The EUR/USD exchange rate was unchanged at 1.1786 on July 1, 2025. Over the past month, the Euro US Dollar Exchange Rate - EUR/USD has strengthened 3.02%, and is up by 9.66% over the last 12 months. Euro US Dollar Exchange Rate - EUR/USD - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

Luxembourg STATEC: Forecast: Foreign Exchange Rate: EUR/USD data was reported at 1.110 EUR/USD in 2021. This records an increase from the previous number of 1.090 EUR/USD for 2020. Luxembourg STATEC: Forecast: Foreign Exchange Rate: EUR/USD data is updated yearly, averaging 1.115 EUR/USD from Dec 2018 (Median) to 2021, with 4 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1.230 EUR/USD in 2018 and a record low of 1.090 EUR/USD in 2020. Luxembourg STATEC: Forecast: Foreign Exchange Rate: EUR/USD data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by The Portal of Statistics of Luxembourg. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Luxembourg – Table LU.M009: Foreign Exchange Rate: Forecast: The Portal of Statistics of Luxembourg.

The EUR/USD exchange rate rose to 1.1790 on July 1, 2025, up 0.03% from the previous session. Over the past month, the Euro US Dollar Exchange Rate - EUR/USD has strengthened 3.05%, and is up by 9.69% over the last 12 months. Euro US Dollar Exchange Rate - EUR/USD - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

ABSTRACT Purpose: The objective of this article is to model a minute series of exchange rates for the EUR/USD pair using the singular spectrum analysis (SSA) and ARIMA-GARCH methods and evaluate which one offers better forecasts for a five-minute horizon. Originality/value: Despite being a successful technique in other branches of science, the application of SSA in finance is quite new. Furthermore, exchange rate modeling is a complex problem, comprising statistical concepts and properties. However, despite the complexity, the analysis of this series is extremely important for several agents playing, directly or indirectly, a role in the economy and the financial market. Design/methodology/approach: Time series models were estimated using the ARIMA-GARCH and SSA techniques, taking into account three samples of the ask exchange rate (closing): uptrend, downtrend, and no well-defined trend. Findings: The forecasts carried out by the SSA were the ones closest to the original observations for the three cases. Regarding the quality measurements, SSA obtained the best results for both uptrend and downtrend samples; for the sample with no well-defined trend, the findings indicated that the ARIMA-GARCH technique attained better results. However, it was concluded that the SSA forecasts, regarding exchange rates during the studied period, are more appropriate than the ones obtained by the ARIMA-GARCH model, regardless of the market movement.

The euro-to-dollar exchange rate fluctuated significantly in 2022, reaching its lowest recorded value since 2008 during that time. Figures were different later in the year, however, with a rate of 1.17 USD recorded at the end of June 27, 2025. The average (standardized) measure is based on the calculation of many observations throughout the period in question. It is therefore different from an annual measure at a point, which reflects concrete values as of end of the year. Establishment The euro, which was established in 1992, introduced in non-physical form in 1999 and finally rolled out in 2002, is used by 19 of the 27 member states of the European Union. This group of 19 countries is otherwise known as the eurozone or euro area. By 2018, the total value of euro currency in circulation was almost 1.2 trillion euros, or over 3.4 thousand euros per capita. Euro to USD Between 2001 and 2008, the average annual exchange rate of the euro to the U.S. dollar noted a steep increase. In 2008, the euro to U.S. dollar annual average exchange rate was equal to 1.47, which meant that one euro could buy 1.47 U.S. dollars. By 2019, this value had decreased overall, to a value of 1.12 which meant that one euro could buy 1.12 U.S. dollars. Similar dynamics in the euro to U.S. dollar exchange rate were also reflected in the monthly exchange rate recently.

Interactive historical chart showing the daily Euro - U.S. Dollar (EURUSD) exchange rate back to 1999.

