United States - Deflation was 0.00000 Probability in April of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Deflation reached a record high of 0.89073 in January of 2009 and a record low of 0.00000 in January of 1997. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Deflation - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on December of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Deflation Probability (STLPPMDEF) from Jan 1990 to Sep 2025 about inflation and USA.

ABSTRACT The conventional view on the U.S. economy is that economic growth above “potential” is bad for bonds since it spells inflation. The purpose of this note is to show that following the Volker deflation (l980-82), the policy regime changed, and greater economic stability obtained.

The inflation rate in the United States is expected to decrease to 2.1 percent by 2029. 2022 saw a year of exceptionally high inflation, reaching eight percent for the year. The data represents U.S. city averages. The base period was 1982-84. In economics, the inflation rate is a measurement of inflation, the rate of increase of a price index (in this case: consumer price index). It is the percentage rate of change in prices level over time. The rate of decrease in the purchasing power of money is approximately equal. According to the forecast, prices will increase by 2.9 percent in 2024. The annual inflation rate for previous years can be found here and the consumer price index for all urban consumers here. The monthly inflation rate for the United States can also be accessed here. Inflation in the U.S.Inflation is a term used to describe a general rise in the price of goods and services in an economy over a given period of time. Inflation in the United States is calculated using the consumer price index (CPI). The consumer price index is a measure of change in the price level of a preselected market basket of consumer goods and services purchased by households. This forecast of U.S. inflation was prepared by the International Monetary Fund. They project that inflation will stay higher than average throughout 2023, followed by a decrease to around roughly two percent annual rise in the general level of prices until 2028. Considering the annual inflation rate in the United States in 2021, a two percent inflation rate is a very moderate projection. The 2022 spike in inflation in the United States and worldwide is due to a variety of factors that have put constraints on various aspects of the economy. These factors include COVID-19 pandemic spending and supply-chain constraints, disruptions due to the war in Ukraine, and pandemic related changes in the labor force. Although the moderate inflation of prices between two and three percent is considered normal in a modern economy, countries’ central banks try to prevent severe inflation and deflation to keep the growth of prices to a minimum. Severe inflation is considered dangerous to a country’s economy because it can rapidly diminish the population’s purchasing power and thus damage the GDP .

Factors Affecting USA National Home Prices:

Overview:

This dataset contains a comprehensive collection of indicators which dictate the housing prices in the United States.

1. US Mortgage Rates:

• The average interest rates on mortgage loans in the United States.
• Used to track the cost of borrowing for housing and its impact on the real estate market.

2. Gross Domestic Product (GDP):

• The total monetary value of all goods and services produced within the United States during a specified period.
• A fundamental measure of economic performance, reflecting the overall economic health and growth trends of the country.

3. Unemployment Rates:

• The percentage of the labor force that is currently unemployed and actively seeking employment.
• A crucial indicator of labor market health and economic stability, influencing government policies and social welfare programs.

4. FED Funds Rate:

• The interest rate at which depository institutions lend reserve balances to other depository institutions overnight, as set by the Federal Reserve.
• This rate is a primary tool for monetary policy, influencing borrowing costs and, subsequently, overall economic activity.

5. Population Growth:

• The annual rate at which the U.S. population is changing, reflecting births, deaths, and migration.
• Offers insights into demographic trends, which have implications for labor force, consumer markets, and social services planning.

6. Consumer Price Index (CPI):

• A measure of the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services.
• A key indicator for assessing inflation or deflation, influencing consumer spending behavior and economic policy decisions.

S&P Case-Shiller Housing Price Index (USA):

• Measures changes in the prices of residential real estate properties over time, offering insight into the health and trends of the housing market in the United States.
• Crucial for assessing the state of the housing market, including property values, trends, and their impact on the broader economy.

Of the major developed and emerging economies, China was the only one to register deflation at **** percent in September 2025. On the other end of the spectrum, the inflation rate in Russia stood at ***** percent. The country's inflation rate increased sharply after the country's President, Vladimir Putin, decided to invade Ukraine, declined somewhat in 2023, before increasing slowly again since. The rate of inflation reflects changes in the cost of a specified basket containing a representative selection of goods and services. It is derived from the consumer price index (CPI).

Inflation Rate in China increased to 0.20 percent in October from -0.30 percent in September of 2025. This dataset provides - China Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

In 2024, Japan had an average inflation rate of 2.74 percent. Japan's inflation rate had hit a record high in 2023 at 3.27 percent, marking the highest rate of inflation in Japan in recent times. However, this figure was still very low compared to most other major economies, such as Japan's fellow G7 members, four of which had inflation rates around six or seven percent in 2023 due to the global inflation crisis. Why is Japan's inflation rate lower? There are a number of contributing factors to Japan's relatively low inflation rate, even during economic crises. Japan eased its Covid restrictions more slowly than most other major economies, this prevented post-pandemic consumer spending that may have driven inflation through supply chain issues caused by higher demand. As the majority of Japan's food and energy comes from overseas, and has done so for decades, the government has mechanisms in place to prevent energy and wheat prices from rising too quickly. Because of this, Japan was able to shield its private sector from many of the negative knock on effects from Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which had a significant impact on both sectors globally. Persistent deflation and national debt An additional factor that has eased the impact of inflation on Japan's economy is the fact that it experienced deflation before the pandemic. Deflation has been a persistent problem in Japan since the asset price bubble burst in 1992, and has been symptomatic of Japan's staggering national debt thereafter. For almost 30 years, a combination of quantitative easing, low interest rates (below 0.5 percent since 1995, and at -0.1% since 2016), and a lack of spending due to low wages and an aging population have combined to give Japan the highest national debt in the world in absolute terms, and second-highest debt in relation to its GDP, after Venezuela. Despite this soaring debt, Japan remains the fourth-largest economy in the world, behind the U.S., China, and Germany.

