19 datasets found
  1. Commercial real estate cap rates in the U.S. 2012-2023 with a forecast until...

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 20, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Commercial real estate cap rates in the U.S. 2012-2023 with a forecast until 2026 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/245008/us-commercial-property-cap-rates/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 20, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Retail properties had the highest capitalization rates in the United States in 2023, followed by offices. The cap rate for office real estate was **** percent in the fourth quarter of the year and was forecast to rise further to **** percent in 2024. Cap rates measure the expected rate of return on investment, and show the net operating income of a property as a percentage share of the current asset value. While a higher cap rate indicates a higher rate of return, it also suggests a higher risk. Why have cap rates increased? The increase in cap rates is a consequence of a repricing in the commercial real estate sector. According to the National NCREIF Property Return Index, prices for commercial real estate declined across all property types in 2023. Rental growth was slow during the same period, resulting in a negative annual return. The increase in cap rates reflects the increased risk in the investment environment. Pricing uncertainty in the commercial real estate sector Between 2014 and 2021, commercial property prices in the U.S. enjoyed steady growth. Access to credit with low interest rates facilitated economic growth and real estate investment. As inflation surged in the following two years, lending policy tightened. That had a significant effect on the sector. First, it worsened sentiment among occupiers. Second, it led to a decline in demand for commercial spaces and commercial real estate investment volumes. Uncertainty about the future development of interest rates and occupier demand further contributed to the repricing of real estate assets.

  2. Average cap rate of commercial real estate in the U.S. 2024, by property...

    • statista.com
    Updated Apr 23, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Average cap rate of commercial real estate in the U.S. 2024, by property type [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1499721/commercial-property-cap-rate-by-type/
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 23, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Dollar stores with single tenant net leases in the United States had an average cap rate of 7.34 percent as of the fourth quarter of 2024. That made them the property type with the second-highest cap rate. Conversely, convenience stores had a cap rate of 5.5 percent, the lowest among the property types observed. Triple net leases (NNN) are single tenant leases, where in addition to rent and utilities, the tenant is responsible for the additional property expenses, including taxes, insurance, and maintenance. These leases are common for office, retail, industrial, and logistics properties.

  3. Industrial real estate cap rates in the U.S. 2012-2023 with a forecast until...

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jun 23, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Industrial real estate cap rates in the U.S. 2012-2023 with a forecast until 2026 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1394232/us-industrial-property-cap-rates/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 23, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The cap rate for industrial and logistics real estate in the United States grew in 2023, after hitting a record-low in 2023. In the fourth quarter of 2023, the cap rate was **** percent and by the end of 2026, it was forecast to decline to **** percent. Cap rates measure the expected rate of return on investment properties and are calculated by dividing the net operating income of the property by the current asset value. While a higher cap rate indicates a higher rate of return, it is also associated with higher risk, such as declining property values.

  4. d

    Assessor - Commercial Valuation Data

    • catalog.data.gov
    • datacatalog.cookcountyil.gov
    • +1more
    Updated Apr 12, 2025
    + more versions
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    datacatalog.cookcountyil.gov (2025). Assessor - Commercial Valuation Data [Dataset]. https://catalog.data.gov/dataset/assessor-commercial-valuation-data
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 12, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    datacatalog.cookcountyil.gov
    Description

