United States US: GDP: Growth: Gross Value Added: Services data was reported at 2.621 % in 2015. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.221 % for 2014. United States US: GDP: Growth: Gross Value Added: Services data is updated yearly, averaging 2.335 % from Dec 1998 (Median) to 2015, with 18 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.456 % in 1999 and a record low of -1.772 % in 2009. United States US: GDP: Growth: Gross Value Added: Services data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.World Bank: Gross Domestic Product: Annual Growth Rate. Annual growth rate for value added in services based on constant local currency. Aggregates are based on constant 2010 U.S. dollars. Services correspond to ISIC divisions 50-99. They include value added in wholesale and retail trade (including hotels and restaurants), transport, and government, financial, professional, and personal services such as education, health care, and real estate services. Also included are imputed bank service charges, import duties, and any statistical discrepancies noted by national compilers as well as discrepancies arising from rescaling. Value added is the net output of a sector after adding up all outputs and subtracting intermediate inputs. It is calculated without making deductions for depreciation of fabricated assets or depletion and degradation of natural resources. The industrial origin of value added is determined by the International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC), revision 3.; ; World Bank national accounts data, and OECD National Accounts data files.; Weighted Average; Note: Data for OECD countries are based on ISIC, revision 4.

Description: This dataset contains historical economic data spanning from 1871 to 2024, used in Jaouad Karfali’s research on Economic Cycle Analysis with Numerical Time Cycles. The study aims to improve economic forecasting accuracy through the 9-year cycle model, which demonstrates superior predictive capabilities compared to traditional economic indicators.

Dataset Contents: The dataset includes a comprehensive range of economic indicators used in the research, such as:

USGDP_1871-2024.csv – U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. USCPI_cleaned.csv – U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), cleaned and processed. USWAGE_1871-2024.csv – U.S. average wages data. EXCHANGEGLOBAL_cleaned.csv – Global exchange rates for the U.S. dollar. EXCHANGEPOUND_cleaned.csv – U.S. dollar to British pound exchange rates. INTERESTRATE_1871-2024.csv – U.S. interest rate data. UNRATE.csv – U.S. unemployment rate statistics. POPTOTUSA647NWDB.csv – U.S. total population data. Significance of the Data: This dataset serves as a foundation for a robust economic analysis of the U.S. economy over multiple decades. It was instrumental in testing the 9-year economic cycle model, which demonstrated an 85% accuracy rate in economic forecasting when compared to traditional models such as ARIMA and VAR.

Applications:

Economic Forecasting: Predicts a 1.5% decline in GDP in 2025, followed by a gradual recovery between 2026-2034. Economic Stability Analysis: Used for comparing forecasts with estimates from institutions like the IMF and World Bank. Academic and Institutional Research: Supports studies in economic cycles and long-term forecasting. Source & Further Information: For more details on the methodology and research findings, refer to the full paper published on SSRN:

https://ssrn.com/author=7429208 https://orcid.org/0009-0002-9626-7289

• Jaouad Karfali

Graph and download economic data for Narrow Money, Index for the United States (DISCONTINUED) (MANMNM01USQ661S) from Q1 1959 to Q4 2013 about narrow, monetary aggregates, indexes, and USA.

United States Diffusion Index: sa: Mfg: 3 Months Span data was reported at 67.100 Unit in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 63.200 Unit for Sep 2018. United States Diffusion Index: sa: Mfg: 3 Months Span data is updated monthly, averaging 49.000 Unit from Jan 1991 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 334 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 82.200 Unit in Nov 1997 and a record low of 2.600 Unit in Mar 2009. United States Diffusion Index: sa: Mfg: 3 Months Span data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.G041: Current Employment Statistics Survey: Diffusion Index.

United States NLB: saar: Capital Account: Addendum: Rest of the World data was reported at 569.211 USD bn in Mar 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 524.026 USD bn for Dec 2017. United States NLB: saar: Capital Account: Addendum: Rest of the World data is updated quarterly, averaging 43.283 USD bn from Dec 1951 (Median) to Mar 2018, with 266 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 859.012 USD bn in Sep 2006 and a record low of -42.129 USD bn in Mar 1991. United States NLB: saar: Capital Account: Addendum: Rest of the World data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.AB074: Integrated Macroeconomic Accounts: Total Economy and Sectors: Selected Aggregates.

