Forecasts for the UK economy is a monthly comparison of independent forecasts.
Please note that this is a summary of published material reflecting the views of the forecasting organisations themselves and does not in any way provide new information on the Treasury’s own views. It contains only a selection of forecasters, which is subject to review.
No significance should be attached to the inclusion or exclusion of any particular forecasting organisation. HM Treasury accepts no responsibility for the accuracy of material published in this comparison.
This month’s edition of the forecast comparison contains short-term forecasts for 2025 and 2026.
In July 2025, a public opinion survey found that only *****percent of Americans felt that the economy was in an excellent state. Of the Americans surveyed, ***percent considered the economy to be in a poor state.
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Unemployment Rate in the United States increased to 4.30 percent in August from 4.20 percent in July of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Unemployment Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
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Inflation Rate in the United States remained unchanged at 2.70 percent in July. This dataset provides - United States Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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Leading Economic Index Armenia increased 9.10 percent in July of 2025 over the same month in the previous year. This dataset provides - Armenia Leading Economic Index- actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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The GLA undertakes regular polling of Londoners' views. The results from these polls appear on this page. December 2017 – Rail services Link to PDF of topline (PDF) November 2017 – Workplace equality Link to PDF of topline (PDF) November 2017 - YouGov/GLA poll results Link to PDF of topline (PDF) October 2017 - YouGov/GLA poll results Link to PDF of topline (PDF) September 2017 – Keeping Londoners safe Link to PDF of topline (PDF) August 2017 – World Athletics Championships Link to PDF of topline (PDF) July 2017 – World Para-athletics Championships Link to PDF of topline (PDF) July 2017 – Food Link to PDF of topline (PDF) June 2017 – YouGov/GLA poll results Link to PDF of topline (PDF) June 2017 – YouGov/GLA poll results Link to PDF of topline (PDF) April 2017 – YouGov/GLA poll results Link to PDF of topline (PDF) March 2017 – Contacting City Hall Link to PDF of topline (PDF) February 2017 – YouGov/GLA poll results Link to PDF of topline (PDF) February 2017 – YouGov/GLA poll results Link to PDF of topline (PDF) January 2017 – YouGov/GLA poll results Link to PDF of topline (PDF) December 2016 – YouGov/GLA poll results Link to PDF of topline (PDF) December 2016 – Transport Link to PDF of topline (PDF) November 2016 – YouGov/GLA poll results Link to PDF of topline (PDF) October 2016 – Public spending and taxation Link to PDF of topline (PDF) Link to analysis of results (PDF) August 2016 – Promoting London Abroad Link to PDF of topline (PDF) August 2016 – Pubs and Clubs Link to PDF of topline (PDF) July 2016 – Devolution Link to PDF of topline (PDF) March 2016 – congestion, night-tube, noise, volunteering and growth Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to crosstabs tables (XLS) January 2016 – culture, anti-social behaviour, sport & exercise, digital technology Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to crosstabs tables (XLS) September 2015 - economy, sugar, awareness of London government and work of Mayor Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to crosstabs tables (XLS) July 2015 - Energy, renting, online shopping and airports Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to Excel tables (XLS) March 2015 - Growth, recycling and reuse Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to PDF of tables January 2015 – Economy, cost of living, living wage, affordable eating, cooking fats, physical activity major events Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to Excel tables (XLS) September 2014 - Awareness, sources, carrier bags and big dance Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to Excel tables (XLS) August 2014 - Health Survey Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to Excel tables (XLS) June 2014 - Economy, cost of living, personal finance, housing and airports Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) May 2014 - Priorities for Safety Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to Excel tables (XLS) March 2014 - Health Survey Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to Excel tables (XLS) February 2014 - Economy, cost of living, priorities and culture Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to Excel tables (XLS) February 