Unemployment Rate in the United States remained unchanged at 4.20 percent in May. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Unemployment Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The unemployment rate in fiscal year 2204 rose to 3.9 percent. The unemployment rate of the United States which has been steadily decreasing since the 2008 financial crisis, spiked to 8.1 percent in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic. The annual unemployment rate of the U.S. since 1990 can be found here. Falling unemployment The unemployment rate, or the part of the U.S. labor force that is without a job, fell again in 2022 after peaking at 8.1 percent in 2020 - a rate that has not been seen since the years following the 2008 financial crisis. The financial crash caused unemployment in the U.S. to soar from 4.6 percent in 2007 to 9.6 percent in 2010. Since 2010, the unemployment rate had been steadily falling, meaning that more and more people are finding work, whether that be through full-time employment or part-time employment. However, the affects of the COVID-19 pandemic created a spike in unemployment across the country. U.S. unemployment in comparison Compared to unemployment rates in the European Union, U.S. unemployment is relatively low. Greece was hit particularly hard by the 2008 financial crisis and faced a government debt crisis that sent the Greek economy into a tailspin. Due to this crisis, and the added impact of the pandemic, Greece still has the highest unemployment rate in the European Union.

In 2023, it was estimated that over 161 million Americans were in some form of employment, while 3.64 percent of the total workforce was unemployed. This was the lowest unemployment rate since the 1950s, although these figures are expected to rise in 2023 and beyond. 1980s-2010s Since the 1980s, the total United States labor force has generally risen as the population has grown, however, the annual average unemployment rate has fluctuated significantly, usually increasing in times of crisis, before falling more slowly during periods of recovery and economic stability. For example, unemployment peaked at 9.7 percent during the early 1980s recession, which was largely caused by the ripple effects of the Iranian Revolution on global oil prices and inflation. Other notable spikes came during the early 1990s; again, largely due to inflation caused by another oil shock, and during the early 2000s recession. The Great Recession then saw the U.S. unemployment rate soar to 9.6 percent, following the collapse of the U.S. housing market and its impact on the banking sector, and it was not until 2016 that unemployment returned to pre-recession levels. 2020s 2019 had marked a decade-long low in unemployment, before the economic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic saw the sharpest year-on-year increase in unemployment since the Great Depression, and the total number of workers fell by almost 10 million people. Despite the continuation of the pandemic in the years that followed, alongside the associated supply-chain issues and onset of the inflation crisis, unemployment reached just 3.67 percent in 2022 - current projections are for this figure to rise in 2023 and the years that follow, although these forecasts are subject to change if recent years are anything to go by.

United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Standard Deviation data was reported at 2.500 % in May 2018. This stayed constant from the previous number of 2.500 % for Apr 2018. United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Standard Deviation data is updated monthly, averaging 3.200 % from Feb 1979 (Median) to May 2018, with 380 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 10.900 % in Feb 1980 and a record low of 2.200 % in Apr 1999. United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Standard Deviation data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H030: Consumer Sentiment Index: Unemployment, Interest Rates, Prices and Government Expectations. The questions were: 'What about the outlook for prices over the next 5 to 10 years? Do you think prices will be higher, to go up, on the average, during the next 12 months?' and 'By about what percent per year do you expect prices to go up or down, on the average, during the next 5 to 10 years?'

CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Up by 1-2% data was reported at 41.000 % in May 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 42.000 % for Apr 2018. CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Up by 1-2% data is updated monthly, averaging 28.000 % from Feb 1979 (Median) to May 2018, with 380 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 43.000 % in May 2016 and a record low of 2.000 % in Aug 1980. CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Up by 1-2% data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H030: Consumer Sentiment Index: Unemployment, Interest Rates, Prices and Government Expectations. The questions were: 'What about the outlook for prices over the next 5 to 10 years? Do you think prices will be higher, to go up, on the average, during the next 12 months?' and 'By about what percent per year do you expect prices to go up or down, on the average, during the next 5 to 10 years?'