    Commercial valuation data collected and maintained by the Cook County Assessor's Office, from 2021 to present. The office uses this data primarily for valuation and reporting. This dataset consolidates the individual Excel workbooks available on the Assessor's website into a single shared format. Properties are valued using similar valuation methods within each model group, per township, per year (in the year the township is reassessed). This dataset has been cleaned minimally, only enough to fit the source Excel workbooks together - because models are updated for each township in the year it is reassessed, users should expect inconsistencies within columns across time and townships. When working with Parcel Index Numbers (PINs) make sure to zero-pad them to 14 digits. Some datasets may lose leading zeros for PINs when downloaded. This data is property-level. Each 14-digit key PIN represents one commercial property. Commercial properties can and often do encompass multiple PINs. Additional notes: Current property class codes, their levels of assessment, and descriptions can be found on the Assessor's website. Note that class codes details can change across time. Data will be updated yearly, once the Assessor has finished mailing first pass values. If users need more up-to-date information they can access it through the Assessor's website. The Assessor's Office reassesses roughly one third of the county (a triad) each year. For commercial valuations, this means each year of data only contain the triad that was reassessed that year. Which triads and their constituent townships have been reassessed recently as well the year of their reassessment can be found in the Assessor's assessment calendar. One KeyPIN is one Commercial Entity. Each KeyPIN (entity) can be comprised of one single PIN (parcel), or multiple PINs as designated in the pins column. Additionally, each KeyPIN might have multiple rows if it is associated with different class codes or model groups. This can occur because many of Cook County's parcels have multiple class codes associated with them if they have multiple uses (such as residential and commercial). Users should not expect this data to be unique by any combination of available columns. Commercial properties are calculated by first determining a property’s use (office, retail, apartments, industrial, etc.), then the property is grouped with similar or like-kind property types. Next, income generated by the property such as rent or incidental income streams like parking or advertising signage is examined. Next, market-level vacancy based on location and property type is examined. In addition, new construction that has not yet been leased is also considered. Finally, expenses such as property taxes, insurance, repair and maintenance costs, property management fees, and service expenditures for professional services are examined. Once a snapshot of a property’s income statement is captured based on market data, a standard valuation metric called a “capitalization rate” to convert income to value is applied. This data was used to produce initial valuations mailed to property owners. It does not incorporate any subsequent changes to a property’s class, characteristics, valuation, or assessed value from appeals.Township codes can be found in the legend of this map. For more information on the sourcing of attached data and the preparation of this datase

  5. Grade A office cap rate in APAC 2025, by city and location

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 3, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Grade A office cap rate in APAC 2025, by city and location [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1234059/apac-grade-a-office-cap-rate-by-city/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 3, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Apr 10, 2025 - Apr 30, 2025
    Area covered
    Asia, APAC
    Description

    As of March 2025, grade A offices in core locations in Bengaluru, India, had a median cap rate of around *** percent. In comparison, the median cap rate of grade A offices in core locations in Taipei, Taiwan, was around *** percent as of March 2025.

  6. Cap rates of industrial and logistics real estate in Canada 2024, by market

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jul 10, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Cap rates of industrial and logistics real estate in Canada 2024, by market [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1394774/cap-rates-of-industrial-real-estate-canada-by-market/
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 10, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Canada
    Description

    Vancouver had the lowest cap rate for industrial and logistics real estate across different Canadian markets in 2023. The capitalization rate measures the rate of return on commercial properties and is calculated by dividing the net operating income of a property by its asset value. While a higher rate might promise higher return, it is also an indication of a riskier asset. In the first quarter of the year, the average cap rate for class A and B industrial and logistics properties in Vancouver was *** percent, while in Toronto, it stood at **** percent.

  7. Cap rates of different types of commercial property in Canada Q1 2023

    • statista.com
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    Statista, Cap rates of different types of commercial property in Canada Q1 2023 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/187649/prospected-capitalization-rates-for-canadian-real-estate-by-property-type/
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    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Canada
    Description

    Multifamily buildings had some of the lowest cap rates in Canada in the first quarter of 2023. For class A multifamily high rise buildings, investors could expect a capitalization rate of **** percent, while for class AA downtown offices, the cap rate was **** percent. The capitalization rate measures the rate of return on commercial properties and is calculated by dividing the net operating income of a property by its asset value. While a higher rate might promise higher return, it is also an indication of a riskier asset.

  8. Multifamily real estate cap rates in the U.S. 2012-2023 with a forecast...

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 23, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Multifamily real estate cap rates in the U.S. 2012-2023 with a forecast until 2026 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1484309/us-multifamily-property-cap-rates/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 23, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Cap rates in the U.S. multifamily real estate sector have increased significantly since 2021, reflecting a rise in borrowing costs. In 2023, the average multifamily cap rate was **** percent, up **** percent in 2021, when it was at its low. By 2026, the average multifamily cap rate is forecast to decline slightly, to **** percent.

