental segment was valued at USD billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Market Dynamics

Our researchers analyzed the data with 2024 as the base year, along with the key drivers, trends, and challeng

Graph and download economic data for Rental Vacancy Rate in the United States (RRVRUSQ156N) from Q1 1956 to Q2 2025 about vacancy, rent, rate, and USA.

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Commercial Real Estate Market Size 2025-2029

The commercial real estate market size is forecast to increase by USD 427.3 billion, at a CAGR of 4.6% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant growth, fueled by increasing marketing initiatives and the rising emphasis on remote work and online shopping. This trend is transforming the commercial real estate landscape, with a shift towards adaptive spaces that cater to the evolving needs of businesses and consumers. The increasing adoption of marketing strategies, such as digital marketing and experiential retail, is driving demand for commercial properties that can effectively showcase brands and create memorable customer experiences. Additionally, the shift towards remote work and online shopping is leading to a surge in demand for data centers, logistics facilities, and flexible office spaces.
However, this market is not without challenges. The rapid pace of technological advancements and changing consumer preferences pose significant obstacles for commercial real estate developers and investors. The need to adapt to these shifts and stay competitive requires a deep understanding of market trends and the ability to pivot quickly. Furthermore, regulatory changes and economic instability can also impact the market's growth trajectory. To capitalize on the opportunities and navigate the challenges effectively, companies must stay informed about the latest market trends and consumer preferences. Investing in technology and innovation, while also maintaining flexibility and adaptability, will be key to success in the evolving the market.

What will be the Size of the Commercial Real Estate Market during the forecast period?

Explore in-depth regional segment analysis with market size data - historical 2019-2023 and forecasts 2025-2029 - in the full report.
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The market continues to evolve, with dynamic market activities unfolding across various sectors. Environmental impact assessments are increasingly crucial in property development, shaping the design and construction process. Tenant representation plays a pivotal role in securing suitable spaces for businesses, while 3D modeling facilitates effective space planning and data visualization. Due diligence is an ongoing process, ensuring compliance with legal and regulatory requirements. Property tax assessments, vacancy rates, and property management are essential components of commercial real estate investment strategies. Distressed properties present opportunities for joint ventures and strategic investments, while interior design and machine learning contribute to enhancing tenant experience and optimizing building performance.

Investment properties, industrial properties, and urban planning strategies benefit from big data analytics and virtual tours, enabling informed decision-making. Commercial mortgages and brokerage services facilitate the buying and selling of properties, while occupancy costs and building codes ensure operational efficiency and safety. The market is a complex, ever-changing landscape, with continuous market dynamics shaping its various sectors. From environmental impact assessments to tenant representation, property management, and investment strategies, the integration of various components is essential for success in this dynamic industry.

How is this Commercial Real Estate Industry segmented?

The commercial real estate industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

End-user

  Offices
  Retail
  Leisure
  Others


Channel

  Rental
  Lease
  Sales


Transaction Type

  Commercial Leasing
  Property Sales
  Property Management


Service Type

  Brokerage Services
  Property Development
  Valuation Consulting
  Facilities Management


Geography

  North America

    US
    Canada


  Europe

    France
    Germany
    Italy
    UK


  Middle East and Africa

    Egypt
    KSA
    Oman
    UAE


  APAC

    China
    India
    Japan


  South America

    Argentina
    Brazil


  Rest of World (ROW)

By End-user Insights

The offices segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

The U.S. commercial real estate market is undergoing major shifts, particularly in the office segment, driven by flexible work models, evolving corporate needs, and technological advancements. Businesses now favor adaptable, tech-enabled spaces to attract talent, fueling demand for co-working hubs like Regus and WeWork. Industry leaders such as Google and Amazon are redefining office design to boost collaboration and satisfaction.

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The Offices segment was valued at USD 476.50 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during th

The vacancy rate of industrial and logistic real estate in the United Kingdom (UK) rose in 2024, doubling since the dip in 2021. In the first quarter of 2025, about *** percent of warehouses over 50,000 square feet were vacant, up from *** percent in 2021. Big shed warehouses, or units over 100,000 square feet, experienced slightly higher vacancies, but the vacancy rate ranged between two and eight percent depending on the region.

Commercial Real Estate Market Outlook

According to our latest research, the global commercial real estate market size reached USD 36.5 trillion in 2024, reflecting the robust expansion of the sector. The market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.8% from 2025 to 2033, resulting in a forecasted market size of USD 60.1 trillion by 2033. This growth is primarily driven by increasing urbanization, rapid infrastructure development, and the rising demand for flexible workspaces and logistics hubs worldwide. As per our latest research, the sector continues to attract substantial investments due to evolving business needs and technological advancements that are reshaping the way commercial properties are developed, managed, and utilized.

One of the principal factors fueling the commercial real estate market growth is the accelerating pace of urbanization, particularly in emerging economies across Asia Pacific and Latin America. As more people migrate to urban centers, there is a surging need for office spaces, retail outlets, and multifamily residential complexes. This urban influx is also driving demand for hospitality and industrial properties, as businesses strive to cater to the needs of growing city populations. Moreover, governments are investing heavily in infrastructure, public transport, and smart city initiatives, all of which positively impact the commercial real estate sector by enhancing property values and encouraging further development.

Technological innovation is another key growth driver in the commercial real estate market. The adoption of advanced property management systems, data analytics, and artificial intelligence has enabled property owners and managers to optimize building performance, reduce operational costs, and enhance tenant experiences. Additionally, the integration of smart building technologies, such as IoT-enabled sensors and automated energy management systems, is becoming increasingly prevalent. These advancements not only improve efficiency but also contribute to sustainability goals, which is an important consideration for both investors and tenants in today’s environmentally conscious market landscape.