The average unemployment rate was six percent in Germany in 2024. Since 2005, the rate of unemployment has generally been declining, though a slight increase was evident in recent years. Unemployment in Germany and comparison with other countries Germany has a comparatively low unemployment rate compared to its European neighbors, and they are expected to stay at around three percent over the next few years. This is a result of the damage the economy suffered during the COVID-19 pandemic. During the lockdown, most businesses were closed, and many companies lost revenue meaning employees were let go. It is also possible that higher unemployment figures will continue into later years because of inflation and rising energy prices. There is also a slightly higher unemployment rate among men than there is among women. Social support Social support is money paid out to those who are unable to work for some reason, its purpose is to protect those who are most vulnerable. The status of being unemployed is defined as when an employed person is laid off, fired, or quits his work and is still looking for a job, this is what qualifies someone to receive a citizens allowance (Bürgergeld) in Germany. The payments are only made if you are unemployed and worked for the last 12 months. Otherwise, benefits are received in the form of Arbeitslosengeld II, also called Hartz IV, which distributes social payments to people without an income who cannot work to make a living. Since January 2023 though, Arbeitlosengeld has been replaced by Bürgergeld, since this is a new transition, it is still possible that people will still refer to the benefits as Arbeitlosengeld or Hartz IV.

CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Variance data was reported at 6.000 % in May 2018. This stayed constant from the previous number of 6.000 % for Apr 2018. CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Variance data is updated monthly, averaging 10.000 % from Feb 1979 (Median) to May 2018, with 380 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 118.000 % in Feb 1980 and a record low of 5.000 % in Jul 2017. CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Variance data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H030: Consumer Sentiment Index: Unemployment, Interest Rates, Prices and Government Expectations. The questions were: 'What about the outlook for prices over the next 5 to 10 years? Do you think prices will be higher, to go up, on the average, during the next 12 months?' and 'By about what percent per year do you expect prices to go up or down, on the average, during the next 5 to 10 years?'

In April 2025, the agriculture and related private wage and salary workers industry had the highest unemployment rate in the United States, at eight percent. In comparison, government workers had the lowest unemployment rate, at 1.8 percent. The average for all industries was 3.9 percent. U.S. unemployment There are several factors that impact unemployment, as it fluctuates with the state of the economy. Unfortunately, the forecasted unemployment rate in the United States is expected to increase as we head into the latter half of the decade. Those with a bachelor’s degree or higher saw the lowest unemployment rate from 1992 to 2022 in the United States, which is attributed to the fact that higher levels of education are seen as more desirable in the workforce. Nevada unemployment Nevada is one of the states with the highest unemployment rates in the country and Vermont typically has one of the lowest unemployment rates. These are seasonally adjusted rates, which means that seasonal factors such as holiday periods and weather events that influence employment periods are removed. Nevada's economy consists of industries that are currently suffering high unemployment rates such as tourism. As of May 2023, about 5.4 percent of Nevada's population was unemployed, possibly due to the lingering impact of the coronavirus pandemic.

U.S. unemployment rate for 2024 was 4.11%, a 0.47% increase from 2023.

<ul style='margin-top:20px;'>

<li>U.S. unemployment rate for 2023 was <strong>3.64%</strong>, a <strong>0.01% decline</strong> from 2022.</li>
<li>U.S. unemployment rate for 2022 was <strong>3.65%</strong>, a <strong>1.7% decline</strong> from 2021.</li>
<li>U.S. unemployment rate for 2021 was <strong>5.35%</strong>, a <strong>2.71% decline</strong> from 2020.</li>
</ul>Unemployment refers to the share of the labor force that is without work but available for and seeking employment.

CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Up by 6-9% data was reported at 3.000 % in May 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.000 % for Apr 2018. CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Up by 6-9% data is updated monthly, averaging 4.000 % from Feb 1979 (Median) to May 2018, with 380 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 18.000 % in Jul 1982 and a record low of 1.000 % in Nov 2017. CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Up by 6-9% data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H030: Consumer Sentiment Index: Unemployment, Interest Rates, Prices and Government Expectations. The questions were: 'What about the outlook for prices over the next 5 to 10 years? Do you think prices will be higher, to go up, on the average, during the next 12 months?' and 'By about what percent per year do you expect prices to go up or down, on the average, during the next 5 to 10 years?'

Unemployment Rate in Japan remained unchanged at 2.50 percent in April. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Japan Unemployment Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

In 2024, the rate of surveyed unemployment in urban areas of China amounted to approximately 5.1 percent. The unemployment rate is expected to remain at 5.1 percent in 2025 and the following years. Monthly unemployment ranged at a level of around 5.3 percent in the first quarter of 2025. Unemployment rate in China In 2017, the National Statistics Bureau of China introduced surveyed unemployment as a new indicator of unemployment in the country. It is based on monthly surveys among the labor force in urban areas of China. Surveyed unemployment replaced registered unemployment figures, which were often criticized for missing out large parts of the urban labor force and thereby not presenting a true picture of urban unemployment levels. However, current unemployment figures still do not include rural areas.A main concern in China’s current state of employment lies within the large regional differences. As of 2021, the unemployment rate in northeastern regions of China was notably higher than in China’s southern parts. In Beijing, China’s political and cultural center, registered unemployment ranged at around 3.2 percent for 2021. Indicators of economic activities Apart from the unemployment rate, most commonly used indicators to measure economic activities of a country are GDP growth and inflation rate. According to an IMF forecast, GDP growth in China will decrease to about four percent in 2025, after five percent in 2023, depicting a decrease of more than six percentage points from 10.6 percent in 2010. Quarterly growth data published by the National Bureau of Statistics indicated 5.4 percent GDP growth for the first quarter of 2025.

CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs data was reported at 2.400 % in Jul 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.600 % for Jun 2018. CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs data is updated monthly, averaging 2.900 % from Feb 1979 (Median) to Jul 2018, with 382 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 9.700 % in Feb 1980 and a record low of 2.300 % in Dec 2016. CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H030: Consumer Sentiment Index: Unemployment, Interest Rates, Prices and Government Expectations. The questions were: 'What about the outlook for prices over the next 5 to 10 years? Do you think prices will be higher, to go up, on the average, during the next 12 months?' and 'By about what percent per year do you expect prices to go up or down, on the average, during the next 5 to 10 years?'

Unemployment Rate in China decreased to 5.10 percent in April from 5.20 percent in March of 2025. This dataset provides - China Unemployment Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

In 2025, the annual unemployment rate of the United Kingdom is expected to be 4.5 percent, compared with 4.3 percent in 2024. Unemployment is forecast to fall to 4.3 percent in 2026, gradually declining to 4.1 percent by 2028. In the UK's last government budget in October 2024, the country's unemployment rate for 2025 was forecast to average out at 4.1 percent, but this was increased to 4.5 percent in the "Spring Statement" on public finances in March 2025. Uptick in unemployment after falling to historic lows A common indicator of an economy’s relative health, the unemployment rate in the UK generally fell throughout most of the 2010s, after reaching 8.5 percent in late 2011. After a sudden increase in unemployment during the COVID-19 pandemic, there was a steep decline that lasted until August 2022, when the unemployment rate was just 3.5 percent. There was then a rise in unemployment from 2023 onwards, which continued throughout 2024 and into 2025. This has been matched by a fall in UK job vacancies, which peaked at 1.3 million in May 2022, but has been falling in most months since then, with approximately 816,000 vacancies in February 2025. Revisions to GDP and inflation for 2025 Since the global financial crisis of the late 2000s, and especially since the COVID-19 pandemic, the UK's economic growth has been poor, with the UK alternating between weak growth and slight contractions. For 2025, the UK economy is set to grow by just one percent, a downgrade from two percent predicted in late 2024. Inflation, which skyrocketed from late 2021 onwards, reached a peak of 11.1 percent in October 2022, and although down to more usual levels by 2024, is expected to rise in 2025, reaching around 3.7 percent by the second half of the year.

Regional unemployment rates used by the Employment Insurance program, by effective date, current month.

United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Don't Know data was reported at 1.000 % in May 2018. This stayed constant from the previous number of 1.000 % for Apr 2018. United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Don't Know data is updated monthly, averaging 2.000 % from Feb 1979 (Median) to May 2018, with 380 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 8.000 % in Feb 1981 and a record low of 0.000 % in Feb 2017. United States CSI: Expected Inflation: Next 5 Yrs: Don't Know data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by University of Michigan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.H030: Consumer Sentiment Index: Unemployment, Interest Rates, Prices and Government Expectations. The questions were: 'What about the outlook for prices over the next 5 to 10 years? Do you think prices will be higher, to go up, on the average, during the next 12 months?' and 'By about what percent per year do you expect prices to go up or down, on the average, during the next 5 to 10 years?'

Unemployment Rate in Germany remained unchanged at 6.30 percent in May. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Germany Unemployment Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The seasonally-adjusted national unemployment rate is measured on a monthly basis in the United States. In February 2025, the national unemployment rate was at 4.1 percent. Seasonal adjustment is a statistical method of removing the seasonal component of a time series that is used when analyzing non-seasonal trends. U.S. monthly unemployment rate According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics - the principle fact-finding agency for the U.S. Federal Government in labor economics and statistics - unemployment decreased dramatically between 2010 and 2019. This trend of decreasing unemployment followed after a high in 2010 resulting from the 2008 financial crisis. However, after a smaller financial crisis due to the COVID-19 pandemic, unemployment reached 8.1 percent in 2020. As the economy recovered, the unemployment rate fell to 5.3 in 2021, and fell even further in 2022. Additional statistics from the BLS paint an interesting picture of unemployment in the United States. In November 2023, the states with the highest (seasonally adjusted) unemployment rate were the Nevada and the District of Columbia. Unemployment was the lowest in Maryland, at 1.8 percent. Workers in the agricultural and related industries suffered the highest unemployment rate of any industry at seven percent in December 2023.

