CROP PRICE PREDICTION

INTRODUCTION

Crop yield prediction plays a vital role in modern agriculture, especially with the increasing adoption of data-driven approaches. Comprehensive datasets, including information about soil composition, environmental factors, historical yield data, and crop management practices, are crucial for accurate yield predictions. Analyzing and understanding these datasets can provide valuable insights for optimizing agricultural practices and ensuring sustainable crop production.

WHY IS YIELD PREDICTION IMPORTANT?

1. Optimized Production: Accurate yield predictions help farmers optimize their production plans by adjusting planting schedules, selecting suitable crop varieties, and implementing appropriate management practices.

2. Resource Efficiency: Data-driven yield predictions enable efficient use of resources such as water, fertilizers, and pesticides, leading to cost savings and reduced environmental impact.

3. Risk Mitigation: Predicting yields allows farmers to anticipate and mitigate risks such as crop failures due to adverse weather conditions, pest infestations, or diseases.

4. Market Planning: Yield predictions assist farmers in planning for market fluctuations by forecasting supply and demand dynamics, thereby optimizing marketing strategies and maximizing profits.

5. Sustainability: By promoting optimal resource use and reducing waste, accurate yield predictions contribute to sustainable agriculture practices and environmental conservation.

CONCLUSION

Accurate crop yield prediction is essential for modern agriculture's success, enabling farmers to make informed decisions, optimize resource use, mitigate risks, and enhance sustainability. Leveraging comprehensive datasets and advanced analytical tools empowers farmers and agricultural experts to improve production efficiency, resilience, and profitability, ultimately ensuring food security and environmental stewardship in the agricultural sector.

This dataset contains detailed information on the prices of various Indian crops, including rice, wheat, corn, lentils, and more. The data spans a specific period and provides a comprehensive view of market trends, supply, and demand for each crop. The dataset is structured for ease of use and includes features such as crop prices, dates, locations, and other relevant metrics.

This dataset contains historical crop price data for Pakistan, by city. The data is collected from the Agriculture Marketing Information System (AMIS) Pakistan. AMIS is a government agency that collects and disseminates market information for agricultural commodities in Pakistan. The dataset includes the following information:

City: The city where the crop was sold Crop: The name of the crop Date: The date the crop was sold Price: The price of the crop per unit.

This dataset is a valuable resource for farmers, traders, and policymakers. It can be used to track crop prices over time and identify trends. This information can be used to make informed decisions about crop production and marketing.

The dataset is also useful for research purposes. It can be used to study the impact of factors such as weather, pests, and government policies on crop prices. This information can be used to develop strategies to improve crop production and marketing.

This dataset provides a comprehensive record of daily mandi (agricultural market) prices for five of India's most important food crops — Onion, Tomato, Potato, Wheat, and Rice — across all Indian states and nearly every district. The data spans a complete two-year period, from June 6, 2023 to June 6, 2025, making it a rich resource for time-series analysis, price forecasting, and agriculture-based policy insights.

India’s agricultural markets are dynamic and influenced by a variety of factors such as seasonal variations, supply chain disruptions, regional demand, government interventions (like MSP), weather patterns, and global commodity trends. This dataset helps capture that dynamic by offering cleaned, structured, and standardized price data directly sourced from the official Agmarknet portal — a government-run platform under the Ministry of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare, Government of India. This dataset download from Agmarknet Webside and modify then
DATASET:https://www.agmarknet.gov.in/
Each record in the dataset reflects:

🌾 Dataset Highlights
✅ Time Span:

Daily data for 2 years: from 2023-06-06 to 2025-06-06

✅ Top 5 Indian Crops Covered:

🧅 Onion

🍅 Tomato

🥔 Potato

🌾 Wheat

🍚 Rice

✅ Geographic Coverage:

All 28 states and 8 union territories

Almost all districts with their corresponding mandi (market) names

✅ Price Details (Rs./Quintal):

Min_price: Minimum price for the day

Modal_price: Most commonly traded price

Max_price: Maximum price for the day

💡 Possible Use Cases
Crop price trend analysis

Forecasting and time series modeling

Agri-market insights for farmers & traders

Machine learning and data science training

📁 Column Descriptions
Column : Description
sl_no : Sequential row ID
STATE : Name of the Indian state
District Name : District name
Market Name :Mandi/market location
Commodity : Crop name (onion, wheat, etc.)
Variety : Variety/type of crop
Grade : Grading (e.g., FAQ)
Min_price : Minimum price in Rs./Quintal
Modal_price : Modal price in Rs./Quintal
Max_price : Maximum price in Rs./Quintal
Price Date : Date of price entry (YYYY-MM-DD)

Graph and download economic data for Index of Farm Prices of Crops for United States (M04059USM323NNBR) from Jan 1910 to Dec 1966 about crop, agriculture, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

Farm product prices, crops and livestock, by province (in dollars per metric tonne unless otherwise noted). Data are available on a monthly basis.

