100+ datasets found
  1. Estimated death toll of the Plague of Justinian 541-767

    • statista.com
    Updated Aug 9, 2024
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    Statista (2024). Estimated death toll of the Plague of Justinian 541-767 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1114242/justinian-plague-estimates/
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    Dataset updated
    Aug 9, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Europe, MENA, Asia
    Description

    The Plague of Justinian was an outbreak of bubonic plague that ravaged the Mediterranean and its surrounding area, between 541 and 767CE. It was likely the first major outbreak of bubonic plague in Europe, and possibly the earliest pandemic to have been recorded reliably and with relative accuracy. Contemporary scholars described the symptoms and effects of the disease in detail, and these matched descriptions of the Black Death and Third Pandemic, leading most historians to believe that this was bubonic plague. It was also assumed that the plague originated in sub-Saharan Africa, before making its way along the Nile to Egypt, and then across the Mediterranean to Constantinople. In 2013, scientists were able to confirm that Justinian's Plague was in fact Yersinia pestis (the bacteria which causes bubonic plague), and recent theories suggest that the plague originated in the Eurasian Steppes, where the Black Death and Third Pandemic are also thought to have originated from, and that it was brought to Europe by the Hunnic Tribes of the sixth century. Plague of Justinian The pandemic itself takes its name from Emperor Justinian I, who ruled the Byzantine Empire (or Eastern Roman Empire) at the time of the outbreak, and who actually contracted the disease (although he survived). Reports suggest that Constantinople was the hardest hit city during the pandemic, and saw upwards of five thousand deaths per day during the most severe months. There are a multitude of sources with differing estimates for the plague's death toll, with most ranging between 25 and 100 million. Until recently, scholars assumed that the plague killed between one third and 40 percent of the world's population, with populations in infected regions declining by up to 25 percent in early years, and up to 60 percent over two centuries. The plague was felt strongest during the initial outbreak in Constantinople, however it remained in Europe for over two centuries, with the last reported cases in 767. Pre-2019 sources vary in their estimates, with some suggesting that up to half of the world's population died in the pandemic, while others state that it was just a quarter of the Mediterranean or European population; however most of them agree that the death toll was in the tens of millions. Historians have also argued about the plague's role in the fall of the Roman Empire, with opinions ranging from "fundamental" to "coincidental", although new evidence is more aligned with the latter theories. Challenging theories As with the recent studies which propose a different origin for the disease, one study conducted by researchers in Princeton and Jerusalem calls into question the accuracy of the death tolls estimated by historians in the 19th and 20th centuries. In 2019, L. Mordechai and M. Eisenberg published a series of papers suggesting that, although the plague devastated Constantinople, it did not have the same impact as the Black Death. The researchers argue that modern historians have taken a maximalist approach to the death tolls of the pandemic, and have applied the same models of distribution to Justinian's Plague as they believe occurred during the Black Death; however there is little evidence to support this. They examine the content and number of contemporary texts, as well archaeological, agricultural and genetic evidence which shows that the plague did spread across Europe, but did not seem to cause the same societal upheaval as the Black Death. It is likely that there will be further investigation into this outbreak in the following years, which may shed more light on the scale of this pandemic.

  2. C

    Death Profiles by County

    • data.chhs.ca.gov
    • data.ca.gov
    • +3more
    csv, zip
    Updated May 28, 2025
    + more versions
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    California Department of Public Health (2025). Death Profiles by County [Dataset]. https://data.chhs.ca.gov/dataset/death-profiles-by-county
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    csv(28125832), csv(60517511), csv(75015194), csv(60201673), csv(60676655), csv(74351424), csv(52019564), csv(60023260), csv(74689382), csv(51592721), csv(73906266), csv(15127221), csv(1128641), csv(5095), csv(11738570), zip, csv(74043128), csv(24235858), csv(74497014), csv(21575405)Available download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 28, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    California Department of Public Health
    Description

    This dataset contains counts of deaths for California counties based on information entered on death certificates. Final counts are derived from static data and include out-of-state deaths to California residents, whereas provisional counts are derived from incomplete and dynamic data. Provisional counts are based on the records available when the data was retrieved and may not represent all deaths that occurred during the time period. Deaths involving injuries from external or environmental forces, such as accidents, homicide and suicide, often require additional investigation that tends to delay certification of the cause and manner of death. This can result in significant under-reporting of these deaths in provisional data.

