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National economic indicators play a foundational role on political economic research, particularly in regards to electoral politics. Yet scholars have failed to recognize that national economic indicators are simply aggregations of local economic information, and the manner in which they are aggregated may not be consistent with the process voters use to acquire, access and incorporate economic information. We argue that the economic similarities among localities, and the way in which the media report on these similarities, provide more theoretically satisfying means of specifying how local information aggregates into an overall portrait of the national economy. We introduce a novel estimation procedure called the spatial-X ordered logit (SLX-OL) that offers the chance to model how voters’ evaluations respond to changes in contextualized economic information. Our results support our theory that voters incorporate economic information from other localities with similarly-structured economies and in ways that are shaped by media messages. Furthermore, these two specifications offer greater explanatory power than national indicators and other geographical means of aggregating economic information. We conclude by offering a number of implications for research questions ranging from electoral accountability to spatial diffusion processes.
According to a survey by Infocus Mekong conducted in January 2024, 31 percent of respondents in Vietnam believed that the economy would not recover until 2025. Meanwhile, nine percent of respondents expressed optimism regarding the economic recovery in the first quarter of 2024.
According to a survey by Infocus Mekong conducted in January 2024, ** percent of southern and ** percent of northern respondents in Vietnam believed that the economy would not recover until 2025. Meanwhile, *** percent of southern and ***** percent of northern respondents expressed optimism regarding the economic recovery in the first quarter of 2024.
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Sweden Consumer Survey: KI: Saving: Economic Situation View data was reported at 11.200 % in Jul 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.330 % for Jun 2018. Sweden Consumer Survey: KI: Saving: Economic Situation View data is updated monthly, averaging 22.270 % from Jan 1993 (Median) to Jul 2018, with 307 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 47.560 % in Jan 2000 and a record low of -10.090 % in Aug 2002. Sweden Consumer Survey: KI: Saving: Economic Situation View data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by National Institute of Economic Research. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Sweden – Table SE.H009: Consumer Survey: National Institute of Economic Research.
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Consensus Economics is a world-leading international economic survey organisation, gaining forecasts and views from economists. View the data through LSEG.
https://www.lseg.com/en/policies/website-disclaimerhttps://www.lseg.com/en/policies/website-disclaimer
View LSEG's extensive Economic Data, including content that allows the analysis and monitoring of national economies with historical and real-time series.
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Ayara African Journal of Applied and Theoretical Economics. Department of Economics, University of Portharcourt, Portharcourt
According to a survey by Infocus Mekong conducted in January 2024, ** percent of urban and ** percent of rural respondents in Vietnam believed that the economy would worsen in 2024 compared to 2023. On the other hand, ** percent of respondents from each demographic held optimistic views regarding the economic outlook for the current year.
The National Bureau of Economic Research is a private, nonprofit, nonpartisan research organization dedicated to promoting a greater understanding of how the economy works. The NBER is committed to undertaking and disseminating unbiased economic research among public policymakers, business professionals, and the academic community. Over the years the NBER's research agenda has encompassed a wide variety of issues that confront our society. Early research focused on the aggregate economy, examining in detail the business cycle and long-term economic growth. Simon Kuznets' pioneering work on national income accounting, Wesley Mitchell's influential study of the business cycle, and Milton Friedman's research on the demand for money and the determinants of consumer spending were among the early studies done at the NBER. The NBER is the nation's leading nonprofit economic research organization. Twenty Nobel Prize winners in Economics and thirteen past chairs of the President's Council of Economic Advisers have been researchers at the NBER. The more than 1,100 professors of economics and business now teaching at colleges and universities in North America who are NBER researchers are the leading scholars in their fields. These Bureau associates concentrate on four types of empirical research: developing new statistical measurements, estimating quantitative models of economic behavior, assessing the economic effects of public policies, and projecting the effects of alternative policy proposals.
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How does polarized politics affect electoral accountability? In this paper, I investigate the impact of political polarization on two channels through which voters can sanction incumbents for poor policy outcomes: voting for the opposition and abstaining. Based on previous studies on polarization, I formulate hypotheses about how polarized politics works as a moderator of economic voting in each channel. Using presidential election results at the county level, I show that, under polarized environments, the number of voters punishing the incumbent party for poor economic performances decreases in both channels. Survey analyses confirm that as the perceived ideological distance between parties increases, partisans are less likely to (i) negatively evaluate the economy when their party holds the Presidency and (ii) among those who have a negative view of the economy, they are less likely to penalize their party for negative economic assessments. These results show that polarization affects economic evaluation and clouds the responsibility for economic conditions, decreasing voters' willingness to sanction the incumbent party.
This is the replication package for "A Global View of Creative Destruction," accepted in 2022 by the Journal of Political Economy Macroeconomics.
