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With the global impact of the 2020 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19), there has been a surge in public debt and uncertainty in the global economy. As the likelihood of a recession and a higher debt for Canada increases, the utility of a forecasting model is a realistic choice to both predict and determine optimal fiscal decisions for the government. This paper seeks to ratify existing historical trends in three developed economies (Canada, Japan, and the U.K.) as well as offer a time series forecast for the proceeding five years’ debt to GDP ratio. As per the International Monetary Fund (IMF), a limit of 60% in debt to GDP ratio was employed to measure how far off these three countries were from a considerably recoverable amount of debt. The time series forecast that the U.K. will drop to 65.436% by 2025, however, Japan and Canada will continue to accumulate debt to 254.3851% and 80.107% respectively.
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TwitterPublic sector net debt amounted to 93.5 percent of gross domestic product in the United Kingdom during the 2024/25 financial year. Following the COVID-19 pandemic, UK government debt has reached levels not seen since the early 1960s, due to a significant increase in borrowing in 2020/21. After peaking at 251.7 percent shortly after the end of the Second World War, government debt in the UK gradually fell, before a sharp increase in the late 2000s at the time of the global financial crisis. Debt not expected to start falling until 2029/30 In 2024/25, the UK's government expenditure was approximately 1.28 trillion pounds, around 44 percent of GDP. This spending was financed by 1.14 trillion pounds of revenue raised, and almost 150 billion pounds of borrowing. Although the UK government can continue to borrow money to finance its spending, the amount spent on debt interest has increased significantly in recent years. Current forecasts suggest that while the debt is eventually expected to start declining, this is based on falling government deficits in the next five years. Government facing hard choices Hitting fiscal targets, such as reducing the national debt, will require a careful balancing of the books from the current government, and the possibility for either spending cuts or tax rises. Although Labour ruled out raising the main government tax sources, Income Tax, National Insurance, and VAT, at the 2024 election, they did raise National Insurance for employers (rather than employees) and also cut Winter Fuel allowances for large numbers of pensioners. Less than a year after implementing cuts to Winter Fuel, the government performed a U-Turn on the issue, and also held back on more significant cuts to welfare.
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TwitterGovernment debt in the United Kingdom reached over 2.8 trillion British pounds in 2024/25, compared with 2.69 trillion pounds in the previous financial year. Although debt has been increasing throughout this period, there is a noticeable jump between 2019/20, and 2020/21, when debt increased from 1.82 trillion pounds, to 2.15 trillion. The UK's government debt was the equivalent of 93.5 percent of GDP in 2024/25, and is expected to increase slightly in coming years, and not start falling until the end of this decade. Public finances in a tight spot With government debt approaching 100 percent of GDP, the UK finds itself in a tricky fiscal situation. If the UK can't reduce it's spending, or increase its revenue, the government will have to continue borrowing large amounts, increasing the debt further. Adding to the problem, is the fact that financing this debt has got steadily more expensive recently, with the government currently spending more on debt interest than it does on defence, transport, and public order and safety. Can the UK grow out its debt? After the Second World War, when the national debt reached over 250 percent of GDP, the UK managed to reduce its debt-to-GDP ratio, due to the economy growing faster than its debt over a long period of time. This is certainly the hope of the current Labour government, who are seeking to avoid significant tax and spending adjustments by strengthening the economy. Overdue investments in infrastructure and increased capital spending may eventually achieve this goal, but the government's declining popularity suggests they may not be in power by the time these policies might eventually bear fruit.
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TwitterBy the end of the UK's job retention scheme, which ran from April 2020, to September 2021, approximately **** million jobs, from *** million different employers, were furloughed in the United Kingdom. The day with the most jobs furloughed at once was May 8, 2020, when **** million jobs were on the job retention scheme. The scheme, introduced in response to the economic damage caused by the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, covered ** percent of an employees' usual monthly wage, up to ***** British pounds a month. How much did the scheme cost? The UK government spent approximately ** billion British pounds on the job retention scheme. Due to spending commitments such as this, as well as depressed revenue sources, UK government finances took a severe hit in the 2020/21 financial year. Government borrowing was approximately ***** billion pounds in 2020/21, while government debt as a share of GDP shot up from around ** percent in 2018/19 to almost ** percent by 2020/21. Getting this debt down has proven difficult in subsequent financial years, with high inflation, war in Ukraine, and the Cost of Living Crisis putting even more pressure on public finances. Popular scheme not enough to save Sunak Former Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak, held the position of Chancellor of the Exchequer throughout the duration of the furlough scheme. While this scheme and Sunak himself were popular for much of that time, Sunak saw his popularity tumble. Shortly after succeeding Liz Truss as Prime Minister in October 2021, Sunak was seen by ** percent of people as being the best person for his job, but by May 2024, just before he announced the 2024 General Election, just ** percent of people thought he made the best Prime Minister. Sunak and the Conservatives went on to suffer a historic loss at this election, winning just *** seats, compared with the *** won in the 2019 General Election.
