The global Mortgage-Backed Security market is poised for robust growth, with its market size projected to reach XX million in 2033, driven by a CAGR of XX% during the forecast period 2025-2033. Key drivers fueling this growth include increasing demand for residential and commercial mortgages, government support for housing markets, and the ongoing trend of securitization. However, factors such as rising interest rates, economic uncertainties, and regulatory challenges may pose restraints to market expansion. The market is segmented into types (commercial MBS, residential MBS) and applications (commercial banks, real estate enterprises, trust plans). Residential MBS dominate the market due to the high demand for home loans. Prominent players in the market include Construction Bank, ICBC, and Bank of China, among others. North America and Asia Pacific are expected to be key regional markets, with the US, China, and India driving growth. The study period for this analysis is 2019-2033, with the base year being 2025 and the forecast period extending from 2025 to 2033. Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) are financial instruments that are backed by a pool of mortgages. They are typically issued by government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, but can also be issued by private banks and investment firms. MBS offer investors a way to invest in the housing market without having to purchase a physical property.

Loan Channel CO Refinance Share Retail 71.2% Correspondent 18.2% Broker 10.6% Loan Channel Purchase Loan Channel Share Retail 49.2% Correspondent 35.0% Broker 15.8%

Mortgage-Backed Securities Market Outlook

According to our latest research, the global Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) market size reached USD 12.8 trillion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.1% from 2025 to 2033. The market is expected to grow steadily, reaching a forecasted value of USD 20.1 trillion by 2033, driven by increasing demand for diversified investment instruments, ongoing government support for housing finance, and the robust expansion of secondary mortgage markets worldwide. This growth reflects a combination of strong investor appetite for fixed-income assets and continued innovation in securitization structures, as per our most recent research findings.

A major growth factor shaping the Mortgage-Backed Securities market is the persistent global demand for yield-generating assets in a low-interest-rate environment. Institutional investors, such as pension funds and insurance companies, are increasingly allocating capital to MBS products to secure stable, long-term returns. This trend is further amplified by the relative stability of mortgage payments compared to other forms of debt, making MBS an attractive asset class for risk-averse investors. Additionally, the standardization and transparency of MBS structures have improved significantly over the past decade, restoring investor confidence and facilitating greater market participation. The integration of advanced analytics and risk management tools has also played a crucial role in enhancing the assessment of underlying mortgage pools, thereby reducing perceived risk and encouraging further investment.

Technological advancements and regulatory reforms have also been pivotal in accelerating the growth of the Mortgage-Backed Securities market. The adoption of blockchain, artificial intelligence, and big data analytics in the securitization process has led to improved efficiency, transparency, and accuracy in the origination and servicing of mortgage loans. These innovations have enabled market participants to better manage credit risk, streamline due diligence, and enhance the overall liquidity of MBS instruments. Furthermore, post-2008 regulatory measures, such as the implementation of Basel III and Dodd-Frank Act provisions, have strengthened the resilience of the MBS ecosystem by introducing stricter capital requirements and greater transparency. These measures have not only mitigated systemic risks but also attracted a broader spectrum of investors, including those previously wary of mortgage-backed instruments.

Global macroeconomic trends, including urbanization, rising homeownership rates, and expanding real estate markets, are fueling the underlying mortgage origination volumes that support the MBS market. Emerging economies, particularly in Asia Pacific and Latin America, are witnessing rapid growth in residential and commercial property markets, creating new opportunities for the securitization of mortgage assets. In developed markets such as North America and Europe, the ongoing evolution of housing finance systems and increased government intervention through agencies like Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the European Central Bank have provided further impetus to MBS issuance. This sustained growth in mortgage origination and securitization activity is expected to underpin the long-term expansion of the global MBS market.

Regionally, North America continues to dominate the Mortgage-Backed Securities market, accounting for the largest share due to its mature housing finance infrastructure and the presence of prominent government-sponsored enterprises. However, Europe and Asia Pacific are rapidly gaining traction, propelled by regulatory harmonization, financial innovation, and the increasing involvement of private institutions. In Latin America and the Middle East & Africa, the market is at a nascent stage but is projected to grow at a faster pace over the coming years, supported by financial sector reforms and rising demand for alternative investment products. This regional diversification is expected to further enhance the stability and resilience of the global MBS market.

Security Type Analysis

The Mortgage-Backed Securities market is segmented by security type into Residential MBS, Commercial MBS, Collateralized Mortgage Obligations (CMOs), and Others. Among these, Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) represent the largest segment, driven by the sheer volume of residential

Mortgage-Backed Securities Market Outlook

According to our latest research, the global mortgage-backed securities (MBS) market size reached USD 11.2 trillion in 2024, driven by robust demand for securitized debt instruments and a thriving real estate sector. The market is projected to expand at a CAGR of 6.1% from 2025 to 2033, with the total market value forecasted to reach USD 19.1 trillion by 2033. This growth trajectory is underpinned by increasing investor appetite for fixed-income assets, ongoing financial innovation, and supportive regulatory frameworks that continue to shape the evolution of the global MBS landscape.

The primary growth factor for the mortgage-backed securities market is the persistent demand for yield in a low-interest-rate environment. Institutional investors, such as pension funds, insurance companies, and mutual funds, are continuously seeking stable, long-term returns to meet their portfolio objectives. MBS offer attractive risk-adjusted yields compared to other fixed-income alternatives, making them a preferred choice for these investors. In addition, the diversification benefits provided by pooling mortgage loans into securities help mitigate individual credit risk, further enhancing their appeal. The market has also witnessed a resurgence in investor confidence, thanks to improved underwriting standards and enhanced transparency following the 2008 financial crisis, which has contributed to sustained growth in the issuance and trading of mortgage-backed securities.

