Explore the intricate dynamics influencing crude oil prices, including supply-demand factors, geopolitical tensions, economic indicators, and market sentiment, to understand next week's forecast and prepare for potential volatility.

Crude Oil fell to 65.07 USD/Bbl on June 27, 2025, down 0.26% from the previous day. Over the past month, Crude Oil's price has risen 5.22%, but it is still 20.20% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Crude Oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

The annual price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is expected to reach an average of 61.81 U.S. dollars per barrel in 2025, according to a May 2025 forecast. This would be a decrease of roughly 15 U.S. dollar compared to the previous year. In the first months weeks of 2025, weekly crude oil prices largely stayed below 70 U.S. dollars per barrel amid trade tariffs and expected economic downturn. What are benchmark crudes? WTI is often used as a price reference point called a benchmark (or ”marker”) crude. This category includes Brent crude from the North Sea, Dubai Crude, as well as blends in the OPEC reference basket. WTI, Brent, and the OPEC basket have tended to trade closely, but since 2011, Brent has been selling at a higher annual spot price than WTI, largely due to increased oil production in the United States. What causes price volatility? Oil prices are historically volatile. While mostly shaped by demand and supply like all consumer goods, they may also be affected by production limits, a change in U.S. dollar value, and to an extent by market speculation. In 2022, the annual average price for WTI was close to the peak of nearly 100 U.S. dollars recorded in 2008. In the latter year, multiple factors, such as strikes in Nigeria, an oil sale stop in Venezuela, and the continuous increase in oil demand from China were partly responsible for the price surge. Higher oil prices allowed the pursuit of extraction methods previously deemed too expensive and risky, such as shale gas and tight oil production in the U.S. The widespread practice of fracturing source rocks for oil and gas extraction led to the oil glut in 2016 and made the U.S. the largest oil producer in the world.

Brent fell to 67.39 USD/Bbl on June 27, 2025, down 0.50% from the previous day. Over the past month, Brent's price has risen 4.77%, but it is still 20.72% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Brent crude oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

DoF Forecast: Brent Crude Oil Price data was reported at 68.300 USD/Barrel in 2023. This stayed constant from the previous number of 68.300 USD/Barrel for 2022. DoF Forecast: Brent Crude Oil Price data is updated yearly, averaging 72.400 USD/Barrel from Dec 2010 (Median) to 2023, with 14 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 111.900 USD/Barrel in 2012 and a record low of 44.000 USD/Barrel in 2016. DoF Forecast: Brent Crude Oil Price data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Department of Finance. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Ireland – Table IE.P005: Brent Crude Oil Price: Forecast.

Heating Oil fell to 2.24 USD/Gal on June 30, 2025, down 3.10% from the previous day. Over the past month, Heating Oil's price has risen 8.54%, but it is still 14.42% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Heating oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

Get the latest insights on price movement and trend analysis of Crude Oil in different regions across the world (Asia, Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Middle East Africa).

United States EIA Forecast: Crude Oil Price: Brent Spot Average data was reported at 71.000 USD/Barrel in Dec 2019. This stayed constant from the previous number of 71.000 USD/Barrel for Nov 2019. United States EIA Forecast: Crude Oil Price: Brent Spot Average data is updated monthly, averaging 62.750 USD/Barrel from Mar 2016 (Median) to Dec 2019, with 46 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 83.000 USD/Barrel in Oct 2018 and a record low of 34.000 USD/Barrel in Mar 2016. United States EIA Forecast: Crude Oil Price: Brent Spot Average data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Energy Information Administration. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.P003: Energy Price: Forecast: Energy Information Administration.

Crude oil stock price forecast is a prediction of the future movement and value of stock prices in the crude oil industry. This article explains the methods used in forecasting, such as time series analysis, regression analysis, and machine learning, and emphasizes the importance of considering multiple forecast models and consulting with financial experts for more accurate predictions.

Urals Oil fell to 63.77 USD/Bbl on June 26, 2025, down 0.76% from the previous day. Over the past month, Urals Oil's price has risen 10.62%, but it is still 20.34% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for Urals Crude.

As of the fourth quarter of 2024, oil prices in the United Kingdom stood at 74 dollars per barrel, with prices expected to rise to 76.6 dollars a barrel in early 2025, before gradually falling in subsequent quarters.

Interactive daily chart of Brent (Europe) crude oil prices over the last ten years. Values shown are daily closing prices.

SECO Forecast: Crude Oil Price: Brent data was reported at 66.500 USD/Barrel in 2020. This records an increase from the previous number of 64.600 USD/Barrel for 2019. SECO Forecast: Crude Oil Price: Brent data is updated yearly, averaging 66.500 USD/Barrel from Dec 2012 (Median) to 2020, with 9 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 112.000 USD/Barrel in 2012 and a record low of 43.300 USD/Barrel in 2016. SECO Forecast: Crude Oil Price: Brent data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by State Secretariat for Economic Affairs. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Switzerland – Table CH.P003: Crude Oil Price: Forecast.