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TwitterThe Insolvency Service is currently seeking views on proposed changes to our Official Statistics publications.
The consultation will be open from 16 May to 30 June 2023.
The number of registered company insolvencies in April 2023 was 1,685, 15% lower than in the same month in the previous year (1,988 in April 2022). However this was higher than levels seen while the Government support measures were in place in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and also higher than pre-pandemic numbers.
There were 183 compulsory liquidations in April 2023, which is nearly twice the number in April 2022. Numbers of compulsory liquidations have increased from historical lows seen during the coronavirus pandemic, partly as a result of an increase in winding-up petitions presented by HMRC.
In April 2023 there were 1,368 Creditors’ Voluntary Liquidations (CVLs), 23% lower than in April 2022. Numbers of administrations and Company Voluntary Arrangements (CVAs) were higher than in April 2022.
For individuals, 531 bankruptcies were registered, which was 5% lower than in April 2022, and less than half of pre-2020 levels.
There were 2,384 Debt Relief Orders (DROs) in April 2023, which was 24% higher than April 2022. Monthly DRO numbers may be volatile at present due to the introduction of new https://moneyandpensionsservice.org.uk/2022/11/24/money-and-pensions-serivce-signs-contracts-for-national-and-business-debt-relief-orders-in-england">DRO hubs.
There were, on average, 6,336 Individual Voluntary Arrangements (IVAs) registered per month in the three-month period ending April 2023, which is 16% lower than the three-month period ending April 2022.
The numbers provided in this publication are not seasonally adjusted and changes between consecutive months may not indicate overall trends. Therefore, in this publication we compare to the same calendar month in the previous year. Seasonally adjusted figures that more accurately measure trends over time are available in the "https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/insolvency-service-official-statistics">quarterly insolvency statistics.
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TwitterThe number of registered company insolvencies in March 2023 was 2,457, 16% higher than in the same month in the previous year (2,120 in March 2022). This was higher than levels seen while the Government support measures were in place in response to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and also higher than pre-pandemic numbers.
There were 288 compulsory liquidations in March 2023, which is more than twice the number in March 2022. Numbers of compulsory liquidations have increased from historical lows seen during the coronavirus pandemic, partly as a result of an increase in winding-up petitions presented by HMRC.
In March 2023 there were 2,011 Creditors’ Voluntary Liquidations (CVLs), 9% higher than in March 2022. Numbers of administrations and Company Voluntary Arrangements (CVAs) were also higher than in March 2022.
For individuals, 672 bankruptcies were registered, which was 2% higher than in March 2022, but less than half of pre-2020 levels.
There were 3,383 Debt Relief Orders (DROs) in March 2023, which was 35% higher than March 2022. Monthly DRO numbers may be volatile at present due to the introduction of new https://moneyandpensionsservice.org.uk/2022/11/24/money-and-pensions-serivce-signs-contracts-for-national-and-business-debt-relief-orders-in-england">DRO hubs.
There were, on average, 6,100 Individual Voluntary Arrangements (IVAs) registered per month in the three-month period ending March 2023, which is 14% lower than the three-month period ending March 2022.
The numbers provided in this publication are not seasonally adjusted and changes between consecutive months may not indicate overall trends. Therefore, in this publication we compare to the same calendar month in the previous year. Seasonally adjusted figures that more accurately measure trends over time are available in the "https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/insolvency-service-official-statistics">quarterly insolvency statistics.
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TwitterThe number of registered company insolvencies in November 2021 was 1,674:
For the first time since the start of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, the monthly number of registered company insolvencies was higher than pre-pandemic levels. This was driven by the higher number of creditors’ voluntary liquidations (CVLs). In November 2021 there were 1,521 CVLs, 43% higher than in November 2019. Other types of company insolvencies, such as compulsory liquidations, remained lower than before the pandemic.
For individuals, 630 bankruptcies were registered, which was 33% lower than November 2020 and 54% lower than November 2019.
