According to exit polling in *** key states of the 2024 presidential election in the United States, almost ********** of voters who had never attended college reported voting for Donald Trump. In comparison, a similar share of voters with ******** degrees reported voting for Kamala Harris.

According to exit polling in ten key states of the 2024 presidential election in the United States, ** percent of surveyed white voters reported voting for Donald Trump. In contrast, ** percent of Black voters reported voting for Kamala Harris.

According to exit polling in ten key states of the 2024 presidential election in the United States, Donald Trump received the most support from men between the ages of ** and **. In comparison, ** percent of women between the ages of ** and ** reported voting for Kamala Harris.

According to exit polling in ten key states of the 2024 presidential election in the United States, 46 percent of voters with a 2023 household income of 30,000 U.S. dollars or less reported voting for Donald Trump. In comparison, 51 percent of voters with a total family income of 100,000 to 199,999 U.S. dollars reported voting for Kamala Harris.

Description:

This dataset contains comprehensive voting data for the 2024 US elections, focusing on general ballot measures. This information includes voting results from various sources and tracking public opinion about political parties and candidates across states and demographic groups. Each item in the dataset represents a specific poll. Along with detailed information about the dates of the polls. Survey organization, sample size, margin of error, Percentage of respondents supporting each political party or candidates

Key Features:

Poll Date:The date when the poll was conducted.

Polling Organization: The name of the organization that conducted the poll.

Sample Size: The number of respondents in the poll.

Margin of Error: The statistical margin of error for the poll results.

Party/Candidate Support: Percentage of respondents who support each political party or candidate.

State/Demographics: Geographic and demographic breakdowns of the polling data.

Use Cases:

Analyzing trends in public opinion leading up to the 2024 U.S. elections. Comparing support for different political parties and candidates over time. Studying the impact of key events on voter preferences. Informing political strategies and campaign planning.

According to exit polling in ten key states of the 2024 presidential election in the United States, Donald Trump received the most support from white voters between the ages of ** and **. In comparison, ** percent of Black voters between the ages of ** and ** reported voting for Kamala Harris.

Immigration and demographic change have become highly salient in American politics, partly because of the 2016 campaign of Donald Trump. Previous research indicates that local influxes of immigrants or unfamiliar ethnic groups can generate threatened responses, but has either focused on non-electoral outcomes or has analyzed elections in large geographic units such as counties. Here, we examine whether demographic changes at low levels of aggregation were associated with vote shifts toward an anti-immigration presidential candidate between 2012 and 2016. To do so, we compile a novel, precinct-level data set of election results and demographic measures for almost 32,000 precincts in the states of Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Washington. We employ regression analyses varying model specifications and measures of demographic change. Our estimates uncover little evidence that influxes of Hispanics or non-citizen immigrants benefited Trump relative to past Republicans, instead consistently showing that such changes were associated with shifts to Trump's opponent.

According to a survey taken in March, 2024, just over 50 percent of American voters aged between 50 and 64 years had more confidence in Donald Trump to preserve democracy in the United States than Joe Biden. However, this was the only age group polled who believed this, with voters aged 65 years and over believing Biden to be the better candidate for democracy.

Context

The election of Donald Trump has taken the world by surprise and is fuelling populist movements in Europe, e.g. in Italy, Austria and France. Understanding populism and assessing the impact of the “Trump effect” on Europe is a tremendous challenge, and Dalia wants to help pool brainpower to find answers.

The goal is to find out where the next wave of populism could hit in Europe by comparing and contrasting US and EU voter profiles, opinions of Trump vs Clinton voters, Brexit vs. Bremain voters, and future expectations.

Content

Expanding Dalia’s quarterly "EuroPulse" omnibus survey to the USA, Dalia has conducted a representative survey with n=11.283 respondents across all 28 EU member countries and n=1.052 respondents from the United States of America. To find out where the next wave of populism could hit Europe, Dalia’s survey traces commonalities in social and political mindsets (like authoritarianism, prejudice, open-mindedness, xenophobia, etc.), voting behaviour and socio-demographic profiles on both sides of the Atlantic.

Inspiration

The sources of our inspirations are many, but to name a few who influenced the way we asked questions: we were very inspired by the 'angry voter' profile laid out by Douglas Rivers, the influence of political and moral attitudes pointed out by Jonathan Haidt and the profile of "America's forgotten working class" by J. D. Vance.

Researchers should apply the necessary logic, caution and diligence when analysing and interpreting the results.

According to exit polling in the 2020 Presidential Election in the United States, ** percent of surveyed voters making less than 50,000 U.S. dollars reported voting for former Vice President Joe Biden. In the race to become the next president of the United States, ** percent of voters with an income of 100,000 U.S. dollars or more reported voting for incumbent President Donald Trump.

A survey done in March 2022 found that 31% of Republican voters said they would use Truth Social often and 14% said they plan to use the platform a lot.