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OS: Diffusion Index: Develop in the Jap Economy's Growth Potential data was reported at -46.500 % in Sep 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of -45.600 % for Jun 2018. OS: Diffusion Index: Develop in the Jap Economy's Growth Potential data is updated quarterly, averaging -49.250 % from Jun 2006 (Median) to Sep 2018, with 50 observations. The data reached an all-time high of -26.700 % in Jun 2013 and a record low of -68.300 % in Mar 2012. OS: Diffusion Index: Develop in the Jap Economy's Growth Potential data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Japan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Japan – Table JP.S073: Opinion Survey (OS) on the General Public's Views and Behavior: On Economic Conditions .
This study performs a meta-analysis of research that estimates the relationship between FDI and Chinese economic growth. Our sample includes 37 studies and a total of 280 estimates. We include both English- and Chinese-language studies. Our initial “raw” finding is that FDI has had a substantial, positive impact on Chinese economic growth. Furthermore, our results suggest that the effect is not inflated by endogeneity, nor impacted by publication bias. However, the positive effect is found to be smaller for more recent and better designed studies. When we adjust for preferred study and sample characteristics, we find that the estimated economic effect of FDI on Chinese economic growth is much smaller than indicated by the overall literature, and statistically insignificant. This suggests that the cause(s) of the Chinese “economic miracle” likely lie elsewhere.
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The Anthropic Economic Index
Overview
The Anthropic Economic Index provides insights into how AI is being incorporated into real-world tasks across the modern economy.
Data Releases
This repository contains multiple data releases, each with its own documentation:
2025-02-10 Release: Initial release with O*NET task mappings, automation vs. augmentation data, and more 2025-03-27 Release: Updated analysis with Claude 3.7 Sonnet data and cluster-level insights… See the full description on the dataset page: https://huggingface.co/datasets/Anthropic/EconomicIndex.
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This dataset contains the Singapore Stock Market Index (STI) and Standard & Poor's Composite 500 Index (S&P500), from January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2015.
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This dataset is about books. It has 2 rows and is filtered where the book is Self-management : economic theory and Yugoslav practice. It features 7 columns including author, publication date, language, and book publisher.
Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
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This dataset is about books. It has 1 row and is filtered where the book is Successful entrepreneurship : confronting economic theory with empirical practice. It features 7 columns including author, publication date, language, and book publisher.
The Great Recession undoubtedly reduced the electoral prospects of incumbent parties, coherently with the expectations of the economic vote theory. Yet, the exceptionality of the period may have displaced other elements of that theory, such as, for instance, the moderating impact that globalization is supposed to have on the retrospective mechanism. By using an original dataset comparing 168 elections in 38 democratic countries in the period 2000–2015, we detail how the crisis modified and even reversed that conditional effect. Furthermore, we differentiate our results by separating the impact of economic openness from that of political globalization. In so doing, we improve our understanding of the mechanisms that trigger the conditional effect on the economic vote in normal and exceptional times.
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The latest data from show economic growth of 2.68 percent,
which is an increase from the rate of growth of 2.65 percent in the previous quarter and
an increase compared to the growth rate of 2.17 percent in the same quarter last year.
The economic growth time series for Jordan cover the period...
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This paper examines proxies of money market, capital market, and banks in Nigeria using annual data from 1961 to 2018. We employ autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach, Wald test, and vector error correction model (VECM) Granger causality technique to analyse the data. Our findings show that total subscriptions of treasury bills has a positive and negative statistically significant relationship with real gross domestic product (GDP) on the long-run and short-run, respectively. Hence, we argue that markets and banks exhibit competitive interaction in favour of markets in Nigeria. Additionally, our findings show a unidirectional short-run causality from real GDP to value of transactions on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE). Furthermore, our results support the existence of growth-led finance view or demand-following hypothesis in Nigeria, as we observe a unidirectional long-run causality from real GDP to both value of money market instruments outstanding as at end-period and total subscriptions of treasury bills. This study investigates finance-growth nexus in Nigeria with a particular focus on banks and markets. The findings of this research reveal that the role of markets on economic growth is superior to banks in Nigeria. Hence, banks and markets are competitive. Additionally, our empirical findings provide evidence to support the existence of growth-led finance view in Nigeria. This research explains the relevance of the financial system on economic growth in Nigeria and provides corresponding insights to policy makers.
CC0 1.0 Universal Public Domain Dedicationhttps://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
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National economic indicators play a foundational role on political economic research, particularly in regards to electoral politics. Yet scholars have failed to recognize that national economic indicators are simply aggregations of local economic information, and the manner in which they are aggregated may not be consistent with the process voters use to acquire, access and incorporate economic information. We argue that the economic similarities among localities, and the way in which the media report on these similarities, provide more theoretically satisfying means of specifying how local information aggregates into an overall portrait of the national economy. We introduce a novel estimation procedure called the spatial-X ordered logit (SLX-OL) that offers the chance to model how voters’ evaluations respond to changes in contextualized economic information. Our results support our theory that voters incorporate economic information from other localities with similarly-structured economies and in ways that are shaped by media messages. Furthermore, these two specifications offer greater explanatory power than national indicators and other geographical means of aggregating economic information. We conclude by offering a number of implications for research questions ranging from electoral accountability to spatial diffusion processes.