United States State Leading Index: Delaware data was reported at 0.243 % in Aug 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.647 % for Jul 2018. United States State Leading Index: Delaware data is updated monthly, averaging 1.421 % from Jan 1982 (Median) to Aug 2018, with 440 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.930 % in Aug 1986 and a record low of -3.070 % in Nov 2008. United States State Leading Index: Delaware data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.S008: State Leading Index.

United States SB: ES: CS: Demand: Moderate Increase data was reported at 36.100 % in 11 Apr 2022. This records a decrease from the previous number of 41.500 % for 04 Apr 2022. United States SB: ES: CS: Demand: Moderate Increase data is updated weekly, averaging 37.700 % from Feb 2022 (Median) to 11 Apr 2022, with 9 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 44.500 % in 21 Mar 2022 and a record low of 33.300 % in 14 Mar 2022. United States SB: ES: CS: Demand: Moderate Increase data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S045: Small Business Pulse Survey: by Sector: Weekly. Beg Monday (Discontinued).

United States Employment: Farming, Fishing & Forestry data was reported at 1,079.000 Person th in Jun 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 1,056.000 Person th for May 2018. United States Employment: Farming, Fishing & Forestry data is updated monthly, averaging 1,051.500 Person th from Jan 1983 (Median) to Jun 2018, with 426 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1,410.000 Person th in Jul 1983 and a record low of 782.000 Person th in Jan 2010. United States Employment: Farming, Fishing & Forestry data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bureau of Labor Statistics. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.G013: Current Population Survey: Employment.

United States New Jersey: Gen Exp: Education data was reported at 34,797,991.000 USD th in 2015. This records an increase from the previous number of 34,205,186.000 USD th for 2014. United States New Jersey: Gen Exp: Education data is updated yearly, averaging 6,344,768.000 USD th from Jun 1957 (Median) to 2015, with 57 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 34,797,991.000 USD th in 2015 and a record low of 446,662.000 USD th in 1957. United States New Jersey: Gen Exp: Education data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by US Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.F039: Revenue & Expenditure: State and Local Government: New Jersey.

United States SB: CT: CS: Demand: Large Decrease data was reported at 4.100 % in 11 Apr 2022. This records a decrease from the previous number of 4.900 % for 04 Apr 2022. United States SB: CT: CS: Demand: Large Decrease data is updated weekly, averaging 4.700 % from Feb 2022 (Median) to 11 Apr 2022, with 9 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.100 % in 14 Feb 2022 and a record low of 4.100 % in 11 Apr 2022. United States SB: CT: CS: Demand: Large Decrease data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S045: Small Business Pulse Survey: by Sector: Weekly. Beg Monday (Discontinued).

United States US: Trade Balance: Advanced Economies: China, People Republic: Hong Kong data was reported at 9.232 USD bn in Mar 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 8.151 USD bn for Dec 2017. United States US: Trade Balance: Advanced Economies: China, People Republic: Hong Kong data is updated quarterly, averaging -27.000 USD mn from Mar 1960 (Median) to Mar 2018, with 233 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 9.724 USD bn in Sep 2013 and a record low of -2.077 USD bn in Sep 1987. United States US: Trade Balance: Advanced Economies: China, People Republic: Hong Kong data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by International Monetary Fund. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.IMF.DOT: Trade Balance: by Country: Quarterly.

United States SB: RI: Outlook: Business Practices (BP): Adopted/Exp Use of Tech data was reported at 12.700 % in 11 Apr 2022. This records a decrease from the previous number of 13.700 % for 04 Apr 2022. United States SB: RI: Outlook: Business Practices (BP): Adopted/Exp Use of Tech data is updated weekly, averaging 15.500 % from Feb 2022 (Median) to 11 Apr 2022, with 7 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 17.700 % in 28 Feb 2022 and a record low of 12.700 % in 11 Apr 2022. United States SB: RI: Outlook: Business Practices (BP): Adopted/Exp Use of Tech data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S049: Small Business Pulse Survey: by State: Northeast Region: Weekly, Beg Monday (Discontinued).

United States SB: CS: Demand: Large Decrease data was reported at 4.900 % in 11 Apr 2022. This records an increase from the previous number of 3.400 % for 04 Apr 2022. United States SB: CS: Demand: Large Decrease data is updated weekly, averaging 5.400 % from Feb 2022 (Median) to 11 Apr 2022, with 9 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 9.600 % in 14 Feb 2022 and a record low of 3.300 % in 28 Mar 2022. United States SB: CS: Demand: Large Decrease data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S045: Small Business Pulse Survey: by Sector: Weekly. Beg Monday (Discontinued).

