EU Carbon Permits rose to 72.99 EUR on August 29, 2025, up 1.77% from the previous day. Over the past month, EU Carbon Permits's price has risen 0.18%, and is up 3.83% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for EU Carbon Permits.

The price of emissions allowances (EUA) traded on the European Union's Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) exceed 100 euros per metric ton of CO₂ for the first time in February 2023. Although average annual EUA prices have increased significantly since the 2018 reform of the EU-ETS, they fell ** percent year-on-year in 2023 to ** euros. What is the EU-ETS? The EU-ETS became the world’s first carbon market in 2005. The scheme was introduced as a way of limiting GHG emissions from polluting installations by putting a price on carbon, thus incentivizing entities to reduce their emissions. A fixed number of emissions allowances are put on the market each year, which can be traded between companies. The number of available allowances is reduced each year. The EU-ETS is now in its fourth phase (2021 to 2030). Carbon price comparisons The EU ETS has one of the highest average annual carbon prices worldwide, with EUAs averaging ** U.S. dollars as of April 2024. In comparison, prices for UK ETS caron credits averaged 45 U.S. dollars during same period, while those under the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) in the United States averaged just ** U.S. dollars.

Prices for EU Carbon Permits - Precio De Mercado including live quotes, historical charts and news. EU Carbon Permits - Precio De Mercado was last updated by Trading Economics this September 2 of 2025.

European Union Emissions Trading System (EU-ETS) carbon allowances are estimated to average ** euros per metric ton of carbon dioxide (tCO₂e) in 2024. This figure is forecast to more than double by the end of the decade to roughly *** euros/tCO₂e, before reaching nearly *** euros/tCO₂e by 2035. EU-ETS carbon prices surpassed the 100 euros per metric ton threshold for the first time in February 2023.

Carbon prices across multiple emissions trading systems worldwide are expected to increase during the period of 2026 to 2030, compared to 2022 to 2026. The average EU ETS carbon price is expected to be **** euros per metric ton of CO₂ during the period 2022 to 2025, but is projected to rise to almost 100 euros per metric ton of CO₂ during the period of 2026 to 2030, according to a survey of International Emissions Trading Association members. EU ETS carbon pricing broke the ** euros per metric ton of CO₂ barrier in February 2022, and in February 2023 it surpassed 100 euros per metric ton of CO₂.

As of April 2025, the European Union Emission Trading Scheme (EU ETS) carbon price was above ** U.S. dollars per metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (USD/tCO₂e). The EU ETS launched in 2005 as a cost-effective way of reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and was the world's first major international carbon market. The UK was formerly part of the EU ETS, but replaced this with its own system after withdrawing from the EU. As of April 2025, the price of carbon on the UK ETS was almost ** USD/tCO₂e.

As of 2027, the EU will implement a second Emission Trading System (EU ETS 2) to cap emissions in buildings, road transport and small industries not covered by the already existing European Emissions Trading System. Substantial uncertainty remains regarding potential price trajectories and their underlying drivers. In light of this, we explore EU ETS 2 price paths using the energy system model PRIMES. We focus on the effect of complementary efficiency policies (EPs), as earlier research suggests they could have a profound impact. Indeed, analyzing three scenarios with different EPs stringency, we find that they make EU ETS 2 prices vary between 71 EUR/tCO2 and 261 EUR/tCO2 in 2030. Despite different instruments driving emission abatement, comparable emission reductions at the EU level (−41%) are achieved in all three scenarios. Energy efficiency policies at both EU and national levels are expected to significantly impact EU ETS 2 price levelsThe more stringent energy efficiency policies are, the lower the EU ETS 2 priceModeled EU ETS 2 prices lie in the range of 71–261 EUR/tCO2, depending on the stringency of complementary energy efficiency policies assumed in scenariosFundamentally modeled EU ETS 2 prices point to the possibility of price stability mechanisms of EU ETS 2 being triggered Energy efficiency policies at both EU and national levels are expected to significantly impact EU ETS 2 price levels The more stringent energy efficiency policies are, the lower the EU ETS 2 price Modeled EU ETS 2 prices lie in the range of 71–261 EUR/tCO2, depending on the stringency of complementary energy efficiency policies assumed in scenarios Fundamentally modeled EU ETS 2 prices point to the possibility of price stability mechanisms of EU ETS 2 being triggered

The global trading of carbon credits market is experiencing robust growth, driven by increasing regulatory pressure to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and a growing corporate commitment to environmental, social, and governance (ESG) initiatives. The market size in 2025 is estimated at $150 billion, demonstrating significant expansion from previous years. While the exact CAGR isn't provided, considering the rapid adoption of carbon offsetting schemes and the expanding scope of carbon pricing mechanisms globally, a conservative estimate would place the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) between 15-20% for the forecast period (2025-2033). This substantial growth is fuelled by several key drivers, including the implementation of carbon pricing schemes like the European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) and the burgeoning voluntary carbon market, where companies purchase credits to offset their emissions. Further, technological advancements facilitating easier credit verification and trading platforms are streamlining the market. However, market growth faces some restraints. Challenges include concerns about the integrity and accuracy of carbon credit projects, the lack of standardized methodologies for verification, and the complexities involved in navigating international regulations. Despite these, the increasing awareness of climate change and the growing demand for sustainable practices are expected to significantly outweigh these challenges. The market is segmented by various credit types (e.g., REDD+, forestry, renewable energy), project developers, trading platforms and geographical regions. Key players like South Pole Group, 3Degrees, and ClimatePartner are shaping the market through their extensive project portfolios and trading expertise. This intense competition fosters innovation and pushes for greater transparency and efficiency in the market, leading to long-term market expansion and increased corporate responsibility.

