The Commercial Vehicles Market report segments the industry into Vehicle Type (Commercial Vehicles), Propulsion Type (Hybrid and Electric Vehicles, ICE), and Region (Africa, Asia-Pacific, Europe, Middle East, North America, South America). Includes five years of historic market data and forecasts for the next five years.

Commercial Vehicles Market is projected to reach USD 1,993.61 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 9.20% from 2025-2033.

The Light Commercial Vehicles Market report segments the industry into Vehicle Type (Commercial Vehicles), Propulsion Type (Hybrid And Electric Vehicles, ICE), and Region (Africa, Asia-Pacific, Europe, Middle East, North America, South America). Get five years of historical data alongside five-year market forecasts.

The global commercial vehicles market size was valued at over USD 1.45 trillion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a robust CAGR of 6.1%, surpassing USD 3.13 trillion by 2037. The truck segment is projected to capture an 87% share, driven by increased logistics needs and infrastructure growth.

Unlock expert insights on U.S. Commercial Vehicles Market, size at USD 155 billion in 2023, highlighting trends and market forecast supported through industry developments and revenue analysis.

Commercial Vehicles Market Outlook

According to our latest research, the global commercial vehicles market size reached USD 1,325.4 billion in 2024, reflecting robust demand across logistics, construction, and passenger transportation sectors. The market is set to grow at a CAGR of 5.7% from 2025 to 2033, reaching a forecasted value of USD 2,186.8 billion by 2033. This sustained expansion is primarily driven by increasing urbanization, rapid e-commerce growth, and ongoing infrastructure development worldwide, which are collectively fueling the need for diverse commercial vehicle solutions.

One of the most significant growth factors for the commercial vehicles market is the exponential rise in e-commerce and last-mile delivery services. The proliferation of digital shopping platforms has fundamentally transformed consumer expectations, emphasizing rapid and reliable delivery. As a result, logistics providers and retailers are investing heavily in modern, fuel-efficient commercial vehicles to optimize their supply chains and meet stringent delivery timelines. Additionally, the integration of advanced telematics, fleet management systems, and real-time tracking technologies is enhancing operational efficiency, reducing downtime, and supporting data-driven decision-making for fleet operators. This digital transformation is not only boosting demand for new vehicles but also encouraging the adoption of connected, intelligent vehicle solutions across industries.

Another key driver is the global push toward sustainability and stricter emission regulations. Governments across major markets, including Europe, North America, and Asia Pacific, are implementing rigorous emission standards to combat air pollution and climate change. This has accelerated the adoption of alternative propulsion systems such as electric, hybrid, and natural gas-powered commercial vehicles. Leading manufacturers are investing in research and development to improve battery technologies, extend driving ranges, and lower the total cost of ownership for electric and hybrid vehicles. The availability of incentives, subsidies, and tax breaks for eco-friendly vehicle adoption is further catalyzing this transition, making sustainable commercial vehicles increasingly attractive to fleet operators and individual owners alike.

Additionally, robust infrastructure development in emerging economies is significantly contributing to market growth. Large-scale investments in road networks, smart cities, and industrial parks are driving the demand for construction vehicles, heavy-duty trucks, and passenger transport solutions. The mining and construction sectors, in particular, require specialized commercial vehicles capable of operating in challenging environments, further diversifying the market landscape. Moreover, the growing trend of urbanization is increasing the need for public transportation options such as buses and coaches, prompting governments and municipalities to upgrade their fleets with modern, fuel-efficient, and environmentally friendly vehicles. This multifaceted demand from various end-user segments ensures a resilient and expanding commercial vehicles market globally.

Regionally, the Asia Pacific market continues to dominate in terms of volume and revenue, driven by high population density, rapid industrialization, and expanding urban infrastructure. North America and Europe are also significant contributors, benefiting from advanced automotive manufacturing ecosystems and strong regulatory frameworks supporting innovation and sustainability. Meanwhile, Latin America and the Middle East & Africa are witnessing steady growth, propelled by investments in logistics, mining, and construction sectors. Each region presents unique opportunities and challenges, shaping the competitive dynamics and technological advancements in the global commercial vehicles market.

