Exchange Rate: RBA: New Zealand Dollar to Australian Dollar data was reported at 1.079 AUD/NZD in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 1.100 AUD/NZD for Mar 2025. Exchange Rate: RBA: New Zealand Dollar to Australian Dollar data is updated monthly, averaging 1.147 AUD/NZD from Jul 1969 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 670 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1.763 AUD/NZD in Nov 1984 and a record low of 0.997 AUD/NZD in Nov 1972. Exchange Rate: RBA: New Zealand Dollar to Australian Dollar data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.M009: Exchange Rate.

Exchange Rate: RBA: Euro to Australian Dollar data was reported at 0.564 AUD/EUR in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.580 AUD/EUR for Mar 2025. Exchange Rate: RBA: Euro to Australian Dollar data is updated monthly, averaging 0.621 AUD/EUR from Jan 1999 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 316 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.858 AUD/EUR in Jul 2012 and a record low of 0.492 AUD/EUR in Dec 2008. Exchange Rate: RBA: Euro to Australian Dollar data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.M009: Exchange Rate.

Exchange Rate: RBA: UK Pound Sterling to Australian Dollar data was reported at 0.479 AUD/GBP in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.485 AUD/GBP for Mar 2025. Exchange Rate: RBA: UK Pound Sterling to Australian Dollar data is updated monthly, averaging 0.494 AUD/GBP from Jul 1969 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 670 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.780 AUD/GBP in Oct 1976 and a record low of 0.335 AUD/GBP in Sep 2001. Exchange Rate: RBA: UK Pound Sterling to Australian Dollar data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.M009: Exchange Rate.

Graph and download economic data for Real Broad Effective Exchange Rate for Australia (RBAUBIS) from Jan 1994 to May 2025 about Australia, broad, exchange rate, currency, real, and rate.

Exchange Rate: RBA: Indian Rupee to Australian Dollar data was reported at 54.580 AUD/INR in Apr 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 53.670 AUD/INR for Mar 2025. Exchange Rate: RBA: Indian Rupee to Australian Dollar data is updated monthly, averaging 52.510 AUD/INR from Jan 2010 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 184 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 59.640 AUD/INR in Aug 2013 and a record low of 39.390 AUD/INR in May 2010. Exchange Rate: RBA: Indian Rupee to Australian Dollar data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.M009: Exchange Rate.

Australia Exchange Rate: RBA: Trade Weighted Index data was reported at 59.900 May1970=100 in Apr 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 59.600 May1970=100 for Mar 2025. Australia Exchange Rate: RBA: Trade Weighted Index data is updated monthly, averaging 63.300 May1970=100 from May 1970 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 660 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 121.300 May1970=100 in Jan 1974 and a record low of 47.000 May1970=100 in Sep 2001. Australia Exchange Rate: RBA: Trade Weighted Index data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.M009: Exchange Rate.

Exchange Rate: RBA: Japanese Yen to Australian Dollar data was reported at 91.430 AUD/JPY in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 93.620 AUD/JPY for Mar 2025. Exchange Rate: RBA: Japanese Yen to Australian Dollar data is updated monthly, averaging 93.710 AUD/JPY from Jul 1969 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 670 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 450.550 AUD/JPY in Aug 1974 and a record low of 56.110 AUD/JPY in Oct 2000. Exchange Rate: RBA: Japanese Yen to Australian Dollar data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.M009: Exchange Rate.

Figures for ‘RBA foreign exchange transactions’, ‘Change in reserve assets due to valuation’ and ‘Total change in reserve assets’ refer to period totals. All other figures are end period values.

‘RBA foreign exchange transactions’, sales (-) and purchases (+), are reported according to the date on which settlement takes place (‘value date’).

‘Market’ transactions are foreign exchange transactions against the Australian dollar (excluding foreign exchange swaps) undertaken by the RBA with authorised foreign exchange dealers in Australia or banks overseas.

‘Australian Government’ transactions are the RBA’s foreign exchange transactions with the Australian Government.

‘Other outright’ transactions include the RBA’s outright transactions with other central banks, international financial institutions which are not intended to affect the exchange rate, clients other than the Australian Government, and interest received on holdings of foreign assets.

‘Swap deliveries’ are RBA foreign exchange swap transactions that settled during the period, excluding swaps conducted with the Federal Reserve as part of the USD Swap Facility. For the period January 1995 until February 1996 ‘Other outright’ includes ‘Swap deliveries’.

‘Official reserve assets’ comprise holdings of ‘Foreign exchange’, ‘Gold’ and ‘Other’ reserve assets, which comprise Special Drawing Rights, Reserve position in the IMF and the net value of swap transactions conducted with the Federal Reserve as part of the USD Swap Facility.

‘Outstanding forward foreign exchange commitments’ mainly reflect market values of the second leg of RBA swap transactions outstanding and, from time to time, outstanding RBA outright forward transactions. Prior to July 2002 contract values are reported.

