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Apportionment file 11412337 retrieved from OMB public records

Futures Trading Service Market Outlook

The global futures trading service market size was valued at USD 5.2 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 10.8 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 8.5% during the forecast period. The significant growth in market size can be attributed to increased trading activities, technological advancements in trading platforms, and rising interest from individual and institutional investors alike.

A major growth factor for the futures trading service market is the rising prevalence of advanced trading platforms and technologies. Technological advancements have made futures trading more accessible and efficient, enabling traders to execute complex strategies with greater ease. The integration of artificial intelligence and machine learning into trading algorithms has also enhanced decision-making processes, resulting in improved trading outcomes and increased market participation.

Another key driver is the increased participation of institutional investors. As financial markets become more interconnected, institutional investors are increasingly turning to futures trading to hedge against market volatility and optimize their portfolios. The availability of diverse asset classes within futures trading, including commodities, financials, and indices, provides these investors with a wide range of options to manage their risk exposure effectively.

Moreover, the growing interest among individual investors is fueling market expansion. The democratization of trading platforms has lowered entry barriers, allowing retail traders to participate in futures markets. Educational resources and advisory services provided by brokerage firms further support individual investors in navigating the complexities of futures trading, thereby contributing to market growth.

Commodity Services play a pivotal role in the futures trading market, offering a wide range of opportunities for both hedgers and speculators. These services encompass the trading of various commodities such as agricultural products, energy resources, and precious metals. The inherent volatility in commodity prices makes futures contracts an attractive tool for managing risk and securing price stability. As global demand for commodities continues to rise, driven by factors like population growth and industrialization, the importance of robust commodity services in futures trading becomes increasingly evident. These services not only facilitate efficient price discovery but also provide a platform for market participants to capitalize on price movements and achieve their financial objectives.

In terms of regional outlook, North America holds the largest market share due to the presence of major financial institutions and advanced trading infrastructure. The Asia Pacific region is expected to witness the highest growth rate, driven by increasing economic development, rising disposable incomes, and the expansion of financial markets in countries like China and India. Europe also shows significant potential, with well-established financial hubs such as London and Frankfurt contributing to market growth.

Service Type Analysis

The futures trading service market can be segmented by service type into brokerage services, trading platforms, advisory services, and others. Brokerage services dominate the market, providing essential intermediary functions that facilitate trading activities. These services are crucial for both individual and institutional investors, offering benefits such as access to diverse markets, real-time data, and personalized customer support. The competitive landscape among brokerage firms is intense, with key players continuously enhancing their offerings to attract and retain clients.

Trading platforms are another significant segment within the futures trading service market. These platforms offer a suite of tools and features that enable traders to execute trades, monitor market conditions, and analyze trends. The evolution of trading platforms from desktop-based applications to web-based and mobile solutions has made it easier for traders to engage with the market anytime and anywhere. Features such as automated trading, advanced charting, and customizable interfaces are driving the adoption of these platforms among traders.

Advisory services play a critical role in guiding investors through the complexities of futures trading. These services provide expert anal

China Turnover: CSRC: Commodity Futures: Volume: Agricultural Product (AP) data was reported at 2,048,495.026 Lot th in 2023. This records an increase from the previous number of 1,641,614.137 Lot th for 2022. China Turnover: CSRC: Commodity Futures: Volume: Agricultural Product (AP) data is updated yearly, averaging 1,600,371.041 Lot th from Dec 2000 (Median) to 2023, with 24 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2,873,978.068 Lot th in 2016 and a record low of 48,353.328 Lot th in 2000. China Turnover: CSRC: Commodity Futures: Volume: Agricultural Product (AP) data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by China Securities Regulatory Commission. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Financial Market – Table CN.ZB: China Securities Regulatory Commisssion (CSRC): Futures: Turnover. Data statistics from double-counted basis to single-counted basis since 1Jan2025

Orange Juice fell to 278.28 USd/Lbs on June 9, 2025, down 2.34% from the previous day. Over the past month, Orange Juice's price has risen 19.54%, but it is still 35.19% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Orange Juice - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

Apportionment file 11385060 retrieved from OMB public records

CN: Settlement Price: Dailian Commodity Exchange: Polypropylene: 1st Month data was reported at 7,244.000 RMB/Ton in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 7,294.000 RMB/Ton for Mar 2025. CN: Settlement Price: Dailian Commodity Exchange: Polypropylene: 1st Month data is updated monthly, averaging 8,380.000 RMB/Ton from Feb 2014 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 135 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 11,599.000 RMB/Ton in Aug 2014 and a record low of 6,206.000 RMB/Ton in Jan 2016. CN: Settlement Price: Dailian Commodity Exchange: Polypropylene: 1st Month data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Dalian Commodity Exchange. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Financial Market – Table CN.ZB: Dalian Commodity Exchange: Commodity Futures: Settlement Price.