Vehicle Type Analysis

The commercial vehicles market is segmented by vehicle type into Light Commercial Vehicles (LCVs), Heavy Commercial Vehicles (HCVs)

Global Commercial Vehicle market size is expected to reach $1431.47 billion by 2029 at 8%, segmented as by type, light commercial vehicle, heavy trucks, buses and coaches

The United States Commercial Vehicles Market is segmented by Vehicle Type (Commercial Vehicles) and by Propulsion Type (Hybrid and Electric Vehicles, ICE). The report offers market size in both market value in USD and market volume in unit. Further, the report includes a market split by Vehicle Type, Vehicle Configuration, Vehicle Body Type, Propulsion Type, and Fuel Category.

The global market for electric commercial vehicles is projected to reach over *********** units by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate between 2020 and 2028 of around ** percent. Comparatively, the market is estimated to be sized at around ******* vehicles in 2020.

Global Commercial Vehicles Market has valued at USD 1,300 Billion in 2022 and is anticipated to project robust growth in the forecast period with a CAGR of 5.4% through 2028.

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Market Size
Forecast Market Size
CAGR
Fastest Growing Segment
Largest Market
Key Players

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Commercial Vehicle Market Size 2025-2029

The commercial vehicle market size is forecast to increase by USD 148.4 billion, at a CAGR of 3% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant shifts, driven primarily by the rise in e-commerce growth and the increasing preference for electrification and alternative fuel vehicles. E-commerce giants continue to expand their delivery networks, leading to a substantial increase in demand for commercial vehicles. This trend is expected to continue, with projections indicating a steady growth in e-commerce sales. Simultaneously, the transportation sector is moving towards electrification and alternative fuel vehicles as part of the global push for sustainability. The supply chain benefits from connected vehicles and GPS tracking, enhancing fleet management and urban logistics. Commercial vehicle manufacturers are investing heavily in research and development to meet this demand, with several companies launching electric and hybrid commercial vehicles.
However, this transition poses challenges, including the need for significant infrastructure investments and the high cost of electric vehicles. Moreover, supply chain disruptions continue to pose a significant challenge to the market. The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the vulnerabilities of global supply chains, with many companies experiencing delays and disruptions. Trucking operations are embracing connected fleet management and fleet maintenance solutions to optimize logistics and enhance vehicle performance metrics. The ongoing geopolitical tensions and natural disasters further compound the issue. Companies must navigate these challenges by building resilient supply chains and exploring alternative sourcing options to mitigate risks and ensure uninterrupted operations.

What will be the Size of the Commercial Vehicle Market during the forecast period?

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The market is experiencing significant shifts as emission regulations tighten and freight transportation evolves. The green fleet trend is gaining momentum, with vehicle electrification and fuel economy becoming key priorities. Autonomous trucking and advanced driver assistance systems are transforming the industry, while driver training remains essential for safety. Commercial vehicle financing options continue to adapt, with predictive maintenance and vehicle safety standards shaping the landscape.
Logistics technology, including supply chain optimization and transportation networks, is revolutionizing freight brokerage and third-party logistics. Cargo handling and vehicle downtime reduction are crucial for maintaining profitability, while commercial vehicle insurance and safety technologies remain critical components of successful trucking operations. The commercial vehicle industry's focus on sustainability and efficiency is driving innovation and reshaping the future of freight transportation.

How is this Commercial Vehicle Industry segmented?