The sum of ‘Gold’ and ‘Foreign exchange’ may differ from figures reported in the weekly Statement of Liabilities and Assets and the RBA’s Annual Report. From 1 July 1996, foreign currency securities sold under repurchase agreements are retained for accounting purposes as foreign currency investments in the RBA’s balance sheet, in accordance with standard accounting treatment. For the purpose of reporting foreign exchange reserves in this table, however, securities sold under repurchase agreements are excluded. In addition, from 20 December 2006, foreign exchange sales (-) and purchases (+) are reported for accounting purposes according to the date on which they are contracted (‘trade date’). For the purpose of reporting foreign exchange reserves in this table, however, foreign exchange transactions are reported according to the date on which settlement takes place (‘value date’).

This report analyses the exchange rate of the Australian dollar (AU$) in terms of the US dollar (US$). The exchange rate is determined by the supply and demand for each currency in the pair. The major drivers of the supply and demand for currencies are: interest rates; GDP growth; inflation; current account positions; equity flows; and the demand and price of commodities. The data for this report is sourced from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and is measured in US dollars. The RBA records the average monthly exchange rate on the last trading day of each month, and annual rates are calculated as the average of monthly rates over the financial year.

The benchmark interest rate in Australia was last recorded at 3.85 percent. This dataset provides - Australia Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Exchange Rate: RBA: Hong Kong Dollar to Australian Dollar data was reported at 4.977 AUD/HKD in Apr 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 4.885 AUD/HKD for Mar 2025. Exchange Rate: RBA: Hong Kong Dollar to Australian Dollar data is updated monthly, averaging 5.766 AUD/HKD from Nov 1983 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 498 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 8.537 AUD/HKD in Jul 2011 and a record low of 3.814 AUD/HKD in Mar 2001. Exchange Rate: RBA: Hong Kong Dollar to Australian Dollar data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.M009: Exchange Rate.

The AUD/USD exchange rate fell to 0.6547 on July 14, 2025, down 0.41% from the previous session. Over the past month, the Australian Dollar has strengthened 0.37%, but it's down by 3.18% over the last 12 months. Australian Dollar - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

‘System cash position’ is an estimate of the change in the aggregate level of Exchange Settlement (ES) balances at the RBA, prior to the RBA’s open market operations on that day. A negative value …Show full description‘System cash position’ is an estimate of the change in the aggregate level of Exchange Settlement (ES) balances at the RBA, prior to the RBA’s open market operations on that day. A negative value indicates a projected fall in the level of ES balances, while a positive value indicates a projected rise. The estimate is based on information about settlements arising from transactions by the RBA’s clients, including the Australian Government, as well as the RBA’s own transactions, and is announced at 9:30 am each trading day. ‘Outright transactions’ is the cash value of purchases and sales, conducted as part of the Bank’s open market operations, of securities issued by the Australian Government and State and Territory central borrowing authorities with remaining terms to maturity up to around 18 months. A positive value indicates the RBA has purchased securities while a negative value indicates the RBA has sold securities. ‘Foreign exchange swaps’ is the aggregate value of the first leg of foreign exchange swaps transacted for same-day value specifically for domestic liquidity management purposes. A positive value indicates the RBA has sold Australian dollars for foreign currency while a negative value indicates the RBA has purchased Australian dollars. The value of the second leg of a foreign exchange swap is captured in the ‘System cash position’ on the unwind date. ‘Repurchase agreements (RPs)’ is the amount of the first leg of securities bought/sold by the RBA under repurchase agreement (RP). 'General Collateral' refers to eligible eligible securities issued by the Australian Government, State and Territory governments, supranational institutions, foreign governments and government agencies as well as eligible securities with a sovereign government guarantee. ‘Private securities’ covers all other eligible collateral, including ADI-issued securities (eligible bank-issued discount securities and certificates of deposit with 12 months or less to maturity and bonds issued by ADIs), asset-backed securities (eligible residential mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed commercial paper) and eligible commercial paper. A positive value indicates the RBA has purchased securities under RPs while a negative value indicates the RBA has sold securities under RPs. It does not include RPs which are transacted through the RBA’s overnight RP facility. The value of the second leg of all RPs is captured in the ‘System cash position’ on the respective value dates. ‘Exchange Settlement account balances (end day)’ is the aggregate of all ES balances held at the RBA at the close of business. Unexpected movements in ES balances and overnight RPs transacted through the RBA’s overnight RP facility mean that ‘Exchange Settlement account balances (end day)’ will not necessarily be the sum of the previous day’s ‘Exchange Settlement account balances (end day)’, the ‘System cash position’ and the total of ‘Open market operations’ transacted. ‘Overnight repurchase agreements with RBA’ is the aggregate of the first leg of securities bought by the RBA through the overnight RP facility. These data are updated with a one month lag. Outright Transaction Details The 'Outright Transactions Details' sheet provides further information on the outright purchases and sales of Bonds and Discount Securities issued by the Australian Commonwealth, State & Territory Governments, conducted as part of the Bank's open market operations. “Issuer” is the acronym of the issuer of the bond/security. A positive “Face value dealt” indicates a purchase while a negative value indicates a sale. 'Weighted average rate' is the average of the rates dealt for each bond/security, weighted by the amount transacted. 'Cut-off rate' is the lowest yield accepted. Repo Details The Repo Details sheets provide a summary of the type of securities delivered to/by the RBA under RP at each term dealt through the open market operations. 'Govt and Quasi-Govt Repo Details' covers repo against General Collateral (eligible securities issued by the Australian Government, State and Territory governments, supranational institutions, foreign governments and government agencies as well as eligible securities with a sovereign government guarantee). ‘Private securities’ covers all other eligible collateral, including ADI-issued securities (eligible bank-issued discount securities and certificates of deposit with 12 months or less to maturity and bonds issued by ADIs), asset-backed securities (eligible residential mortgage-backed securities and asset-backed commercial paper) and eligible commercial paper. 'Term' is the number of days dealt in open market operations. 'Value Dealt' is the amount of the first leg of securities bought/sold by the RBA under RP. Weighted average rate' is the is the average of the rates on RPs dealt by the RBA through open market operations, weighted by the amount transacted. 'Cut-off rate' is the lowest rate dealt by the RBA through open market operations for each term dealt. Repo Unwinds The Repos Unwinds sheet provides a summary of the value of repurchase agreements due to unwind in the future, for both General Collateral and Private Securities. The unwind amount is equal to the sum of the total value dealt to that date plus accrued interest.