There were 2,054 Debt Relief Orders (DROs) in November 2021. Following "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-measures-to-help-vulnerable-people-in-problem-debt" class="govuk-link">changes to the eligibility criteria on 29 June 2021 including an increase in the level of debt at which people can apply for a DRO from £20,000 to £30,000, DRO numbers were higher between July and November 2021 than in previous months since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. The number of DROs registered in November 2021 was 44% higher than November 2020 but remained lower than pre-pandemic levels (13% lower than in November 2019).
There were, on average, 7,002 IVAs registered per month in the three-month period ending November 2021, which is similar to both the three-month period ending November 2020 and the three-month period ending November 2019.
Note that the IVA series is historically volatile as it is based on date of registration at the Insolvency Service (see the "#methodology" class="govuk-link">Methodology and data quality section for more information).
Between the launch of the Breathing Space scheme on 4 May 2021, and 30 November 2021, there were 36,931 registrations, comprised of 36,411 Standard breathing space registrations and 520 Mental Health breathing space registrations.
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TwitterIn September 2024, the national debt of the United States had risen up to 35.46 trillion U.S. dollars. The national debt per capita had risen to 85,552 U.S. dollars in 2021. As represented by the statistic above, the public debt of the United States has been continuously rising. U.S. public debt Public debt, also known as national and governmental debt, is the debt owed by a nations’ central government. In the case of the U.S., national debt is owed by the federal government to Treasury security holders. Generally speaking, government debt increases with government spending, and can be decreased through taxes. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the U.S. government increased spending significantly to finance virus infrastructure, aid, and various forms of economic relief. International public debt Venezuela leads the global ranking of the 20 countries with the highest public debt in 2021. In relation to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Venezuela's public debt amounted to around 306.95 percent of GDP. Eritrea was ranked fifth, with an estimated debt of 170 percent of the Gross Domestic Product. The national debt of the United Kingdom is forecasted to grow from 87 percent in 2022 to 70 percent in 2027, in relation to the Gross Domestic Product. These figures include England, Wales, Scotland as well as Northern Ireland. Greece had the highest national debt among EU countries as of the 4th quarter of 2020 in relation to the Gross Domestic Product. Germany ranked 13th in the EU, with its national debt amounting to 69 percent of GDP in the same time period. Tuvalu was one of the 20 countries with the lowest national debt in 2021 in relation to the GDP, while Macao had an estimated level of national debt of zero percent, the lowest of any country. The data refer to the debts of the entire state, including the central government, the provinces, municipalities, local authorities and social insurance.
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TwitterAbstract copyright UK Data Service and data collection copyright owner.
The Opinions and Lifestyle Survey (formerly known as the ONS Opinions Survey or Omnibus) is an omnibus survey that began in 1990, collecting data on a range of subjects commissioned by both the ONS internally and external clients (limited to other government departments, charities, non-profit organisations and academia).
Data are collected from one individual aged 16 or over, selected from each sampled private household. Personal data include data on the individual, their family, address, household, income and education, plus responses and opinions on a variety of subjects within commissioned modules.
The questionnaire collects timely data for research and policy analysis evaluation on the social impacts of recent topics of national importance, such as the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and the cost of living, on individuals and households in Great Britain.
From April 2018 to November 2019, the design of the OPN changed from face-to-face to a mixed-mode design (online first with telephone interviewing where necessary). Mixed-mode collection allows respondents to complete the survey more flexibly and provides a more cost-effective service for customers.
In March 2020, the OPN was adapted to become a weekly survey used to collect data on the social impacts of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic on the lives of people of Great Britain. These data are held in the Secure Access study, SN 8635, ONS Opinions and Lifestyle Survey, Covid-19 Module, 2020-2022: Secure Access.
From August 2021, as coronavirus (COVID-19) restrictions were lifting across Great Britain, the OPN moved to fortnightly data collection, sampling around 5,000 households in each survey wave to ensure the survey remains sustainable.
The OPN has since expanded to include questions on other topics of national importance, such as health and the cost of living. For more information about the survey and its methodology, see the ONS OPN Quality and Methodology Information webpage.
Secure Access Opinions and Lifestyle Survey data
Other Secure Access OPN data cover modules run at various points from 1997-2019, on Census religion (SN 8078), cervical cancer screening (SN 8080), contact after separation (SN 8089), contraception (SN 8095), disability (SNs 8680 and 8096), general lifestyle (SN 8092), illness and activity (SN 8094), and non-resident parental contact (SN 8093). See Opinions and Lifestyle Survey: Secure Access for details.