The commercial vehicle industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

Fuel Type

  ICE
  EV


Type

  Cargo trucks
  Pick-up trucks
  Buses
  Trippers
  Tractors


Vehicle Type

  Light-duty vehciles
  Heavy-duty vehicles
  Medium-duty vehicles


Geography

  North America

    US
    Canada
    Mexico


  Europe

    France
    Germany
    UK


  APAC

    China
    India
    Japan


  South America

    Brazil


  Rest of World (ROW)

By Fuel Type Insights

The ice segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period. The market is driven by the widespread use of ICE vehicles, primarily fueled by diesel and gasoline. Diesel engines dominate medium- and heavy-duty vehicles due to their high torque and fuel economy, crucial for long-haul freight and heavy-load applications. In contrast, gasoline engines are common in light-duty vehicles, such as pickups and compact vans, due to their lower payloads and shorter routes. Safety standards, including collision avoidance systems, lane departure warning, blind spot monitoring, and driver fatigue detection, are increasingly integrated into commercial vehicles. Food trucks, rubbish collection, street sweeping, and passenger transport are among the various industries utilizing LCVs for their business needs. Autonomous driving and driver assistance technologies, like adaptive cruise control and electronic stability control, are gaining traction.

Alternative fuels, such as natural gas and electric vehicles, are emerging as viable options, with natural gas offering established infrastructure and fuel efficiency, while electric vehicles face infrastructure and cost challenges. Heavy-duty vehicles are equipped with advanced infotainment systems

Saudi Arabia Commercial Vehicle market was valued at USD 7.81 Billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 9.95 Billion by 2030 with a CAGR of 4.12%.

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Market Size	2024: USD 7.81 Billion
Forecast Market Size	2030: USD 9.95 Billion
CAGR	2025-2030: 4.12%
Fastest Growing Segment	Hybrid
Largest Market	Northern & Central
Key Players	1. Toyota Motors Corporation 2. Isuzu Motors Saudi Arabia Company Limited 3. Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus Corporation 4. Hino Motors Limited 5. Ford Motor Company 6. Hyundai Motor Company 7. MAN Truck and Bus Middle East 8. Volvo Trucks Corporation and Volvo Bus 9. Mercedes-Benz KSA Commercial Vehicles 10. Ashok Leyland

The MENA commercial vehicles market is projected to expand from USD 7.61 billion in 2025 to USD 18.72 billion by 2035, with a CAGR of 5.1% expected to be recorded during the forecast period.

Attributes	Key Insights
Market Estimated Size (2025E)	USD 7.61 billion
Projected Market Valuation (2035F)	USD 18.72 billion
Value-based CAGR (2025 to 2035)	5.1%

Top Trends in the Middle East/North Africa (MENA) Commercial Vehicles Industry

Market Statistics	Details
Jan to Jun (H1), 2023 (A)	3.30%
Jul to Dec (H2), 2023 (A)	3.70%
Jan to Jun (H1),2024 Projected (P)	3.50%
Jan to Jun (H1),2024 Outlook (O)	4.70%
Jul to Dec (H2), 2024 Outlook (O)	5.50%
Jul to Dec (H2), 2025 Projected (P)	3.90%
Jan to Jun (H1), 2025 Projected (P)	3.80%
BPS Change : H1,2024 (O) to H1,2024 (P)	(+) 120
BPS Change : H1,2024 (O) to H1,2025 (A)	(+) 140 ↑
BPS Change: H2, 2024 (O) to H2, 2024 (P)	(+) 160 ↑
BPS Change: H2, 2024 (O) to H2, 2025 (A)	(+) 180

Analysis of Top Countries, Producing, Using, and Distributing Middle East/North Africa (MENA) Commercial Vehicles

Country	Saudi Arabia
Market Share (2025)	14.0%
Market Share (2035)	15.0%
BPS Analysis	100

Country	United Arab Emirates
Market Share (2025)	5.2%
Market Share (2035)	5.3%
BPS Analysis	10

Country	Türkiye
Market Share (2025)	28.4%
Market Share (2035)	27.7%
BPS Analysis	-70

Country	Egypt
Market Share (2025)	8.2%
Market Share (2035)	8.1%
BPS Analysis	-10

Country	Morocco
Market Share (2025)	2.2%
Market Share (2035)	2.1%
BPS Analysis	-10

According to Cognitive Market Research, the global Heavy Commercial Vehicles market size is USD 122684.2 million in 2024 and will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.80% from 2024 to 2031.