We develop and estimate a multifactor affine model of commodity futures that allows for stochastic seasonality. We document the existence of stochastic seasonal fluctuations in commodity futures and that properly accounting for the cost-of-carry curve requires at least three factors. We estimate the model using data on heating oil futures and analyze the contribution of the factors to risk premia. Correctly specifying seasonality as stochastic is important to avoid erroneously assigning those fluctuations to other risk factors. We also estimate a nonlinear version of the model that imposes the zero lower bound on interest rates and find similar results.

CN: Settlement Price: Dalian Commodity Exchange: Live Hog: 4th Month data was reported at 13,560.000 RMB/Ton in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 14,005.000 RMB/Ton for Mar 2025. CN: Settlement Price: Dalian Commodity Exchange: Live Hog: 4th Month data is updated monthly, averaging 17,205.000 RMB/Ton from Mar 2021 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 50 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 23,715.000 RMB/Ton in Apr 2021 and a record low of 13,360.000 RMB/Ton in Jan 2025. CN: Settlement Price: Dalian Commodity Exchange: Live Hog: 4th Month data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Dalian Commodity Exchange. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Financial Market – Table CN.ZB: Dalian Commodity Exchange: Commodity Futures: Settlement Price.

Sharp economic volatility, the continued effects of high interest rates and mixed sentiment among investors created an uneven landscape for stock and commodity exchanges. While trading volumes soared in 2020 due to the pandemic and favorable financial conditions, such as zero percent interest rates from the Federal Reserve, the continued effects of high inflation in 2022 and 2023 resulted in a hawkish pivot on interest rates, which curtailed ROIs across major equity markets. Geopolitical volatility amid the Ukraine-Russia and Israel-Hamas wars further exacerbated trade volatility, as many investors pivoted away from traditional equity markets into derivative markets, such as options and futures to better hedge on their investment. Nonetheless, the continued digitalization of trading markets bolstered exchanges, as they were able to facilitate improved client service and stronger market insights for interested investors. Revenue grew an annualized 0.1% to an estimated $20.9 billion over the past five years, including an estimated 1.9% boost in 2025. A core development for exchanges has been the growth of derivative trades, which has facilitated a significant market niche for investors. Heightened options trading and growing attraction to agricultural commodities strengthened service diversification among exchanges. Major companies, such as CME Group Inc., introduced new tradeable food commodities for investors in 2024, further diversifying how clients engage in trades. These trends, coupled with strengthened corporate profit growth, bolstered exchanges’ profit. Despite current uncertainty with interest rates and the pervasive fear over a future recession, the industry is expected to do well during the outlook period. Strong economic conditions will reduce investor uncertainty and increase corporate profit, uplifting investment into the stock market and boosting revenue. Greater levels of research and development will expand the scope of stocks offered because new companies will spring up via IPOs, benefiting exchange demand. Nonetheless, continued threat from substitutes such as electronic communication networks (ECNs) will curtail larger growth, as better technology will enable investors to start trading independently, but effective use of electronic platforms by incumbent exchange giants such as NASDAQ Inc. can help stem this decline by offering faster processing via electronic trade floors and prioritizing client support. Overall, revenue is expected to grow an annualized 3.5% to an estimated $24.8 billion through the end of 2031.

CN: Open Interest: Dailian Commodity Exchange: Total data was reported at 14,672.816 Lot th in 13 May 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 14,631.326 Lot th for 12 May 2025. CN: Open Interest: Dailian Commodity Exchange: Total data is updated daily, averaging 10,108.633 Lot th from Sep 2004 (Median) to 13 May 2025, with 5027 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 18,310.440 Lot th in 20 Nov 2019 and a record low of 2,592.504 Lot th in 17 Jun 2010. CN: Open Interest: Dailian Commodity Exchange: Total data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Dalian Commodity Exchange. The data is categorized under High Frequency Database’s Commodity Prices and Futures – Table CN.ZB: Dalian Commodity Exchange: Commodity Futures: Open Position: Daily. Data statistics from double-counted basis to single-counted basis since 1Jan2022