The euro-to-dollar exchange rate fluctuated significantly in 2022, reaching its lowest recorded value since 2008 during that time. Figures were different later in the year, however, with a rate of 1.13 USD recorded at the end of May 2, 2025. The average (standardized) measure is based on the calculation of many observations throughout the period in question. It is therefore different from an annual measure at a point, which reflects concrete values as of end of the year. Establishment The euro, which was established in 1992, introduced in non-physical form in 1999 and finally rolled out in 2002, is used by 19 of the 27 member states of the European Union. This group of 19 countries is otherwise known as the eurozone or euro area. By 2018, the total value of euro currency in circulation was almost 1.2 trillion euros, or over 3.4 thousand euros per capita. Euro to USD Between 2001 and 2008, the average annual exchange rate of the euro to the U.S. dollar noted a steep increase. In 2008, the euro to U.S. dollar annual average exchange rate was equal to 1.47, which meant that one euro could buy 1.47 U.S. dollars. By 2019, this value had decreased overall, to a value of 1.12 which meant that one euro could buy 1.12 U.S. dollars. Similar dynamics in the euro to U.S. dollar exchange rate were also reflected in the monthly exchange rate recently.

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Foreign Exchange Market Size 2025-2029

The foreign exchange market size is forecast to increase by USD 582 billion, at a CAGR of 10.6% between 2024 and 2029.

The Foreign Exchange Market is segmented by type (reporting dealers, financial institutions, non-financial customers), trade finance instruments (currency swaps, outright forward and FX swaps, FX options), trading platforms (electronic trading, over-the-counter (OTC), mobile trading), and geography (North America: US, Canada; Europe: Germany, Switzerland, UK; Middle East and Africa: UAE; APAC: China, India, Japan; South America: Brazil; Rest of World). This segmentation reflects the market's global dynamics, driven by institutional trading, increasing digital adoption through electronic trading and mobile trading, and regional economic activities, with APAC markets like India and China showing significant growth alongside traditional hubs like the US and UK.
The market is experiencing significant shifts driven by the escalating trends of urbanization and digitalization. These forces are creating 24x7 trading opportunities, enabling greater accessibility and convenience for market participants. However, the market's dynamics are not without challenges. The uncertainty of future exchange rates poses a formidable obstacle for businesses and investors alike, necessitating robust risk management strategies. As urbanization continues to expand and digital technologies reshape the trading landscape, market players must adapt to remain competitive. One significant trend is the increasing use of money transfer agencies, venture capital investments, and mutual funds in foreign exchange transactions. Companies seeking to capitalize on these opportunities must navigate the challenges effectively, ensuring they stay abreast of exchange rate fluctuations and implement agile strategies to mitigate risk.
The ability to adapt and respond to these market shifts will be crucial for success in the evolving market.

What will be the Size of the Foreign Exchange Market during the forecast period?

Explore in-depth regional segment analysis with market size data - historical 2019-2023 and forecasts 2025-2029 - in the full report.
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In the dynamic and intricate realm of the market, entities such as algorithmic trading, order book, order management systems, and liquidity risk intertwine, shaping the ever-evolving market landscape. The market's continuous unfolding is characterized by the integration of various components, including sentiment analysis, Fibonacci retracement, mobile trading, and good-for-the-day orders. Market activities are influenced by factors like political stability, monetary policy, and market liquidity, which in turn impact economic growth and trade settlement. Technical analysis, with its focus on chart patterns and moving averages, plays a crucial role in informing trading decisions. The market's complexity is further amplified by the presence of entities like credit risk, counterparty risk, and operational risk.

Central bank intervention, order execution, clearing and settlement, and trade confirmation are essential components of the market's infrastructure, ensuring a seamless exchange of currencies. Geopolitical risk, currency correlation, and inflation rates contribute to currency volatility, necessitating hedging strategies and risk management. Market risk, interest rate differentials, and commodity currencies influence trading strategies, while cross-border payments and brokerage services facilitate international trade. The ongoing evolution of the market is marked by the emergence of advanced trading platforms, automated trading, and real-time data feeds, enabling traders to make informed decisions in an increasingly interconnected and complex global economy.

How is this Foreign Exchange Industry segmented?