Exchange Rate: RBA: Thai Baht to Australian Dollar data was reported at 21.380 AUD/THB in Apr 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 21.310 AUD/THB for Mar 2025. Exchange Rate: RBA: Thai Baht to Australian Dollar data is updated monthly, averaging 25.410 AUD/THB from Jan 2010 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 184 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 33.220 AUD/THB in Jul 2012 and a record low of 20.160 AUD/THB in Mar 2020. Exchange Rate: RBA: Thai Baht to Australian Dollar data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.M009: Exchange Rate.

Exchange Rate: RBA: Singapore Dollar to Australian Dollar data was reported at 0.838 AUD/SGD in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.842 AUD/SGD for Mar 2025. Exchange Rate: RBA: Singapore Dollar to Australian Dollar data is updated monthly, averaging 1.144 AUD/SGD from Oct 1980 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 535 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.486 AUD/SGD in Aug 1981 and a record low of 0.838 AUD/SGD in Apr 2025. Exchange Rate: RBA: Singapore Dollar to Australian Dollar data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.M009: Exchange Rate.

Exchange Rate: RBA: New Taiwan Dollar to Australian Dollar data was reported at 20.520 AUD/NTD in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 20.860 AUD/NTD for Mar 2025. Exchange Rate: RBA: New Taiwan Dollar to Australian Dollar data is updated monthly, averaging 21.885 AUD/NTD from Nov 1983 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 498 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 37.890 AUD/NTD in Feb 1984 and a record low of 16.040 AUD/NTD in Mar 2001. Exchange Rate: RBA: New Taiwan Dollar to Australian Dollar data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.M009: Exchange Rate.

Exchange Rate: RBA: Indonesian Rupiah to Australian Dollar data was reported at 10,686.000 AUD/IDR in Apr 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 10,400.000 AUD/IDR for Mar 2025. Exchange Rate: RBA: Indonesian Rupiah to Australian Dollar data is updated monthly, averaging 6,709.000 AUD/IDR from Nov 1983 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 498 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 11,240.000 AUD/IDR in Apr 2021 and a record low of 676.000 AUD/IDR in Jul 1986. Exchange Rate: RBA: Indonesian Rupiah to Australian Dollar data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.M009: Exchange Rate.

This dataset contains news headlines relevant to key forex pairs: AUDUSD, EURCHF, EURUSD, GBPUSD, and USDJPY. The data was extracted from reputable platforms Forex Live and FXstreet over a period of 86 days, from January to May 2023. The dataset comprises 2,291 unique news headlines. Each headline includes an associated forex pair, timestamp, source, author, URL, and the corresponding article text. Data was collected using web scraping techniques executed via a custom service on a virtual machine. This service periodically retrieves the latest news for a specified forex pair (ticker) from each platform, parsing all available information. The collected data is then processed to extract details such as the article's timestamp, author, and URL. The URL is further used to retrieve the full text of each article. This data acquisition process repeats approximately every 15 minutes.