United States SB: MA: Outlook: BP: Change Business Strategies data was reported at 15.900 % in 11 Apr 2022. This records an increase from the previous number of 14.500 % for 04 Apr 2022. United States SB: MA: Outlook: BP: Change Business Strategies data is updated weekly, averaging 17.100 % from Feb 2022 (Median) to 11 Apr 2022, with 9 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 21.600 % in 14 Mar 2022 and a record low of 14.500 % in 04 Apr 2022. United States SB: MA: Outlook: BP: Change Business Strategies data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S049: Small Business Pulse Survey: by State: Northeast Region: Weekly, Beg Monday (Discontinued).

United States SBP: RE: CashonHand will Currently Cover: 3 or More Business Mo data was reported at 36.000 % in 04 Oct 2020. This records a decrease from the previous number of 36.400 % for 27 Sep 2020. United States SBP: RE: CashonHand will Currently Cover: 3 or More Business Mo data is updated weekly, averaging 34.700 % from Apr 2020 (Median) to 04 Oct 2020, with 18 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 39.100 % in 16 Aug 2020 and a record low of 24.700 % in 03 May 2020. United States SBP: RE: CashonHand will Currently Cover: 3 or More Business Mo data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S036: Small Business Pulse Survey: by Sector: Weekly, Beg Sunday (Discontinued).

United States SB: NH: CS: Prices Paid: Large Increase data was reported at 45.500 % in 11 Apr 2022. This records an increase from the previous number of 38.900 % for 04 Apr 2022. United States SB: NH: CS: Prices Paid: Large Increase data is updated weekly, averaging 42.800 % from Feb 2022 (Median) to 11 Apr 2022, with 9 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 47.400 % in 28 Mar 2022 and a record low of 28.100 % in 21 Feb 2022. United States SB: NH: CS: Prices Paid: Large Increase data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S049: Small Business Pulse Survey: by State: Northeast Region: Weekly, Beg Monday (Discontinued).

United States SBP: Back to Usual Operations: >6 Mos data was reported at 62.600 % in 04 Oct 2020. This records an increase from the previous number of 61.600 % for 27 Sep 2020. United States SBP: Back to Usual Operations: >6 Mos data is updated weekly, averaging 59.200 % from Apr 2020 (Median) to 04 Oct 2020, with 18 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 65.500 % in 13 Sep 2020 and a record low of 44.800 % in 26 Apr 2020. United States SBP: Back to Usual Operations: >6 Mos data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S046: Small Business Pulse Survey: by Sector: Weekly, Beg Sunday (Discontinued).

United States SB: MN: Finance: PC: Increased data was reported at 3.600 % in 11 Apr 2022. This records a decrease from the previous number of 4.900 % for 04 Apr 2022. United States SB: MN: Finance: PC: Increased data is updated weekly, averaging 4.900 % from Feb 2022 (Median) to 11 Apr 2022, with 9 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.700 % in 14 Feb 2022 and a record low of 3.600 % in 11 Apr 2022. United States SB: MN: Finance: PC: Increased data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S047: Small Business Pulse Survey: by State: Midwest Region: Weekly, Beg Monday (Discontinued).

United States Coincident Index: Philadelphia Fed: Louisiana data was reported at 110.355 NA in Jun 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 110.396 NA for May 2018. United States Coincident Index: Philadelphia Fed: Louisiana data is updated monthly, averaging 94.230 NA from Jan 1979 (Median) to Jun 2018, with 474 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 110.396 NA in May 2018 and a record low of 70.716 NA in Jan 1979. United States Coincident Index: Philadelphia Fed: Louisiana data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.S008: State Coincident Index.

United States SBP: CO: Didn't Shifted to Prod of Other Gds or Svcs data was reported at 14.900 % in 20 Sep 2020. This records a decrease from the previous number of 15.200 % for 13 Sep 2020. United States SBP: CO: Didn't Shifted to Prod of Other Gds or Svcs data is updated weekly, averaging 91.700 % from Apr 2020 (Median) to 20 Sep 2020, with 15 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 94.700 % in 31 May 2020 and a record low of 13.100 % in 16 Aug 2020. United States SBP: CO: Didn't Shifted to Prod of Other Gds or Svcs data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by U.S. Census Bureau. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S054: Small Business Pulse Survey: by State: West Region: Weekly, Beg Sunday (Discontinued).