98 datasets found
  1. F

    Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Apr 30, 2025
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    (2025). Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JHDUSRGDPBR
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    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Apr 30, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator (JHDUSRGDPBR) from Q4 1967 to Q4 2024 about recession indicators, GDP, and USA.

  2. United States: duration of recessions 1854-2024

    • statista.com
    Updated Jul 4, 2024
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    Statista (2024). United States: duration of recessions 1854-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1317029/us-recession-lengths-historical/
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 4, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The Long Depression was, by a large margin, the longest-lasting recession in U.S. history. It began in the U.S. with the Panic of 1873, and lasted for over five years. This depression was the largest in a series of recessions at the turn of the 20th century, which proved to be a period of overall stagnation as the U.S. financial markets failed to keep pace with industrialization and changes in monetary policy. Great Depression The Great Depression, however, is widely considered to have been the most severe recession in U.S. history. Following the Wall Street Crash in 1929, the country's economy collapsed, wages fell and a quarter of the workforce was unemployed. It would take almost four years for recovery to begin. Additionally, U.S. expansion and integration in international markets allowed the depression to become a global event, which became a major catalyst in the build up to the Second World War. Decreasing severity When comparing recessions before and after the Great Depression, they have generally become shorter and less frequent over time. Only three recessions in the latter period have lasted more than one year. Additionally, while there were 12 recessions between 1880 and 1920, there were only six recessions between 1980 and 2020. The most severe recession in recent years was the financial crisis of 2007 (known as the Great Recession), where irresponsible lending policies and lack of government regulation allowed for a property bubble to develop and become detached from the economy over time, this eventually became untenable and the bubble burst. Although the causes of both the Great Depression and Great Recession were similar in many aspects, economists have been able to use historical evidence to try and predict, prevent, or limit the impact of future recessions.

  3. T

    United States - GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated May 19, 2019
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2019). United States - GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-based-recession-indicator-index-fed-data.html
    Explore at:
    json, csv, xml, excelAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 19, 2019
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1976 - Dec 31, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    United States - GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index was 6.80000 Percentage Points in October of 2024, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index reached a record high of 100.00000 in April of 2020 and a record low of 0.00000 in July of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on June of 2025.

  4. U.S. monthly projected recession probability 2020-2025

    • statista.com
    Updated Jan 3, 2025
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    Statista (2025). U.S. monthly projected recession probability 2020-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1239080/us-monthly-projected-recession-probability/
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    Dataset updated
    Jan 3, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Nov 2020 - Nov 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    By November 2025, it is projected that there is a probability of 33.56 percent that the United States will fall into another economic recession. This reflects a significant decrease from the projection of the preceding month.

  5. F

    Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jun 6, 2025
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    (2025). Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME
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    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 6, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator (SAHMREALTIME) from Dec 1959 to May 2025 about recession indicators, academic data, and USA.

  6. F

    GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Apr 30, 2025
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    (2025). GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JHGDPBRINDX
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    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Apr 30, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index (JHGDPBRINDX) from Q4 1967 to Q4 2024 about recession indicators, percent, GDP, and indexes.

  7. F

    NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period...

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jun 6, 2025
    + more versions
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    (2025). NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USRECD
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    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 6, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-requiredhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-required

    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Graph and download economic data for NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough (USRECD) from 1854-12-01 to 2025-06-05 about peak, trough, recession indicators, and USA.

  8. U.S. Sahm rule recession indicator 2022-2024

    • statista.com
    Updated Nov 12, 2024
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    Statista (2024). U.S. Sahm rule recession indicator 2022-2024 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1329904/sahm-recession-indicator-us/
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    Dataset updated
    Nov 12, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Oct 2022 - Oct 2024
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    In October 2024, the Sahm recession indicator was 0.43, a slight decrease from the previous month. The Sahm Rule was developed to flag the onset of an economic recession more quickly than other indicators. The Sahm Rule signals the start of a recession when the three-month moving average of the national unemployment rate rises by 0.50 percentage points or more relative to its low during the previous 12 months.

  9. T

    United States - Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession...

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jan 25, 2019
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2019). United States - Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/dates-of-u-s-recessions-as-inferred-by-gdp-based-recession-indicator-fed-data.html
    Explore at:
    excel, xml, json, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jan 25, 2019
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1976 - Dec 31, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    United States - Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator was 0.00000 +1 or 0 in July of 2024, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator reached a record high of 1.00000 in April of 1969 and a record low of 0.00000 in January of 1968. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on April of 2025.