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TwitterThe number of registered company insolvencies in January 2023 was 1,671:
In January 2023 there were 1,382 Creditors’ Voluntary Liquidations (CVLs), 2% higher than in January 2022 and 37% higher than January 2020. Numbers of administrations and Company Voluntary Arrangements (CVAs) remained lower than before the pandemic but were higher than in January 2022.
There were 189 compulsory liquidations, which is 52% more than in January 2022, but 36% lower than in January 2020. Numbers of compulsory liquidations have increased from historical lows seen during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, partly as a result of an increase in winding-up petitions presented by HMRC.
For individuals, 612 bankruptcies were registered, which was 5% higher than in January 2022, but 60% lower than January 2020.
There were 1,741 Debt Relief Orders (DROs) in January 2023, which was 7% lower than January 2022 and 21% lower than the pre-pandemic comparison month (January 2020).
There were, on average, 6,328 Individual Voluntary Arrangements (IVAs) registered per month in the three-month period ending January 2023, which is 1% higher than the three-month period ending January 2022, and 6% higher than the three-month period ending January 2020.
Some IVAs registered on 30th and 31st January had not been input into the Insolvency Service administration systems at the time of data extraction for this publication. The number of registered IVAs for January 2023 is therefore likely to be an undercount. Any IVAs not yet counted will be included in next month’s publication.
The numbers provided in this publication are not seasonally adjusted and changes between consecutive months may not indicate overall trends. Therefore, in this publication we compare to the same calendar month in previous year(s). Seasonally adjusted figures that more accurately measure trends over time are available in the quarterly individual and company Insolvency Statistics.
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Twitterhttps://www.smartsurvey.co.uk/s/ZVFUOO/" class="govuk-link">Official Statistics (smartsurvey.co.uk) Please complete this survey relating to Insolvency Service Official Statistics to let us know your views and tell us about anything else you would like included. The results will help inform improvements to the Official Statistics to better meet user needs.
The number of registered company insolvencies in October 2022 was 1,948:
There were 242 compulsory liquidations in October 2022, more than 4 times as many as in October 2021 and 2% higher than in October 2019. Numbers of compulsory liquidations have increased from historical lows seen during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, partly as a result of an increase in winding-up petitions presented by HMRC. October 2022 was the first time that the number of compulsory liquidations was similar to the pre-pandemic comparison month. This was partly caused by a large number of petitions from a single bank, which accounted for 45 of the compulsory liquidations in this month.
In October 2022 there were 1,594 Creditors’ Voluntary Liquidations (CVLs), 28% higher than in October 2021 and 53% higher than October 2019. Numbers of administrations and Company Voluntary Arrangements (CVAs) remained lower than before the pandemic.
For individuals, 531 bankruptcies were registered, which was 14% lower than in October 2021 and 62% lower than October 2019.
There were 1,894 Debt Relief Orders (DROs) in October 2022, which was 2% lower than October 2021 and 25% lower than the pre-pandemic comparison month (October 2019).
There were, on average, 7,610 Individual Voluntary Arrangements (IVAs) registered per month in the three-month period ending October 2022, which is 8% higher than the three-month period ending October 2021, and 13% higher than the three-month period ending October 2019. IVA numbers have ranged from around 6,300 to 7,800 per month over the past year.
There were 6,342 Breathing Space registrations in October 2022, which is 31% higher than the number registered in October 2021. 6,230 were Standard breathing space registrations, which is 31% higher than in October 2021, and 112 were Mental Health breathing space registrations, which is 38% higher than the number in October 2021.
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TwitterThe government of the United Kingdom borrowed approximately 149.7 billion British pounds in the 2024/25 financial year. In 2020/21, government borrowing was almost 311 billion pounds, due to increased financial support to public services during the COVID-19 pandemic, combined with reduced revenue due to the lockdowns.
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TwitterIn 2020 the rate of individual insolvency in England and Wales was 23.7 per 10,000 adults, meaning that one in every 422 adults entered an insolvency procedure during that year.
The total insolvency rate decreased for the first time in five years, likely to have been partly driven by enhanced government financial support measures put in place to support individuals during the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. The "https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/individual-insolvency-statistics-releases">Quarterly Individual Insolvency Statistics provide further detail on insolvency trends during 2020 following the onset of the pandemic.
Individuals in the North East of England continued to have the highest individual insolvency rates (30.9 per 10,000), while individuals in London had the lowest (15.9 per 10,000). The other seven English Regions, as well as Wales, all had rates between 22.5 and 26.3 per 10,000.
