The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 3.75 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median (FEDTARMD) from 2026 to 2028 about projection, federal, median, rate, and USA.

Live Federal Reserve rate decision probabilities from Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets. Includes FOMC meeting odds, rate cut/hike probabilities, and cross-platform comparisons.

Composite index measuring consensus fragility around Federal Reserve interest rate expectations for 2026. Combines FOMC Dot Plot dispersion, CME FedWatch market-vs-Fed gap, and Kalshi prediction market divergence.

This dataset contains the text from Federal Reserve FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting minutes and statements, collected by scraping the Federal Reserve's website. The data spans a specific period of time, providing insights into the central bank's monetary policy decisions and discussions.

Content

The dataset consists of the following columns:

• Date: The date of the FOMC meeting or statement release in the format YYYYMMDD.
• Type: Indicator for the type of document. 0 represents a statement, while 1 represents meeting minutes.
• Text: The text content of each paragraph in the meeting minutes or statements.

Acknowledgements

The data is collected from the official Federal Reserve website (https://www.federalreserve.gov) using a custom Python scraper built with BeautifulSoup.

Inspiration

This dataset can be used for various purposes, such as:

1. Analyzing the sentiment and tone of FOMC meeting minutes and statements over time.
2. Identifying key phrases and words that indicate changes in monetary policy.
3. Developing natural language processing models to predict future policy decisions based on historical data.
4. Investigating the relationship between FOMC meeting minutes/statements and financial market reactions.

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median was 3.10% in January of 2028, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median reached a record high of 5.40 in January of 2023 and a record low of 0.10 in January of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on March of 2026.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).

Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open un

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal fu

Historical dataset of Federal Reserve Dot Plot predictions (for the Federal Funds Rate), for quarterly meetings at each "Summary of Economic Projections" (Jan 2012-June 2023). Charts sourced directly from projection materials that can be found here.

FOMC Calendar - https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm

Link for all charts - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_TCjP6LgFrLkN8U6jy2hzd2yoIcDfytu6kQdraxpu7M/edit#gid=0

Note - there are some discrepancies over the years in the data (such as increments shifting from .25 to .125 in Q3 2014), & not all plots may add up to 19 (in the case of no prediction).

The benchmark interest rate in Canada was last recorded at 2.25 percent. This dataset provides - Canada Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target

The benchmark interest rate in Japan was last recorded at 0.75 percent. This dataset provides - Japan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target

The benchmark interest rate in India was last recorded at 5.25 percent. This dataset provides - India Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target

1.50% Current probability: 50% Yes. Trading volume: $0.00. Source: Kalshi. Related to TXN stock. Sector: Finance. Track real-time probability updates and historical price data.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target

The benchmark interest rate in Mexico was last recorded at 6.75 percent. This dataset provides - Mexico Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

In January 2000, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) instituted the practice of issuing a "balance of risks" statement along with their policy decision immediately following each FOMC meeting. The authors evaluate the use of the balance-of-risks statement and the market's interpretation of it. They find that the balance-of-risks statement is one of the factors that market participants use to determine the likelihood that the FOMC will adjust its target for the federal funds rate at their next meeting. Moreover, they find that, on some occasions, the FOMC behaved in such a way as to encourage the use of the balance-of-risks statement for this purpose. The clarifying statements that sometimes accompany these balance-of-risks statements, as well as general remarks made by the Chairman and other FOMC members, often provide additional useful information.