  9. Commercial real estate investment value in the U.S. 2019-2024, by property...

    • statista.com
    Updated Feb 14, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Commercial real estate investment value in the U.S. 2019-2024, by property type [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1215470/property-investment-volumes-usa-by-property-type/
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    Dataset updated
    Feb 14, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Amid a worsening economic climate, the value of commercial real estate investment in the U.S. plummeted in 2023, with a mild increase in 2024. According to industry professionals, the biggest factors impacting the real estate industry in 2025 are the rising cost of finance, and declining capital availability. Development of commercial real estate cap rates in the U.S. Cap rates started to increase in 2022, reflecting a decline in property values. According to the forecast, cap rates for commercial real estate are expected to peak in 2024, followed by a steady decline. Cap rates measure the expected rate of return on investment properties and are calculated by dividing the net operating income of the property by the current asset value. While a higher cap rate indicates a higher rate of return, it is also associated with higher risk. Which property type has the best development prospects? In 2025, the development opportunities in the commercial real estate sector deemed the best for single-family real estate. Industrial and distribution real estate, including warehouses, factories, and big box distribution centers, was also ranked high.

  10. Cap rates of industrial and logistics real estate in the APAC region 2024,...

    • statista.com
    Updated Jul 15, 2024
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    Statista (2024). Cap rates of industrial and logistics real estate in the APAC region 2024, by market [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1394781/cap-rates-of-industrial-real-estate-apac-by-market/
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 15, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Apr 11, 2023 - Apr 26, 2023
    Area covered
    South Korea, Australia, Hong Kong, China, India, Singapore
    Description

    Taipei, Tokyo, and Osaka were the markets with the lowest cap rates for logistics real estate among the Asia-Pacific (APAC) markets listed. Traditional logistics facilities in Taipei had a market cap of **** percent in the first quarter of 2024, while the market capitalization of institutional grade logistics even lower, at *** percent. The cap rate measures the rate of return on commercial properties and is calculated by dividing the net operating income of a property by its asset value. While a higher rate might promise higher return, it is also an indication of a riskier asset.

  11. Australia Commercial Real Estate Market Size, Trends, Outlook, 2030

    • mordorintelligence.com
    pdf,excel,csv,ppt
    Updated Jun 16, 2025
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    Mordor Intelligence (2025). Australia Commercial Real Estate Market Size, Trends, Outlook, 2030 [Dataset]. https://www.mordorintelligence.com/industry-reports/commercial-real-estate-market-in-australia
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    pdf,excel,csv,pptAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 16, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Mordor Intelligence
    License

    https://www.mordorintelligence.com/privacy-policyhttps://www.mordorintelligence.com/privacy-policy

    Time period covered
    2019 - 2030
    Area covered
    Australia
    Description

    The Australia Commercial Real Estate Market Report is Segmented by Property Type (Offices, Retail and More), by Business Model (Rental and Sales), by End User (Individuals / Households, Corporates & SMEs and More) and by Region (New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland and More). The Report Offers Market Size and Forecasts in Value (USD) for all the Above Segments.

  12. C

    Canada Office Real Estate Market Report

    • marketreportanalytics.com
    doc, pdf, ppt
    Updated Apr 24, 2025
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    Market Report Analytics (2025). Canada Office Real Estate Market Report [Dataset]. https://www.marketreportanalytics.com/reports/canada-office-real-estate-market-91997
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    pdf, doc, pptAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Apr 24, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Market Report Analytics
    License

    https://www.marketreportanalytics.com/privacy-policyhttps://www.marketreportanalytics.com/privacy-policy

    Time period covered
    2025 - 2033
    Area covered
    Canada
    Variables measured
    Market Size
    Description