  10. Weekly Economic Index in the U.S. 2021-2025

    • statista.com
    Updated Jun 2, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Weekly Economic Index in the U.S. 2021-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1332099/us-weekly-economic-index/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 2, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Jan 2021 - May 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    The Weekly Economic Index (WEI) of the United States exhibited notable fluctuations between January 2021 and May 2025. Throughout this period, the WEI reached its lowest point at negative 0.98 percent in the third week of February 2021, while achieving its peak at 10.27 percent in the first week of May 2021. From 2021 through the initial half of 2023, the WEI demonstrated a gradual decline, interspersed with occasional minor upturns. This phase was succeeded by a period characterized by a modest overall increase. What is the Weekly Economic Index? The Weekly Economic Index (WEI) is an index of real economic activity using high-frequency data, used to signal the state of the U.S. economy. It is an index of 10 daily and weekly indicators, scaled to align with the four-quarter GDP growth rate. The indicators reflected in the WEI cover consumer behavior, the labor market, and production.

  11. United States NBER: Recorded Recession

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Mar 15, 2023
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    CEICdata.com (2023). United States NBER: Recorded Recession [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/recession-probability/nber-recorded-recession
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    Dataset updated
    Mar 15, 2023
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Apr 1, 2017 - Mar 1, 2018
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    United States NBER: Recorded Recession data was reported at 0.000 Unit in Oct 2018. This stayed constant from the previous number of 0.000 Unit for Sep 2018. United States NBER: Recorded Recession data is updated monthly, averaging 0.000 Unit from Jan 1959 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 718 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1.000 Unit in Jun 2009 and a record low of 0.000 Unit in Oct 2018. United States NBER: Recorded Recession data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S021: Recession Probability. An interpretation of US Business Cycle Expansions and Contractions data provided by The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). A value of 1 is a recessionary period, while a value of 0 is an expansionary period.

  12. United States Recession Probability

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated Nov 22, 2021
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    CEICdata.com (2021). United States Recession Probability [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/recession-probability/recession-probability
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    Dataset updated
    Nov 22, 2021
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Apr 1, 2018 - Mar 1, 2019
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    United States Recession Probability data was reported at 14.120 % in Oct 2019. This records a decrease from the previous number of 14.505 % for Sep 2019. United States Recession Probability data is updated monthly, averaging 7.668 % from Jan 1960 (Median) to Oct 2019, with 718 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 95.405 % in Dec 1981 and a record low of 0.080 % in Sep 1983. United States Recession Probability data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S021: Recession Probability.

  13. T

    United States - Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Feb 9, 2020
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2020). United States - Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/smoothed-u-s-recession-probabilities-fed-data.html
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    csv, xml, excel, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Feb 9, 2020
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1976 - Dec 31, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    United States - Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities was 0.38% in February of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities reached a record high of 100.00 in November of 1974 and a record low of 0.00 in November of 1967. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on April of 2025.

  14. F

    NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through...

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jun 20, 2025
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    (2025). NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USRECDM
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 20, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-requiredhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-required

    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Graph and download economic data for NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough (USRECDM) from 1854-12-01 to 2025-06-19 about peak, trough, recession indicators, and USA.

  15. T

    Group of Seven (G7) - OECD based Recession Indicators for Major Seven...

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Sep 11, 2021
    + more versions
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2021). Group of Seven (G7) - OECD based Recession Indicators for Major Seven Countries from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/oecd-based-recession-indicators-for-major-seven-countries-from-the-peak-through-the-period-preceding-the-trough-1-or-0-fed-data.html
    Explore at:
    json, excel, csv, xmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Sep 11, 2021
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1976 - Dec 31, 2025
    Area covered
    Group Of Seven (G7)
    Description

    Group of Seven (G7) - OECD based Recession Indicators for Major Seven Countries from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough was 1.00000 +1 or 0 in August of 2022, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Group of Seven (G7) - OECD based Recession Indicators for Major Seven Countries from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough reached a record high of 1.00000 in March of 1960 and a record low of 0.00000 in January of 1961. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Group of Seven (G7) - OECD based Recession Indicators for Major Seven Countries from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on June of 2025.

  16. T

    NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through...

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Nov 22, 2020
    + more versions
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2020). NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/nber-based-recession-indicators-for-the-united-states-from-the-peak-through-the-trough-fed-data.html
    Explore at:
    json, xml, excel, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Nov 22, 2020
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1976 - Dec 31, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough was 0.00000 +1 or 0 in April of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough reached a record high of 1.00000 in December of 1854 and a record low of 0.00000 in January of 1855. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Peak through the Trough - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on June of 2025.

  17. T

    OECD based Recession Indicators for the OECD Total Area from the Period...

