The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4.50 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

We study how model uncertainty affects the understanding of the interest rate persistence using a generalized Taylor-rule function covering numerous submodels via model average approach. The data-driven weights can be regarded as a measure of power-sharing across monetary policy committee members. We show that the model uncertainty is important in Canada, France, and Sweden, and the implied weights indicate that the U.K. and the U.S. have a lower model uncertainty caused either by an over-influential chairman or the consistent agreement of committee members. The importance of model uncertainty can be emphasized by sequential estimation during the 2008 financial crisis.

The benchmark interest rate in Japan was last recorded at 0.50 percent. This dataset provides - Japan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The benchmark interest rate in Mexico was last recorded at 8 percent. This dataset provides - Mexico Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

We evaluate the implications of the ECB's negative interest rate policy (NIRP) on the yield curve. To capture various shapes of the short end of the yield curve induced by the NIRP, we introduce two policy indicators, which summarize the immediate and longer horizon future monetary policy stances. We find that the four NIRP events lowered the short-term interest rate by the same amount. The impact is dampened at longer maturities for the first two event dates, due to lack of forward guidance. By contrast, for the last two dates, forward guidance drives the largest effects in two years.

We estimate time-varying national natural real rates of interest (r?) for the four largest economies of the euro area over 1999-2016. We further derive the associated national real interest rate gaps, which gauge the perceived monetary policy stance in each country. We find that the average r? have been lower after 2008. Furthermore, national r? were significantly negative in southern countries during the sovereign crisis. As their effective real rates soared, national rate gaps across the euro area diverged. However, a common policy stance has been restored since 2014 as the European Central Bank's unconventional programs gathered pace.

The benchmark interest rate In the Euro Area was last recorded at 2.15 percent. This dataset provides - Euro Area Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

We estimate a two-country model of the United States and Canada over the post 2009 sample to study the cross-country spillovers of forward guidance shocks. To do so, we propose a method to identify forward guidance shocks during the fixed interest rate regime. The estimated forward guidance shocks coincide with significant U.S. monetary policy announcements such as the introduction of calendar-based guidance in 2011. While a 2?quarter expansionary forward guidance shock decreases Canadian output by about 0.2% to 0.4% on impact, we find that the United States and Canada were both better off by responding with expansionary monetary policy to the large contractionary shocks that took place during the Great Recession. The central message of our paper is that the focus on whether monetary policy spillovers are expansionary or contractionary is incomplete. What matters is whether the combined monetary policy response is stabilizing in aggregate.

Colombia Macroeconomic Expectation: Benchmark Interest Rate: Next 1 Year data was reported at 4.750 % pa in Dec 2018. This stayed constant from the previous number of 4.750 % pa for Nov 2018. Colombia Macroeconomic Expectation: Benchmark Interest Rate: Next 1 Year data is updated monthly, averaging 4.750 % pa from Jun 2014 (Median) to Dec 2018, with 55 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.500 % pa in Aug 2016 and a record low of 4.000 % pa in Mar 2015. Colombia Macroeconomic Expectation: Benchmark Interest Rate: Next 1 Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Foundation for Higher Education and Development. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Colombia – Table CO.M004: Monetary Policy Interest Rates: Forecast.

A traditional way of thinking about the exchange rate regime and capital account openness has been framed in terms of the 'impossible trinity' or 'trilemma', according to which policymakers can only have two of three possible outcomes: open capital markets, monetary independence and pegged exchange rates. The present paper is a natural extension of Escude (A DSGE Model for a SOE with Systematic Interest and Foreign Exchange Policies in Which Policymakers Exploit the Risk Premium for Stabilization Purposes, 2013), which focuses on interest rate and exchange rate policies, since it introduces the third vertex of the 'trinity' in the form of taxes on private foreign debt. These affect the risk-adjusted uncovered interest parity equation and hence influence the SOE's international financial flows. A useful way to illustrate the range of policy alternatives is to associate them with the faces of an isosceles triangle. Each of three possible government intervention policies taken individually (in the domestic currency bond market, in the foreign currency market, and in the foreign currency bonds market) corresponds to one of the vertices of the triangle, each of the three possible pairs of intervention policies corresponds to one of the three edges of the triangle, and the three simultaneous intervention policies taken jointly correspond to the triangle's interior. This paper shows that this interior, or 'pos sible trinity' is quite generally not only possible but optimal, since the central bank obtains a lower loss when it implements a policy with all three interventions.