Inflation Rate in Japan increased to 3 percent in October from 2.90 percent in September of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Japan Inflation Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The statistic shows the growth rate of the real gross domestic product (GDP) in Japan from 2020 to 2024, with projections up until 2030. In 2024, Japan's GDP increased by 0.1 percent compared to the previous year. For comparison, the GDP growth rate of China had reached about five percent that same year.Gross domestic product growth rate in JapanGDP serves as one of the most heavily relied upon indicators to gauge the state and health of a country’s economy. GDP is the total market value of all final goods and services that have been produced within a nation’s borders in a given period of time, usually a year. GDP figures allow a more fundamental understanding of a country’s economy. Year-on-year GDP growth acts as a helpful and clear sign of the direction in which a country is moving in economic terms. Real GDP is especially useful and insightful as it takes price changes (inflation and deflation) into account.The gross domestic product growth rate in Japan has been shaky since the recession of 2008 struck the world economy like a bolt out of the blue and Japan is still yet to gain a solid foothold. Despite its ongoing financial predicament however, Japan remains one of the world’s most highly developed economies. The economy of Japan is the third largest worldwide by nominal GDP and the nation has a very active manufacturing sector. It is active in the auto manufacturing sector, the third largest in the world after the United States and China, and has an electronics industry that is counted among the worlds most innovative. Japan can boast many titles, but perhaps the most significant to its future stability is that which relates to its astronomical national debts, currently running at over 200 percent of GDP, roughly 10.5 trillion US dollars.

The statistic shows the GDP per capita in France from 1987 to 2024, with projections up until 2030. In 2024, GDP per capita in France was at around 46,203.68 US dollars.Suffering competitivenessGDP is one of the primary indicators that is used to gauge the state of health of a country’s economy. It is the total market value of all completed goods and services that have been produced within a country in a given period of time, usually a year. GDP figures allow us to understand a country’s economy in a clear way. Real GDP, in a similar way, is also a very useful indicator; this is a measurement that takes prices changes (inflation and deflation) into account, therefore acting as a key indicator for economic growth.Gross domestic product per capita in France is predicted to continue falling in 2013 after a short period of growth in 2011 indicated that it may not, in fact, be on the mend. The country has been suffering significant economic hardship since the economic crisis of 2008 swept across the world. The European Union’s second largest economy is experiencing a shocking deterioration in its level of competitiveness. The items – cars, clothing, steel, electrical goods – that France is producing are simply failing to compete with the goods produced by Asian countries and its European neighbours, which, in turn, is leading to an accelerating fall in exports and a notable decline in the service and manufacturing sectors that support them. It could be argued that up until now France has managed to maintain its status as a reliable northern eurozone country, propped up by the uncontested reliability and strength of its principal partner, Germany.

In 2024, Japan's gross domestic product (GDP) grew by ***** percent at current prices. A year earlier, the highest growth rate of Japan’s nominal GDP in almost three decades was recorded. The nominal GDP measures the value of all goods and services produced in an economy, including price changes. GDP growth and inflation Japan’s real GDP growth, which is adjusted for inflation, was lower at *** percent. After decades of struggling with deflation and attempts to reach a two percent inflation target with economic stimulus packages and monetary easing policies, consumer prices in Japan increased by almost *** percent in 2023, led by global inflation. This development prompted the Bank of Japan to shift its monetary policy and raise the short-term interest rate for the first time in 17 years in 2024. Japan lost its status as the third-largest economy Many countries have raised interest rates in response to higher inflation in the past years. Since Japan’s central bank has done so at a much slower pace, a widening interest gap emerged between Japan and other major economies of the world. This is also one of the reasons for the depreciation of the yen against the dollar. Due to the weak yen, Japan’s GDP declined when converted into U.S. dollars, resulting in Japan losing its status as the third-largest economy in terms of GDP to Germany in 2023.

Inflation rates in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) ranged from **** percent inflation in Myanmar to ***** percent inflation in Brunei Darussalam in 2024. Only a few countries are in the two to six percent range that many economists view as optimal for emerging economies. Effects of high inflation High inflation is generally detrimental to the economy. Prices tend to rise faster than wages, meaning that people and firms have less purchasing power. This in turn leads to slower growth in the gross domestic product (GDP). It also leads to a weaker currency. For countries with a positive trade balance this can be beneficial, because exports are relatively cheaper to foreign buyers. Through the same mechanism, net importers suffer from a weaker currency. Additionally, inflation makes a country’s national debt less expensive if the debt is denominated in the local currency. However, most of this debt is in U.S. dollars, so inflation makes the debt more difficult to service and repay. Risks of deflation With deflation, consumers and firms delay investments because they expect prices to be lower in the future. This slows consumption and investment, two major components of GDP growth. The most common example of this is Japan, where the GDP growth rate has been low for a long time due, in large part, to deflation. For this reason, countries like Brunei would rather see low and stable inflation than slight deflation.