Rates varied by local authority from 9.3 per 10,000 (1 in 1,080 adults) in Westminster to 44.6 per 10,000 (1 in 224 adults) in Kingston upon Hull. The local authorities with the highest rates of individual insolvency were spread across England and Wales, and were mainly in coastal areas, ranging from Plymouth, to Scarborough, to Blackpool. The highest rates outside of coastal areas were for Stoke-on-Trent, Corby, and Telford and Wrekin.
There were no large changes to the geographical distribution of insolvency rates between 2019 and 2020. Most local authorities saw changes in insolvency rates similar to the overall England and Wales decline of 9%. The majority of local authorities saw a decline of between 2% and 16%.
The seven local authorities with the lowest insolvency rates were all London boroughs. The next lowest were St Albans and Epsom and Ewell.
Rates varied by parliamentary constituency from 8.1 per 10,000 (1 in 1239 adults) in Cities of London and Westminster to 48.8 per 10,000 (1 in 205 adults) in Plymouth, Moor View.
Of the 10 parliamentary constituencies with the highest insolvency rates, eight were coastal. Seven out of the 10 parliamentary constituencies with the lowest insolvency rates were in London.
The female insolvency rate (24.8 per 10,000) was higher than for males (22.4 per 10,000) for the seventh successive year, although the gap decreased compared to 2019. Women are more likely than men to have a debt relief order or individual voluntary arrangement, while men are more likely to become bankrupt.
Insolvency rates were highest for 25 to 44 year olds and lowest for those aged 65+. Insolvency rates decreased for all age groups except for those aged 18 to 24 compared to 2019. The long-term trend shows an increase in insolvency rates for younger adults and a decrease for older adults.
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TwitterThe average amount of buy now, pay later debt from a UK consumer grew by several percent between 2021 and 2020 - although values did differ per BNPL platform. Klarna and Clearpay - two of the most downloaded BNPL apps in the United Kingdom - also had some of the lowest debts per capita compared to some of the other leading BNPL platforms. The source does not explain why these differences exist, although it does mention that most consumers took significantly longer than the average repayment time limit of ** days. This included both Klarna as well as Clearpay, as ***** percent and ** percent of respondents, respectively, felt they would not be able to pay back their money to the two platforms within ** days after a purchase. In general, however, repayments were outstripping new lending since the coronavirus pandemic, with regards to credit card debt in the UK.
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TwitterDuring 2021/22, 802 directors were disqualified under the Company Directors Disqualification Act (CDDA) 1986 as a result of the work of the Insolvency Service. The number of director disqualifications in 2021/22 was lower than in 2020/21. Before the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, the number of disqualifications had been stable at between 1,200 and 1,300 between 2013/14 and 2019/20. Lower numbers in 2020/21 and 2021/22 coincided with historically low numbers of company insolvencies during the pandemic.
The mean average length of director disqualification in 2021/22 was 5 years and 10 months. The average length has been between 5 years and 5 months, and 6 years in each of the past ten financial years.
During 2021/22, 52 companies were wound up in the public interest, up ten cases from the previous financial year, but lower than in all previous years in the time series. Numbers of these orders declined followed a legislative change in 2016, which increased the number of regulatory and enforcement bodies to which the Insolvency Service could disclose material. In some cases, allowing disclosure to these additional bodies has been more effective than winding up the company.
For director disqualification outcomes in 2021/22, the most common allegation made was ‘Unfair treatment of the Crown’, which was an allegation in 297 cases, accounting for 37% of all allegations. The second most common was the 141 allegations (17%) relating to COVID-19 financial support scheme abuse.
During 2021/22 there were 314 bankruptcy and debt relief restrictions orders and undertakings, similar to the 302 in 2020/21, but lower than levels seen before the coronavirus pandemic. The past two years have seen the lowest levels in the time series going back to 2009/10. The lower numbers of restriction orders coincided with a fall in the number of bankruptcies during the same period.
As at 31 March 2022 there were more than 6,500 former directors with active disqualifications and over 2,000 individuals subject to bankruptcy and debt relief restrictions.
During 2021/22, 130 individuals faced criminal charges brought by the Insolvency Service, and 119 were convicted. These numbers were higher than all previous years back to 2016/17.
There were 424 separate sentences imposed in 2021/22 relating to charges brought by the Insolvency Service. The most common sentences imposed were community orders, which include a range of requirements such as unpaid work, curfews or periods of supervision.