North America held the major market of more than 40% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 49073.68 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.0% from 2024 to 2031.
Europe accounted for a share of over 30% of the global market size of USD 36805.26 million.
Asia Pacific held the market of around 23% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 28217.37 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.8% from 2024 to 2031.
Latin America market of more than 5% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 6134.21 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.2% from 2024 to 2031.
Middle East and Africa held the major market of around 2% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 2453.68 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.5% from 2024 to 2031.
The Truck held the highest Heavy Commercial Vehicles market revenue share in 2024.

Market Dynamics of Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market

Key Drivers for Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market

Rising Demand for Goods to Increase the Demand Globally

The surge in e-trade and globalization is fueling a substantial boom in the call for the efficient transportation of goods internationally. This heightened demand is translating into a full-size want for heavy trucks to facilitate the movement of cargo across regions. E-trade platforms have revolutionized retail, mainly due to a surge in parcel deliveries. At the same time, globalization has extended supply chains, necessitating green logistics networks. As a result, industries reliant on the transportation of goods, which includes retail, production, and logistics, are increasingly counting on heavy trucks to fulfill their distribution needs. This trend underscores the critical function of heavy industrial vehicles in sustaining worldwide alternate and facilitating the smooth drift of goods across borders.

Infrastructure Development to Propel Market Growth

Investments in infrastructure initiatives, including greater roads, bridges, and ports, are fostering a conducive environment for the heavy commercial cars (HCV) marketplace. Improved infrastructure helps quicker and more efficient motion of products, benefiting industries reliant on transportation. Upgraded roads and bridges reduce transit times and decrease vehicle wear and tear, enhancing operational performance for HCV operators. Additionally, elevated and modernized ports allow smoother shipment management and logistics operations, in addition to bolstering the call for heavy vans. As governments and personal sectors hold to invest in infrastructure development globally, the HCV marketplace stands to benefit from the stepped-forward transportation networks, reinforcing its pivotal position in assisting financial growth and change growth.

Restraint Factor for the Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market

Stringent Emission Regulations to limit the Sales

Stringent emission guidelines imposed by governments globally to combat air pollution pose tremendous demanding situations to producers inside the heavy business vehicles (HCV) market. Compliance with these rules regularly calls for great investments in studies, development, and generation improvements to reduce car emissions. These investments can bring about increased manufacturing costs for producers, which can be surpassed by customers, potentially impacting automobile affordability. Moreover, the implementation of stricter emission requirements can also necessitate the adoption of alternative propulsion technologies, which include electric-powered or hybrid systems, similarly including production expenses. Despite those demanding situations, stringent emission rules pressure innovation within the enterprise, fostering the improvement of purifiers and more efficient motors, ultimately contributing to environmental sustainability and public health improvements.

Impact of Covid-19 on the Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market

The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the heavy industrial cars (HCV) market, disrupting each production and demand. Supply chain disruptions, factory closures, and staff barriers brought about manufacturing delays and reduced av...

The Commercial Vehicles Market worth US$ 428.0 Billion 2029 with a CAGR of 5.3 %

Heavy Commercial Vehicles Market size was valued at USD 132.98 Billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 264.97 Billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 9% from 2026 to 2032. Increasing Global Trade: Expansion of international and domestic trade, fueled by globalization and economic growth, necessitates the efficient movement of goods, directly driving the demand for HCVs like trucks, trailers, and specialized carriers.E-commerce Boom: The rapid and sustained growth of e-commerce requires robust logistics and delivery networks. HCVs are essential for long-haul and regional transportation of large volumes of goods from distribution centers to last-mile hubs, thus accelerating fleet expansion and modernization.