Changing work patterns and consumer behaviors are also shaping the future of the commercial real estate market. The rise of hybrid and remote work models has led to a transformation in office space requirements, with businesses seeking more flexible and adaptive environments. Similarly, the explosive growth of e-commerce has fueled demand for industrial and logistics properties, particularly in key urban and suburban locations. The hospitality segment is experiencing a resurgence as travel restrictions ease and business and leisure travel rebound. Collectively, these trends are fostering a dynamic and resilient commercial real estate market that is well-positioned for sustained growth over the coming decade.

Regionally, the commercial real estate market exhibits distinct patterns of growth and development. North America remains a dominant force, driven by strong demand in the United States and Canada for office, industrial, and multifamily properties. Asia Pacific, however, is emerging as the fastest-growing region, propelled by rapid economic development, urbanization, and a burgeoning middle class. Europe maintains steady growth, supported by stable economies and ongoing investments in sustainable building practices. Meanwhile, Latin America and the Middle East & Africa are witnessing increased activity due to infrastructure investments and favorable government policies. This regional diversity underscores the global nature of the commercial real estate market and highlights the importance of tailored strategies for success in different geographies.

Property Type Analysis

The commercial real estate market is segmented by property type into office, retail, industrial, multifamily, hospitality, and others, each playing a unique role in the overall industry landscape. The office segment continue

The Mexico Commercial Real Estate Market is Segmented by Property Type (Office, Retail, Logistics, and More), by Business Model (Sales and Rental), by End User (Individuals / Households, Corporates and SMEs and More), and by States (Mexico City (CDMX), Nuevo León, Jalisco, Querétaro, México State (Edomex) and Rest of Mexico). The Market Sizes and Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

The Italy Office Real Estate Market Report is Segmented by Building Grade (Grade A, Grade B and More), by Transaction Type (Rental and Sales), by End Use (Information Technology (IT & ITES), BFSI (Banking, Financial Services and Insurance), and More) and by City (Milan, Rome and More). The Report Offers Market Size and Forecasts in Value (USD) for all the Above Segments.

The North America Office Real Estate Market Report is Segmented by by Building Grade (Grade A, Grade B, and More), by Transaction Type (Rental and Sales), by End Use (Information Technology (IT & ITES), BFSI (Banking, Financial Services and Insurance), and More) and by Country (United States, Canada and Mexico). The Report Offers Market Size and Forecasts in Value (USD) for all the Above Segments.

The Global Commercial Real Estate industry has declined over the past five years. Specifically, investor confidence slightly declined over the same period as COVID-19 severely constricted demand. As a result, industry revenue is expected to slightly decline an annualized 2.5% to $4.3 trillion over the five years to 2023, including an anticipated increase of 1.6% in 2023 as the economy recovers from the coronavirus pandemic.The growth of a country's economy tends to boost industry revenue since business expansions and higher consumer spending often creates demand for industry services, such as office leasing, sales and brokerage services. The strong expansion of Asian economies through investments and increasing consumer spending have aided revenue growth over much of the current period. However, this industry is dominated by developed economies and, consequently, the global industry's direction is swayed by these regions' economic performance. Political tensions in these markets have affected the level of investment since investors can be discouraged when uncertainty in economic outlooks rises. As a result, the industry is susceptible to turmoil that has a global reach, such as trade conflicts and pandemics. This has contributed to a slight revenue decline during the current period. Consequently, the average industry profit margin has narrowed due to the coronavirus pandemic. More specifically, in 2020, the average industry profit margin, measured as earnings before interest and taxes, dipped to 6.8% in 2023.The industry will rebound over the next five years as investor uncertainty shrinks as the threat of the coronavirus pandemic wanes. Increasing aggregate private investment and consumer spending will drive industry revenue growth as they fuel the expansion of business and retail operations. The global commercial real estate market will increasingly shift investments toward burgeoning countries, such as India and China, where consistent growth will likely be apparent over the coming years. Overall, industry revenue is forecast to grow an annualized 1.3% to $4.6 trillion over the five years to 2028.

The China Commercial Real Estate Market is Segmented by Property Type (Offices, Retail, Logistics, Others (industrial Real Estate, Hospitality Real Estate)), by Business Model (Sales and Rental), by End-User (Individuals / Households, Corporates & SMEs, Others) and by Cities (Shanghai, Beijing, Shenzhen and More). The Market Sizes and Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD)

Data regarding vacancy rates, new construction, absorption and lease rates for industrial and office properties, and vacancy rates for retail, in Pierce County.

Graph and download economic data for Commercial Real Estate Prices for United States (COMREPUSQ159N) from Q1 2005 to Q3 2024 about real estate, commercial, rate, and USA.

The China Office Real Estate Market Report is Segmented by Building Grade (Grade A, Grade B, and More), by Transaction Type (Rental and Sales), by End Use (Information Technology (IT & ITES), BFSI (Banking, Financial Services and Insurance), and More) and by Major Cities (Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen and More). The Report Offers Market Size and Forecasts in Value (USD) for all the Above Segments.

Vacancy rates for commercial properties in Henderson. Vacancy rates are updated quarterly for general operations review.

The Israel Commercial Real Estate Market Report is Segmented by Property Type (Offices, Retail and More), by Business Model (Rental and Sales), by End User (Individuals / Households, Corporates & SMEs and More) and by Region (Tel-Aviv District, Jerusalem District and More). The Report Offers Market Size and Forecasts in Value (USD) for all the Above Segments.