Jerome Powell FED Press Conference Transcripts Dataset

Dataset Overview

The most comprehensive collection of Jerome Powell's Federal Reserve press conference transcripts (2018-2025) - perfect for NLP, sentiment analysis, and financial market research!

This dataset contains clean, structured transcripts from every FOMC press conference where Jerome Powell spoke as Federal Reserve Chair, with automated name tagging and text cleaning for immediate use in machine learning projects, data analysis or research.

ML Project ideas:

• LLM fine tuning - Create a Jerome Powell LLM, and ask it what will the FED do
• Sentiment Analysis - How Powell's tone affects markets
• Topic Modeling - Key themes in Fed communications
• Named Entity Recognition - Financial figure identification
• Time Series Analysis - Policy evolution over time
• Predictive Modeling - Market reaction forecasting

📊 Dataset Statistics - Data Points: 50,000+ text segments - Time Coverage: 6+ years of Fed communications - Market Events: 3 major economic cycles - Policy Changes: 15+ interest rate decisions - Market Impact: $100+ billion in daily volatility

🔥 Community ideas:

1. "Powell Sentiment Index"

• Real-time Fed sentiment scoring
• Market Impact: Predict market reactions to Fed communications
• Social Sharing: Daily sentiment updates on Twitter/LinkedIn #### 2. "Fed Policy Predictor"
• Predict Fed decisions before they happen
• Accuracy: Historical prediction validation
• Engagement: Weekly prediction contests #### 3. "Powell Word Cloud Generator" ☁️
• Visual representation of Fed priorities
• Interactive: Real-time word cloud updates
• Shareable: Perfect for social media #### 4. "Market Reaction Analyzer" Quantify Powell's market impact
• Real-time: Live analysis during press conferences
• Trading: Identify profitable trading opportunities

Author: Jonathan Paserman

Graph and download economic data for Equifax Subprime Credit Population for Powell County, KY (EQFXSUBPRIME021197) from Q2 2014 to Q3 2025 about Powell County, KY; subprime; KY; population; and USA.

Oil prices rose as Trump confirmed support for Fed Chair and US imposed sanctions on Iran, with a significant drop in US crude inventories boosting market sentiment.

Unemployment Rate in Powell County, MT was 2.70% in August of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Unemployment Rate in Powell County, MT reached a record high of 13.40 in June of 1992 and a record low of 2.20 in September of 2021. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Unemployment Rate in Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on December of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Personal Income in Powell County, MT (PI30077) from 1969 to 2023 about Powell County, MT; MT; personal income; personal; income; and USA.

U.S. Granted Utility Patents Originating in Powell County, MT was 0.00000 Number in January of 2015, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, U.S. Granted Utility Patents Originating in Powell County, MT reached a record high of 3.00000 in January of 2000 and a record low of 0.00000 in January of 2001. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for U.S. Granted Utility Patents Originating in Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

Estimate of People of All Ages in Poverty in Powell County, MT was 916.00000 Persons in January of 2023, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Estimate of People of All Ages in Poverty in Powell County, MT reached a record high of 1165.00000 in January of 2012 and a record low of 843.00000 in January of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Estimate of People of All Ages in Poverty in Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on December of 2025.

Personal Income in Powell County, MT was 380873.00000 Thous. of $ in January of 2023, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Personal Income in Powell County, MT reached a record high of 380873.00000 in January of 2023 and a record low of 19491.00000 in January of 1969. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Personal Income in Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on December of 2025.

Employed in Powell County, MT was 2665.00000 Persons in August of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Employed in Powell County, MT reached a record high of 2947.00000 in May of 2015 and a record low of 2130.00000 in February of 1995. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Employed in Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

Civilian Labor Force in Powell County, MT was 2749.00000 Persons in July of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Civilian Labor Force in Powell County, MT reached a record high of 3128.00000 in July of 2012 and a record low of 2264.00000 in July of 1995. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Civilian Labor Force in Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on October of 2025.