The global commercial vehicle market, valued at $979.26 million in 2025, is projected to experience steady growth, driven primarily by the expanding transportation and logistics sector, particularly e-commerce delivery demands. Growth in construction activities, particularly in developing economies undergoing infrastructure development, further fuels market expansion. The increasing adoption of public transit systems in urban areas worldwide contributes significantly to demand, especially for buses and coaches. Technological advancements such as the integration of advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), telematics, and alternative fuel technologies (electric and hybrid vehicles) are shaping market trends. However, fluctuating fuel prices, stringent emission regulations, and supply chain disruptions pose significant restraints on market growth. The market is segmented by application (Transportation & Logistics, Construction, Public Transit, Others) and vehicle type (Light Commercial Vehicle, Medium/Heavy Duty Vehicle, Buses & Coaches). Key players like GM, Toyota, Ford, Daimler, and Volvo are strategically investing in research and development to enhance their product portfolios and cater to evolving customer demands. Regional variations in market growth are expected, with Asia Pacific expected to maintain its leading position due to significant infrastructure projects and increasing urbanization in countries like China and India. North America and Europe are expected to show moderate growth, driven by fleet renewal and technological upgrades. The forecast period (2025-2033) anticipates a continued, albeit moderate, expansion of the commercial vehicle market. The 1.4% CAGR suggests a gradual but consistent increase in market value, influenced by various factors. While the impact of economic fluctuations remains a factor, the long-term outlook suggests robust demand driven by consistent urbanization, growing e-commerce, and the ongoing need for efficient transportation solutions. Competition among established manufacturers and the emergence of new players with innovative technologies will further shape market dynamics. The shift towards sustainability will likely accelerate the adoption of electric and alternative fuel vehicles, significantly impacting the market's composition in the coming years. Understanding the regional variations and segment-specific trends will be crucial for stakeholders to navigate the market effectively.

The U.S. Commercial Vehicle Market size was valued at USD 581.31 USD Billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 1161.96 USD Billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 10.4 % during the forecast period. A commercial vehicle is an automobile that is used for business purposes and not for personal uses. Some of the familiar uses of commercial vehicles include transporting cargo, machinery, or people for business reasons. These vehicles include trucks, vans, buses, and trailers for commercial use, all of which are designed uniquely to suit business necessities. Commercial vehicles often have powertrain systems such as powerful engines, structural framework, and body such as extra car capacity for carrying goods and easy loading and offloading. In general, there are several advantages of using commercial vehicles, these are higher efficiency, affordable transport services, as well as the ability to do more business. Current trends in the US market can be attributed to the customer’s inclinations towards green solutions and innovations in technology preference the technological usage of trucks and vans in an environmentally responsible manner due to certain environmental policies that have been passed to curb on emission and fuel consumption. Recent developments include: August 2023 – BYD | RIDE delivered two K7M 30’ battery-electric buses to the City of Burlington in North Carolina to serve the passengers of its Link Transit Fleet. The 30-foot buses can accommodate up to 22 passengers and are equipped with the industry’s safest batteries, providing a smooth, quiet, and sustainable ride throughout the city., June 2023 – General Motors Co. acquired ALGOLiON Ltd., an Israel-based battery software startup, for an undisclosed amount. The software uses data streams from EV battery management systems to identify anomalies in battery performance to ensure proper vehicle health management and provide early detection of battery hazards, including thermal runaway propagation events. , May 2023 – Scania announced to reshape its bus and coach business to provide customers with competitive and sustainable mobility solutions and secure profitable growth in a changing market environment., March 2022 – Volvo Trucks received an order of 50 Volvo VNR Electric Trucks for WattEV's Truck-as-a-Service start-up. The Volvo VNR Electric trucks operate on routes between the Inland Empire, California's San Joaquin Valley, and the Ports of Long Beach and Los Angeles., September 2021 - Ford invested USD 11 billion to set up several plants to produce electric vehicle parts. The company also invested in new assembly plants to build all-electric F-series trucks and three battery plants, including factories in Tennessee & Kentucky.. Key drivers for this market are: Increasing Demand for Forged Products in Power, Agriculture, Aerospace, and Defense to Drive Industry Expansion. Potential restraints include: High Maintenance Cost May Limit the Market Growth. Notable trends are: Rising Adoption of Automation in Manufacturing to Drive Market Growth.

