Analysis of ‘Crypto Fear and Greed Index’ provided by Analyst-2 (analyst-2.ai), based on source dataset retrieved from https://www.kaggle.com/adelsondias/crypto-fear-and-greed-index on 13 February 2022.

--- Dataset description provided by original source is as follows ---

Crypto Fear and Greed Index

Each day, the website https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/ publishes this index based on analysis of emotions and sentiments from different sources crunched into one simple number: The Fear & Greed Index for Bitcoin and other large cryptocurrencies.

Why Measure Fear and Greed?

The crypto market behaviour is very emotional. People tend to get greedy when the market is rising which results in FOMO (Fear of missing out). Also, people often sell their coins in irrational reaction of seeing red numbers. With our Fear and Greed Index, we try to save you from your own emotional overreactions. There are two simple assumptions:

• Extreme fear can be a sign that investors are too worried. That could be a buying opportunity.
• When Investors are getting too greedy, that means the market is due for a correction.

Therefore, we analyze the current sentiment of the Bitcoin market and crunch the numbers into a simple meter from 0 to 100. Zero means "Extreme Fear", while 100 means "Extreme Greed". See below for further information on our data sources.

Data Sources

We are gathering data from the five following sources. Each data point is valued the same as the day before in order to visualize a meaningful progress in sentiment change of the crypto market.

First of all, the current index is for bitcoin only (we offer separate indices for large alt coins soon), because a big part of it is the volatility of the coin price.

But let’s list all the different factors we’re including in the current index:

Volatility (25 %)

We’re measuring the current volatility and max. drawdowns of bitcoin and compare it with the corresponding average values of the last 30 days and 90 days. We argue that an unusual rise in volatility is a sign of a fearful market.

Market Momentum/Volume (25%)

Also, we’re measuring the current volume and market momentum (again in comparison with the last 30/90 day average values) and put those two values together. Generally, when we see high buying volumes in a positive market on a daily basis, we conclude that the market acts overly greedy / too bullish.

Social Media (15%)

While our reddit sentiment analysis is still not in the live index (we’re still experimenting some market-related key words in the text processing algorithm), our twitter analysis is running. There, we gather and count posts on various hashtags for each coin (publicly, we show only those for Bitcoin) and check how fast and how many interactions they receive in certain time frames). A unusual high interaction rate results in a grown public interest in the coin and in our eyes, corresponds to a greedy market behaviour.

Surveys (15%) currently paused

Together with strawpoll.com (disclaimer: we own this site, too), quite a large public polling platform, we’re conducting weekly crypto polls and ask people how they see the market. Usually, we’re seeing 2,000 - 3,000 votes on each poll, so we do get a picture of the sentiment of a group of crypto investors. We don’t give those results too much attention, but it was quite useful in the beginning of our studies. You can see some recent results here.

Dominance (10%)

The dominance of a coin resembles the market cap share of the whole crypto market. Especially for Bitcoin, we think that a rise in Bitcoin dominance is caused by a fear of (and thus a reduction of) too speculative alt-coin investments, since Bitcoin is becoming more and more the safe haven of crypto. On the other side, when Bitcoin dominance shrinks, people are getting more greedy by investing in more risky alt-coins, dreaming of their chance in next big bull run. Anyhow, analyzing the dominance for a coin other than Bitcoin, you could argue the other way round, since more interest in an alt-coin may conclude a bullish/greedy behaviour for that specific coin.

Trends (10%)

We pull Google Trends data for various Bitcoin related search queries and crunch those numbers, especially the change of search volumes as well as recommended other currently popular searches. For example, if you check Google Trends for "Bitcoin", you can’t get much information from the search volume. But currently, you can see that there is currently a +1,550% rise of the query „bitcoin price manipulation“ in the box of related search queries (as of 05/29/2018). This is clearly a sign of fear in the market, and we use that for our index.

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Copyright disclaimer

This dataset is produced and maintained by the administrators of https://alternative.me/crypto/fear-and-greed-index/.

This published version is an unofficial copy of their data, which can be also collected using their API (e.g., GET https://api.alternative.me/fng/?limit=10&format=csv&date_format=us).

--- Original source retains full ownership of the source dataset ---

Description

This dataset, titled "Cryptocurrency Market Sentiment & Prediction," is a synthetic collection of real-time crypto market data designed for advanced analysis and predictive modeling. It captures a comprehensive range of features including price movements, social sentiment, news impact, and trading patterns for 10 major cryptocurrencies. Tailored for data scientists and analysts, this dataset is ideal for exploring market volatility, sentiment analysis, and price prediction, particularly in the context of significant events like the Bitcoin halving in 2024 and increasing institutional adoption.

Key Features Overview: - Price Movements: Tracks current prices and 24-hour price change percentages to reflect market dynamics. - Social Sentiment: Measures sentiment scores from social media platforms, ranging from -1 (negative) to 1 (positive), to gauge public perception. - News Sentiment and Impact: Evaluates sentiment from news sources and quantifies their potential impact on market behavior. - Trading Patterns: Includes data on 24-hour trading volumes and market capitalization, crucial for understanding market activity. - Technical Indicators: Features metrics like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), volatility index, and fear/greed index for in-depth technical analysis. - Prediction Confidence: Provides a confidence score for predictive models, aiding in assessing forecast reliability.

Purpose and Applications: - Perfect for machine learning tasks such as price prediction, sentiment-price correlation studies, and volatility classification. - Supports time series analysis for forecasting price movements and identifying volatility clusters. - Valuable for research into the influence of social media and news on cryptocurrency markets, especially during high-impact events.

Dataset Scope: - Covers a simulated 30-day period, offering a snapshot of market behavior under varying conditions. - Focuses on major cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Cardano, Solana, and others, ensuring relevance to current market trends.

Dataset Structure Table:

Dataset Statistics Table:

This dataset is a powerful resource for machine learning projects, sentiment analysis, and crypto market research, providing a robust foundation for AI/ML model development and testing.

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