Another significant driver for the MBS market is the increasing sophistication of financial markets and the proliferation of securitization techniques. Financial institutions and government agencies have developed advanced structuring mechanisms, such as tranching and credit enhancement, which allow for the tailoring of MBS products to meet specific investor requirements. This has led to the creation of a wide array of MBS types, including residential MBS (RMBS), commercial MBS (CMBS), and collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs), catering to diverse risk-return profiles. The integration of technology and data analytics in the origination and servicing of mortgage loans has also streamlined the securitization process, reducing operational costs and improving the accuracy of risk assessment. As a result, issuers can efficiently package and distribute mortgage assets, further fueling market expansion.

Regulatory support and favorable government policies have played a pivotal role in bolstering the MBS market. In major economies such as the United States, government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) like Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae have been instrumental in providing liquidity and stability to the housing finance system. These agencies guarantee or directly issue a significant portion of MBS, thereby enhancing investor confidence and lowering funding costs for mortgage originators. Recent regulatory reforms aimed at increasing transparency, standardizing disclosure practices, and strengthening risk retention requirements have further contributed to the resilience and attractiveness of the MBS market. As policymakers continue to prioritize housing affordability and financial market stability, the regulatory landscape is expected to remain supportive of MBS growth in the coming years.

Collateralized Mortgage Obligations (CMOs) have become a significant component of the mortgage-backed securities market, offering unique benefits to both issuers and investors. These structured financial products allow for the creation of multiple tranches with varying risk and return profiles, providing investors with tailored options to meet their specific investment objectives. The flexibility of CMOs in managing interest rate and prepayment risks makes them particularly attractive to institutional investors seeking to optimize their portfolios. As the market continues to evolve, the role of CMOs in providing customized investment solutions is expected to grow, driven by advancements in technology and data analytics that enhance the structuring and risk management processes.

From a regional perspective, North America remains the dominant market for mortgage-backed securities, accounting for the majority of global issuance and trading activity. The well-established securitization infrastructure, deep investor base, and active part

Agency MBS Market Outlook

According to our latest research, the global Agency MBS (Mortgage-Backed Securities) market size reached USD 9.3 trillion in 2024, reflecting the robust demand for securitized mortgage assets worldwide. The Agency MBS market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 4.2% from 2025 to 2033, with the market forecasted to reach USD 13.3 trillion by 2033. This growth is driven by the increasing appetite for fixed-income securities among institutional investors, ongoing government support for housing finance, and the evolution of risk management strategies in the global financial ecosystem.

One of the primary growth factors for the Agency MBS market is the consistent demand for safe, liquid, and yield-generating assets in a low-interest-rate environment. Agency MBS, backed by government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae, offer investors a unique blend of credit risk mitigation and attractive returns compared to other fixed-income instruments. The explicit or implicit government guarantee associated with these securities further enhances their appeal, particularly during periods of economic uncertainty. Additionally, the expansion of mortgage lending and refinancing activity, especially in developed markets, has fueled the supply of new Agency MBS, supporting market growth.

Another significant driver is the evolving regulatory landscape that encourages financial institutions to hold high-quality liquid assets (HQLA) for capital adequacy and risk management purposes. Agency MBS are typically classified as HQLA under Basel III regulations, making them a preferred choice for banks and other financial institutions seeking to optimize their balance sheets. Moreover, technological advancements in securitization, data analytics, and trading platforms have improved transparency, efficiency, and accessibility in the Agency MBS market, attracting a broader range of investors, including retail participants and non-traditional asset managers.

The diversification of investor profiles and the globalization of capital flows have also contributed to the expansion of the Agency MBS market. International investors, sovereign wealth funds, and central banks are increasingly allocating capital to Agency MBS as part of their portfolio diversification and risk-adjusted return strategies. This influx of global capital has enhanced market liquidity and depth, while also fostering innovation in product structures and risk transfer mechanisms. Furthermore, the growing recognition of Agency MBS as a tool for macroprudential policy and monetary operations by central banks underscores their strategic importance in the global financial system.

From a regional perspective, North America continues to dominate the Agency MBS market, accounting for the majority of issuance, trading volume, and investor participation. The United States, in particular, benefits from a mature mortgage finance system, strong regulatory oversight, and the presence of major GSEs. However, other regions such as Europe and Asia Pacific are witnessing steady growth, driven by financial market development, regulatory harmonization, and increasing cross-border investment flows. The regional dynamics are further influenced by macroeconomic factors, housing market trends, and government policies aimed at supporting homeownership and financial stability.

Product Type Analysis

The Agency MBS market is segmented by product type into Residential MBS, Commercial MBS, Collateralized Mortgage Obligations (CMOs), and Pass-Through Securities. Residential MBS remain the largest segment, underpinned by the substantial volume of residential mortgage loans originated and securitized by GSEs. These securities are widely regarded as a cornerstone of the fixed-income market, providing investors with exposure to the U.S. housing market and a steady stream of principal and interest payments. The standardized nature and government backing of residential MBS contribute to their high liquidity and low credit risk profile, making them a staple in institutional portfolios.

Commercial MBS, while smaller in scale compared to their residential counterparts, have gained prominence as institutional investors seek diversification across property types and geographic locations. These securities are backed by income-generating commercial real estate assets such as office buildings, shopping centers