    The final data tables include both deaths that occurred in each California county regardless of the place of residence (by occurrence) and deaths to residents of each California county (by residence), whereas the provisional data table only includes deaths that occurred in each county regardless of the place of residence (by occurrence). The data are reported as totals, as well as stratified by age, gender, race-ethnicity, and death place type. Deaths due to all causes (ALL) and selected underlying cause of death categories are provided. See temporal coverage for more information on which combinations are available for which years.

    The cause of death categories are based solely on the underlying cause of death as coded by the International Classification of Diseases. The underlying cause of death is defined by the World Health Organization (WHO) as "the disease or injury which initiated the train of events leading directly to death, or the circumstances of the accident or violence which produced the fatal injury." It is a single value assigned to each death based on the details as entered on the death certificate. When more than one cause is listed, the order in which they are listed can affect which cause is coded as the underlying cause. This means that similar events could be coded with different underlying causes of death depending on variations in how they were entered. Consequently, while underlying cause of death provides a convenient comparison between cause of death categories, it may not capture the full impact of each cause of death as it does not always take into account all conditions contributing to the death.

  3. Number of United States military fatalities in major wars 1775-2024

    • statista.com
    Updated Jul 4, 2024
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    Statista (2024). Number of United States military fatalities in major wars 1775-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1009819/total-us-military-fatalities-in-american-wars-1775-present/
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 4, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The American Civil War is the conflict with the largest number of American military fatalities in history. In fact, the Civil War's death toll is comparable to all other major wars combined, the deadliest of which were the World Wars, which have a combined death toll of more than 520,000 American fatalities. The ongoing series of conflicts and interventions in the Middle East and North Africa, collectively referred to as the War on Terror in the west, has a combined death toll of more than 7,000 for the U.S. military since 2001. Other records In terms of the number of deaths per day, the American Civil War is still at the top, with an average of 425 deaths per day, while the First and Second World Wars have averages of roughly 100 and 200 fatalities per day respectively. Technically, the costliest battle in U.S. military history was the Battle of Elsenborn Ridge, which was a part of the Battle of the Bulge in the Second World War, and saw upwards of 5,000 deaths over 10 days. However, the Battle of Gettysburg had more military fatalities of American soldiers, with almost 3,200 Union deaths and over 3,900 Confederate deaths, giving a combined total of more than 7,000. The Battle of Antietam is viewed as the bloodiest day in American military history, with over 3,600 combined fatalities and almost 23,000 total casualties on September 17, 1862. Revised Civil War figures For more than a century, the total death toll of the American Civil War was generally accepted to be around 620,000, a number which was first proposed by Union historians William F. Fox and Thomas L. Livermore in 1888. This number was calculated by using enlistment figures, battle reports, and census data, however many prominent historians since then have thought the number should be higher. In 2011, historian J. David Hacker conducted further investigations and claimed that the number was closer to 750,000 (and possibly as high as 850,000). While many Civil War historians agree that this is possible, and even likely, obtaining consistently accurate figures has proven to be impossible until now; both sides were poor at keeping detailed records throughout the war, and much of the Confederacy's records were lost by the war's end. Many Confederate widows also did not register their husbands death with the authorities, as they would have then been ineligible for benefits.

  4. T

    World Coronavirus COVID-19 Deaths

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Mar 9, 2020
    + more versions
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2020). World Coronavirus COVID-19 Deaths [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/world/coronavirus-deaths
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    excel, csv, xml, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Mar 9, 2020
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 4, 2020 - May 17, 2023
    Area covered
    World, World
    Description

    The World Health Organization reported 6932591 Coronavirus Deaths since the epidemic began. In addition, countries reported 766440796 Coronavirus Cases. This dataset provides - World Coronavirus Deaths- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

  5. d

    Estimated death toll

    • data.gov.tw
    csv
    Updated Jun 1, 2025
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    National Development Council (2025). Estimated death toll [Dataset]. https://data.gov.tw/en/datasets/34010
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    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 1, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    National Development Council
    License

    https://data.gov.tw/licensehttps://data.gov.tw/license

    Description

    In high, medium, and low estimations, the number of male and female deaths and the crude death rate for around 50 years in the future.