The global commercial vehicle market, valued at approximately $XX million in 2025, is projected to experience robust growth, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 10.55% from 2025 to 2033. This expansion is driven by several key factors. Firstly, the burgeoning e-commerce sector necessitates efficient and reliable last-mile delivery solutions, fueling demand for light commercial vehicles like vans and pickup trucks. Simultaneously, the infrastructure development boom across emerging economies, particularly in Asia-Pacific and the Middle East & Africa, necessitates heavy-duty trucks for construction and logistics. Furthermore, stringent emission regulations globally are accelerating the adoption of hybrid and electric commercial vehicles, particularly Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) and Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs), despite higher initial costs. However, the market faces challenges such as the volatility of raw material prices, particularly for battery components in electric vehicles, and potential supply chain disruptions. The ongoing global chip shortage also continues to impact production timelines and vehicle availability. Market segmentation reveals significant opportunities within specific vehicle types and propulsion systems. Heavy-duty commercial trucks, crucial for long-haul transportation, are expected to command a significant market share, followed by light commercial vehicles due to their widespread application in urban delivery and small business operations. While Internal Combustion Engine (ICE) vehicles currently dominate the market, the share of electric and hybrid vehicles is predicted to increase substantially over the forecast period, propelled by government incentives, technological advancements improving battery range and charging infrastructure development. Regional analysis suggests that Asia-Pacific, led by China and India, will be a primary growth engine, driven by rapid industrialization and urbanization. North America and Europe will also contribute significantly, albeit at a potentially slower pace due to market saturation in certain segments. Key players like Scania, Daimler, Volvo, and BYD are strategically positioned to capitalize on these trends through innovation and strategic partnerships. This insightful report provides a detailed analysis of the global commercial vehicles market, offering a comprehensive overview of its current state, future trends, and key players. With a study period spanning from 2019 to 2033, a base year of 2025, and an estimated year of 2025, this report delivers crucial insights for businesses looking to navigate this dynamic sector. The report covers key segments including heavy-duty commercial trucks, light commercial pick-up trucks, light commercial vans, medium-duty commercial trucks, hybrid and electric vehicles (BEV, FCEV, HEV, PHEV), and ICE vehicles (CNG, Diesel, Gasoline, LPG). Recent developments include: August 2023: General Motors will launch an all-electric Cadillac Escalade in late 2024August 2023: General Motors doubles down on plans for an electric future in the Middle East.August 2023: Toyota Kirloskar Motor launched the all-new MPV Vellfire strong hybrid electric vehicle (SHEV) for a starting price of INR 11.99 million and going to INR 12.99 million.. Key drivers for this market are: Growing Travel and Tourism Industry is Driving the Car Rental Market. Potential restraints include: Increasing Popularity of Ride-Sharing Services Pose Challenges for the Conventional Car Rental Market. Notable trends are: OTHER KEY INDUSTRY TRENDS COVERED IN THE REPORT.

In the financial year 2025, Tata Motors dominated the domestic commercial vehicle market across India with a share of around ***percent. In 2024, the company had an overall revenue of around 4.4 trillion Indian rupees. Commercial vehicle sales had been on an inline across the south Asian country for a few years. From mid-2019, however, the automotive industry’s slowdown has affected the sales and production alike. BS VI standardsThe Bharat stage emission standards (BSES) are emission standards that the Indian government regulates to keep the output of air pollutants from combustion and spark ignition engines in check. The Central Pollution Control Board determines the limits and time of implementation of these standards. From April 2020, BS VI norms were estimated to be implemented across the country, as a replacement to the existing BS III standards that were implemented in October 2010. The emission limits for light and heavy commercial vehicles were estimated to be 0.63 and 1.5 grams per kilometer respectively. New modelsCommercial vehicle manufacturers revealed new models complying with the BS VI standards to reinstate a growth in sales volumes. Tata Motors, the leading manufacturer, announced a product offensive for 2020. Similarly, Volvo Eicher Commercial Vehicles also announced a ‘Smart Trucks’ initiative to gain a competitive edge. The emission standards have affected the commercial vehicles market significantly. Manufacturers not only aimed for cleaner vehicles but redesigned their vehicles and vamped up the entire product line, making the outlook for the industry presumably very positive.