This data package includes the underlying data files to replicate the data and charts presented in Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has cemented the European Union’s commitment to carbon pricing PIIE Policy Brief 23-13.

If you use the data, please cite as: Kirkegaard, Jacob Funk. 2023. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has cemented the European Union’s commitment to carbon pricing. PIIE Policy Brief 23-13. Washington, DC: Peterson Institute for International Economics.

This dataset provides daily carbon price data (2018-2024) for three carbon trading systems: the Hubei Carbon Market (China), the Guangzhou Carbon Market (China), and the European Union Carbon Trading System (EUCTS), which are sourced from official exchanges and treated as closing prices. It supports comparative studies of regional carbon pricing dynamics, policy implications and cross-market risk spillovers.

The cost of UK ETS carbon permits (UKAs) was around *** GBP in February 2023, but prices have fallen considerably since then. Prices on January 16, 2025 were just ***** GBP, down ** percent from the same date the previous year. Formerly part of the EU ETS, the UK launched its own cap-and-trade system in 2021 following Brexit. Why has the UK’s carbon price fallen? Several factors have contributed to falling UK carbon prices, including mild winter weather and reduced power demand, as well as a surplus of carbon allowances on the market. While prices have recovered marginally from the record lows, they remain markedly below carbon prices on the EU ETS. The low cost of UK carbon permits has raised concerns that it could deter investment in renewable energy. Future of UK ETS The UK ETS covers emissions from domestic aviation and the industry and power sectors, amounting to some ** percent of the country’s annual GHG emissions. There are plans to expand the system over the coming years to cover CO₂ venting by the upstream oil and gas sector, domestic maritime emissions, and energy from waste and waste incineration. The UK is also looking to introduce a carbon border adjustment mechanism, which would place a carbon price on certain emissions-intensive industrial goods imported to the UK.

The national carbon emission quota (CEA) trading price published by the Shanghai Environment and Energy Exchange was selected for China’s carbon market. The sample period spanned from July 16, 2021, to August 23, 2023, consisting of 512 observations. For the European carbon market, the trading prices of ECX-EUA from the European Climate Exchange were used, covering the period from August 6, 2021, to August 23, 2023, also comprising 512 observations.

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Carbon Credit Market Size 2025-2029

The carbon credit market size is forecast to increase by USD 1,966.3 billion at a CAGR of 32.1% between 2024 and 2029.

The market is experiencing significant growth due to rising emissions in the Earth's atmosphere, which necessitates the need for businesses and individuals to offset their carbon footprint. Booming investment and partnership deals in this market are driving its expansion, with various organizations recognizing the importance of reducing their carbon emissions and contributing to environmental sustainability. However, the fluctuating prices of carbon credits pose a challenge for market participants, as they can impact the profitability of carbon offsetting projects.
To stay competitive, market players must closely monitor carbon credit prices and adapt their strategies accordingly. In summary, the market is witnessing increasing demand due to growing environmental concerns and regulatory requirements, but its growth is influenced by the volatility of carbon credit prices.

What will the Carbon Credit Market Size during the forecast period?

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The market has gained significant traction in recent years as businesses and individuals seek to offset their carbon emissions and contribute to the global decarbonization effort. This market facilitates the buying and selling of carbon credits, which represent the right to emit a specific amount of greenhouse gases. The voluntary carbon market plays a crucial role in this context, enabling organizations to offset their carbon footprint beyond regulatory requirements. Net-zero greenhouse-gas emissions have become a key business objective, driving demand for carbon credits from various sources. Forestry projects are a significant contributor to the market. These projects involve the protection, restoration, or reforestation of forests, which act as carbon sinks, absorbing and storing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere.
Carbon emission reduction projects, such as renewable energy and energy efficiency initiatives, also contribute to the market. Carbon storage projects, including those focused on geological storage, are another essential component. The market's dynamics are influenced by various factors, including regulatory policies, market prices, and technological advancements. As the world moves towards a low-carbon economy, the demand for carbon credits is expected to continue growing, making it an attractive investment opportunity for businesses and individuals alike.

How is this market segmented and which is the largest segment?

The market research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2025-2029, as well as historical data from 2019-2023 for the following segments.

End-user

  Power
  Energy
  Transportation
  Industrial
  Others


Type

  Compliance
  Voluntary


Geography

  Europe

    Germany
    UK
    France
    Italy


  Asia

    China


  North America



  Rest of World (ROW)

By End-user Insights

The power segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.