This paper evaluates the impact of quantitative easing on income and wealth of individual euro area households. We first estimate the aggregate effects of a QE shock, identified by means of external instruments, in a multi-country VAR model with unemployment, wages, gross operating surplus, interest rates, house prices and stock prices. We then distribute the aggregate effects across households using a reduced-form simulation on micro data, which captures the portfolio composition, the income composition and the earnings heterogeneity channels of transmission. The earnings heterogeneity channel is important: QE compresses the income distribution since many households with lower incomes become employed. In contrast, monetary policy has only negligible effects on the Gini coefficient for wealth: while high-wealth households benefit from higher stock prices, middle-wealth households benefit from higher house prices.

The benchmark interest rate in Sweden was last recorded at 2 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Sweden Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Colombia Macroeconomic Expectation: Benchmark Interest Rate: End of the Month data was reported at 9.500 % pa in Apr 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 9.500 % pa for Mar 2025. Colombia Macroeconomic Expectation: Benchmark Interest Rate: End of the Month data is updated monthly, averaging 5.500 % pa from Aug 2015 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 117 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 13.250 % pa in Nov 2023 and a record low of 1.500 % pa in Feb 2021. Colombia Macroeconomic Expectation: Benchmark Interest Rate: End of the Month data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Foundation for Higher Education and Development. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Colombia – Table CO.M004: Monetary Policy Interest Rates: Forecast.

Korea Interest Rate: Loans to Government data was reported at 1.685 % pa in Nov 2018. This stayed constant from the previous number of 1.685 % pa for Oct 2018. Korea Interest Rate: Loans to Government data is updated monthly, averaging 4.950 % pa from Jan 1994 (Median) to Nov 2018, with 299 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 5.450 % pa in Dec 2008 and a record low of 1.362 % pa in Dec 2017. Korea Interest Rate: Loans to Government data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The Bank of Korea. The data is categorized under Global Database’s South Korea – Table KR.M001: Monetary Policy Rates.

This paper proposes a simple benchmark for monetary policy. Assuming the true model of the economy is unknown, it is based on an unrestricted vector autoregression (VAR). The key result is that instead of deriving optimal policy using the original VAR equations as the constraint, when no restriction is placed on the correlation structure of the VAR disturbances, the constraint should be formed from a transformation of the VAR. This method is applied to the USA, 1964-2009. Significant welfare gains are found compared with actual policy and using a Taylor rule. Incorporating a zero interest rate lower bound lowers output and inflation.

Bank of the Republic Intervention Rate: Month End: Expansion: Maximum data was reported at 10.500 % pa in Apr 2025. This stayed constant from the previous number of 10.500 % pa for Mar 2025. Bank of the Republic Intervention Rate: Month End: Expansion: Maximum data is updated monthly, averaging 8.500 % pa from Feb 1998 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 320 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 35.000 % pa in Nov 1998 and a record low of 2.750 % pa in Sep 2021. Bank of the Republic Intervention Rate: Month End: Expansion: Maximum data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of the Republic of Colombia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Colombia – Table CO.M003: Monetary Policy Interest Rates.

This table contains 39 series, with data for starting from 1991 (not all combinations necessarily have data for all years). This table contains data described by the following dimensions (Not all combinations are available): Geography (1 item: Canada); Financial market statistics (39 items: Government of Canada Treasury Bills, 1-month (composite rates); Government of Canada Treasury Bills, 2-month (composite rates); Government of Canada Treasury Bills, 3-month (composite rates);Government of Canada Treasury Bills, 6-month (composite rates); ...).

The benchmark interest rate in Norway was last recorded at 4.25 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Norway Interest Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

We use Bayesian methods to estimate changes in US post-war monetary policy in the Smets and Wouters model. We perform the estimations by allowing for a break in monetary policy at the time of Volcker's appointment as chairman. This enables us to capture changes in the monetary policy regime introduced by Volcker during the Volcker-Greenspan period. We find support for the assumption that monetary policy in the Volcker-Greenspan period performed optimally under commitment. Our estimation strategy allows us to estimate the preferences of the US Federal Reserve in the Volcker-Greenspan period, where the main objective of policy appears to be inflation, followed by interest rate stabilization, output growth and interest rate smoothing. We find that the Great Moderation of output growth is explained by a combination of two factors: the decrease in the volatility of the structural shocks and the improved monetary policy conduct. Inflation Stabilization, however, is mainly due to the change in monetary policy that took place at the beginning of Volcker's mandate.

The benchmark interest rate in South Korea was last recorded at 2.50 percent. This dataset provides - South Korea Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.