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Dec 29, 2020
    + more versions
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2020). OECD based Recession Indicators for the OECD Total Area from the Period following the Peak through the Trough [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/oecd-based-recession-indicators-for-the-oecd-total-area-from-the-period-following-the-peak-through-the-trough-fed-data.html
    Explore at:
    excel, json, xml, csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Dec 29, 2020
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1976 - Dec 31, 2025
    Area covered
    OECD Total
    Description

    OECD based Recession Indicators for the OECD Total Area from the Period following the Peak through the Trough was 0.00000 +1 or 0 in August of 2022, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, OECD based Recession Indicators for the OECD Total Area from the Period following the Peak through the Trough reached a record high of 1.00000 in March of 1960 and a record low of 0.00000 in March of 1961. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for OECD based Recession Indicators for the OECD Total Area from the Period following the Peak through the Trough - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on June of 2025.

  18. United States Probability of Recession: United States

    • ceicdata.com
    Updated May 11, 2024
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    CEICdata.com (2024). United States Probability of Recession: United States [Dataset]. https://www.ceicdata.com/en/united-states/probability-of-recession
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    May 11, 2024
    Dataset provided by
    CEIC Data
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Feb 1, 2024 - Jan 1, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Probability of Recession: United States data was reported at 0.995 % in Mar 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 1.031 % for Feb 2025. Probability of Recession: United States data is updated monthly, averaging 1.564 % from Jan 1980 (Median) to Mar 2025, with 543 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 87.972 % in May 2020 and a record low of 0.021 % in Jan 1980. Probability of Recession: United States data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by CEIC Data. The data is categorized under World Trend Plus’s CEIC Leading Indicator – Table US.S002: Probability of Recession.

  19. Great Recession: global gross domestic product (GDP) growth from 2007 to...

    • statista.com
    Updated Sep 2, 2024
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    Statista (2024). Great Recession: global gross domestic product (GDP) growth from 2007 to 2011 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1347029/great-recession-global-gdp-growth/
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    Dataset updated
    Sep 2, 2024
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    2007 - 2011
    Area covered
    Worldwide
    Description

    From the Summer of 2007 until the end of 2009 (at least), the world was gripped by a series of economic crises commonly known as the Global Financial Crisis (2007-2008) and the Great Recession (2008-2009). The financial crisis was triggered by the collapse of the U.S. housing market, which caused panic on Wall Street, the center of global finance in New York. Due to the outsized nature of the U.S. economy compared to other countries and particularly the centrality of U.S. finance for the world economy, the crisis spread quickly to other countries, affecting most regions across the globe. By 2009, global GDP growth was in negative territory, with international credit markets frozen, international trade contracting, and tens of millions of workers being made unemployed.

    Global similarities, global differences

    Since the 1980s, the world economy had entered a period of integration and globalization. This process particularly accelerated after the collapse of the Soviet Union ended the Cold War (1947-1991). This was the period of the 'Washington Consensus', whereby the U.S. and international institutions such as the World Bank and IMF promoted policies of economic liberalization across the globe. This increasing interdependence and openness to the global economy meant that when the crisis hit in 2007, many countries experienced the same issues. This is particularly evident in the synchronization of the recessions in the most advanced economies of the G7. Nevertheless, the aggregate global GDP number masks the important regional differences which occurred during the recession. While the more advanced economies of North America, Western Europe, and Japan were all hit hard, along with countries who are reliant on them for trade or finance, large emerging economies such as India and China bucked this trend. In particular, China's huge fiscal stimulus in 2008-2009 likely did much to prevent the global economy from sliding further into a depression. In 2009, while the United States' GDP sank to -2.6 percent, China's GDP, as reported by national authorities, was almost 10 percent.

  20. F

    OECD based Recession Indicators for Japan from the Peak through the Period...

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Dec 9, 2022
    + more versions
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    (2022). OECD based Recession Indicators for Japan from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough (DISCONTINUED) [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JPNRECP
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Dec 9, 2022
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-requiredhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-required

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for OECD based Recession Indicators for Japan from the Peak through the Period preceding the Trough (DISCONTINUED) (JPNRECP) from Feb 1960 to Aug 2022 about peak, trough, recession indicators, and Japan.

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(2025). Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JHDUSRGDPBR

Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator

JHDUSRGDPBR

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25 scholarly articles cite this dataset (View in Google Scholar)
jsonAvailable download formats
Dataset updated
Apr 30, 2025
License

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

Description

Graph and download economic data for Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator (JHDUSRGDPBR) from Q4 1967 to Q4 2024 about recession indicators, GDP, and USA.

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