Replication files for "Job-to-Job Mobility and Inflation" Authors: Renato Faccini and Leonardo Melosi Review of Economics and Statistics Date: February 2, 2023 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ORDERS OF TOPICS .Section 1. We explain the code to replicate all the figures in the paper (except Figure 6) .Section 2. We explain how Figure 6 is constructed .Section 3. We explain how the data are constructed SECTION 1 Replication_Main.m is used to reproduce all the figures of the paper except Figure 6. All the primitive variables are defined in the code and all the steps are commented in code to facilitate the replication of our results. Replication_Main.m, should be run in Matlab. The authors tested it on a DELL XPS 15 7590 laptop wih the follwoing characteristics: -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Processor Intel(R) Core(TM) i9-9980HK CPU @ 2.40GHz 2.40 GHz Installed RAM 64.0 GB System type 64-bit operating system, x64-based processor -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- It took 2 minutes and 57 seconds for this machine to construct Figures 1, 2, 3, 4a, 4b, 5, 7a, and 7b. The following version of Matlab and Matlab toolboxes has been used for the test: -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MATLAB Version: 9.7.0.1190202 (R2019b) MATLAB License Number: 363305 Operating System: Microsoft Windows 10 Enterprise Version 10.0 (Build 19045) Java Version: Java 1.8.0_202-b08 with Oracle Corporation Java HotSpot(TM) 64-Bit Server VM mixed mode -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MATLAB Version 9.7 (R2019b) Financial Toolbox Version 5.14 (R2019b) Optimization Toolbox Version 8.4 (R2019b) Statistics and Machine Learning Toolbox Version 11.6 (R2019b) Symbolic Math Toolbox Version 8.4 (R2019b) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The replication code uses auxiliary files and save the pictures in various subfolders: \JL_models: It contains the equations describing the model including the observation equations and routine used to solve the model. To do so, the routine in this folder calls other routines located in some fo the subfolders below. \gensystoama: It contains a set of codes that allow us to solve linear rational expectations models. We use the AMA solver. More information are provided in the file AMASOLVE.m. The codes in this subfolder have been developed by Alejandro Justiniano. \filters: it contains the Kalman filter augmented with a routine to make sure that the zero lower bound constraint for the nominal interest rate is satisfied in every period in our sample. \SteadyStateSolver: It contains a set of routines that are used to solved the steady state of the model numerically. \NLEquations: It contains some of the equations of the model that are log-linearized using the symbolic toolbox of matlab. \NberDates: It contains a set of routines that allows to add shaded area to graphs to denote NBER recessions. \Graphics: It contains useful codes enabling features to construct some of the graphs in the paper. \Data: it contains the data set used in the paper. \Params: It contains a spreadsheet with the values attributes to the model parameters. \VAR_Estimation: It contains the forecasts implied by the Bayesian VAR model of Section 2. The output of Replication_Main.m are the figures of the paper that are stored in the subfolder \Figures SECTION 2 The Excel file "Figure-6.xlsx" is used to create the charts in Figure 6. All three panels of the charts (A, B, and C) plot a measure of unexpected wage inflation against the unemployment rate, then fits separate linear regressions for the periods 1960-1985,1986-2007, and 2008-2009. Unexpected wage inflation is given by the difference between wage growth and a measure of expected wage growth. In all three panels, the unemployment rate used is the civilian unemployment rate (UNRATE), seasonally adjusted, from the BLS. The sheet "Panel A" uses quarterly manufacturing sector average hourly earnings growth data, seasonally adjusted (CES3000000008), from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Employment Situation report as the measure of wage inflation. The unexpected wage inflation is given by the difference between earnings growth at time t and the average of earnings growth across the previous four months. Growth rates are annualized quarterly values. The sheet "Panel B" uses quarterly Nonfarm Business Sector Compensation Per Hour, seasonally adjusted (COMPNFB), from the BLS Productivity and Costs report as its measure of wage inflation. As in Panel A, expected wage inflation is given by the... Visit https://dataone.org/datasets/sha256%3A44c88fe82380bfff217866cac93f85483766eb9364f66cfa03f1ebdaa0408335 for complete metadata about this dataset.