Manitoba market crop prices, based on weekly surveys of grain buyers' pricing This table contains weekly and monthly average prices for different Manitoba crops. Prices are based on weekly surveys of grain buyers' pricing as well as other publicly available market sources. The table contains prices for current and previous years, as well as five-year average weekly and monthly prices. Each weekly dataset contains prices on the sales that occurred from Friday to Thursday. The monthly price represents a simple average of the corresponding weekly prices. For more information on major crops in Manitoba please visit ARD Livestock Markets and Statistics website. This table is used in the Manitoba Crop Prices and Manitoba Crop Prices Current year dashboards. Fields included [Alias (Field name): Field description] Period (Period): Period of time to be presented on charts from the selection of Monthly and Weekly. PeriodNo (PeriodNo): Serial number of period (1-12 for monthly presentation, 1-52 for weekly presentation) – For weekly presentation, each week contains prices on sales that occurred from Friday to Thursday (e.g., Week 1 of 2021 represents sales between Friday, Jan. 1, 2021 and Thursday, Jan. 7, 2021, with the corresponding report published by the department on Friday, Jan. 8, 2021). For monthly presentation, each month contain a simple average price of weeks, which had more than two days of corresponding month in the period from Monday to Frida (e.g., i.e. if the first day of month is Monday, Tuesday or Wednesday, monthly average includes this week. But if the first day of month is Thursday or Friday, the weekly prices are included in monthly average prices of a pervious month). Crop Category (Crop): Category of grains and oilseeds from the selection of: Wheat, Northern Hard Red; Wheat, Western Red Spring; Wheat, Red Winter; Wheat, Special Purpose (Low Vomi); Barley, #1CW; Corn, #2; Oats, #2CW; Flaxseed, #1CW; Canola, #1CR; Canola Meal, 34%, Altona; Soybeans; Soymeal, 46%, Wpg; Peas, #2 Yellow; Wheat, Western Red Spring; Previous Year Price (Previous): Crop price in corresponding period of previous year, in C$ per tonne. Current Year Price (Current): Crop price in corresponding period of current year, in C$ per tonne. 5-Year Average Price (Average5): Crop price in corresponding period averaged over last five years (excluding current year), in C$ per tonne

This data product provides three Excel file spreadsheet models that use futures prices to forecast the U.S. season-average price received and the implied CCP for three major field crops (corn, soybeans, and wheat).

Using Futures Prices to Forecast the Season-Average Price and Counter-Cyclical Payment Rate for Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat

Farmers and policymakers are interested in the level of counter-cyclical payments (CCPs) provided by the 2008 Farm Act to producers of selected commodities. CCPs are based on the season-average price received by farmers. (For more information on CCPs, see the ERS 2008 Farm Bill Side-By-Side, Title I: Commodity Programs.)

This data product provides three Excel spreadsheet models that use futures prices to forecast the U.S. season-average price received and the implied CCP for three major field crops (corn, soybeans, and wheat). Users can view the model forecasts or create their own forecast by inserting different values for futures prices, basis values, or marketing weights. Example computations and data are provided on the Documentation page.

Spreadsheet Models

For each of the three major U.S. field crops, the Excel spreadsheet model computes a forecast for:

1. the national-level season-average price received by farmers and
2. the implied counter-cyclical payment rate.

Note: the model forecasts are not official USDA forecasts. See USDA's World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates for official USDA season-average price forecasts. See USDA's Farm Service Agency information for official USDA CCP rates.This record was taken from the USDA Enterprise Data Inventory that feeds into the https://data.gov catalog. Data for this record includes the following resources: Webpage with links to Excel files For complete information, please visit https://data.gov.

The dataset you've provided appears to capture agricultural data for Karnataka, specifically focusing on crop yields in Mangalore. Key features include the year of production, geographic details, and environmental conditions such as rainfall (measured in mm), temperature (in degrees Celsius), and humidity (as a percentage). Soil type, irrigation method, and crop type are also recorded, along with crop yields, market price, and season of growth (e.g., Kharif).