From the start of the coronavirus pandemic until mid-2021, overall numbers of company and individual insolvencies were low when compared with pre-pandemic levels. Bankruptcy and compulsory liquidation numbers remained lower for the entirety of the 2021/22 financial year. Numbers of enforcement outcomes for 2020/21 and 2021/22 are likely to have been affected by this decline in insolvency numbers. Further information on insolvency trends can be found in the published Quarterly and Monthly "https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/insolvency-service-official-statistics">Insolvency Statistics.
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TwitterAs of December 2024, the countries with the highest 10-year yields are the United Kingdom, the United States and Australia with 4.68, 4.38 and 4.21 percent, respectively. Of the largest economies by GDP, the United States saw the sharpest fall in absolute terms for 10-year government bond yields due to the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. From a level of 1.51 percent in January 2020, yields on 10-year government bonds fell to 0.65 percent by April 2020, and had further fallen to 0.53 percent by July 2020 before starting to recover towards the end of the year. Conversely, countries that went into 2020 with already low bond yields like Japan, Germany and France actually saw a small increase in March 2020 - although these already low yields mean that these small changes are significant in relative terms.
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TwitterDuring 2020/21 there were a total of 972 director disqualifications under the Company Directors Disqualification Act (CDDA) 1986, as a result of the work of the Insolvency Service. The number of director disqualifications in 2020/21 was lower than in 2019/20. Previously, the number of disqualifications had been stable at between 1,200 and 1,300 for the past seven years.
The mean average length of director disqualification in 2020/21 was 5 years and 6 months, similar to the average length of disqualification enforced in the previous two financial years.
During 2020/21 there were 42 companies wound up in the public interest, down 10 cases from the previous financial year, and continuing the long-term decline in the number of companies wound up in the public interest. The decline followed a legislative change in 2016, which increased the number of regulatory and enforcement bodies to which the Insolvency Service could disclose material. In some cases, allowing disclosure to these additional bodies has been more effective than winding up the company.
During 2020/21 there were 302 bankruptcy and debt relief restrictions orders and undertakings, compared with 470 in 2019/20. This is the lowest level in the time series since 2009/10. The decline in the number of bankruptcy restriction orders in 2020/21 coincided with a fall in the number of bankruptcies during the same period.
As at 31 March there were over 6,800 former directors with active disqualifications and over 2,200 individuals subject to bankruptcy and debt relief restrictions.
During 2020/21 there were 56 individuals who faced criminal charges, and all were convicted.
There were 189 separate sentences imposed in 2020/21. The most common sentences imposed were community orders, which include a range of requirements such as unpaid work, curfews or periods of supervision.
The numbers of individual and company insolvencies during 2020/21 were lower than recent historical levels. This is likely to have been driven by Government measures put in place to support businesses and individuals during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. Further information on insolvency trends can be found in the published Quarterly and Monthly Insolvency Statistics.
Impacts associated with the coronavirus pandemic are also likely to have contributed to the lower volume of enforcement outcomes in 2020/21 compared to pre-pandemic levels, in particular the short-term reduced operational running of HM Courts & Tribunals Service.
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TwitterHungarian consumers performed roughly ***** credit card payments per capita in 2024, a notable increase when compared to 2020. This according to estimates based off credit card figures from the country's central bank. No information is provided why this number went down in the country during the first year of the coronavirus pandemic. Arguably, this could coincide with a trend in the UK of paying off credit card debt during lockdown.
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TwitterDanish consumers performed roughly ** credit card payments per capita in 2020, a significant decline when compared to 2019. This according to estimates based off credit card figures from the country's central bank. No information is provided why this number went down in the Nordic country during the first year of the coronavirus pandemic. Arguably, this could coincide with a trend in the UK of paying off credit card debt during lockdown.
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TwitterAttribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
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With the global impact of the 2020 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19), there has been a surge in public debt and uncertainty in the global economy. As the likelihood of a recession and a higher debt for Canada increases, the utility of a forecasting model is a realistic choice to both predict and determine optimal fiscal decisions for the government. This paper seeks to ratify existing historical trends in three developed economies (Canada, Japan, and the U.K.) as well as offer a time series forecast for the proceeding five years’ debt to GDP ratio. As per the International Monetary Fund (IMF), a limit of 60% in debt to GDP ratio was employed to measure how far off these three countries were from a considerably recoverable amount of debt. The time series forecast that the U.K. will drop to 65.436% by 2025, however, Japan and Canada will continue to accumulate debt to 254.3851% and 80.107% respectively.