2014 - Water Cannon Link to Data Full Tables (XLS) Tables – rebased (XLS) Tables - ethnicity (XLS) Tables - summary (XLS) November 2013 - Economy, cost of living, technology and aiports Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to Excel tables (XLS) September 2013 - Economy, Mayoral responsibilities Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to Excel tables (XLS) June 2013 - Economy, culture and community cohesion Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to PDF tables (PDF) March 2013 – Economy, volunteering, ULEZ, stamp duty, cycling Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to Excel tables (XLS) January 2013 - Economy, apprenticeships, aiport, housing and EU Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to Excel tables (XLS) October 2012 - Economy, Mayoral responsibilities and 2012 Games Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to PDF tables (PDF) June 2012 - Economy and Londoners priorities Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to PDF tables (PDF) February 2012 - Economy and volunteering Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to PDF tables (PDF) November 2011 - Economy, community cohesion, young people, sports Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to PDF tables (PDF) September 2011 - Community cohesion and festivals Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to PDF tables (PDF) June 2011 - Housing, economy, sport, 2012 games Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to PDF tables (PDF) March 2011 - Volunteering Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to PDF tables (PDF) December 2010 - Mayoral Priorities Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to PDF tables (PDF) August 2010 - Energy, and Safety in Parks Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to PDF tables (PDF) May 2010 - Climate Change Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to PDF tables (PDF) March 2010 - Culture Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to PDF tables (PDF) November 2009 - Waste and recycling Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to PDF tables (PDF) June 2009 - Quality of life Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to PDF tables (PDF) April 2009 - Economic outlook, and the Mayor's role Link to PDF of toplines (PDF) Link to PDF tables (PDF) Visit Talk London website to join in with the discussion.
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Economic growth, quarterly in Mexico, June, 2025 The most recent value is 0.7 percent as of Q2 2025, an increase compared to the previous value of 0.2 percent. Historically, the average for Mexico from Q2 1960 to Q2 2025 is 0.86 percent. The minimum of -18.93 percent was recorded in Q2 2020, while the maximum of 15.47 percent was reached in Q3 2020. | TheGlobalEconomy.com
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Leading Economic Index Chile increased 1.80 percent in July of 2025 over the same month in the previous year. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Chile Leading Economic Index - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
As of June 2025, around ** percent of people in Germany thought that the economy was on a downturn. This is possibly due to the recession that Germany experienced in 2023.
Weekly Economic Calendar shows future release dates of key economic data and publications used by NSW Treasury for monitoring and analysis.
Official statistics are produced impartially and free from political influence.
In July 2024, the global merchandise imports index, excluding the U.S., stood at 192.6. This is compared to a value of 121 for the United States in the same period. In emerging economies, it reached an index level of nearly 291.4.The merchandise imports index is the U.S. dollar value of goods bought from the rest of the world, deflated by the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI).
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Industrial production, annual percent change in the USA, July, 2025 The most recent value is 1.43 percent as of July 2025, an increase compared to the previous value of 0.83 percent. Historically, the average for the USA from January 1960 to July 2025 is 2.44 percent. The minimum of -17.26 percent was recorded in April 2020, while the maximum of 16.12 percent was reached in April 2021. | TheGlobalEconomy.com
In July 2024, the merchandise exports index worldwide, excluding the U.S., stood at 204.8. This is compared to an index value of 143 for the United States in the same month. The index was highest in emerging economies, reaching an index score of 353. Moreover, the merchandise imports index was also highest in emerging economies. The merchandise exports index is the U.S. dollar value of goods sold to the rest of the world, deflated by the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI).