The dataset includes several columns related to crop production conditions and outcomes. For example, coconut crop data reveals a pattern of yields over different area sizes, showing how factors like rainfall, temperature, and irrigation influence production. Prices also vary, offering insights into the economic aspects of agriculture in the region. This information could be used to study the impact of environmental conditions and farming techniques on crop productivity, assisting in the development of optimized agricultural practices tailored for specific soil types, climates, and crop needs.

United States Agricultural Price Index: Received by Farmers: Food Commodities data was reported at 88.800 2011=100 in Oct 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 90.600 2011=100 for Sep 2018. United States Agricultural Price Index: Received by Farmers: Food Commodities data is updated monthly, averaging 101.000 2011=100 from Jan 2010 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 106 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 126.000 2011=100 in Apr 2014 and a record low of 81.000 2011=100 in Feb 2010. United States Agricultural Price Index: Received by Farmers: Food Commodities data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by National Agricultural Statistics Service. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I043: Agricultural Price Index.

Historical Manitoba market crop prices, based on weekly surveys of grain buyers' pricing This table contains weekly and monthly prices for different crops, based on weekly surveys of grain buyers' pricing, as well as other publicly available market sources. The table contains prices for the current and nine previous years. Each weekly dataset contains prices on the sales that occurred from Friday to Thursday. The monthly price represents a simple average of the corresponding weekly prices. For more information on major crops in Manitoba please visit ARD Livestock Markets and Statistics. This table is used in the Manitoba Crop Prices Historical dashboard. Fields included [Alias (Field name): Field description] Year (Year): Year from the selection of last 10 years including current year Period (Period): Period of time to be presented on charts from the selection of Monthly and Weekly PeriodNo (PeriodNo): Serial number of period (1-12 for monthly presentation, 1-52 for weekly presentation). For weekly presentation, each week contains prices on sales that occurred from Friday to Thursday (e.g., Week 1 of 2021 represents sales between Friday, Jan. 1, 2021 and Thursday, Jan. 7, 2021, with the corresponding report published by the department on Friday, Jan. 8, 2021). For monthly presentation, each month contains simple average prices of weeks, which had more than two days of corresponding month in the period from Monday to Friday (e.g., if the first day of the month is Monday, Tuesday or Wednesday, monthly average includes this week; but if the first day of the month is Thursday or Friday, the weekly prices are included in monthly average prices of a previous month). Price (Price): Crop price for the corresponding period of time, in C$ per tonne Crop Category (Crop): Category of grains and oilseeds from the selection of: Wheat, Northern Hard Red; Wheat, Western Red Spring; Wheat, Red Winter; Wheat, Special Purpose (Low Vomi); Barley, #1CW; Corn, #2; Oats, #2CW; Flaxseed, #1CW; Canola, #1CR; Canola Meal, 34%, Altona; Soybeans; Soymeal, 46%, Wpg; Peas, #2 Yellow.

Corn rose to 433.53 USd/BU on December 2, 2025, up 0.01% from the previous day. Over the past month, Corn's price has fallen 0.17%, but it is still 2.43% higher than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Corn - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

The US crop services industry faces intensified contraction through 2025, as lower crop prices and heightened market uncertainty dampen farmer demand for services. Over the past five years, significant declines in corn, wheat and cotton prices, combined with extreme weather disruptions, have forced service providers to contend with minimal revenue growth and shrinking profit. Providers have responded to depressed market activity and climate-driven volatility by deferring purchases, controlling costs and aggressively managing their workforce. While the organic crop segment attracted attention, the overall market remains challenged by stringent regulations and high certification barriers. Throughout this period, the industry’s average profit share fell to 6.1%. Industry revenue contracted at a -2.0% CAGR between 2020 and 2025, with revenue falling 0.5% in 2025 to $32.4 billion. Despite near-record crop production levels, the industry continues to face downward pressure from excess global stocks and persistently low prices, which reduce farm income and limit service spending. Providers serving farmers that produce major staple crops, such as corn, soybeans and cotton, have been adapting by offering enhanced services and cost-effective management solutions. Unpredictable weather, exacerbated by climate change, generated sharp, region-specific swings in service demand. Labor-intensive segments have benefited from the growing demand for contract labor and postharvest services, although rising wages and skilled operator shortages continue to put pressure on profit. This increase in labor expenses, compounded by restrictive immigration policies, poses a challenge to maintaining profitability as many service providers struggle to pass on rising wages and high purchase costs to their clients. These trends highlight how crop prices, input costs, climate patterns and regulatory changes shape the landscape of the crop services industry. Looking ahead, the outlook for crop services signals a stabilization and modest recovery in performance, driven by a shift toward technology-driven efficiencies and climate-adaptive service offerings. Providers investing in automation, precision agriculture and climate resilience will be well-positioned to capture value as biofuel mandates expand and farmers seek strategies to withstand price volatility and weather-related disruptions. Although traditional service segments may see only gradual improvement, niche providers that expand into premium advisory, technology and labor solutions stand to benefit over the next cycle. The industry is projected to have a 0.6% CAGR from 2025 to 2030, reaching $33.5 billion in revenue by the end of the period, with profit forecast to remain steady at 6.2% over the next five years.