In addition to their theoretical analysis of the joint determination of oil futures prices and oil spot prices, Alquist and Kilian (Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2010, 25(4), 539-573) compare the out-of-sample accuracy of the random walk forecast with that of forecasts based on oil futures prices and other predictors. The results of my replication exercise are very similar to the original forecast accuracy results, but the relative accuracy of the random walk forecast and the futures-based forecast changes when the sample is extended to August 2016, consistent with the results of several other recent studies by Kilian and co-authors.

The global crude oil market size reached approximately 100.50 MB/d in 2024. The market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 0.90% between 2025 and 2034, reaching around 109.92 MB/d by 2034.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

S&P GSCI Crude Oil Index: A Reliable Gauge of Global Oil Prices?

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

Crude Oil Market Outlook

As of 2023, the global crude oil market size was valued at approximately USD 1.3 trillion, and it is expected to reach USD 1.7 trillion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.0% during the forecast period. The growth of this market is fueled by increasing demand in various industrial applications, coupled with advancements in extraction technologies that have made previously unrecoverable reserves accessible. Furthermore, the ongoing industrialization in emerging economies and the rising global energy demand are significant factors contributing to the market expansion. These factors are expected to consistently drive the crude oil market over the coming decade, despite growing environmental concerns and the push for renewable energy sources.

The primary growth factor for the crude oil market is the expanding global transportation sector, which remains heavily reliant on fossil fuels. As both personal and commercial transportation increases, so does the demand for crude oil, as it is the primary raw material for the production of fuels like gasoline, diesel, and aviation fuel. This is particularly evident in regions with burgeoning automotive markets and aviation sectors, where there is a continuous need to meet the energy requirements. Moreover, the development of infrastructure in developing countries is further bolstering the consumption of crude oil, especially in sectors such as road and air transport, which are pivotal to economic progress.

Another significant factor contributing to the growth of the crude oil market is its broad application base across various industrial sectors. Crude oil is not only a vital energy source but also a critical input for numerous petrochemical products, which are integral to industries such as plastics, pharmaceuticals, and chemicals. The industrial demand for crude oil is expected to remain robust as these sectors continue to expand, driven by technological innovations and a growing global population. Additionally, the power generation sector still relies on crude oil, albeit to a lesser extent, maintaining a steady demand alongside the increasing share of renewable energy sources.

Technological advancements in extraction techniques like hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling have unlocked new reserves, contributing significantly to supply-side growth. These technologies have made it economically viable to extract oil from unconventional sources such as shale formations and deep-sea reserves. This has not only increased the global supply of crude oil but also enhanced the competitiveness of oil-producing countries, particularly the United States, which has emerged as a major player in the global market. As technology continues to evolve, it is expected to further streamline production processes, reduce costs, and open up new areas for exploration.

Regionally, the Asia Pacific region is projected to witness the highest growth in the crude oil market, driven by rapid industrialization and urbanization in countries like China and India. The region's demand for energy is skyrocketing, fueled by economic development and an increasing population. North America remains significant due to advancements in extraction technologies and substantial shale reserves. Meanwhile, the Middle East and Africa continue to hold strategic importance due to their vast conventional oil reserves. Europe and Latin America, while also important markets, are expected to grow at a more moderate pace as they balance energy needs with sustainability initiatives.

Type Analysis

The crude oil market is segmented by type into light, medium, and heavy crude oil. Light crude oil is highly sought after due to its high yield of valuable products such as gasoline and diesel upon refining. It is generally preferred by refineries because of its lower sulfur content and ease of processing, resulting in lower overall production costs. The demand for light crude oil is expected to remain strong as refineries continue to upgrade and optimize their processes to produce cleaner fuels. Moreover, the development of new refining technologies may further enhance the processing efficiency of light crude, sustaining its demand in the market.

Medium crude oil, characterized by its balanced sulfur content and density, serves as a versatile feedstock for refineries across the globe. Although not as easily processed as light crude, medium crude oil provides a good yield of both light and heavy petroleum products. Its market demand is also driven by the flexibility it offers refineries in terms of product output. In regions wit

Replication package for "A Reappraisal of Real-Time Forecasts of the Real Price of Oil"Abstract: We replicate Baumeister and Kilian (2012) to reappraise real-time forecasts of the real price of crude oil against the end-of-month no-change forecast, the equivalent naive benchmark used for asset prices. We find no consistently significant improvements in the predictive accuracy of model-based forecasts over this naive benchmark at short horizons. Only futures-based forecasts consistently outperform the end-of-month no-change forecast, and only at longer horizons. These results challenge the consensus on the predictability of the real price of crude oil and the merits of alternative forecast approaches. Our findings motivate broader reassessment and replication of forecasting models of temporally aggregated series.

Explore the dynamic factors influencing Brent crude oil prices, including geopolitical tensions, supply-demand shifts, economic trends, and technological advancements. This comprehensive analysis highlights how these elements shape future price forecasts.

Palm Oil traded flat at 4,012 MYR/T on June 27, 2025. Over the past month, Palm Oil's price has risen 2.90%, and is up 2.45% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Palm Oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.