  6. Death toll - by age group

    • data.gov.tw
    csv
    Updated Dec 17, 2018
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    Department of Budget, Accounting and Statistics, New Taipei City Government (2018). Death toll - by age group [Dataset]. https://data.gov.tw/en/datasets/125782
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    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Dec 17, 2018
    Dataset provided by
    New Taipei Cityhttp://www.tpc.gov.tw/
    Department of Budget, Accounting and Statistics
    Authors
    Department of Budget, Accounting and Statistics, New Taipei City Government
    License

    https://data.gov.tw/licensehttps://data.gov.tw/license

    Description
    1. Number of deaths in New Taipei City - by age group (including gender)2. Unit: person; years old3. For detailed explanations of each field, please refer to the electronic file of gender statistics for New Taipei City (website: http://www.bas.ntpc.gov.tw/home.jsp?idMTI5) or contact the Department of Budget, Accounting and Statistics for inquiries.
  7. c

    Number of Daily Deaths in U.S. (1950-2025)

    • consumershield.com
    csv
    Updated Jun 11, 2025
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    ConsumerShield Research Team (2025). Number of Daily Deaths in U.S. (1950-2025) [Dataset]. https://www.consumershield.com/articles/how-many-deaths-every-day-us
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    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 11, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    ConsumerShield Research Team
    License

    Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The graph illustrates the number of deaths per day in the United States from 1950 to 2025. The x-axis represents the years, abbreviated from '50 to '24, while the y-axis indicates the daily number of deaths. Over this 75-year period, the number of deaths per day ranges from a low of 4,054 in 1950 to a high of 9,570 in 2021. Notable figures include 6,855 deaths in 2010 and 8,333 in 2024. The data shows a general upward trend in daily deaths over the decades, with recent years experiencing some fluctuations. This information is presented in a line graph format, effectively highlighting the long-term trends and yearly variations in daily deaths across the United States.

  8. Provisional COVID-19 Death Counts in the United States by County

    • catalog.data.gov
    • data.virginia.gov
    • +3more
    Updated Apr 23, 2025
    + more versions
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    Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (2025). Provisional COVID-19 Death Counts in the United States by County [Dataset]. https://catalog.data.gov/dataset/provisional-covid-19-death-counts-in-the-united-states-by-county
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    Dataset updated
    Apr 23, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Centers for Disease Control and Preventionhttp://www.cdc.gov/
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Effective June 28, 2023, this dataset will no longer be updated. Similar data are accessible from CDC WONDER (https://wonder.cdc.gov/mcd-icd10-provisional.html) Provisional count of deaths involving COVID-19 by county of occurrence, in the United States, 2020-2023.

  9. Estimates of the Black Death's death toll in European cities from 1347-1351

    • statista.com
    Updated Aug 12, 2024
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    Statista (2024). Estimates of the Black Death's death toll in European cities from 1347-1351 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1114273/black-death-estimates-deaths-european-cities/
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    Dataset updated
    Aug 12, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Europe, Turkey, Worldwide
    Description

    The Black Death was the largest and deadliest pandemic of Yersinia pestis recorded in human history, and likely the most infamous individual pandemic ever documented. The plague originated in the Eurasian Steppes, before moving with Mongol hordes to the Black Sea, where it was then brought by Italian merchants to the Mediterranean. From here, the Black Death then spread to almost all corners of Europe, the Middle East, and North Africa. While it was never endemic to these regions, it was constantly re-introduced via trade routes from Asia (such as the Silk Road), and plague was present in Western Europe until the seventeenth century, and the other regions until the nineteenth century. Impact on Europe In Europe, the major port cities and metropolitan areas were hit the hardest. The plague spread through south-western Europe, following the arrival of Italian galleys in Sicily, Genoa, Venice, and Marseilles, at the beginning of 1347. It is claimed that Venice, Florence, and Siena lost up to two thirds of their total population during epidemic's peak, while London, which was hit in 1348, is said to have lost at least half of its population. The plague then made its way around the west of Europe, and arrived in Germany and Scandinavia in 1348, before travelling along the Baltic coast to Russia by 1351 (although data relating to the death tolls east of Germany is scarce). Some areas of Europe remained untouched by the plague for decades; for example, plague did not arrive in Iceland until 1402, however it swept across the island with devastating effect, causing the population to drop from 120,000 to 40,000 within two years. Reliability While the Black Death affected three continents, there is little recorded evidence of its impact outside of Southern or Western Europe. In Europe, however, many sources conflict and contrast with one another, often giving death tolls exceeding the estimated population at the time (such as London, where the death toll is said to be three times larger than the total population). Therefore, the precise death tolls remain uncertain, and any figures given should be treated tentatively.

