100+ datasets found
  1. Prediction of 10 year U.S. Treasury note rates 2019-2025

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jun 26, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Prediction of 10 year U.S. Treasury note rates 2019-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/247565/monthly-average-10-year-us-treasury-note-yield-2012-2013/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jun 26, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Sep 2019 - Aug 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    In December 2024, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by August 2025. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

  2. F

    Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 20-Year Constant Maturity,...

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jul 11, 2025
    + more versions
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    (2025). Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 20-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS20
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    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 11, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 20-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS20) from 1962-01-02 to 2025-07-10 about 20-year, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

  3. Worldwide 10-year government bond yield by country 2024

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jun 24, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Worldwide 10-year government bond yield by country 2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1211855/ten-year-government-bond-yield-country/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 24, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Dec 30, 2024
    Area covered
    Worldwide
    Description

    As of December 30, 2024, the major economy with the highest yield on 10-year government bonds was Turkey, with a yield of ***** percent. This is due to the risks investors take when investing in Turkey, notably due to high inflation rates potentially eradicating any profits made when using a foreign currency to investing in securities denominated in Turkish lira. Of the major developed economies, United States had one the highest yield on 10-year government bonds at this time with **** percent, while Switzerland had the lowest at **** percent. How does inflation influence the yields of government bonds? Inflation reduces purchasing power over time. Due to this, investors seek higher returns to offset the anticipated decrease in purchasing power resulting from rapid price rises. In countries with high inflation, government bond yields often incorporate investor expectations and risk premiums, resulting in comparatively higher rates offered by these bonds. Why are government bond rates significant? Government bond rates are an important indicator of financial markets, serving as a benchmark for borrowing costs, interest rates, and investor sentiment. They affect the cost of government borrowing, influence the price of various financial instruments, and serve as a reflection of expectations regarding inflation and economic growth. For instance, in financial analysis and investing, people often use the 10-year U.S. government bond rates as a proxy for the longer-term risk-free rate.

  4. F

    Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity,...

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jul 11, 2025
    + more versions
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    (2025). Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS30
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    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 11, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS30) from 1977-02-15 to 2025-07-10 about 30-year, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

  5. Treasury yield curve in the U.S. 2025

    • statista.com
    Updated Apr 16, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Treasury yield curve in the U.S. 2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1058454/yield-curve-usa/
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 16, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Apr 16, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    As of April 16, 2025, the yield for a ten-year U.S. government bond was 4.34 percent, while the yield for a two-year bond was 3.86 percent. This represents an inverted yield curve, whereby bonds of longer maturities provide a lower yield, reflecting investors' expectations for a decline in long-term interest rates. Hence, making long-term debt holders open to more risk under the uncertainty around the condition of financial markets in the future. That markets are uncertain can be seen by considering both the short-term fluctuations, and the long-term downward trend, of the yields of U.S. government bonds from 2006 to 2021, before the treasury yield curve increased again significantly in the following years. What are government bonds? Government bonds, otherwise called ‘sovereign’ or ‘treasury’ bonds, are financial instruments used by governments to raise money for government spending. Investors give the government a certain amount of money (the ‘face value’), to be repaid at a specified time in the future (the ‘maturity date’). In addition, the government makes regular periodic interest payments (called ‘coupon payments’). Once initially issued, government bonds are tradable on financial markets, meaning their value can fluctuate over time (even though the underlying face value and coupon payments remain the same). Investors are attracted to government bonds as, provided the country in question has a stable economy and political system, they are a very safe investment. Accordingly, in periods of economic turmoil, investors may be willing to accept a negative overall return in order to have a safe haven for their money. For example, once the market value is compared to the total received from remaining interest payments and the face value, investors have been willing to accept a negative return on two-year German government bonds between 2014 and 2021. Conversely, if the underlying economy and political structures are weak, investors demand a higher return to compensate for the higher risk they take on. Consequently, the return on bonds in emerging markets like Brazil are consistently higher than that of the United States (and other developed economies). Inverted yield curves When investors are worried about the financial future, it can lead to what is called an ‘inverted yield curve’. An inverted yield curve is where investors pay more for short term bonds than long term, indicating they do not have confidence in long-term financial conditions. Historically, the yield curve has historically inverted before each of the last five U.S. recessions. The last U.S. yield curve inversion occurred at several brief points in 2019 – a trend which continued until the Federal Reserve cut interest rates several times over that year. However, the ultimate trigger for the next recession was the unpredicted, exogenous shock of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, showing how such informal indicators may be grounded just as much in coincidence as causation.