To ensure the reliability of the dataset, we manually annotated each headline for sentiment. Instead of solely focusing on the textual content, we ascertained sentiment based on the potential short-term impact of the headline on its corresponding forex pair. This method recognizes the currency market's acute sensitivity to economic news, which significantly influences many trading strategies. As such, this dataset could serve as an invaluable resource for fine-tuning sentiment analysis models in the financial realm.

We used three categories for annotation: 'positive', 'negative', and 'neutral', which correspond to bullish, bearish, and hold sentiments, respectively, for the forex pair linked to each headline. The following Table provides examples of annotated headlines along with brief explanations of the assigned sentiment.

Examples of Annotated Headlines Forex Pair Headline Sentiment Explanation GBPUSD Diminishing bets for a move to 12400 Neutral Lack of strong sentiment in either direction GBPUSD No reasons to dislike Cable in the very near term as long as the Dollar momentum remains soft Positive Positive sentiment towards GBPUSD (Cable) in the near term GBPUSD When are the UK jobs and how could they affect GBPUSD Neutral Poses a question and does not express a clear sentiment JPYUSD Appropriate to continue monetary easing to achieve 2% inflation target with wage growth Positive Monetary easing from Bank of Japan (BoJ) could lead to a weaker JPY in the short term due to increased money supply USDJPY Dollar rebounds despite US data. Yen gains amid lower yields Neutral Since both the USD and JPY are gaining, the effects on the USDJPY forex pair might offset each other USDJPY USDJPY to reach 124 by Q4 as the likelihood of a BoJ policy shift should accelerate Yen gains Negative USDJPY is expected to reach a lower value, with the USD losing value against the JPY AUDUSD RBA Governor Lowe’s Testimony High inflation is damaging and corrosive

Positive Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) expresses concerns about inflation. Typically, central banks combat high inflation with higher interest rates, which could strengthen AUD. Moreover, the dataset includes two columns with the predicted sentiment class and score as predicted by the FinBERT model. Specifically, the FinBERT model outputs a set of probabilities for each sentiment class (positive, negative, and neutral), representing the model's confidence in associating the input headline with each sentiment category. These probabilities are used to determine the predicted class and a sentiment score for each headline. The sentiment score is computed by subtracting the negative class probability from the positive one.

Exchange Rate: RBA: South Korean Won to Australian Dollar data was reported at 911.630 AUD/KRW in Apr 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 923.630 AUD/KRW for Mar 2025. Exchange Rate: RBA: South Korean Won to Australian Dollar data is updated monthly, averaging 769.760 AUD/KRW from Dec 1979 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 545 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1,209.500 AUD/KRW in Feb 2012 and a record low of 498.960 AUD/KRW in May 1989. Exchange Rate: RBA: South Korean Won to Australian Dollar data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Reserve Bank of Australia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Australia – Table AU.M009: Exchange Rate.

Disclaimer

All information presented here is for display purpose only, and may not be complete nor accurate. This information does not constitute a financial advice, and should not be used to make any investment decisions or financial transactions. This author rejects any claims for liabilities resulting from the use, misuse, or abuse of this information. Use at your own risk.

Motivation

Due to time zone differences between Australia and most of the rest of the world, Australians have the advantage of knowing what happened at markets elsewhere in the world, before the Australian market (ASX) is open in the morning, Sydney time.

This prior knowledge provides an excellent opportunity for arbitrage. In the hands of a savvy day-trader, or a shrewd long-term investor, this information gives you the advantage of predicting the ASX, and achieve potentially significant financial gains.

Method

For the ten years period from 1/7/2010 to 30/6/2020, the daily closing prices for 41 global market indicators are collected from various reliable public-domain sources. We checked the data for error or omissions and normalised all tabulated records in a format that facilitates further analysis and visulaisation.

Those 41 market indicators are what we consider significant measures of various external factors that may affect the performance of the Australian Stock Market, as represented by the ASX200. Those indicators are:

• Nine other major stock market indices from the USA, Europe, and Asia.

• The exchange rate of the $AU against 10 world currencies that are most relevant to Australia's international trade.

• Official interest rates by the RBA and the US Feds, as indicators of affinity of foreign funds to Australia.

• Yield rates for governments-issued bonds by 10 countries from Western and Asian economies, as measures of relative availability of credit and cross-border investment. Bonds are grouped into "Short-term" (one year maturity) and "Long-term" (10 to 30 years maturity).

• Since Australia's economy is mainly an exporter of raw materials, we include prices for commodities that are most traded by Australia, as indicators for potential profitability for various relevant sectors of the ASX.

We feed relevant data to a machine learning model, which uses this data to extract heuristic parameters that are used to predict the ASX200 on daily basis, before market opens, and validates predictions at market close, with favourable results.

For more information, please visit the Tableau viz at: https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/yasser.ali.phd/viz/PredictingAustralianStockMarket/Story