Context

This is an aggregate of the data I studied for my thesis titled, "Data Mining in Presidential Debates and Speeches: How Campaign Rhetoric Shaped Voter Opinion in the 2016 U.S. Presidential Race". The goal of my thesis was to use NLP techniques to understand how Donald Trump’s rhetoric impacted the opinions of various voter groups throughout his campaign. Here is a summary of my findings:

1. Trump’s words were typically more common in an American English corpus and more extreme on both ends of the sentiment spectrum
2. Trump not only used rhetorical devices for persuasion but also adeptly coupled these devices with the right talking points based on the composition of his audience
3. Precise execution of the above strategy garnered him an unexpectedly large number of votes from the white female and Hispanic demographics

I hope that others can use this dataset to answer questions of their own about the 2016 presidential campaign.

Content

Collection of data from the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign containing:

1. Transcripts of the three presidential debates, divided into separate Trump and Clinton text files
2. Transcripts of Trump's 64 speeches delivered after the RNC and Clinton's 35 speeches delivered after the DNC
3. Transcripts of select speeches delivered by candidates during the primary campaigns
4. USC Dornsife/LA Times Presidential Election Poll, with daily breakdown by voter groups
5. Five Thirty Eight Election Poll, containing daily data from numerous pollsters

Acknowledgements

Debate and speech texts scraped from the American Presidency Project website.

What are the local political, economic, and social conditions of the communities that sent insurrectionists to the U.S. Capitol in support of Donald Trump? Using a new dataset of the home counties of individuals charged for the Capitol Insurrection, we present the first systematic analysis of community-level factors on county rates of arrested insurrectionists. A one standard deviation decline in non-Hispanic White population share is associated with a 37% increase in the rate of insurrectionists, while manufacturing decline is associated with a 12% increase, even when controlling for population, racial makeup, and populist Trump support. The effect of white population decline is greater in counties whose U.S. Representative objected to the certification of the 2020 election results. Our findings suggest that improving economic conditions alone will not solve the problem of violent populism. Future research should further investigate the differences between electoral and violent populism. This dataset contains the Stata (version 18) dofiles and datafiles needed to replicate the figures and tables in the publication "The Political Geography of the January 6 Insurrectionists."

2024 General Election: Trump vs. Biden vs. Kennedy vs. West vs. Stein | RealClearPolling

2024 General Election: Trump vs. Biden | RealClearPolling

Baseline demographics of county-level data*.

Billions of people outside of the US hold a vested interest in the outcome of US presidential elections, despite not being allowed to vote. We developed 9 Voting Advice Applications (VAAs) for the 2020 elections and 5 VAAs for the 2024 elections in partnership with leading newspapers across Europe, Asia, and Oceania. Across these two elections, the VAA tools offered 724,294 users from 187 countries an issue-based comparison with Biden and Trump in 2020, and with Trump and Harris in 2024. Users answered demographic questions, the issue statements, and additional attitudinal items. These issue statements covered both domestic topics and topics of the US’ foreign policy. The candidates’ positions were coded using robust primary and secondary sources on 29 (2020) and 62 (2024) issue statements. This deposit includes the candidates’ placement data as well as the user data generated by these VAAs, offering an unprecedented opportunity to analyze global perceptions of US politics and the election’s far-reaching influence on international relations.

Generalized linear regression estimates adjusted for demographic variables and unhealthy component.

According to a July 2025 survey, Donald Trump's favorability among Republicans was strong, with 60 percent viewing him very favorably and 29 percent somewhat favorably. This overwhelming support from his party base contrasts sharply with Democrats, of whom 90 percent viewed Trump very unfavorably. Independents were more divided, with 28 percent expressing some degree of favorability towards the former president. Electoral college victory Trump's popularity among Republicans translated into electoral success in the 2024 presidential election. He secured 312 electoral votes, surpassing the 270 needed to win the presidency. This victory came as Trump won all seven swing states, some by significant margins, despite pre-election polls showing only a slight lead in most battleground states. Increased republican support The 2024 election saw Republicans gain ground across the country. Every state reported an increase in Republican votes compared to 2020, with New York showing the largest gain of 6.43 percent. New Jersey and Florida also saw significant increases of nearly five percent. This surge in Republican support led to Trump flipping six states that he had lost in the previous election, contributing to his decisive victory.

This file contains all of the cases and variables that are in the original 2017 Baylor Religion Survey, but is prepared for easier use in the classroom. Changes have been made in two areas. First, to avoid confusion when constructing tables or interpreting basic analysis, all missing data codes and "don't know" responses have been set to system missing. Second, many of the continuous variables have been categorized into fewer categories, and added as additional variables to the file.

Wave V of the "https://www.baylor.edu/baylorreligionsurvey/" Target="_blank">Baylor Religion Survey (2017), also known as "The Values and Beliefs of the American Public - A National Study," was administered by Gallup and funded by the John Templeton Foundation. It covers topics of the geography of religion; religious behaviors and attitudes; morality and politics; mental health and religion; intersection of technology and religion; race and ethnicity; the religious, political and ideological values of Trump voters; and basic demographics.