  6. T

    United States 30 Year Bond Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated May 27, 2017
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2017). United States 30 Year Bond Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/30-year-bond-yield
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    excel, json, xml, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 27, 2017
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Feb 15, 1977 - Jul 11, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The yield on US 30 Year Bond Yield rose to 4.96% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.09 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.11 points and is 0.56 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 30 Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  7. M

    5 Year Treasury Yield

    • macrotrends.net
    csv
    Updated Jun 30, 2025
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    MACROTRENDS (2025). 5 Year Treasury Yield [Dataset]. https://www.macrotrends.net/2522/5-year-treasury-bond-rate-yield-chart
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    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 30, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    MACROTRENDS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    1915 - 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Interactive chart showing the daily 5 year treasury yield back to 1962. The values shown are daily data published by the Federal Reserve Board based on the average yield of a range of Treasury securities, all adjusted to the equivalent of a five-year maturity.

  8. F

    Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including...

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jun 16, 2025
    + more versions
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    (2025). Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for United States [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IRLTLT01USM156N
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    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 16, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-requiredhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-required

    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for United States (IRLTLT01USM156N) from Apr 1953 to May 2025 about long-term, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

  9. T

    Germany 10-Year Bond Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • ar.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jun 15, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Germany 10-Year Bond Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/germany/government-bond-yield
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    csv, xml, json, excelAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 15, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    May 30, 1983 - Jul 11, 2025
    Area covered
    Germany
    Description

    The yield on Germany 10Y Bond Yield rose to 2.69% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.03 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.21 points and is 0.19 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Germany 10-Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  10. Average risk free investment rate for selected countries in Europe 2024

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 25, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Average risk free investment rate for selected countries in Europe 2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/885915/average-risk-free-rate-europe/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 25, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    2024
    Area covered
    Europe
    Description

    The risk-free rate is a theoretical rate of return of an investment with zero risk. This rate represents the minimum interest an investor would expect from a risk-free investment over a period of time. It is important to remember that the risk-free rate is only theoretical, as all investments carry even the smallest of risks. A higher risk-free rate illustrates that even with a so-called "zero risk" investment, investors would want a higher return because of the countries associated investment risks. Average risk-free rate (RF) rate of investment and market risk premium As of 2024, Turkey had the ******* risk-free rate of the countries displayed, with **** percent among the European countries under observation. When it comes to the market risk premium, or the rate of return expected by investors over the risk that investments hold, Turkey displayed a higher market risk premium during the same period.
    Investment in selected European countries Since 2017, both the risk-free rate and average market risk premium in Ukraine have been excessively high. Even more information on market risk premiums, average risk-free rates, and required return on equity in selected European countries can be found in the report on market investments in Europe.

  11. F

    Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 5-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted...

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jun 20, 2025
    + more versions
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    (2025). Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 5-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS5
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 20, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 5-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS5) from 1962-01-02 to 2025-06-18 about maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, 5-year, rate, and USA.

  12. T

    India 10-Year Government Bond Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • de.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jun 15, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). India 10-Year Government Bond Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/india/government-bond-yield
    Explore at:
    json, xml, excel, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 15, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Apr 28, 1994 - Jul 11, 2025
    Area covered
    India
    Description

    The yield on India 10Y Bond Yield eased to 6.31% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.04 points and is 0.68 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. India 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  13. Average risk free investment rate in Germany 2015-2024

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 26, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Average risk free investment rate in Germany 2015-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/885774/average-risk-free-rate-germany/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 26, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Germany
    Description

    Up until 2018, the average risk-free rate in Germany remained relatively stable at approximately *** percent. The risk-free rate is a theoretical rate of return of an investment with zero risk. This rate represents the minimum interest an investor would expect from a risk-free investment over a period. It is important to remember that the risk-free rate is only theoretical as all investments carry even the smallest of risks. As of 2024, the risk-free rate in Germany was *** percent. Risk free rates in Europe A higher risk-free rate illustrates that even with a so-called "zero risk" investment, investors would want a higher return because of the countries associated investment risks. In Europe, Ukraine and Turkey were among the countries with relatively higher average risk-free rates in 2024 compared to other European countries. The majority of European countries have RF rates under **** percent in 2024. Market risk premiums Risk free rates reflect market risk premiums (MRP) with Germany displaying low MRP compared to other European countries. Split into three categories (required, historical, expected), market risk premiums measure the rate of return investors expect on an investment over the risk that investment holds. In Europe, average market risk premiums (MRP) sit between five and ten percent. During the last ten years, Germany has seen slight increase in market risk premiums.

  14. Average risk free investment rate in the United Kingdom (UK) 2015-2024

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jun 26, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Average risk free investment rate in the United Kingdom (UK) 2015-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/885750/average-risk-free-rate-united-kingdom/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 26, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United Kingdom
    Description

    The risk-free rate is a theoretical rate of return of an investment with zero risk of financial loss. This rate represents the minimum interest an investor would expect from a risk-free investment over a period of time. It is important to remember that the risk-free rate is only theoretical, as all investments carry even the smallest of risks. Across European countries, average risk-free rates differed quite significantly. United Kingdom is low risk and low reward When average risk-free rates on a theoretical investment with no risk is ****, like seen in Turkey and Ukraine, the opportunity for high reward investments must seem tempting. But with high rewards come higher risks. Countries such as the UK and Germany have consistently shown *** risk-free rates due to their investment markets’ relative stability. Market risk premiums Market risk premiums (MRP) are a measure that is closely associated with average risk-free rates. MRPs are a measurement of the expected return on investment an investor looks to make. For potential investors looking to add to their portfolio, the perfect scenario for a risk-based investment would be a high rate of return with as small a risk as possible. There are three main concepts to MRPs, including required market risk premiums, historical market risk premiums and expected market risk premiums. Like average risk-free rates, MRPs vary quite widely across Europe.

  15. T

    China 10-Year Government Bond Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • fa.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
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    TRADING ECONOMICS, China 10-Year Government Bond Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/china/government-bond-yield
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    csv, xml, excel, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Sep 21, 2000 - Jul 11, 2025
    Area covered
    China
    Description

    The yield on China 10Y Bond Yield rose to 1.66% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0 points, though it remains 0.60 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. China 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  16. F

    10-Year Real Interest Rate

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jun 11, 2025
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    (2025). 10-Year Real Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/REAINTRATREARAT10Y
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    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 11, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for 10-Year Real Interest Rate (REAINTRATREARAT10Y) from Jan 1982 to Jun 2025 about 10-year, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

  17. T

    Japan 10 Year Government Bond Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • de.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Nov 4, 2010
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2010). Japan 10 Year Government Bond Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/japan/government-bond-yield
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    csv, excel, xml, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Nov 4, 2010
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Oct 31, 1966 - Jul 11, 2025
    Area covered
    Japan
    Description

    The yield on Japan 10Y Bond Yield rose to 1.51% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.05 points and is 0.46 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Japan 10 Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  18. T

    France 10-Year Government Bond Yield Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • es.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
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    TRADING ECONOMICS, France 10-Year Government Bond Yield Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/france/government-bond-yield
    Explore at:
    json, excel, csv, xmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Feb 1, 1985 - Jul 11, 2025
    Area covered
    France
    Description

    The yield on France 10Y Bond Yield rose to 3.42% on July 11, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.23 points and is 0.27 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. France 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  19. G

    Ghana Long Term Interest Rate

    • ceicdata.com
    • dr.ceicdata.com
    Updated Feb 15, 2025
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    CEICdata.com (2025). Ghana Long Term Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/ghana/long-term-interest-rate
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    Dataset updated
    Feb 15, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    CEICdata.com
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Dec 1, 2023 - Nov 1, 2024
    Area covered
    Ghana
    Description

    Key information about Ghana Long Term Interest Rate

    • Ghana Long Term Interest Rate: Month Avg: Ghana: Government Bond Yield: 10 Years was reported at 29.85 % pa in Nov 2024, compared with 29.85 % pa in the previous month.
    • Ghana Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Sep 2004 to Nov 2024.
    • The data reached an all-time high of 29.85 % pa in Nov 2024 and a record low of 12.08 % pa in Feb 2008.
    • Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by CEIC Data.

    The International Monetary Fund provides monthly 10 Year Government Bond Yield.


    Related information about Ghana Long Term Interest Rate
    • In the latest reports, Ghana Short Term Interest Rate: Month Avg: Ghana: Treasury Bills Rate: 91 Days was reported at 25.80 % pa in Oct 2024.
    • The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Ghana) was set at 29.50 % pa in Jun 2023.
    • Ghana Exchange Rate against USD averaged 14.78 (USD/GHS) in Dec 2024.

  20. Kazakhstan Long Term Interest Rate

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Jun 15, 2023
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    CEICdata.com (2023). Kazakhstan Long Term Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/kazakhstan/long-term-interest-rate
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jun 15, 2023
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Mar 1, 2024 - Feb 1, 2025
    Area covered
    Kazakhstan
    Variables measured
    Securities Yield
    Description

    Key information about Kazakhstan Long Term Interest Rate

    • Kazakhstan Avg Effective Yield: Govt Securities: MS: MEUKAM was reported at 11.28 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 11.20 % pa in the previous month.
    • Kazakhstan Long Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Mar 2006 to Feb 2025.
    • The data reached an all-time high of 11.28 % pa in Feb 2025 and a record low of 4.35 % pa in Apr 2006.
    • Long Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by National Bank of Kazakhstan.

    MEUKAM is a Long-Term Government Treasury Bond with maturity over 5 years.
  21. The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Refinancing Rate) was set at 15.25 % pa in Feb 2025.
  22. Kazakhstan Exchange Rate against USD averaged 448.54 (USD/KZT) in Jun 2023.
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Statista (2025). Prediction of 10 year U.S. Treasury note rates 2019-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/247565/monthly-average-10-year-us-treasury-note-yield-2012-2013/
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Prediction of 10 year U.S. Treasury note rates 2019-2025

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Dataset updated
Jun 26, 2025
Dataset authored and provided by
Statistahttp://statista.com/
Time period covered
Sep 2019 - Aug 2025
Area covered
United States
Description

In December 2024, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by August 2025. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

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