  10. M

    World Death Rate (1950-2025)

    • macrotrends.net
    csv
    Updated Jun 30, 2025
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    MACROTRENDS (2025). World Death Rate (1950-2025) [Dataset]. https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/wld/world/death-rate
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    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 30, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    MACROTRENDS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1950 - Dec 31, 2025
    Area covered
    World, World
    Description

    Historical chart and dataset showing World death rate by year from 1950 to 2025.

  11. The population death toll is broken down by gender and individual age group....

    • data.gov.tw
    csv
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    Department of Household Registration, MOI, The population death toll is broken down by gender and individual age group. [Dataset]. https://data.gov.tw/en/datasets/32949
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    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset provided by
    Department of Household Registration
    Authors
    Department of Household Registration, MOI
    License

    https://data.gov.tw/licensehttps://data.gov.tw/license

    Description

    The number of deaths by gender and single year of age (according to registration)

  12. Count of deaths with COVID-19 by date

    • data.sccgov.org
    application/rdfxml +5
    Updated Jun 30, 2025
    + more versions
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    County of Santa Clara Public Health Department (2025). Count of deaths with COVID-19 by date [Dataset]. https://data.sccgov.org/COVID-19/Count-of-deaths-with-COVID-19-by-date/tg4j-23y2
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    xml, csv, json, application/rdfxml, tsv, application/rssxmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 30, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Santa Clara County Public Health Departmenthttps://publichealth.sccgov.org/
    Authors
    County of Santa Clara Public Health Department
    Description

    *** The County of Santa Clara Public Health Department discontinued updates to the COVID-19 data tables effective June 30, 2025. The COVID-19 data tables will be removed from the Open Data Portal on December 30, 2025. For current information on COVID-19 in Santa Clara County, please visit the Respiratory Virus Dashboard [sccphd.org/respiratoryvirusdata]. For any questions, please contact phinternet@phd.sccgov.org ***

    The dataset provides number of new and cumulative cases deaths with COVID-19 over time among Santa Clara County residents. Deaths are listed separately for patients at Long Term Care Facilities because patients in these facilities are more isolated than the general public and represent a particularly vulnerable population. Source: California Reportable Disease Information Exchange. Data Notes: Deaths are reported by the date of death. Death accounted for in the dataset do not necessarily mean that the individuals died from COVID-19.

  13. P

    Palestinian Territory Crude Death Rate: per 1000 Population: Gaza Strip

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Nov 23, 2021
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    CEICdata.com (2021). Palestinian Territory Crude Death Rate: per 1000 Population: Gaza Strip [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/palestinian-territory-occupied/vital-statistics/crude-death-rate-per-1000-population-gaza-strip
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    Dataset updated
    Nov 23, 2021
    Dataset provided by
    CEICdata.com
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Dec 1, 2003 - Dec 1, 2018
    Area covered
    Palestine
    Description

    State of Palestine (West Bank and Gaza) Crude Death Rate: per 1000 Population: Gaza Strip data was reported at 3.500 NA in 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 3.400 NA for 2017. State of Palestine (West Bank and Gaza) Crude Death Rate: per 1000 Population: Gaza Strip data is updated yearly, averaging 3.950 NA from Dec 1997 (Median) to 2018, with 18 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.700 NA in 1997 and a record low of 3.300 NA in 2016. State of Palestine (West Bank and Gaza) Crude Death Rate: per 1000 Population: Gaza Strip data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s State of Palestine (West Bank and Gaza) – Table PS.G002: Vital Statistics.

