Graph and download economic data for Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator (JHDUSRGDPBR) from Q4 1967 to Q1 2025 about recession indicators, GDP, and USA.

By April 2026, it is projected that there is a probability of ***** percent that the United States will fall into another economic recession. This reflects a significant decrease from the projection of the preceding month.

Graph and download economic data for Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator (SAHMREALTIME) from Dec 1959 to Jun 2025 about recession indicators, academic data, and USA.

The Long Depression was, by a large margin, the longest-lasting recession in U.S. history. It began in the U.S. with the Panic of 1873, and lasted for over five years. This depression was the largest in a series of recessions at the turn of the 20th century, which proved to be a period of overall stagnation as the U.S. financial markets failed to keep pace with industrialization and changes in monetary policy. Great Depression The Great Depression, however, is widely considered to have been the most severe recession in U.S. history. Following the Wall Street Crash in 1929, the country's economy collapsed, wages fell and a quarter of the workforce was unemployed. It would take almost four years for recovery to begin. Additionally, U.S. expansion and integration in international markets allowed the depression to become a global event, which became a major catalyst in the build up to the Second World War. Decreasing severity When comparing recessions before and after the Great Depression, they have generally become shorter and less frequent over time. Only three recessions in the latter period have lasted more than one year. Additionally, while there were 12 recessions between 1880 and 1920, there were only six recessions between 1980 and 2020. The most severe recession in recent years was the financial crisis of 2007 (known as the Great Recession), where irresponsible lending policies and lack of government regulation allowed for a property bubble to develop and become detached from the economy over time, this eventually became untenable and the bubble burst. Although the causes of both the Great Depression and Great Recession were similar in many aspects, economists have been able to use historical evidence to try and predict, prevent, or limit the impact of future recessions.

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the United States expanded 3 percent in the second quarter of 2025 over the previous quarter. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States GDP Growth Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Graph and download economic data for NBER based Recession Indicators for the United States from the Period following the Peak through the Trough (USRECD) from 1854-12-01 to 2025-07-29 about peak, trough, recession indicators, and USA.

Gold prices fell by 3.58% on Monday due to global tariff concerns, yet remain up 16.77% since January amid economic uncertainty.

As of February 17, 2020, around eight percent of Japanese respondents believed that the national government has overreacted to the coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak. On the other hand, approximately 47 percent of respondents stated that the government has not acted sufficiently. The government in Japan announced on February 26 that major cultural or sports events, such as concerts, must be cancelled for the coming two weeks. All the schools in the country were closed until the beginning of April.

During the financial crisis of 2007-2008 and the subsequent recession, many of the world's largest countries increased their government expenditure in order to backstop financial markets, provide a stimulus to the non-financial economy, or to bail-out companies and institutions which were in danger of bankruptcy. China and the United States led the way in stimulus spending, as the Chinese announced a package worth 600 billion U.S. dollars in 2008, while the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) and the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) in the U.S. had a combined announced value of around 1.5 trillion U.S. dollars. The increase in China's government expenditure was particularly notable, as it represented an increase of almost one-third from 2007 to 2009.

