The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 3.75 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Economic Commentary offers deep-dive analysis of timely economic issues for an informed but nonspecialist audience, as well as news from our Bank and the world of monetary policy generally.

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median (FEDTARMD) from 2025 to 2028 about projection, federal, median, rate, and USA.

This data is for my Masters of Applied Data Science Capstone Project. Please see github.

Sources:

The data was gathered from: - Beige Books: link - Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) dates: 2024-2018 and 1936-2018 (ex: 2000, change year in url) - Fed Funds Rate: link - SP500: link

(Brief) Background:

FOMC:

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets eight times a year. During these meetings, members of the Federal Reserve discuss the current state of the economy and set the target for the federal funds rate. (What is the Federal Funds Rate?). The Federal Funds Rate has significant implications for the economy, as it influences the cost of borrowing money, inflation, unemployment, and more. Due to its importance, unexpected decisions at the FOMC meetings can lead to substantial market swings.

Beige Book:

Officially known as the “Summary of Commentary on Current Economic Conditions,” the Beige Books allows for each of the twelve Federal Reserve Districts to providing a regional perspective on economic conditions. The Beige Book is released two weeks prior to and is used by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) as one of several inputs to inform their monetary policy decisions.

Remarks delivered to “Energy and the Economy: The Geography of Energy Flows,” the 2025 Energy Conference hosted by the Federal Reserve Banks of Kansas City and Dallas in Denver, Colorado.

View data of the Effective Federal Funds Rate, or the interest rate depository institutions charge each other for overnight loans of funds.

The inflation rate in the United States declined significantly between June 2022 and December 2025, despite rising inflationary pressures towards the end of 2024. The peak inflation rate was recorded in June 2022, at *** percent. In August 2023, the Federal Reserve's interest rate hit its highest level during the observed period, at **** percent, and remained unchanged until September 2024, when the Federal Reserve implemented its first rate cut since September 2021. By December 2025, the rate dropped to **** percent. What is the Federal Reserve interest rate? The Federal Reserve interest rate, or the federal funds rate, is the rate at which banks and credit unions lend to and borrow from each other. It is one of the Federal Reserve's key tools for maintaining strong employment rates, stable prices, and reasonable interest rates. The rate is determined by the Federal Reserve and adjusted eight times a year, though it can be changed through emergency meetings during times of crisis. The Fed doesn't directly control the interest rate but sets a target rate. It then uses open market operations to influence rates toward this target. Ways of measuring inflation Inflation is typically measured using several methods, with the most common being the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The CPI tracks the price of a fixed basket of goods and services over time, providing a measure of the price changes consumers face. At the end of 2023, the CPI in the United States was ****** percent, up from ****** a year earlier. A more business-focused measure is the producer price index (PPI), which represents the costs of firms.

The Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) is an annual exercise by the Federal Reserve to assess whether the largest bank holding companies operating in the U.S. have sufficient capital to continue operations throughout times of economic and financial stress and that they have robust, forward-looking capital-planning processes that account for their unique risks. As part of this exercise, the Federal Reserve evaluates institutions' capital adequacy, internal capital adequacy assessment processes, and their individual plans to make capital distributions, such as dividend payments or stock repurchases.

The Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF) is normally a triennial cross-sectional survey of U.S. families. The survey data include information on families' balance sheets, pensions, income, and demographic characteristics.

We review the recent literature on the causes and consequences of financial exclusion—that is, the lack of bank account ownership—in the United States. We examine existing work in a range of fields, including economics, finance, public policy, and sociology.

The Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) influences market interest rates by changing the administered rates that it controls, such as the interest rates on overnight repurchase and reverse repurchase agreements. This requires an ample level of bank reserves. Quantitative tightening (QT) reduces the level of reserves. To guard against supply and demand shocks that drive reserves too low, the FOMC may need to hold a buffer above the point at which reserves become scarce. In this Economic Commentary , I present evidence based on inventory theory that the estimated buffer might be relatively small, though the true number is uncertain. Treating the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet as inventory helps to estimate the level of reserves needed to stay above the scarce threshold.

