Jerome Powell FED Press Conference Transcripts Dataset

Dataset Overview

The most comprehensive collection of Jerome Powell's Federal Reserve press conference transcripts (2018-2025) - perfect for NLP, sentiment analysis, and financial market research!

This dataset contains clean, structured transcripts from every FOMC press conference where Jerome Powell spoke as Federal Reserve Chair, with automated name tagging and text cleaning for immediate use in machine learning projects, data analysis or research.

ML Project ideas:

• LLM fine tuning - Create a Jerome Powell LLM, and ask it what will the FED do
• Sentiment Analysis - How Powell's tone affects markets
• Topic Modeling - Key themes in Fed communications
• Named Entity Recognition - Financial figure identification
• Time Series Analysis - Policy evolution over time
• Predictive Modeling - Market reaction forecasting

📊 Dataset Statistics - Data Points: 50,000+ text segments - Time Coverage: 6+ years of Fed communications - Market Events: 3 major economic cycles - Policy Changes: 15+ interest rate decisions - Market Impact: $100+ billion in daily volatility

🔥 Community ideas:

1. "Powell Sentiment Index"

• Real-time Fed sentiment scoring
• Market Impact: Predict market reactions to Fed communications
• Social Sharing: Daily sentiment updates on Twitter/LinkedIn #### 2. "Fed Policy Predictor"
• Predict Fed decisions before they happen
• Accuracy: Historical prediction validation
• Engagement: Weekly prediction contests #### 3. "Powell Word Cloud Generator" ☁️
• Visual representation of Fed priorities
• Interactive: Real-time word cloud updates
• Shareable: Perfect for social media #### 4. "Market Reaction Analyzer" Quantify Powell's market impact
• Real-time: Live analysis during press conferences
• Trading: Identify profitable trading opportunities

Author: Jonathan Paserman

Graph and download economic data for Equifax Subprime Credit Population for Powell County, KY (EQFXSUBPRIME021197) from Q2 2014 to Q3 2025 about Powell County, KY; subprime; KY; population; and USA.

A dataset of mentions, growth rate, and total volume of the keyphrase 'Fed Chair Jerome Powell' over time.

Dataset

This dataset was created by Jonathan Paserman

Released under MIT

Contents

This dataset contains the predicted prices of the asset JEROME POWELL over the next 16 years. This data is calculated initially using a default 5 percent annual growth rate, and after page load, it features a sliding scale component where the user can then further adjust the growth rate to their own positive or negative projections. The maximum positive adjustable growth rate is 100 percent, and the minimum adjustable growth rate is -100 percent.

Oil prices rose as Trump confirmed support for Fed Chair and US imposed sanctions on Iran, with a significant drop in US crude inventories boosting market sentiment.

Graph and download economic data for Unemployment Rate in Powell County, MT (MTPOWE7URN) from Jan 1990 to Aug 2025 about Powell County, MT; MT; unemployment; rate; and USA.

This dataset quantifies hawkish and dovish headline volumes in financial media and maps them to the effective Fed Funds Rate from Jan 2018 to Jul 2025 (Chair Powell’s tenure). Using keyword-filtered, time-stamped headlines as a proxy for tone, it tracks sentiment volume (frequency and dominance of narratives) and overlays those dynamics against realised policy. What it shows Lead–lag behaviour: Dovish surges often precede easing (e.g., 2020 crisis), while hawkish momentum typically builds alongside inflation data into 2022–23 tightening. Narrative regimes: Blue (dovish) vs red (hawkish) bars reveal regime shifts where tone turns before action. Policy alignment: The Fed Funds Rate (black line) anchors sentiment to policy outcomes, clarifying when media tone diverges from guidance. How to use it Early-warning signals: Monitor shifts in sentiment volume as leading indicators of potential Fed pivots. Scenario design: Pair narrative momentum with CPI, labour prints, and term premium for policy path scenarios. Cross-asset testing: Examine lead–lag impacts on equities, USD, gold, and the curve around FOMC windows. Risk controls: Trigger pre-event hedges when narrative pressure materially diverges from the Fed’s stance. 2025 read-through Rising dovish pressure despite a 4.25–4.50% hold, growing internal Fed dispersion, and political noise indicate a widening sentiment–policy gap— historically a precursor to policy inflection.

Unemployment Rate in Powell County, MT was 2.70% in August of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Unemployment Rate in Powell County, MT reached a record high of 13.40 in June of 1992 and a record low of 2.20 in September of 2021. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Unemployment Rate in Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on December of 2025.

U.S. Granted Utility Patents Originating in Powell County, MT was 0.00000 Number in January of 2015, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, U.S. Granted Utility Patents Originating in Powell County, MT reached a record high of 3.00000 in January of 2000 and a record low of 0.00000 in January of 2001. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for U.S. Granted Utility Patents Originating in Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Graph and download economic data for Real Gross Domestic Product: Private Services-Providing Industries in Powell County, MT (REALGDPSERV30077) from 2001 to 2023 about Powell County, MT; services-providing; MT; private; real; industry; GDP; and USA.

Estimate of People of All Ages in Poverty in Powell County, MT was 916.00000 Persons in January of 2023, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Estimate of People of All Ages in Poverty in Powell County, MT reached a record high of 1165.00000 in January of 2012 and a record low of 843.00000 in January of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Estimate of People of All Ages in Poverty in Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on December of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Civilian Labor Force in Powell County, KY (KYPOWE7LFN) from Jan 1990 to Aug 2025 about Powell County, KY; KY; civilian; labor force; labor; and USA.

High School Graduate or Higher (5-year estimate) in Powell County, MT was 93.10% in January of 2023, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, High School Graduate or Higher (5-year estimate) in Powell County, MT reached a record high of 93.10 in January of 2023 and a record low of 88.60 in January of 2016. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for High School Graduate or Higher (5-year estimate) in Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Personal Income in Powell County, KY (PI21197) from 1969 to 2023 about Powell County, KY; KY; personal income; personal; income; and USA.

Employed in Powell County, MT was 2665.00000 Persons in August of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Employed in Powell County, MT reached a record high of 2947.00000 in May of 2015 and a record low of 2130.00000 in February of 1995. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Employed in Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Gross Domestic Product: All Industries in Powell County, KY (GDPALL21197) from 2001 to 2023 about Powell County, KY; KY; industry; GDP; and USA.

Estimated Percent of People of All Ages in Poverty for Powell County, MT was 16.80% in January of 2023, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Estimated Percent of People of All Ages in Poverty for Powell County, MT reached a record high of 21.10 in January of 2012 and a record low of 15.20 in January of 1999. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Estimated Percent of People of All Ages in Poverty for Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

United States - Real Gross Domestic Product Growth: Government and Government Enterprises in Powell County, KY was 0.00000 % Chg. from Preceding Period in January of 2015, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Real Gross Domestic Product Growth: Government and Government Enterprises in Powell County, KY reached a record high of 2.00000 in January of 2006 and a record low of 0.00000 in January of 2001. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Real Gross Domestic Product Growth: Government and Government Enterprises in Powell County, KY - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.