The UK economy grew by 0.4 percent in May 2025 after shrinking by 0.1 percent in May. Since a huge decline in GDP in April 2020, the UK economy has gradually recovered and is now around 4.4 percent larger than it was before the COVID-19 pandemic. After the initial recovery from the pandemic, however, the UK economy has effectively flatlined, fluctuating between low growth and small contractions since January 2022. Labour banking on growth to turn around fortunes in 2025 In February 2025, just over half a year after winning the last general election, the approval rating for the new Labour government fell to a low of -48 percent. Furthermore, the Prime Minister, Keir Starmer was not only less popular than the new Conservative leader, Kemi Badenoch, but also the leader of the Reform Party, Nigel Farage, whose party have surged in opinion polls recently. This remarkable decline in popularity for the new government is, in some part, due to a deliberate policy of making tough decisions early. Arguably, the most damaging of these policies was the withdrawal of the winter fuel allowance for some pensioners, although other factors such as a controversy about gifts and donations also hurt the government. While Labour aims to restore the UK's economic and political credibility in the long term, they will certainly hope for some good economic news sooner rather than later. Economy bounces back in 2024 after ending 2023 in recession Due to two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth, in late 2023 the UK economy ended the year in recession. After not growing at all in the second quarter of 2023, UK GDP fell by 0.1 percent in the third quarter, and then by 0.3 percent in the last quarter. For the whole of 2023, the economy grew by 0.4 percent compared to 2022, and for 2024 is forecast to have grown by 1.1 percent. During the first two quarters of 2024, UK GDP grew by 0.7 percent, and 0.4 percent, with this relatively strong growth followed by zero percent growth in the third quarter of the year. Although the economy had started to grow again by the time of the 2024 general election, this was not enough to save the Conservative government at the time. Despite usually seen as the best party for handling the economy, the Conservative's economic competency was behind that of Labour on the eve of the 2024 election.
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Economy Watchers Survey in Japan increased to 46.70 points in August from 45.20 points in July of 2025. This dataset provides - Japan Economy Watchers Survey - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
Consumer habits and assessment of economic development. Topics: Judgement on economic development, price development and development of unemployment; assignment of responsibility for price development; detailed determination of possession of electrical appliances and equipment of entertainment electronics; planned acquisitions in household; type and age of residential building; distance to nearest department store; purchase with mail-order firms; type and number of clocks owned; public transportation close to home; year of household founding. Demography: occupation; household income; size of household; composition of household; head of household; housing situation; possession of durable economic goods. Konsumverhalten und Einschätzung der Wirtschaftsentwicklung. Themen: Beurteilung der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, der Preisentwicklung und der Entwicklung der Arbeitslosigkeit; Zuordnung der Verantwortlichkeit für die Preisentwicklung; detaillierte Ermittlung des Besitzes von Elektrogeräten und Geräten der Unterhaltungselektronik; geplante Anschaffungen im Haushalt; Art und Alter des Wohnhauses; Entfernung zum nächsten Kaufhaus; Käufe bei Versandhäusern; Art und Anzahl des Uhrenbesitzes; öffentliche Verkehrsmittel in Wohnungsnähe; Jahr der Haushaltsgründung. Demographie: Beruf; Haushaltseinkommen; Haushaltsgröße; Haushaltszusammensetzung; Haushaltungsvorstand; Wohnsituation; Besitz langlebiger Wirtschaftsgüter. Multi-stage random sample Mehrstufige Zufallsauswahl
In a June 2021 survey, inflation was the greatest economic concern for around 29 percent of Baby Boomers, or those between the ages of 56 and 74 years old, in the United States. On the other hand, ** percent of Gen Z/Millennial respondents (those between the ages of ** and **) said that wages were the most important economic concern.
Sampling Procedure Comment: Multi-stage random sample
Brazilian and Indian share prices became the highest performing of the major developed and emerging economies as of June 2023, with index values of 235.25 and 230.91 respectively in that month. Conversely, the lowest-performing were China and the Germany, both with index values of 86.98 and 113.04 respectively at this time. The index value is calculated with 2015 values as the baseline (i.e. 2015 = 100).
Forecasts for the UK economy is a monthly comparison of independent forecasts.
Please note that this is a summary of published material reflecting the views of the forecasting organisations themselves and does not in any way provide new information on the Treasury’s own views. It contains only a selection of forecasters, which is subject to review.
No significance should be attached to the inclusion or exclusion of any particular forecasting organisation. HM Treasury accepts no responsibility for the accuracy of material published in this comparison.
This month’s edition of the forecast comparison contains short-term forecasts for 2025 and 2026.