  14. d

    10132-01-02-2 Death toll of the population aged 15 and over in various...

    • data.gov.tw
    csv, json
    Updated Jun 26, 2025
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    Civil Affairs Bureau, Taichung City Government (2025). 10132-01-02-2 Death toll of the population aged 15 and over in various districts of Taichung City by gender, age, and marital status (by date of occurrence) [Dataset]. https://data.gov.tw/en/datasets/88889
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    json, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 26, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Civil Affairs Bureau, Taichung City Government
    License

    https://data.gov.tw/licensehttps://data.gov.tw/license

    Area covered
    Taichung City
    Description

    The number of deaths of people aged 15 and above in various districts of Taichung City, by gender, age, and marital status of the deceased (by date of occurrence)

  15. c

    Tornado fatalities in U.S, 2008–2024

    • consumershield.com
    csv
    Updated Apr 9, 2025
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    ConsumerShield Research Team (2025). Tornado fatalities in U.S, 2008–2024 [Dataset]. https://www.consumershield.com/articles/tornado-fatalities-by-year
    Explore at:
    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Apr 9, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    ConsumerShield Research Team
    License

    Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 (CC BY-SA 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The graph illustrates the number of tornado-related fatalities in the United States from 2008 to 2024. The x-axis represents the years, abbreviated from ’08 to ’24, while the y-axis shows the number of deaths each year. Fatalities range from a low of 10 in 2018 to a peak of 553 in 2011. Most years have fatalities between 18 and 126, with notable exceptions in 2020 (76 deaths), 2021 (101 deaths), and 2023 (83 deaths). The data is presented in a bar graph format, highlighting the significant spike in fatalities in 2011 and the overall variability in tornado-related deaths over the 16-year period.

  16. d

    COVID-19 cumulative cases and death tolls in each country and region

    • data.gov.tw
    csv
    Updated Mar 14, 2024
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    Centers for Disease Control (2024). COVID-19 cumulative cases and death tolls in each country and region [Dataset]. https://data.gov.tw/en/datasets/120449
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    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Mar 14, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Centers for Disease Control
    License

    https://data.gov.tw/licensehttps://data.gov.tw/license

    Description

    Cumulative COVID-19 cases and death toll by country/region since 2020

  17. T

    World - Death Rate, Crude

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated May 28, 2017
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2017). World - Death Rate, Crude [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/world/death-rate-crude-per-1-000-people-wb-data.html
    Explore at:
    excel, xml, csv, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 28, 2017
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1976 - Dec 31, 2025
    Area covered
    World, World
    Description

    Death rate, crude (per 1,000 people) in World was reported at 7.5788 % in 2023, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. World - Death rate, crude - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on July of 2025.

  18. Death toll in great earthquakes 1900-2024

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 30, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Death toll in great earthquakes 1900-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/266325/death-toll-in-great-earthquakes/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 30, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Worldwide
    Description

    Since 1900, the earthquake in Tangshan in China in 1976 caused the highest number of deaths, reaching over 240,000. However, some estimate the number to be over 650,000 fatalities. The earthquake in Haiti in 2010 has the second-highest death toll, but also here numbers vary from just above 100,000 to over 300,000 fatalities. Four of the 10 deadliest earthquakes during the period were registered in China.

  19. N

    New York City Leading Causes of Death

    • data.cityofnewyork.us
    • catalog.data.gov
    application/rdfxml +5
    Updated Nov 20, 2013
    + more versions
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    Department of Health and Mental Hygiene (DOHMH) (2013). New York City Leading Causes of Death [Dataset]. https://data.cityofnewyork.us/Health/New-York-City-Leading-Causes-of-Death/jb7j-dtam
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    csv, json, tsv, xml, application/rssxml, application/rdfxmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Nov 20, 2013
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Department of Health and Mental Hygiene (DOHMH)
    Area covered
    New York
    Description

    The leading causes of death by sex and ethnicity in New York City in since 2007. Cause of death is derived from the NYC death certificate which is issued for every death that occurs in New York City.