Speech by Loretta J. Mester, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland - Remarks for the Session “Monetary Policy Implications” - 6th Annual Monetary and Financial Policy Conference - Money Macro and Finance Society - London, U.K. (via videoconference) - October 21, 2020

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rate on Reserve Balances (IORB Rate) (IORB) from 2021-07-29 to 2025-12-29 about reserves, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

Content

St. Louis Fed’s Economic News Index (ENI) uses economic content from key monthly economic data releases to forecast the growth of real GDP during that quarter. In general, the most-current observation is revised multiple times throughout the quarter. The final forecasted value (before the BEA’s release of the advance estimate of GDP) is the static, historical value for that quarter. For more information, see Grover, Sean P.; Kliesen, Kevin L.; and McCracken, Michael W. “A Macroeconomic News Index for Constructing Nowcasts of U.S. Real Gross Domestic Product Growth" (https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/2016/12/05/a-macroeconomic-news-index-for-constructing-nowcasts-of-u-s-real-gross-domestic-product-growth/ )

Context

This is a dataset from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis hosted by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED). FRED has a data platform found here and they update their information according to the frequency that the data updates. Explore the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using Kaggle and all of the data sources available through the St. Louis Fed organization page!

• Update Frequency: This dataset is updated daily.

• Observation Start: 2013-04-01

• Observation End : 2019-10-01

Acknowledgements

This dataset is maintained using FRED's API and Kaggle's API.

Cover photo by Ferdinand Stöhr on Unsplash
Unsplash Images are distributed under a unique Unsplash License.

Inflation Nowcasting Quarterly is a part of the Inflation Nowcasting indicator of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

FOMC Meeting Minutes Dataset (Year 1993+, updated following each release)

Overview

This dataset contains the detailed minutes of the meetings held by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) from 1993 onwards. The FOMC, a key component of the U.S. Federal Reserve System, is responsible for setting national monetary policy. The minutes provide a comprehensive record of the committee's discussions, including reviews of economic and financial conditions, deliberations on policy options, the range of participants' views, the rationale behind policy decisions, and the specific votes cast by each member. They offer significantly more detail than the policy statements released immediately after the meetings.

Background on Meeting Minutes

The minutes of each regularly scheduled meeting of the Committee provide a timely summary of significant policy issues addressed by meeting participants. The minutes record all decisions taken by the Committee with respect to these policy issues and explain the reasoning behind these decisions. From their emergence in their present form in February 1993 until December 2004, the minutes were published approximately three days after the Committee's subsequent meeting. In December 2004, the Committee decided to expedite the release of its minutes. Since then, the minutes have been made available to the public three weeks after the date of the policy decision, thus reducing the lag in their release by an average of about three weeks. The minutes are subsequently published in the Board's Annual Report.

Data Description

Each row in the dataset represents the minutes from a specific FOMC meeting. The dataset includes the following fields:

• Date: The last day of the FOMC meeting.
• Text: The full, official text of the meeting minutes, often including lists of attendees, summaries of staff reports, detailed accounts of committee discussions, policy directives, and voting records (including dissents).
• Chair: The Chair of the Federal Reserve who presided over the meeting documented in the minutes.

View the total value of the assets of all Federal Reserve Banks as reported in the weekly balance sheet.

In December 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2025. In December 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at ** percent, while Japan retained the lowest at **** percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. Sweden had the lowest inflation rate at *** percent in December 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of *** percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in late 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from **** percent in September 2019 to *** percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2024 and 2025.

Tenth District manufacturing activity declined modestly, and expectations for future activity eased somewhat but remained positive. Prices paid for raw materials remained at high levels this month while finished product prices continued to increase.

Graph and download economic data for 10-Year Real Interest Rate (REAINTRATREARAT10Y) from Jan 1982 to Jan 2026 about 10-year, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.