The gas detection equipment market is segmented based on type, technology, and end-use.Type: Fixed Gas System, Portable Gas SystemTechnology: Single-Gas Detection, Multi-Gas DetectionEnd-Use: Industrial, Commercial, Household Recent developments include: July 2023 – MSA Safety Incorporated, in the first week of July, disclosed that it had been offered a USD 7 million contract to supply firefighters from five Fire Authorities in the United Kingdom with MSA's M1 Self-Contained Breathing Apparatus (SCBA) and connected firefighter technology. The Fire Authorities contain West Midlands Fire and Rescue Authority; Warwickshire Fire Service; Staffordshire Fire & Rescue Service; Hereford and Worcester Fire Service; and Cleveland Fire Brigade. The contract was properly granted late last month, and equipment deliveries will likely start later this year. The latest announcement builds on the company's success in the region, a year after the London Fire Brigade announced their MSA respiratory protective equipment selection. The judgment to improve the Fire Services' breathing apparatus technology was made after a massive and thorough evaluation, which concentrated on using enhanced technology to expand firefighter safety.June 2023- PHMSA's 52 purported regulatory corrections would reduce methane releases from new and existing gas pipelines. , The US Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration (PHMSA) is presenting supervisory alterations relating to 49 Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) Parts 191, 192, and 193 related to Pipeline Safety: Gas Pipeline Leak Detection and Repair that would lower methane releases from new and existing gas transmission pipelines, regulated facilities, and distribution pipelines. Written comments on this NPRM must be entered by August 16, 2023. PHMSA offers a tentative date for this rulemaking of six months after publishing a final rule in the Final Register.July 2023- Honeywell International stated in the first week of July stated that it has been granted to buy an Israel-based provider of operational technology and Internet-of-Things cybersecurity solutions for monitoring large-scale networks, SCADAfence in a trade that augments the conglomerate's cybersecurity portfolio. The terms of the deal are yet to be disclosed., The COVID-19 pandemic has adversely affected the gas detection equipment business and will continue to pose risks. There are numerous risks related to the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. COVID-19 spread glbally in 2020 and continues to impact economic activity around the globe. COVID-19 caused disruption and volatility in the global capital markets and resulted in an economic slowdown during 2020. The pandemic and its associated economic uncertainty negatively impacted the gas detection equipment market in most regions and across various customers. For instance, Siemens’ portfolio of companies comprises businesses that include a broad range of customized and application-specific products, software, solutions, systems, and services for different industries, including oil & gas, mining, cement, water, marine, wind, fiber, logistics, and energy, shows a delayed response to changes in the overall economic environment due to outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic. In regards to COVID-19, governments around the world have introduced certain measures, such as travel prohibitions, shutdowns of certain businesses, bans on group events and gatherings, shelter-in-place orders, curfews, and recommendations of practicing social distancing. These restrictions have resulted in weakening activity and temporary closures of manufacturing facilities.. Notable trends are: Increasing demand for electric vehicles to boost the market growth.

Abstract of associated article: This paper analyzes the effects of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission's (CFTC) announcements on the stock returns of oil and gas companies around the financial crisis of 2008. Using event study methodology and regression analyses, we examine a set of 122 oil and gas related stocks listed in the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) for 35 announcements. Our results indicate that CFTC announcements, depending on their content, can affect the stock returns of oil and gas companies. In particular, this is found to hold true during the period of high-volatility in oil prices, i.e., the period following Lehman Brothers failure. During this period, oil and gas related stock returns respond positively to most regulatory announcements, showing that the CFTC's regulatory interventions are perceived positively by the stock market.

Abstract The article analyzes the effects of cognitive judgments and emotional reactions to the state of the economy and the personal finances of respondents in two surveys on the approval of the Brazilian federal government. Based on the theory of affective intelligence, the work measures and compares the influence of these two perspectives on Brazilian public opinion in two different contexts. In November 2014, President Dilma Rousseff had recently been re-elected and the prevailing perception of the state of the economy was quite good. As early as April 2015, the government announced harsh measures of fiscal adjustment and increased public prices, completely reshaping the opinion of Brazilians on the economy. Our results confirm the expectation that reason and emotion act in a complementary way in forming public opinion about the federal government and that, in times of crisis, the relative influence of emotions is greater.

According to Cognitive Market Research, the global Consumer Finance market size will be USD 12514.5 million in 2024. It will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.50% from 2024 to 2031.

North America held the major market share for more than 40% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 5005.80 million in 2024 and will rise at the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.2% from 2024 to 2031.
Europe accounted for a market share of over 30% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 3754.35 million.
Asia Pacific held a market share of around 23% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 2878.34 million in 2024 and will rise at the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.5% from 2024 to 2031.
Latin America had a market share of more than 5% of the global revenue with a market size of USD 625.73 million in 2024 and will grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.9% from 2024 to 2031.
Middle East and Africa had a market share of around 2% of the global revenue and was estimated at a market size of USD 250.29 million in 2024 and will rise at the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.2% from 2024 to 2031.
The secured consumer finance category is the fastest growing segment of the Consumer Finance industry

Market Dynamics of Consumer Finance Market

Key Drivers for Consumer Finance Market

Growing Adoption of Digital Financial Services to Boost Market Growth

The increasing adoption of digital financial services is a major driver of the consumer finance market. Consumers are increasingly turning to online platforms and mobile apps for managing their finances, accessing credit, and making payments. This shift towards digitalization offers convenience, speed, and accessibility, especially in emerging economies where traditional banking infrastructure may be limited. The rise of digital wallets, peer-to-peer lending platforms, and mobile banking has expanded financial inclusion, allowing more individuals to access financial products such as personal loans, credit cards, and insurance. Furthermore, advancements in technologies like AI and machine learning are enhancing customer experiences by offering personalized financial solutions, making consumer finance products more attractive and accessible. This digital transformation is reshaping the market, driving growth and empowering consumers to make informed financial decisions. For instance, Mastercard announced partnerships with Instacart and Peacock to provide greater everyday value and convenience like online shopping and grocery delivery with Instacart and streaming service subscription offering with Peacock