Carbon credits represent financial instruments that enable organizations to invest in emission reduction projects, contributing to the global effort to transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources. These initiatives, which focus on conservation, biodiversity, and livelihoods, provide a means to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and mitigate the effects of climate change.

Additionally, the energy sector, specifically power generation, can benefit significantly from this shift, as renewable energy sources offer a sustainable and non-depleting alternative to coal and natural gas. To achieve the international goal of limiting global temperature rise to 2°C or 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions is crucial. Carbon credits facilitate this transition by incentivizing investment in renewable energy projects and reducing the overall carbon footprint.

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The power segment was valued at USD 61.30 billion in 2019 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.

Regional Analysis

Europe is estimated to contribute 84% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.

Technavio's analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.

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The European Union (EU) held a significant share of The market in 2023, with countries like the UK and Germany being major buyers. To achieve climate neutrality by 2050, the EU established the International Emissions Trading System (ETS) in 2005, which sets the cost of CO2 emissions and uses

There is one programming code in the language GAMS. It simulates data on emissions, banked emissions, auctioning, cancellation of allowances, in various scenarios. The purpose of these scenarios is to assess the impacts of various emission profiles on the Market Stability Reserves, the ETS market and prices. The data are copied (partly directly and partly by hand) into 2 Excel files, which also construct the figures used in the manuscript.

The global trading of carbon credits is a rapidly expanding market, driven by increasing regulatory pressure to mitigate climate change and the growing awareness of environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors among businesses. The market, estimated to be worth $200 million in 2025, is projected to experience a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 15% from 2025 to 2033. This robust growth is fueled by several factors. Firstly, the expansion of carbon pricing mechanisms, including emissions trading schemes (ETS) like the EU ETS and regional initiatives, creates a significant demand for carbon credits. Secondly, corporate sustainability initiatives are pushing companies to offset their carbon footprints, driving demand for high-quality, verified credits. Thirdly, technological advancements in monitoring, reporting, and verification (MRV) are enhancing the transparency and efficiency of the carbon credit market, boosting investor confidence. However, challenges remain, including concerns about the quality and legitimacy of some carbon credits, the need for standardized methodologies, and the potential for market manipulation. Despite these challenges, the long-term outlook for the carbon credit market is overwhelmingly positive. Continued government regulations, increasing corporate demand for offsetting, and technological innovation are all pointing towards substantial growth. While the specifics of regional market share will depend on various governmental policies and existing emission reduction efforts, it's anticipated that North America and Europe will dominate initially, given their established ETS programs and strong corporate ESG commitments. However, the Asia-Pacific region, with its large and rapidly developing economies, presents significant future growth potential. The diversification of the market, with various types of carbon credits and applications emerging, will further add to its complexity and opportunity. Segmentation by application (e.g., renewable energy, industrial processes) and type (e.g., verified emission reductions, removals) will refine market understanding and provide targeted investment opportunities. This ongoing evolution necessitates constant monitoring of regulatory developments, technological innovations, and market trends for successful navigation of this dynamic landscape.

This upload contains the modeling results (CO2 price trajectories, MSR figures, capacities, electricity dispatch) presented in the article:

Sitarz, J., Pahle, M., Osorio, S., Luderer, G., Pietzcker R. : "EU carbon prices signal high policy credibility and farsighted actors" (Under Review).

You may use the files to reproduce all figures of the article.

Content of this upload:

• Fig_3.csv - CO2 price trajectories displayed in Figure 3
• Fig_4_6_ExtData4.csv - CO2 price trajectories displayed in Figures 4, 6 and Extended Data Figure 4
• Fig_7.csv - Electricity dispatch and capacities displayed in Figure 7
• Fig_ExtData1.csv - MSR Figures displayed in Extended Data Figure 1
• Fig_ExtData2.csv - EUAs bought or sold by investors displayed in Extended Data Figure 2
• Fig_Methodology.csv - Electricity dispatch and capacities displayed in Methodology Figures

The European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) is a carbon emission trading scheme (or cap and trade scheme) which began in 2005 and is intended to lower greenhouse gas emissions by the European Union countries. The "ETS prices 2008-2024" dataset contains a summary of ETS prices in 2008-2024.

We investigate how cap-and-trade regulation affects profits. In late April 2006, the EU CO2 allowance price dropped 50 percent, equating to a €28 billion reduction in the value of aggregate annual allowances. We examine daily returns for 552 stocks from the EUROSTOXX index. Despite reductions in environmental costs, we find that stock prices fell for firms in both carbon- and electricity-intensive industries, particularly for firms selling primarily within the EU. Our results imply that investors focus on product price impacts, rather than just compliance costs and the nominal value of pollution permits.

Real-time eu carbon allowances price data updated every 5 minutes

In 2024, the East European carbon market decreased by -0.9% to $1.2B, falling for the second year in a row after two years of growth. The total consumption indicated a mild increase from 2012 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% over the last twelve-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, consumption decreased by -12.8% against 2022 indices.