Euro Area - Euro yield curve: Maturity: 5 years was 2.12% in May of 2025, according to the EUROSTAT. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Euro Area - Euro yield curve: Maturity: 5 years - last updated from the EUROSTAT on July of 2025. Historically, Euro Area - Euro yield curve: Maturity: 5 years reached a record high of 2.78% in October of 2023 and a record low of -0.74% in August of 2021.

A yield curve (which is known as the term structure of interest rates) represents the relationship between market remuneration (interest) rates and the remaining time to maturity of debt securities. The zero coupon yield curves and their corresponding time series are calculated using "AAA-rated" euro area central government bonds, i.e. debt securities with the most favourable credit risk assessment. They represent the yields to maturity of hypothetical zero coupon bonds. Source: European Central Bank.

Euro Area - Euro yield curve: Maturity: 10 years was 2.67% in May of 2025, according to the EUROSTAT. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Euro Area - Euro yield curve: Maturity: 10 years - last updated from the EUROSTAT on July of 2025. Historically, Euro Area - Euro yield curve: Maturity: 10 years reached a record high of 2.91% in October of 2023 and a record low of -0.46% in August of 2021.

Euro Area - Euro yield curve: Maturity: 1 year was 1.81% in May of 2025, according to the EUROSTAT. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Euro Area - Euro yield curve: Maturity: 1 year - last updated from the EUROSTAT on June of 2025. Historically, Euro Area - Euro yield curve: Maturity: 1 year reached a record high of 3.51% in September of 2023 and a record low of -0.82% in November of 2021.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for Euro Area (19 Countries) from Jan 1970 to May 2025 about long-term, Euro Area, 10-year, Europe, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, and rate.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for Euro Area (19 Countries) (IRLTLT01EZQ156N) from Q1 1970 to Q1 2025 about long-term, Euro Area, 10-year, Europe, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, and rate.

As of December 30, 2024, 14 economies reported a negative value for their ten year minus two year government bond yield spread: Ukraine with a negative spread of 1,370 percent; Turkey, with a negative spread of 1332 percent; Nigeria with -350 percent; and Russia with -273 percent. At this time, almost all long-term debt for major economies was generating positive yields, with only the most stable European countries seeing smaller values. Why is an inverted yield curve important? Often called an inverted yield curve or negative yield curve, a situation where short term debt has a higher yield than long term debt is considered a main indicator of an impending recession. Essentially, this situation reflects an underlying belief among a majority of investors that short term interest rates are about to fall, with the lowering of interest rates being the orthodox fiscal response to a recession. Therefore, investors purchase safe government debt at today's higher interest rate, driving down the yield on long term debt. In the United States, an inverted yield curve for an extended period preceded (almost) all recent recessions. The exception to this is the economic downturn caused by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic – however, the U.S. ten minus two year spread still came very close to negative territory in mid-2019. Bond yields and the coronavirus pandemic The onset of the coronavirus saw stock markets around the world crash in March 2020. This had an effect on bond markets, with the yield of both long term government debt and short term government debt falling dramatically at this time – reaching negative territory in many countries. With stock values collapsing, many investors placed their money in government debt – which guarantees both a regular interest payment and stable underlying value - in contrast to falling share prices. This led to many investors paying an amount for bonds on the market that was higher than the overall return for the duration of the bond (which is what is signified by a negative yield). However, the calculus is that the small loss taken on stable bonds is less that the losses likely to occur on the market. Moreover, if conditions continue to deteriorate, the bonds may be sold on at an even higher price, partly offsetting the losses from the negative yield.

The benchmark interest rate In the Euro Area was last recorded at 2.15 percent. This dataset provides - Euro Area Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The yield on Euro Area 10Y Bond Yield rose to 3.09% on June 20, 2025, marking a 0 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has fallen by 0.06 points and is 0.01 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for Euro Area Government Bond 10y.

Euro Area - Long term gov. bond yields was 3.06% in May of 2025, according to the EUROSTAT. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Euro Area - Long term gov. bond yields - last updated from the EUROSTAT on July of 2025. Historically, Euro Area - Long term gov. bond yields reached a record high of 3.59% in October of 2023 and a record low of -0.08% in August of 2021.

Euro yield curve by maturity (1, 5 and 10 years)

Treasury yield curves or treasury zero-coupon yield curve are derived from treasury benchmark curves. The main interest in the market to estimate treasury yield curves is to provide insights into the evolution of market expectations.

The zero coupon rate or zero rate, the most common form of interest rate, is the yield implied by the different between a zero coupon bond's current purchase price and the value it pays at maturity. A given zero rate applies only to a single point in the future and, as such, can only be used to discount cash flows occurring on this date. Zero rates can have different compoundings: continuously, semi-annually, annually, etc. The continuously compounded zero rate has the simplest expression and computation mathematically.

Euro yield curves - monthly data

Euro yield curves - quarterly data

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: 3-Month or 90-Day Rates and Yields: Interbank Rates: Total for Euro Area (19 Countries) (IR3TIB01EZM156N) from Jan 1994 to Apr 2025 about interbank, Euro Area, 3-month, Europe, yield, interest rate, interest, and rate.

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Euro yield curves - daily data

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We use a macro-finance model, incorporating macroeconomic and financial factors, to study the term premium in the US bond market. Estimating the model using Bayesian techniques, we find that a single factor explains most of the variation in bond risk premiums. Furthermore, the model-implied risk premiums account for up to 40% of the variability of one- and two-year excess returns. Using the model to decompose yield spreads into an expectations and a term premium component, we find that, although this decomposition does not seem important to forecast economic activity, it is crucial to forecast inflation for most forecasting horizons.

The dynamic behavior of the term structure of interest rates is difficult to replicate with models, and even models with a proven track record of empirical performance have underperformed since the early 2000s. On the other hand, survey expectations can accurately predict yields, but they are typically not available for all maturities and/or forecast horizons. We show how survey expectations can be exploited to improve the accuracy of yield curve forecasts given by a base model. We do so by employing a flexible exponential tilting method that anchors the model forecasts to the survey expectations, and we develop a test to guide the choice of the anchoring points. The method implicitly incorporates into yield curve forecasts any information that survey participants have access to-such as information about the current state of the economy or forward-looking information contained in monetary policy announcements-without the need to explicitly model it. We document that anchoring delivers large and significant gains in forecast accuracy relative to the class of models that are widely adopted by financial and policy institutions for forecasting the term structure of interest rates.