Increasing Consumer Demand for Flexible Financing Solutions to Drive Market Growth

The growing demand for flexible financing options is another key driving factor in the consumer finance market. As living costs rise and consumer spending patterns evolve, individuals are increasingly seeking flexible credit products, such as instalment loans, buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) services, and revolving credit lines, to manage their finances. These products allow consumers to make large purchases or cover unexpected expenses without committing to long-term debt. Financial institutions and fintech companies are responding by offering tailored financing solutions with competitive interest rates, easy repayment terms, and minimal paperwork. This shift toward flexibility is particularly appealing to younger generations, like the millennials and Gen Z, who prioritize convenience and affordability in their financial decisions.

Restraint Factor for the Consumer Finance Market

Economic Uncertainty and Financial Instability Will Limit Market Growth

Economic uncertainty, such as inflation, recessions, or economic slowdowns, significantly restrains the consumer finance market. In times of financial instability, consumers tend to reduce discretionary spending and prioritize saving over-borrowing. High levels of debt, coupled with concerns about job security and income instability, cause hesitation in taking out new loans or using credit services. Additionally, financial instability can lead to rising default rates, making lenders more cautious and raising interest rates, further discouraging consumer borrowing. These factors contribute to a slowdown in the growth of consumer finance markets as both consumers and financial institutions become more risk-averse.

Impact of Covid-19 on the Consumer Finance Mar...

Medium-duty trucks are typically Class 5-8 trucks with a gross vehicle weight (GVW) of 10,000 to 33,000 pounds. They are designed to haul heavier loads than light-duty trucks but are smaller and more maneuverable than heavy-duty trucks. Medium-duty trucks are used in a wide range of applications, including construction, mining, freight transportation, and garbage collection. Recent developments include: July 2023: Daimler Truck and Torc Robotics announced a partnership to develop autonomous medium-duty trucks. Daimler Truck will provide the truck platform, while Torc will provide the autonomous driving system. The partnership is expected to result in the first commercial deployment of autonomous medium-duty trucks in North America., May 2023: Hino announced that it had formed a joint venture with Isuzu to develop electric medium-duty trucks. The joint venture is expected to lead to the development of new electric truck models that are sold by both companies., April 2023: Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus Corporation acquired the 10% stake in Nikola Corporation, a startup that develops electric vehicles. The investment is expected to help Mitsubishi Fuso develop electric medium-duty trucks., Volvo Group has launched the new line of its electric trucks, with more sophisticated battery technology to achieve longer distances and better performance., Ford Motor Company has recently announced an all-new medium-duty truck and improved driver assistance technology aimed at enhancing fleet management connectivity., Isuzu Motors announced last week that it had bought UD Trucks from Volvo Group, as part of its alliance with Isuzu Motors.. Key drivers for this market are: The increasing demand for medium-duty trucks in various industries

The rising cost of fuel. Potential restraints include: The economic slowdown in some parts of the world

The rising cost of manufacturing. Notable trends are: Growing demand for urban logistics and last-mile delivery services is driving the market growth.

The Latvia facility management market is projected to grow from XX million in 2025 to XX million by 2033, at a CAGR of 2.50% during the forecast period. The market growth is attributed to the increasing demand for outsourced facility management services from various industries such as commercial, institutional, public/infrastructure, industrial, and others. The market growth is also driven by the increasing need for efficient and cost-effective facility management solutions, as well as the adoption of advanced technologies and innovations. Major trends in the Latvia facility management market include the adoption of smart building technologies, the increasing demand for sustainability and green initiatives, and the growing popularity of integrated facility management services. Key drivers of the market include the increasing number of commercial buildings, the expanding public infrastructure, and the rising need for efficient and cost-effective facility management services. However, the market growth is restrained by the shortage of skilled labor, the high cost of implementing new technologies, and the economic slowdown caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Recent developments include: March 2022 - HAGBERG announced that it is collaborating with the operator Green Belt to expand the availability of battery sorting terminals in residential buildings in response to rising demand among apartment residents for waste sorting alternatives and processes., December 2021 - Civinity acquires the "Inservis" organization, run by "Invalda INVL." One of the significant asset management groups in the Baltics.. Key drivers for this market are: Telecommunication and High-Speed Data Transmission Network is Expected to Witness Significant Growth., Renewed Emphasis on Workplace Optimization and Productivity. Potential restraints include: Limited content and cost efficiency of consumer-grade applications, Dependence on external factors, such as bandwidth and network, for ensuring optimal experience. Notable trends are: Real Estate to hold significant share in the market.

