By April 2026, it is projected that there is a probability of ***** percent that the United States will fall into another economic recession. This reflects a significant decrease from the projection of the preceding month.

Graph and download economic data for Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator (JHDUSRGDPBR) from Q4 1967 to Q1 2025 about recession indicators, GDP, and USA.

A survey conducted among global brands revealed that talks of a recession in 2023 influence their media budget decisions. Nearly ** percent of the multinationals surveyed agreed or strongly agreed that an economic crisis is taken into consideration when planning advertising and market expenditures for 2023.

The Weekly Economic Index (WEI) of the United States exhibited notable fluctuations between January 2021 and November 2025. Throughout this period, the WEI reached its lowest point at negative **** percent in the third week of February 2021, while achieving its peak at ***** percent in the first week of May 2021. From 2021 through the initial half of 2023, the WEI demonstrated a gradual decline, interspersed with occasional minor upturns. This phase was succeeded by a period characterized by a modest overall increase, culminating in a value of **** percent as of November 1, 2025. What is the Weekly Economic Index? The Weekly Economic Index (WEI) is an index of real economic activity using high-frequency data, used to signal the state of the U.S. economy. It is an index of ** daily and weekly indicators, scaled to align with the four-quarter GDP growth rate. The indicators reflected in the WEI cover consumer behavior, the labor market, and production.

View monthly updates and historical trends for US Recession Probability. from United States. Source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York. Track economic data…

In spring 2023, more than half of surveyed consumers in the United States said they could live without buying apparel for a little while if they entered a recession in the next six months. Ranking second, many also said they could put a hold on buying home improvement items during times of economic uncertainty.

The dataset (in csv format) has been prepared by scraping Twitter data on the topic recession in India and has around 5112 tweets. The information such as number of likes for the tweet, number of times the tweet had been retweeted till 30 Nov 2022, the name of the user is included in this dataset. Is recession imminent in India?

A recession is due in the U.S. in 2023, according to a majority of macroeconomists in a June 2022 survey. Opinions varied, however, on when in 2023 this new recession could start exactly. Most respondents - ** percent - believed the economic downturn most likely start in the first half of 2023. Meanwhile, ** percent said that it would begin in the latter half of that year. Most Americans thought differently on this topic, believing that the country was already experiencing an economic recession in June 2022. The macroeconomists cited both geopolitical tensions and the increasing costs of energy as the main reasons why pressure would remain on U.S. inflation.

We use the yield curve to predict future GDP growth and recession probabilities. The spread between short- and long-term rates typically correlates with economic growth. Predications are calculated using a model developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Released monthly.

View economic output, reported as the nominal value of all new goods and services produced by labor and property located in the U.S.

In 2023, the majority of the Polish population felt the effects of the economic downturn. Less than ** percent did not feel the effects of the recession.

The UK economy shrank by 0.1 percent in September 2025 after reporting zero growth in the previous month. Since a huge decline in GDP in April 2020, the UK economy has gradually recovered and is now slightly larger than it was before the COVID-19 pandemic. After the initial recovery from the pandemic, however, the UK economy has effectively flatlined, fluctuating between low growth and small contractions since 2022. Labour banking on growth to turn around fortunes in 2025 In February 2025, just over half a year after winning the last general election, the approval rating for the new Labour government fell to a low of -48 percent. Furthermore, the Prime Minister, Keir Starmer was not only less popular than the new Conservative leader, Kemi Badenoch, but also the leader of the Reform Party, Nigel Farage, whose party have surged in opinion polls recently. This remarkable decline in popularity for the new government is, in some part, due to a deliberate policy of making tough decisions early. Arguably, the most damaging of these policies was the withdrawal of the winter fuel allowance for some pensioners, although other factors such as a controversy about gifts and donations also hurt the government. While Labour aims to restore the UK's economic and political credibility in the long term, they will certainly hope for some good economic news sooner rather than later. Economy bounces back in 2024 after ending 2023 in recession Due to two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth, in late 2023 the UK economy ended the year in recession. After not growing at all in the second quarter of 2023, UK GDP fell by 0.1 percent in the third quarter, and then by 0.3 percent in the last quarter. For the whole of 2023, the economy grew by 0.4 percent compared to 2022, and for 2024 is forecast to have grown by 1.1 percent. During the first two quarters of 2024, UK GDP grew by 0.7 percent, and 0.4 percent, with this relatively strong growth followed by zero percent growth in the third quarter of the year. Although the economy had started to grow again by the time of the 2024 general election, this was not enough to save the Conservative government at the time. Despite usually seen as the best party for handling the economy, the Conservative's economic competency was behind that of Labour on the eve of the 2024 election.