    The Canadian office real estate market, currently valued at approximately $XX million (assuming a reasonable market size based on comparable markets and the provided CAGR), is experiencing robust growth, projected to maintain a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) exceeding 8% from 2025 to 2033. This expansion is driven by several key factors. Firstly, the flourishing technology sector in major cities like Toronto, Montreal, and Ottawa is fueling significant demand for modern office spaces. Secondly, increasing urbanization and population growth within these metropolitan areas are contributing to a tightening of the office supply, further pushing rental rates upward. Finally, ongoing investments in infrastructure and a generally positive economic outlook in Canada contribute to a favorable environment for real estate investment. Major players like JLL, Colliers, CBRE Canada, and Avison Young are actively shaping the market dynamics, with significant developments and acquisitions influencing market trends. However, the market is not without its challenges. Rising interest rates and economic uncertainty present potential headwinds, impacting investment decisions and potentially slowing down growth in the short term. Furthermore, the increasing adoption of hybrid work models by many companies could lead to a decrease in overall demand for traditional office spaces, though the extent of this impact remains to be seen. The market's resilience will depend on the ability of developers and landlords to adapt to these evolving workplace trends, embracing flexible lease terms and innovative building designs to attract and retain tenants. The segmentation of the market by major cities highlights the regional variations in growth, with Toronto likely remaining a dominant force due to its established financial and technological hubs. A comprehensive understanding of these dynamic factors is crucial for investors and stakeholders navigating this evolving landscape. Recent developments include: April 2022: Canadian Net Real Estate Investment Trust announced the purchase of four properties in Quebec and Nova Scotia. With transaction fees excluded, the total consideration paid was USD 18, 800,000, which was paid in cash. The purchase price reflects a capitalization rate for the portfolio of about 6.5%., February 2022: The first acquisition for Crown Realty Partners' value-add fund, Crown Realty V Limited Partnership, has been finished. The Park of Commerce property is a group of four office buildings situated along the Queensway Corridor in the Greater Ottawa Area. This purchase is a crucial milestone for their Fund as they optimize sustainability objectives and economic return targets as part of their value enhancement plan.. Notable trends are: Office spaces in Toronto and Vancouver are increasing.

  13. REIT Market Analysis North America, APAC, Europe, South America, Middle East...

    • technavio.com
    Updated Feb 18, 2025
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    Technavio (2025). REIT Market Analysis North America, APAC, Europe, South America, Middle East and Africa - US, Canada, China, UK, Germany, Japan, India, France, Singapore, Italy - Size and Forecast 2025-2029 [Dataset]. https://www.technavio.com/report/reit-market-analysis
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    Dataset updated
    Feb 18, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    TechNavio
    Authors
    Technavio
    Time period covered
    2021 - 2025
    Area covered
    Global
    Description

    Snapshot img

    REIT Market Size 2025-2029

    The reit market size is forecast to increase by USD 372.8 billion, at a CAGR of 3% between 2024 and 2029.

    The market is experiencing significant growth driven by the increasing global demand for warehousing and storage facilities. This trend is fueled by the e-commerce sector's continued expansion, leading to an increased need for efficient logistics and distribution networks. An emerging trend in the market is the rise of self-storage as a service, offering investors attractive returns and catering to the growing consumer preference for flexible and convenient storage solutions. However, the market faces challenges as well. Vertical integration by e-commerce companies poses a threat to the industry, as these companies increasingly control the entire supply chain from production to delivery, potentially reducing the need for third-party logistics and storage providers. Additionally, regulatory changes and economic uncertainties can impact REITs' profitability and investor confidence. Companies seeking to capitalize on market opportunities and navigate challenges effectively must stay informed of these trends and adapt to the evolving landscape.

    What will be the Size of the REIT Market during the forecast period?