The U.S. federal funds rate peaked in 2023 at its highest level since the 2007-08 financial crisis, reaching 5.33 percent by December 2023. A significant shift in monetary policy occurred in the second half of 2024, with the Federal Reserve implementing regular rate cuts. By December 2024, the rate had declined to 4.48 percent. What is a central bank rate? The federal funds rate determines the cost of overnight borrowing between banks, allowing them to maintain necessary cash reserves and ensure financial system liquidity. When this rate rises, banks become more inclined to hold rather than lend money, reducing the money supply. While this decreased lending slows economic activity, it helps control inflation by limiting the circulation of money in the economy. Historic perspective The federal funds rate historically follows cyclical patterns, falling during recessions and gradually rising during economic recoveries. Some central banks, notably the European Central Bank, went beyond traditional monetary policy by implementing both aggressive asset purchases and negative interest rates.

The US electrical enclosures market, a significant segment of the broader global industry valued at $1.95 billion in 2025 with a CAGR of 7.91%, is experiencing robust growth driven by several key factors. Increased investment in infrastructure development, particularly within power generation and distribution, coupled with the expanding industrial automation sector, fuels strong demand. The burgeoning renewable energy sector, including solar and wind power, further contributes to market expansion, as these projects require substantial electrical enclosure solutions for safety and operational efficiency. Furthermore, stringent safety regulations and the need for reliable protection of electrical equipment in various settings like commercial buildings and industrial facilities are propelling market growth. The preference for durable, corrosion-resistant materials such as stainless steel and aluminum in metallic enclosures is also shaping market trends. Growth within specific application segments varies. Power generation and distribution, along with the oil and gas industry, represent substantial market shares, given the critical need for robust and reliable protection of electrical components in these environments. The increasing adoption of smart building technologies and the growth of data centers are driving demand within the commercial and industrial sectors. However, challenges remain. Fluctuations in raw material prices, particularly for metals, can impact production costs and profitability. Supply chain disruptions, a persistent concern across industries, could also pose a temporary impediment to market expansion. Nonetheless, the long-term outlook for the US electrical enclosures market remains positive, supported by sustained infrastructure development and the global push towards energy efficiency and renewable energy sources. The competitive landscape, featuring both established multinational corporations and specialized regional players, ensures a dynamic and innovative market environment. Recent developments include: August 2021 - Hammond Manufacturing Ltd announced a USD 24 million expansion to provide more painting and metal fabrication capacity. The new 96,000-sq. Ft facility is scheduled to be operational by the end of 2022. The company manufactures electronic and electrical products, including metallic and non-metallic enclosures, racks, small cases, outlet strips, surge suppressors, and electronic transformers., March 2021 - Hubbell Control Solutions in South Carolina, the United States, announced the release of a new and improved NX Distributed Intelligence Lighting Control Panel (NXP2 Series) that centralizes connection points in an enclosure providing a solution that reduces time and costs to deploy code-compliant lighting control. It comes with surface mount and flushes mount enclosure options.. Key drivers for this market are: Growing Consumption and Capacity of Renewable Energy, Aging Power Generation and Distribution Network. Potential restraints include: Economic Slowdown in Industries. Notable trends are: Commercial spaces and buildings industry to drive the market demand.

Deere & Company is ready to announce its quarterly earnings, facing a challenging market with a projected 12.8% revenue decline, while peers show mixed financial results. Investors remain cautiously optimistic.

North America Human Capital Management Market Analysis The North American Human Capital Management (HCM) market is projected to reach a value of USD 10.64 billion by 2033, expanding at a CAGR of 6.5% from 2025 to 2033. The market growth is driven by the increasing adoption of cloud-based HCM solutions, rising demand for automation and analytics, and the growing emphasis on employee engagement and well-being. The key market players include Accenture, Dayforce, IBM Corporation, Mercer LLC, and ADP, Inc. Market Trends and Restraints The growth of the HCM market is influenced by several trends, including the adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) to automate tasks and enhance decision-making, the shift towards remote work and flexible work arrangements, and the rise of the gig economy. However, the market is also hindered by challenges such as the high cost of implementation, security concerns, and the need for skilled professionals to manage HCM systems effectively. Additionally, the economic downturn caused by the COVID-19 pandemic could potentially slow down the market growth in the short term. The North American human capital management (HCM) market is estimated to reach USD 30 billion by 2026. Key factors driving this growth include the increasing adoption of cloud-based HCM solutions, the need for improved talent management and workforce planning, and the growing demand for data analytics to enhance decision-making. The report provides a comprehensive analysis of the market, including market size, growth drivers, key segments, competitive landscape, and future outlook. Recent developments include: In September 2024, ADP, Inc., a major industry participant in payroll and HR innovation, announced the latest addition to its extensive portfolio of innovation-based human resource management solutions. ADP Lyric HCM, a newly unveiled product by the company, is designed to assist companies in meeting the changing needs of modern businesses and workforce management. , In February 2024, Ceridian, one of the prominent companies in human capital management technology, announced a change of legal name and brand. The company changed its name from Ceridian to Dayforce. .