This dataset provides comprehensive monthly data across several years, including rainfall, temperature, fuel prices, and crop prices for various locations. The dataset is structured to offer valuable insights into the relationship between weather patterns, fuel costs, and agricultural economics at a granular, location-based level. It is ideal for analysis of trends, predictions, and the impact of environmental factors on crop pricing.

Access to the paper :** https://doi.org/10.1109/ICAC57685.2022.10025220**

These interactive charts illustrate prices offered for crops in Manitoba for the last 10 years. The prices can be displayed by a week or by month for one or more years. Prices of different crops can be viewed on separate charts.

The source data for this dashboard is the Manitoba Crop Prices Historical table. This table contains weekly and monthly average prices for different Manitoba crops. Prices are based on Manitoba buyers weekly surveys, along with other public sources. This table contains crop prices for the current year and nine previous years. Each weekly dataset contains prices on the sales that occurred from Friday to Thursday. The monthly price represents a simple average of the corresponding weekly prices. For more information on major crops in Manitoba please visit Crop Markets and Statistics..

This table contains weekly and monthly prices for different crops, based on weekly surveys of grain buyers' pricing, as well as other publicly available market sources. The table contains prices for the current and nine previous years. Each weekly dataset contains prices on the sales that occurred from Friday to Thursday. The monthly price represents a simple average of the corresponding weekly prices. For more information on major crops in Manitoba please visit ARD Livestock Markets and Statistics. This table is used in the Manitoba Crop Prices Historical dashboard. Fields included [Alias (Field name): Field description]

Year (Year): Year from the selection of last 10 years including current year Period (Period): Period of time to be presented on charts from the selection of Monthly and Weekly PeriodNo (PeriodNo): Serial number of period (1-12 for monthly presentation, 1-52 for weekly presentation). For weekly presentation, each week contains prices on sales that occurred from Friday to Thursday (e.g., Week 1 of 2021 represents sales between Friday, Jan. 1, 2021 and Thursday, Jan. 7, 2021, with the corresponding report published by the department on Friday, Jan. 8, 2021). For monthly presentation, each month contains simple average prices of weeks, which had more than two days of corresponding month in the period from Monday to Friday (e.g., if the first day of the month is Monday, Tuesday or Wednesday, monthly average includes this week; but if the first day of the month is Thursday or Friday, the weekly prices are included in monthly average prices of a previous month). Price (Price): Crop price for the corresponding period of time, in C$ per tonne Crop Category (Crop): Category of grains and oilseeds from the selection of:

Wheat, Northern Hard Red; Wheat, Western Red Spring; Wheat, Red Winter; Wheat, Special Purpose (Low Vomi); Barley, #1CW; Corn, #2; Oats, #2CW; Flaxseed, #1CW; Canola, #1CR; Canola Meal, 34%, Altona; Soybeans; Soymeal, 46%, Wpg; Peas, #2 Yellow.

These interactive charts illustrate prices offered for crops in Manitoba in current and previous years. The average prices for five previous years are presented for reference. The prices can be displayed by week or by month. Prices of different crops can be viewed on separate charts. The source data for this dashboard is the Manitoba Crop Prices Current Year table. This table contains weekly and monthly average prices for different Manitoba crops. Prices are based on Manitoba buyers weekly surveys along with other public sources. This table contains crop prices in the current and previous years, as well as five-year average weekly and monthly prices. Each weekly dataset contains prices on the sales that occurred from Friday to Thursday. The monthly price represents a simple average of the corresponding weekly prices. For more information on major crops in Manitoba please visit Crop Markets and Statistics.