    Explore in-depth regional segment analysis with market size data - historical 2019-2023 and forecasts 2025-2029 - in the full report.
    Request Free SampleThe market continues to evolve, with various sectors such as retail, industrial, and commercial real estate experiencing dynamic shifts. Family offices, pension funds, high-net-worth individuals, and sovereign wealth funds increasingly invest in this asset class, seeking diversification and stable returns. Market volatility, driven by economic cycles and interest rate fluctuations, influences investment strategies. Artificial intelligence and property technology are transforming the industry, with data analytics and digital platforms streamlining property management, investment, and appraisal processes. Multifamily housing and single-family homes remain popular choices due to their rental income potential and capital appreciation opportunities. Property taxes, inflation risk, and maintenance costs are essential considerations for investors, requiring effective risk management strategies. Net operating income, return on equity, and occupancy rates are critical performance metrics. Regulatory environment and property regulations also impact the market, influencing capitalization rates and shareholder value. Institutional investors explore equity and debt financing, real estate brokerage, and securities offerings to capitalize on opportunities. Property investment platforms, real estate syndications, and property management companies facilitate access to diverse offerings. Green building standards and sustainable development are gaining traction, attracting socially responsible investors. The ongoing digital transformation of the real estate sector, including smart buildings and hybrid REITs, offers new investment opportunities and challenges. Investors must stay informed of market trends and adapt their strategies accordingly.

    How is this REIT Industry segmented?

    The reit industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments. TypeIndustrialCommercialResidentialApplicationWarehouses and communication centersSelf-storage facilities and data centersOthersProduct TypeTriple netDouble netModified gross leaseFull servicePercentageGeographyNorth AmericaUSCanadaEuropeFranceGermanyItalyUKAPACChinaIndiaJapanSingaporeRest of World (ROW).

    By Type Insights

    The industrial segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.The retail and industrial real estate sectors dominate the market, with industrial real estate leading in 2024. The industrial segment's growth is driven by the increasing demand for warehousing space due to the surge in e-commerce and online sales during the COVID-19 pandemic. Supply chain disruptions have compelled companies to lease more warehouse space to store additional inventory, leading to increased occupancy and rental rates. Furthermore, the proximity of fulfillment centers to metropolitan areas caters to the growing number of online consumers. This trend will continue to fuel the expansion of industrial REITs, offering significant growth opportunities for the market. Asset management companies, pension funds, and high-net-worth individuals are increasingly investing in REITs for their attractive dividend yields and potential for capital appreciation. Private equity firms and family offices are also active players in the market, providing equity financing for REITs. Real estate agents and brokers facilitate transactions, while debt

  14. Average cap rate for single-tenant net lease (STNL) in the U.S. 2022-2024,...

    • statista.com
    Updated Jul 10, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Average cap rate for single-tenant net lease (STNL) in the U.S. 2022-2024, by month [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1499673/stnl-cap-rate-usa/
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 10, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Apr 2022 - Mar 2024
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The average cap rate for single-tenant net lease (STNL) in the U.S. increased between 2022 and 2024. Cap rates show the rate of return investors expect from the investment property. In March 2024, the cap rate was **** percent, up from *** percent in April 2022.

  15. Data center cap rate in APAC 2025, by city

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 3, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Data center cap rate in APAC 2025, by city [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1359629/apac-data-center-cap-rate/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 3, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Apr 10, 2025 - Apr 30, 2025
    Area covered
    Asia, APAC
    Description

    As of March 2025, data centers in Gurgaon, India, had a median cap rate of about ***** percent. In comparison, the cap rate of data centers in Tokyo, Japan, was around *** percent as of March 2025.

  16. National NCREIF Property Index returns in the U.S. 2007-2024

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 20, 2025
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    Statista (2025). National NCREIF Property Index returns in the U.S. 2007-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/376854/ncreif-index-returns-usa/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 20, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    In 2023, the return of the national NCREIF Property Index in the United States declined for the first time since 2009. The annualized total return of the index plummeted in 2023, followed by a slight increase in 2024. Just three years ago, in 2021, the rate of return of the index hit **** percent. The NCREIF Property Index reflects the change in prices of commercial real estate for investment purposes in the United States. Property types with the highest cap rates Cap rates, which measure the expected return rate of a real estate asset, were the highest for retail properties in 2023. While a higher cap rate indicates a higher rate of return, it is also associated with higher risk: The multifamily sector, which has enjoyed steady and robust growth in recent years, had the lowest cap rate of all commercial property types. Commercial property area with the best development prospects In 2025, the real estate development opportunities for single-family housing were deemed to be the best when compared with other types of commercial property. Industrial real estate includes warehouses, factories, and big box distribution centers.