The global futures trading services market is experiencing robust growth, driven by increasing technological advancements, rising institutional and retail investor participation, and the growing adoption of online and mobile trading platforms. The market size in 2025 is estimated at $15 billion, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8% from 2025 to 2033. This signifies a substantial expansion of the market to an estimated $28 billion by 2033. Several factors contribute to this positive outlook. The increasing sophistication of trading algorithms and the availability of real-time market data are enhancing trading efficiency and profitability, attracting both novice and experienced traders. Furthermore, the diversification of tradable assets, including a broader range of commodities and indices, provides greater opportunities for portfolio diversification and risk management. Software-based futures trading platforms are gaining significant traction due to their advanced analytical capabilities and ease of integration with other trading tools. However, regulatory scrutiny, cybersecurity risks, and the inherent volatility of futures markets present challenges to sustained growth. The regulatory landscape is constantly evolving, requiring firms to adapt to new compliance requirements and enhance cybersecurity protocols to protect against data breaches and fraud. Moreover, fluctuations in global economic conditions and geopolitical events can significantly impact market sentiment and trading volumes. Despite these restraints, the market's growth trajectory is expected to remain positive, driven primarily by technological innovation and the expanding reach of online trading platforms to a wider investor base. The segment encompassing share price index futures and commodity futures are projected to exhibit the strongest growth, reflecting increased investor interest in these asset classes.

In 2022, 29.32 billion futures contracts were traded worldwide, up from 12.13 billion in 2013. The number of options contracts traded increased from 9.42 to 54.53 billion contracts in the same period. Both contracts are financial derivatives, used to manage financial risk and speculate on future market performance.

What are derivatives?

Derivatives are financial instruments that are based on an underlying asset, such as a stock price, commodity value, or currency. There are multiple categories of derivatives, but this statistic focuses on futures and options. Futures contracts are the commitment to buy or sell the underlying at a future date for a set price. Options contracts are similar, but the holder is not required to execute the contract. Derivatives are often bought and sold on specific exchanges.

What are derivatives used for?

The promise of a futures contract is appealing to investors and firms who want to guarantee their expenses. For example, volatile commodities such as crude oil can rise suddenly, so a futures contract can hedge against a rise that would be damaging to a firm that relies heavily on gasoline, such as a transport company.

Commodity Futures: Volume: Average: Platinum data was reported at 8,135.000 Lot in Oct 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 10,534.000 Lot for Sep 2018. Commodity Futures: Volume: Average: Platinum data is updated monthly, averaging 20,411.500 Lot from Jan 2000 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 226 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 127,476.000 Lot in Aug 2001 and a record low of 8,135.000 Lot in Oct 2018. Commodity Futures: Volume: Average: Platinum data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The Tokyo Commodity Exchange. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Japan – Table JP.Z017: Commodity Futures.

This statistic shows the number of commodity contracts - futures and options - traded globally from 2005 to 2019, listed by type of commodity. The number of agricultural futures and options traded in 2019 amounted to nearly 1.8 billion.

CRB Index rose to 368.58 Index Points on June 6, 2025, up 0.77% from the previous day. Over the past month, CRB Index's price has risen 4.21%, and is up 8.71% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. CRB Commodity Index - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

CN: Open Interest: Dalian Commodity Exchange: Corn Starch data was reported at 331.826 Lot th in 13 May 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 356.244 Lot th for 12 May 2025. CN: Open Interest: Dalian Commodity Exchange: Corn Starch data is updated daily, averaging 264.802 Lot th from Dec 2014 (Median) to 13 May 2025, with 2524 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1,563.912 Lot th in 14 Feb 2017 and a record low of 7.240 Lot th in 19 Dec 2014. CN: Open Interest: Dalian Commodity Exchange: Corn Starch data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Dalian Commodity Exchange. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Financial Market – Table CN.ZB: Dalian Commodity Exchange: Commodity Futures: Open Position: Daily.

Corn fell to 442.02 USd/BU on June 9, 2025, down 0.11% from the previous day. Over the past month, Corn's price has fallen 1.34%, and is down 2.15% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Corn - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

CN: Stock: Deliverable: Shanghai Futures Exchange: TSR 20 data was reported at 79,631.000 Ton in 09 May 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 76,104.000 Ton for 30 Apr 2025. CN: Stock: Deliverable: Shanghai Futures Exchange: TSR 20 data is updated daily, averaging 66,226.000 Ton from Nov 2019 (Median) to 09 May 2025, with 271 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 159,868.000 Ton in 19 Jul 2024 and a record low of 0.000 Ton in 22 Nov 2019. CN: Stock: Deliverable: Shanghai Futures Exchange: TSR 20 data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Shanghai Futures Exchange. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Financial Market – Table CN.ZB: Shanghai Futures Exchange: Commodity Futures: Stock.

Silver futures contracts to be settled in December 2028 were trading on U.S. markets at around 34 U.S. dollars per troy ounce on June 20, 2023. This is above the price of 30.44 U.S. dollars per troy ounce for contracts to be settled in May 2024, indicating silver traders expect the price of silver to decrease over the next five years. Silver futures are contracts that effectively lock in a price for an amount of silver to be purchased at a time in the future, which can then be traded on markets. Futures markets therefore provide an indicator of how investors think a commodities market will develop in the future.