Bibliographic Data onUkarine Crisis ιn Economics and Business Research Generated by Koutsoupias Nikosstudied in The War in Ukraine as a Global Economic Crisis (2014-2023)an article by Prof. A. Bitzenis and Prof. N. Koutsoupias, University of Macedonia, GreeceVolume in honor of Elias KouskouvelisEdited by The Council for International Relations - Greece (CfIR-GR)Δεδομένα που μελετήθηκαν στο:O Πόλεμος στην Ουκρανία ως Παγκόσμια Οικονομική Κρίση (2014-2023) των Α.Μπιτζενη και Ν.Κουτσουπιαστον τόμο εις μνήμην του καθ. Ηλία Κουσκουβέληεκδ. Συμβουλίου Διεθνών Σχέσεων, Αθήνα, 2024

The National Association of County and City Health Officials' (NACCHO's) Forces of Change Survey was developed as an evolution to NACCHO's Job Losses and Program Cuts surveys, which measured the impact of the economic recession on local health departments' (LHDs) budgets, staff, and programs. Beginning in 2014, NACCHO began conducting the Forces of Change survey yearly in years that the National Profile Study of Local Health Departments (Profile) was not fielded. The Forces of Change Survey continues to measure changes in LHD budgets, staff, programs, and assess more broadly the impact of forces affecting change in LHDs.

In spring 2023, roughly half of consumers in the United States said they could easily stop buying fine jewelry and/or watches if they entered a recession in the next six months. Ranking second and third, many also said they could easily cut out outdoor gear and fitness equipment purchases.

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

MMI Stock: Are We Headed for a Recession?

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

GDP Counterfactual Tracker: % Change from Pre-Crisis Trend data was reported at 5.430 % in Jan 2023. This records a decrease from the previous number of 6.167 % for Oct 2022. GDP Counterfactual Tracker: % Change from Pre-Crisis Trend data is updated quarterly, averaging -3.061 % from Jan 2020 (Median) to Jan 2023, with 13 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 20.118 % in Apr 2022 and a record low of -19.394 % in Apr 2020. GDP Counterfactual Tracker: % Change from Pre-Crisis Trend data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Ireland – Table IE.OECD.WT: GDP Growth Tracker: Quarterly.

The Appalachian Regional Commission uses an index-based county economic classification system to identify and monitor the economic status of Appalachian counties. See the methodology for a description of each economic level.In fiscal year 2022, 5 Ohio ARC counties are classified as distressed, 14 are classified as at-risk, 11 are classified as transitional, 2 are classified as competitive, and 0 are classified as attainment. The current number of distressed counties for the entire ARC region is the third-lowest count since pre-recession in 2007. For a list of county classifications, see the downloadable Excel file.https://www.arc.gov/map/county-economic-status-in-appalachia-fy-2023/This layer was created by joining the raw data from the County Economic Status FY 2022 Data table to the Census 2021 county boundary (tl_2021_39_county)The layer contains economic and demographic data for all 88 counties, a definition query is used to display the 32 Appalachian counties.

Graph and download economic data for Real gross domestic product per capita (A939RX0Q048SBEA) from Q1 1947 to Q2 2025 about per capita, real, GDP, and USA.

GDP Counterfactual Tracker: % Change from Pre-Crisis Trend data was reported at 1.600 % in Jan 2023. This records a decrease from the previous number of 4.120 % for Oct 2022. GDP Counterfactual Tracker: % Change from Pre-Crisis Trend data is updated quarterly, averaging -1.147 % from Jan 2020 (Median) to Jan 2023, with 13 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 11.907 % in Apr 2022 and a record low of -9.483 % in Apr 2020. GDP Counterfactual Tracker: % Change from Pre-Crisis Trend data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.OECD.WT: GDP Growth Tracker: Quarterly.