    Report last ran: 09/24/2019
    Rates based on small numbers (RSE > 30) as well as aggregate counts less than 5 have been suppressed in downloaded data

    Source: Bureau of Vital Statistics and New York City Department of Health and Mental Hygiene

  20. Taoyuan City Fire Death Toll

    • data.gov.tw
    csv
    Updated Feb 25, 2022
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    Department of Budget, Accounting and Statistics, Taoyuan (2022). Taoyuan City Fire Death Toll [Dataset]. https://data.gov.tw/en/datasets/149584
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    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Feb 25, 2022
    Dataset provided by
    Department of Budget, Accounting and Statistics
    Authors
    Department of Budget, Accounting and Statistics, Taoyuan
    License

    https://data.gov.tw/licensehttps://data.gov.tw/license

    Area covered
    Taoyuan
    Description

    Provide the number of fatalities in Taoyuan City fires

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Statista (2024). Estimated death toll of the Plague of Justinian 541-767 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1114242/justinian-plague-estimates/
Organization logo

Estimated death toll of the Plague of Justinian 541-767

Explore at:
Dataset updated
Aug 9, 2024
Dataset authored and provided by
Statistahttp://statista.com/
Area covered
Europe, MENA, Asia
Description

The Plague of Justinian was an outbreak of bubonic plague that ravaged the Mediterranean and its surrounding area, between 541 and 767CE. It was likely the first major outbreak of bubonic plague in Europe, and possibly the earliest pandemic to have been recorded reliably and with relative accuracy. Contemporary scholars described the symptoms and effects of the disease in detail, and these matched descriptions of the Black Death and Third Pandemic, leading most historians to believe that this was bubonic plague. It was also assumed that the plague originated in sub-Saharan Africa, before making its way along the Nile to Egypt, and then across the Mediterranean to Constantinople. In 2013, scientists were able to confirm that Justinian's Plague was in fact Yersinia pestis (the bacteria which causes bubonic plague), and recent theories suggest that the plague originated in the Eurasian Steppes, where the Black Death and Third Pandemic are also thought to have originated from, and that it was brought to Europe by the Hunnic Tribes of the sixth century. Plague of Justinian The pandemic itself takes its name from Emperor Justinian I, who ruled the Byzantine Empire (or Eastern Roman Empire) at the time of the outbreak, and who actually contracted the disease (although he survived). Reports suggest that Constantinople was the hardest hit city during the pandemic, and saw upwards of five thousand deaths per day during the most severe months. There are a multitude of sources with differing estimates for the plague's death toll, with most ranging between 25 and 100 million. Until recently, scholars assumed that the plague killed between one third and 40 percent of the world's population, with populations in infected regions declining by up to 25 percent in early years, and up to 60 percent over two centuries. The plague was felt strongest during the initial outbreak in Constantinople, however it remained in Europe for over two centuries, with the last reported cases in 767. Pre-2019 sources vary in their estimates, with some suggesting that up to half of the world's population died in the pandemic, while others state that it was just a quarter of the Mediterranean or European population; however most of them agree that the death toll was in the tens of millions. Historians have also argued about the plague's role in the fall of the Roman Empire, with opinions ranging from "fundamental" to "coincidental", although new evidence is more aligned with the latter theories. Challenging theories As with the recent studies which propose a different origin for the disease, one study conducted by researchers in Princeton and Jerusalem calls into question the accuracy of the death tolls estimated by historians in the 19th and 20th centuries. In 2019, L. Mordechai and M. Eisenberg published a series of papers suggesting that, although the plague devastated Constantinople, it did not have the same impact as the Black Death. The researchers argue that modern historians have taken a maximalist approach to the death tolls of the pandemic, and have applied the same models of distribution to Justinian's Plague as they believe occurred during the Black Death; however there is little evidence to support this. They examine the content and number of contemporary texts, as well archaeological, agricultural and genetic evidence which shows that the plague did spread across Europe, but did not seem to cause the same societal upheaval as the Black Death. It is likely that there will be further investigation into this outbreak in the following years, which may shed more light on the scale of this pandemic.

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