  17. Prime yields for commercial real estate in Germany 2019-2023, by property...

    • statista.com
    Updated Mar 13, 2024
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    Statista (2024). Prime yields for commercial real estate in Germany 2019-2023, by property type [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1022841/average-prime-yields-for-commercial-real-estate-in-germany/
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    Dataset updated
    Mar 13, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Germany
    Description

    Prime yields increased for all property types in the commercial real estate sector in Germany between 2021 and 2023. Multifamily housing had the lowest yield as of the third quarter of 2023, at 3.6 percent. Conversely, and the highest for shopping centers, amounting to 5.5 percent.

  18. Shopping mall cap rate in APAC 2025, by city and location

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 3, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Shopping mall cap rate in APAC 2025, by city and location [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1255160/apac-shopping-mall-cap-rate-by-city/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 3, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Apr 10, 2025 - Apr 30, 2025
    Area covered
    Asia, APAC
    Description

    As of March 2025, shopping malls in core locations in Wellington, New Zealand, had a median cap rate of around ****. In comparison, the median cap rate of shopping malls in core location in Tokyo, Japan, was around *** as of March 2025.

  19. Prime yields of commercial property in the UK 2022-2025, by property type

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 27, 2025
    + more versions
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    Statista (2025). Prime yields of commercial property in the UK 2022-2025, by property type [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/975962/commercial-real-estate-prime-yields-in-united-kingdom/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 27, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The prime yields in the UK expanded across most property types between 2022 and 2025. In April 2025, yields were the lowest in the London West End offices market at *****percent. In contrast, shopping center yields stood at ****percent. Yield is an indicator for the expected return of a property investment and is calculated as the ratio of rental income and the property value. Several factors can drive yields - increased demand could raise property values, causing lower yields, while a fall in demand could create the opposite effect. Which is the largest commercial real estate sector in the UK? Office real estate has traditionally accounted for the lion’s share of the commercial property investment market, but since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, investors’ interest has shifted towards industrial real estate. With the e-commerce sector growing and supply chain management becoming more important than ever, so has the industrial and logistic sector. This increase in importance is also reflected in the occupiers market, with the annual take-up exceeding the ten-year average for three years in a row. How is the commercial property market expected to develop in the coming years? The industrial and logistic property market is forecast to outperform retail and offices in terms of capital value growth in the period between 2025 and 2028. According to the same forecast, rental growth is expected to turn positive for all property types in 2025, except for shopping centers.

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Statista (2025). Commercial real estate cap rates in the U.S. 2012-2023 with a forecast until 2026 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/245008/us-commercial-property-cap-rates/
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Commercial real estate cap rates in the U.S. 2012-2023 with a forecast until 2026

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Dataset updated
Jun 20, 2025
Dataset authored and provided by
Statistahttp://statista.com/
Area covered
United States
Description

Retail properties had the highest capitalization rates in the United States in 2023, followed by offices. The cap rate for office real estate was **** percent in the fourth quarter of the year and was forecast to rise further to **** percent in 2024. Cap rates measure the expected rate of return on investment, and show the net operating income of a property as a percentage share of the current asset value. While a higher cap rate indicates a higher rate of return, it also suggests a higher risk. Why have cap rates increased? The increase in cap rates is a consequence of a repricing in the commercial real estate sector. According to the National NCREIF Property Return Index, prices for commercial real estate declined across all property types in 2023. Rental growth was slow during the same period, resulting in a negative annual return. The increase in cap rates reflects the increased risk in the investment environment. Pricing uncertainty in the commercial real estate sector Between 2014 and 2021, commercial property prices in the U.S. enjoyed steady growth. Access to credit with low interest rates facilitated economic growth and real estate investment. As inflation surged in the following two years, lending policy tightened. That had a significant effect on the sector. First, it worsened sentiment among occupiers. Second, it led to a decline in demand for commercial spaces and commercial real estate investment volumes. Uncertainty about the future development of interest rates and occupier demand further contributed to the repricing of real estate assets.

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