Personal Income in Powell County, KY was 525414.00000 Thous. of $ in January of 2023, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Personal Income in Powell County, KY reached a record high of 525414.00000 in January of 2023 and a record low of 15757.00000 in January of 1969. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Personal Income in Powell County, KY - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

This dataset quantifies hawkish and dovish headline volumes in financial media and maps them to the effective Fed Funds Rate from Jan 2018 to Jul 2025 (Chair Powell’s tenure). Using keyword-filtered, time-stamped headlines as a proxy for tone, it tracks sentiment volume (frequency and dominance of narratives) and overlays those dynamics against realised policy. What it shows Lead–lag behaviour: Dovish surges often precede easing (e.g., 2020 crisis), while hawkish momentum typically builds alongside inflation data into 2022–23 tightening. Narrative regimes: Blue (dovish) vs red (hawkish) bars reveal regime shifts where tone turns before action. Policy alignment: The Fed Funds Rate (black line) anchors sentiment to policy outcomes, clarifying when media tone diverges from guidance. How to use it Early-warning signals: Monitor shifts in sentiment volume as leading indicators of potential Fed pivots. Scenario design: Pair narrative momentum with CPI, labour prints, and term premium for policy path scenarios. Cross-asset testing: Examine lead–lag impacts on equities, USD, gold, and the curve around FOMC windows. Risk controls: Trigger pre-event hedges when narrative pressure materially diverges from the Fed’s stance. 2025 read-through Rising dovish pressure despite a 4.25–4.50% hold, growing internal Fed dispersion, and political noise indicate a widening sentiment–policy gap— historically a precursor to policy inflection.

Graph and download economic data for Burdened Households (5-year estimate) in Powell County, MT (DP04ACS030077) from 2010 to 2023 about Powell County, MT; burdened; MT; households; 5-year; and USA.

Employed in Powell County, KY was 5579.00000 Persons in August of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Employed in Powell County, KY reached a record high of 6711.00000 in July of 1996 and a record low of 4003.00000 in February of 1990. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Employed in Powell County, KY - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

Estimate of Median Household Income for Powell County, MT was 61354.00000 $ in January of 2023, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Estimate of Median Household Income for Powell County, MT reached a record high of 61354.00000 in January of 2023 and a record low of 22582.00000 in January of 1989. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Estimate of Median Household Income for Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

Per Capita Personal Income in Powell County, MT was 53396.00000 $ in January of 2023, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Per Capita Personal Income in Powell County, MT reached a record high of 53396.00000 in January of 2023 and a record low of 2906.00000 in January of 1969. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Per Capita Personal Income in Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

Estimated Percent of People of All Ages in Poverty for Powell County, MT was 16.80% in January of 2023, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Estimated Percent of People of All Ages in Poverty for Powell County, MT reached a record high of 21.10 in January of 2012 and a record low of 15.20 in January of 1999. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Estimated Percent of People of All Ages in Poverty for Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

High School Graduate or Higher (5-year estimate) in Powell County, MT was 93.10% in January of 2023, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, High School Graduate or Higher (5-year estimate) in Powell County, MT reached a record high of 93.10 in January of 2023 and a record low of 88.60 in January of 2016. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for High School Graduate or Higher (5-year estimate) in Powell County, MT - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Real Gross Domestic Product: Private Services-Providing Industries in Powell County, MT (REALGDPSERV30077) from 2001 to 2023 about Powell County, MT; services-providing; MT; private; real; industry; GDP; and USA.

Estimate of People of All Ages in Poverty in Powell County, KY was 2782.00000 Persons in January of 2023, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, Estimate of People of All Ages in Poverty in Powell County, KY reached a record high of 4131.00000 in January of 2009 and a record low of 2444.00000 in January of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for Estimate of People of All Ages in Poverty in Powell County, KY - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.