Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median (FEDTARMD) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, federal, median, rate, and USA.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland provides daily “nowcasts” of inflation for two popular price indexes, the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE) and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). These nowcasts give a sense of where inflation is today. Released each business day.

Graph and download economic data for 10-Year Real Interest Rate (REAINTRATREARAT10Y) from Jan 1982 to May 2025 about 10-year, interest rate, interest, real, rate, and USA.

View the total value of the assets of all Federal Reserve Banks as reported in the weekly balance sheet.

In April 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In early 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 21 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at -0.1 percent in April 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 10.2 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.

The balance sheet data collected on the FR 2046 report from certain institutions that borrow from the discount window are used to monitor discount window borrowing. The Board’s Regulation A - Extensions of Credit by Federal Reserve Banks (12 CFR Part 201) requires that Reserve Banks review balance sheet data in determining whether to extend credit and to help ascertain whether undue use is made of such credit. The FR 2046 report is primarily used to assess appropriate use of seasonal credit. Certain depository institutions that borrow from the discount window report on the FR 2046 certain balance sheet data for a period that encompasses the dates of borrowing.

United States - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Professional Services (Partial): Other Accounting Services, Including Billing and Review was 130.59600 Index Dec 2008=100 in April of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Professional Services (Partial): Other Accounting Services, Including Billing and Review reached a record high of 130.87500 in January of 2025 and a record low of 91.20000 in May of 2012. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Producer Price Index by Commodity: Professional Services (Partial): Other Accounting Services, Including Billing and Review - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on June of 2025.

The H.2A release lists all applications and notices that have been filed or will be filed shortly with the Federal Reserve System under the Bank Holding Company Act, the Change in Bank Control Act, the Home Owners' Loan Act or Regulations Y, LL, MM for which a notice has been sent to the Federal Register. The H.2A briefly describes the proposal, identifies the Reserve Bank that is processing the proposal, and lists the date for the expiration of the Federal Register comment period. Attached to the H.2 release.

This map compares any two years' per capita income for counties in the U.S.Data downloaded from GeoFred application. GeoFred provides geographical economic data from the St. Louis Fed (the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis)Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, Personal Income per capita, retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

The TIC Form SLT collects monthly data on the market value of long-term cross-border securities holdings by country, type of foreign holder (official or private), and type of security. We estimate transactions as well as valuation change that is, the monthly change in the market value of the securities arising from price or exchange rate changes. Since the valuation change estimates are based on the country of issuer, the price indexes used for U.S. securities are the same for all holder countries. Over the ten years that TIC SLT data have been collected, this method has yielded estimated transactions more consistent with positions reported in the TIC SLT, with the findings of the annual security-level survey data, and with our expectations based on other information, such as market commentary or patterns observed across time.This dataset includes position, estimated transaction, and estimated valuation change data for counterparty countries that (1) have published TIC SLT position data and (2) have significant reported positions. This set of countries accounts for 95 to 99 percent of all long-term cross-border securities holdings.

Edge, Rochelle M., and Rudd, Jeremy B., (2016) "Real-Time Properties of the Federal Reserve's Output Gap." Review of Economics and Statistics 98:4, 785-791.

Long term dataset of the daily 5 year treasury yield back to 1962. The values shown are daily data published by the Federal Reserve Board based on the average yield of a range of Treasury securities, all adjusted to the equivalent of a five-year maturity.

Ciccarelli and Mojon (CM; Review of Economics and Statistics, 2010, 92(3), 524-535) propose an inflation forecasting model incorporating a global inflation factor and show that it consistently beats several standard forecasting benchmarks. We show that CM's global inflation model does not improve upon the Atkeson and Ohanian (AO; Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 2001, 25(1), 2-11) naive benchmark. However, we find that augmenting the AO model with a global inflation factor improves forecast accuracy at longer horizons, supporting CM's claim about the usefulness of global inflation.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 1-Month Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS1MO) from 2001-07-31 to 2025-06-05 about 1-month, bills, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity was 4.40% in June of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity reached a record high of 15.84 in September of 1981 and a record low of 0.52 in August of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on June of 2025.

Berge, T. J. (2023). “Time-Varying Uncertainty of the Federal Reserve's Output Gap Estimate.” Review of Economics and Statistics, 105:5, 1191–1206.

View economic output, reported as the nominal value of all new goods and services produced by labor and property located in the U.S.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 2-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS2) from 1976-06-01 to 2025-06-05 about 2-year, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

Home improvement stores form a mature industry dominated by two major companies, Home Depot and Lowe's. Both companies share similar product lines, which fuels high levels of price competition. Home improvement stores serve various markets, including do-it-for-me (DIFM), do-it-yourself (DIY) and professional customers. The most prominent influence on the performance of stores is activity in the residential market. