As of July 22, 2025, the yield for a ten-year U.S. government bond was 4.38 percent, while the yield for a two-year bond was 3.88 percent. This represents an inverted yield curve, whereby bonds of longer maturities provide a lower yield, reflecting investors' expectations for a decline in long-term interest rates. Hence, making long-term debt holders open to more risk under the uncertainty around the condition of financial markets in the future. That markets are uncertain can be seen by considering both the short-term fluctuations, and the long-term downward trend, of the yields of U.S. government bonds from 2006 to 2021, before the treasury yield curve increased again significantly in the following years. What are government bonds? Government bonds, otherwise called ‘sovereign’ or ‘treasury’ bonds, are financial instruments used by governments to raise money for government spending. Investors give the government a certain amount of money (the ‘face value’), to be repaid at a specified time in the future (the ‘maturity date’). In addition, the government makes regular periodic interest payments (called ‘coupon payments’). Once initially issued, government bonds are tradable on financial markets, meaning their value can fluctuate over time (even though the underlying face value and coupon payments remain the same). Investors are attracted to government bonds as, provided the country in question has a stable economy and political system, they are a very safe investment. Accordingly, in periods of economic turmoil, investors may be willing to accept a negative overall return in order to have a safe haven for their money. For example, once the market value is compared to the total received from remaining interest payments and the face value, investors have been willing to accept a negative return on two-year German government bonds between 2014 and 2021. Conversely, if the underlying economy and political structures are weak, investors demand a higher return to compensate for the higher risk they take on. Consequently, the return on bonds in emerging markets like Brazil are consistently higher than that of the United States (and other developed economies). Inverted yield curves When investors are worried about the financial future, it can lead to what is called an ‘inverted yield curve’. An inverted yield curve is where investors pay more for short term bonds than long term, indicating they do not have confidence in long-term financial conditions. Historically, the yield curve has historically inverted before each of the last five U.S. recessions. The last U.S. yield curve inversion occurred at several brief points in 2019 – a trend which continued until the Federal Reserve cut interest rates several times over that year. However, the ultimate trigger for the next recession was the unpredicted, exogenous shock of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, showing how such informal indicators may be grounded just as much in coincidence as causation.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for United States (IRLTLT01USM156N) from Apr 1953 to Jun 2025 about long-term, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

At the end of 2024, the yield for a 30-year U.S. Treasury bond was **** percent, slightly higher than the yields for bonds with short-term maturities. Bonds of longer maturities generally have higher yields as a reward for the uncertainty about the condition of financial markets in the future.

The yield on US 30 Year Bond Yield rose to 4.85% on August 8, 2025, marking a 0.05 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.02 points, though it remains 0.63 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 30 Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

The yield on US 10 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 4.29% on August 8, 2025, marking a 0.03 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.05 points, though it remains 0.34 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 10 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Treasury Long-Term Average (Over 10 Years), Inflation-Indexed (DLTIIT) from 2000-01-03 to 2025-08-07 about TIPS, long-term, Treasury, yield, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

The yield on US 2 Year Note Bond Yield rose to 3.77% on August 8, 2025, marking a 0.03 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.08 points and is 0.29 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. US 2 Year Treasury Bond Note Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

In June 2025, the yield on a 10-year U.S. Treasury note was **** percent, forecasted to decrease to reach **** percent by February 2026. Treasury securities are debt instruments used by the government to finance the national debt. Who owns treasury notes? Because the U.S. treasury notes are generally assumed to be a risk-free investment, they are often used by large financial institutions as collateral. Because of this, billions of dollars in treasury securities are traded daily. Other countries also hold U.S. treasury securities, as do U.S. households. Investors and institutions accept the relatively low interest rate because the U.S. Treasury guarantees the investment. Looking into the future Because these notes are so commonly traded, their interest rate also serves as a signal about the market’s expectations of future growth. When markets expect the economy to grow, forecasts for treasury notes will reflect that in a higher interest rate. In fact, one harbinger of recession is an inverted yield curve, when the return on 3-month treasury bills is higher than the ten-year rate. While this does not always lead to a recession, it certainly signals pessimism from financial markets.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis, Inflation-Indexed (DFII30) from 2010-02-22 to 2025-08-07 about TIPS, 30-year, maturity, Treasury, securities, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

Key information about United States Short Term Interest Rate

• United States Short Term Interest Rate: Month End: Treasury Bills: 3 Months was reported at 4.20 % pa in Feb 2025, compared with 4.20 % pa in the previous month.
• US Short Term Interest Rate data is updated monthly, available from Jan 1954 to Feb 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 15.52 % pa in Aug 1981 and a record low of -0.01 % pa in Sep 2015.
• Short Term Interest Rate is reported by reported by Federal Reserve Board.

CEIC calculates monthly Short Term Interest Rate from daily Treasury Bills. Federal Reserve Board provides Treasury Bills. Short Term Interest Rate prior to December 1979 is sourced from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.


Related information about United States Short Term Interest Rate

• In the latest reports, US Treasury Notes Yield: Constant Maturity: Nominal: 10 Years was reported at 4.45 % pa in Feb 2025.
• The cash rate (Policy Rate: Month End: Effective Federal Funds Rate) was set at 4.33 % pa in Feb 2025.

Key information about US Short Term Government Bond Yield

• United States Short Term Government Bond Yield: Daily: United States: 1 Year was reported at 4.09 % pa in Mar 2025, compared with 4.11 % pa in the previous day.
• US Short Term Government Bond Yield data is updated daily, available from Jan 1962 to Mar 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 5.49 % pa in Oct 2023 and a record low of 0.04 % pa in Jun 2021.
• Short Term Government Bond Yield is reported by CEIC Data.

Federal Reserve Board provides daily Short Term Government Bond Yield.

The yield on US 3 Month Bill Bond Yield rose to 4.25% on August 11, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.09 points and is 0.96 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 3 Month Bill Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on August of 2025.

Key information about Turkey Short Term Government Bond Yield

• Turkey Short Term Government Bond Yield: Month Avg: Turkey: 1 Year was reported at 45.25 % pa in Dec 2024, compared with 47.96 % pa in the previous month.
• Turkey Short Term Government Bond Yield data is updated monthly, available from Jan 2006 to Dec 2024.
• The data reached an all-time high of 50.52 % pa in May 2024 and a record low of 5.07 % pa in May 2013.
• Short Term Government Bond Yield is reported by CEIC Data.

The Central Bank of Republic of Turkey provides monthly Short Term Government Bond Yield. The compound rate from Short Term Government Bond sold by auction from primary market is used.

View values of the average interest rate at which Treasury bills with a 3-month maturity are sold on the secondary market.

Key information about Australia Short Term Government Bond Yield

• Australia Short Term Government Bond Yield: Daily: Australia: 2 Years was reported at 3.76 % pa in Mar 2025, compared with 3.74 % pa in the previous day.
• Australia Short Term Government Bond Yield data is updated daily, available from May 2013 to Mar 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 4.47 % pa in Oct 2023 and a record low of -0.00 % pa in Jun 2021.
• Short Term Government Bond Yield is reported by CEIC Data.

The Reserve Bank of Australia provides daily Short Term Government Bond Yield.

Key information about India Short Term Government Bond Yield

• India Short Term Government Bond Yield: Month End: India: 1 Year was reported at 6.58 % pa in Jan 2025, compared with 6.66 % pa in the previous month.
• India Short Term Government Bond Yield data is updated monthly, available from May 1996 to Jan 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 13.01 % pa in Jan 1998 and a record low of 3.46 % pa in Nov 2020.
• Short Term Government Bond Yield is reported by CEIC Data.

The Reserve Bank of India provides monthly weighted average Short Term Government Bond Yield.

Key information about Germany Short Term Government Bond Yield

• Germany Short Term Government Bond Yield: Daily: Germany: 2 Years was reported at 2.15 % pa in Mar 2025, compared with 2.13 % pa in the previous day.
• Germany Short Term Government Bond Yield data is updated daily, available from Jan 2014 to Mar 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 3.34 % pa in Mar 2023 and a record low of -1.02 % pa in Mar 2020.
• Short Term Government Bond Yield is reported by CEIC Data.

Deutsche Bundesbank provides daily Short Term Government Bond Yield.

Key information about UK Short Term Government Bond Yield

• United Kingdom Short Term Government Bond Yield: Month Avg: United Kingdom: 5 Years was reported at 3.89 % pa in Oct 2024, compared with 3.62 % pa in the previous month.
• UK Short Term Government Bond Yield data is updated monthly, available from Jan 1982 to Oct 2024.
• The data reached an all-time high of 15.47 % pa in Jan 1982 and a record low of -0.08 % pa in Jul 2020.
• Short Term Government Bond Yield is reported by CEIC Data.

The Bank of England provides monthly Short Term Government Bond Yield.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 1-Month Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS1MO) from 2001-07-31 to 2025-08-07 about 1-month, bills, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

Key information about Zambia Short Term Government Bond Yield

• Zambia Short Term Government Bond Yield: Month Avg: Zambia: 91-Days Treasury Bill Yields was reported at 11.50 % pa in Jan 2025, compared with 11.50 % pa in the previous month.
• Zambia Short Term Government Bond Yield data is updated monthly, available from Jan 2006 to Jan 2025.
• The data reached an all-time high of 22.00 % pa in May 2016 and a record low of 1.90 % pa in Apr 2010.
• Short Term Government Bond Yield is reported by CEIC Data.

The Bank of Zambia provides monthly Short Term Government Bond Yield.