The foreign exchange industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

Type

  Reporting dealers
  Financial institutions
  Non-financial customers


Trade Finance Instruments

  Currency swaps
  Outright forward and FX swaps
  FX options


Trading Platforms

  Electronic Trading
  Over-the-Counter (OTC)
  Mobile Trading


Geography

  North America

    US
    Canada


  Europe

    Germany
    Switzerland
    UK


  Middle East and Africa

    UAE


  APAC

    China
    India
    Japan


  South America

    Brazil


  Rest of World (ROW)

By Type Insights

The reporting dealers segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

The market is a dynamic and complex ecosystem where various entities interplay to manage currency risks and facilitate international trade. Reporting dealers, as key participants,

The official currency of Ireland is the Euro. Euro Exchange Rate - EUR/USD - Ireland - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

The official currency of Monaco is the Euro. EURO EXCHANGE RATE - EUR/USD - MONACO - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

The official currency of Montenegro is the Euro. Euro Exchange Rate - EUR/USD - Montenegro - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

The official currency of Portugal is the Euro. Euro Exchange Rate - EUR/USD - Portugal - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

Context

Content

Ticker Description 0 GC=F Gold 1 SI=F Silver 2 CL=F Crude Oil 3 ^GSPC S&P500 4 PL=F Platinum 5 HG=F Copper 6 DX=F Dollar Index 7 ^VIX Volatility Index 8 EEM MSCI EM ETF 9 EURUSD=X Euro USD 10 ^N100 Euronext100 11 ^IXIC Nasdaq 12 ^BSESN Bse sensex 13 ^NSEI Nifty 50 14 ^DJI Dow

The price of one euro reached approximately 102.16 Russian rubles on average in May 2025, having marked a decrease compared to the previous month. The exchange rate of the U.S. dollar to the Russian ruble also declined relative to April 2025.

This dataset contains news headlines relevant to key forex pairs: AUDUSD, EURCHF, EURUSD, GBPUSD, and USDJPY. The data was extracted from reputable platforms Forex Live and FXstreet over a period of 86 days, from January to May 2023. The dataset comprises 2,291 unique news headlines. Each headline includes an associated forex pair, timestamp, source, author, URL, and the corresponding article text. Data was collected using web scraping techniques executed via a custom service on a virtual machine. This service periodically retrieves the latest news for a specified forex pair (ticker) from each platform, parsing all available information. The collected data is then processed to extract details such as the article's timestamp, author, and URL. The URL is further used to retrieve the full text of each article. This data acquisition process repeats approximately every 15 minutes.

To ensure the reliability of the dataset, we manually annotated each headline for sentiment. Instead of solely focusing on the textual content, we ascertained sentiment based on the potential short-term impact of the headline on its corresponding forex pair. This method recognizes the currency market's acute sensitivity to economic news, which significantly influences many trading strategies. As such, this dataset could serve as an invaluable resource for fine-tuning sentiment analysis models in the financial realm.

We used three categories for annotation: 'positive', 'negative', and 'neutral', which correspond to bullish, bearish, and hold sentiments, respectively, for the forex pair linked to each headline. The following Table provides examples of annotated headlines along with brief explanations of the assigned sentiment.

Examples of Annotated Headlines Forex Pair Headline Sentiment Explanation GBPUSD Diminishing bets for a move to 12400 Neutral Lack of strong sentiment in either direction GBPUSD No reasons to dislike Cable in the very near term as long as the Dollar momentum remains soft Positive Positive sentiment towards GBPUSD (Cable) in the near term GBPUSD When are the UK jobs and how could they affect GBPUSD Neutral Poses a question and does not express a clear sentiment JPYUSD Appropriate to continue monetary easing to achieve 2% inflation target with wage growth Positive Monetary easing from Bank of Japan (BoJ) could lead to a weaker JPY in the short term due to increased money supply USDJPY Dollar rebounds despite US data. Yen gains amid lower yields Neutral Since both the USD and JPY are gaining, the effects on the USDJPY forex pair might offset each other USDJPY USDJPY to reach 124 by Q4 as the likelihood of a BoJ policy shift should accelerate Yen gains Negative USDJPY is expected to reach a lower value, with the USD losing value against the JPY AUDUSD RBA Governor Lowe’s Testimony High inflation is damaging and corrosive

Positive Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expresses concerns about inflation. Typically, central banks combat high inflation with higher interest rates, which could strengthen AUD. Moreover, the dataset includes two columns with the predicted sentiment class and score as predicted by the FinBERT model. Specifically, the FinBERT model outputs a set of probabilities for each sentiment class (positive, negative, and neutral), representing the model's confidence in associating the input headline with each sentiment category. These probabilities are used to determine the predicted class and a sentiment score for each headline. The sentiment score is computed by subtracting the negative class probability from the positive one.