According to Cognitive Market Research, The Global Polyvinyl Alcohol Fiber market size is USD 0.518 billion in 2023 and will expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.00% from 2023 to 2030.

The demand for Polyvinyl Alcohol Fibers is rising due to the increasing emphasis on environmental sustainability and the growth of the cosmetics and personal care industry.
Demand for Staple remains higher in the Polyvinyl Alcohol Fiber market.
The Textile category held the highest Polyvinyl Alcohol Fiber market revenue share in 2023.
North American Polyvinyl Alcohol Fiber will continue to lead, whereas the Asia Pacific Polyvinyl Alcohol Fiber market will experience the most substantial growth until 2030.

Growing Emphasis on Sustainable Packaging to Provide Viable Market Output

One key driver propelling the Polyvinyl Alcohol Fiber market is the growing emphasis on sustainable packaging solutions. As environmental awareness and regulations on plastic waste intensify globally, there is a heightened demand for eco-friendly alternatives, and Polyvinyl Alcohol Fiber emerges as a suitable candidate. PVA fibers are water-soluble and biodegradable, making them an environmentally responsible choice for applications such as packaging materials and films. With a shift toward circular economy practices and a push for reducing single-use plastics, the unique properties of Polyvinyl Alcohol Fiber position it as a driver in meeting the sustainability goals of industries seeking greener packaging solutions.

In March 2023 Chang Chun Petrochemical Co. Ltd. announced an expansion project of new copper foil production facility in North America to proactively respond to robust growing consumer demand in electric vehicle market. The plan is to start mass production of copper foil as early as 2026 with capacity of 50,000 tons per annum.

(Source:ccpgp.com/ccpweb.nsf/NewsEN?OpenAgent&UNID=EACD77548142E96648258978004752CC)

Expanding Applications in Medical Textiles to Propel Market Growth

Another significant driver in the Polyvinyl Alcohol Fiber market is its expanding applications in the field of medical textiles. PVA fibers exhibit excellent water solubility, making them suitable for applications such as temporary stitches, wound dressings, and drug delivery systems. The medical industry's continuous quest for innovative materials that offer enhanced performance, biocompatibility, and ease of use has led to the increased adoption of Polyvinyl Alcohol Fiber. The fiber's ability to dissolve in water, leaving no residue, aligns with the stringent requirements of medical applications.

In February 2023, The Mitsubishi Chemical Corporation announced that it has decided to establish a new facility at the Okayama Plant to enhance the production capacity of GOHSENX and Nichigo G-Polymer, specialty brands of polyvinyl alcohol resin (PVOH resin). The facility is scheduled to start operation in October 2024.

(Source:www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/MITSUBISHI-CHEMICAL-GROUP-6498103/news/Mitsubishi-Chemical-Enhancement-of-Production-Capacity-for-Specialty-Brands-of-Polyvinyl-Alcohol-R-42873487/)

Market Dynamics of Polyvinyl Alcohol Fiber

Limited Awareness and Market Penetration to Restrict Market Growth

One significant challenge is the limited awareness and market penetration of Polyvinyl Alcohol Fiber. While the fiber offers unique properties such as water solubility and biodegradability, its adoption is hindered by a lack of awareness among end-users and manufacturers about its potential applications. The market faces the challenge of educating stakeholders about the benefits and versatility of Polyvinyl Alcohol Fiber, especially in comparison to conventional materials. Limited market penetration arises from a lack of understanding of the fiber's capabilities and a reluctance to shift from established materials to newer alternatives.

Impact of COVID–19 on the Polyvinyl Alcohol Fiber Market

The polyvinyl alcohol fiber market experienced significant disruptions and challenges due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The global economic slowdown, supply chain disruptions, and restrictions on movement and business operations had a considerable impact on the production and demand for Polyvinyl Alcohol Fiber. Industries such as textiles, packaging, and construction, where PVA fibers find applications, faced reduced manufacturing activities and a decline in consumer ...