The official currency of Austria is the Euro. Euro Exchange Rate - EUR/USD - Austria - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

A graphic that displays the dollar performance against other currencies reveals that economic developments had mixed results on currency exchanges. The third quarter of 2023 marked a period of disinflation in the euro area, while China's projected growth was projected to go up. The United States economy was said to have a relatively strong performance in Q3 2023, although growing capital market interest rate and the resumption of student loan repayments might dampen this growth at the end of 2023. A relatively weak Japanese yen Q3 2023 saw pressure from investors towards Japanese authorities on how they would respond to the situation surrounding the Japanese yen. The USD/JPY rate was close to ***, whereas analysts suspected it should be around ** given the country's purchase power parity. The main reason for this disparity is said to be the differences in central bank interest rates between the United States, the euro area, and Japan. Any future aggressive changes from, especially the U.S. Fed might lower those differences. Financial markets responded somewhat disappoint when Japan did not announce major plans to tackle the situation. Potential rent decreases in 2024 Central bank rates peak in 2023, although it is expected that some of these will decline in early 2024. That said, analysts expect overall policies will remain restrictive. For example, the Bank of England's interest rate remained unchanged at **** percent in Q3 2023. It is believed the United Kingdom's central bank will ease its interest rate in 2024 but less than either the U.S. Fed or the European Central Bank. This should be a positive development for the pound compared to either the euro or the dollar.

The size of the Currency Counting Machine market was valued at USD XX Million in 2023 and is projected to reach USD XXX Million by 2032, with an expected CAGR of 5.42% during the forecast period.It is a device designed to automate the counting process of banknotes in currencies. They are widely used in banks, retail stores, and other businesses that handle high volumes of cash. A great amount of time and efforts for the accurate counting of money would thus be saved, thereby minimizing human errors.They usually make use of modern technologies such as image recognition, and sensor-based detection to try to identify and count how many banknotes exist per denomination. Some of them can even identify counterfeit notes as a way of heightened security.The more volume handled in cash, the need to handle cash better, as well as a higher knowledge of counterfeit money increase demand for currency counting machines. As such, the need for money-counting machines that can be efficient and precise increases as businesses learn to appreciate the need to be economical yet safe at the same time. Recent developments include: December 2022: An international syndicate that circulated fake Indian-Bangladesh currency notes through the India-Bangladesh border was arrested along with counterfeit currency amounting to Rs 1.97 lakhs (2369.5), which shows the market need for the currency-counting machine in the market because adopting a machine with fake notes detection capabilities, businesses in the market can minimize their risk of cash payment acceptances., September 2022: Europol supported the Spanish National Police and the Spanish Regional Catalan Police in catching a crime group involved in the distribution and production of counterfeit euro banknotes and over EUR 4 million (USD 4222260) of fake 500 euro bills seized in Spain, which shows the demand for currency counting machines with counterfeit note detection capabilities to decrease the risk of cash-based businesses worldwide, driving the market adoption.. Key drivers for this market are: Financial Inclusion Trend Worldwide by Expansion of Bank Branches, Growing Demand for Fake Currency Detection System. Potential restraints include: The Growth of Digital Payments in Retail and E-commerce Stores. Notable trends are: Financial Inclusion Trend Worldwide by Expansion of Bank Branches Drives the Market Growth.

STATEC：预测：外汇汇率：欧元/美元在12-01-2021达1.110欧元/美元，相较于12-01-2020的1.090欧元/美元有所增长。STATEC：预测：外汇汇率：欧元/美元数据按年更新，12-01-2018至12-01-2021期间平均值为1.115欧元/美元，共4份观测结果。该数据的历史最高值出现于12-01-2018，达1.230欧元/美元，而历史最低值则出现于12-01-2020，为1.090欧元/美元。CEIC提供的STATEC：预测：外汇汇率：欧元/美元数据处于定期更新的状态，数据来源于Le Portail Des Statistiques De Luxembourg，数据归类于全球数据库的卢森堡 – Table LU.M009：外汇汇率：预测：The Portal of Statistics of Luxembourg。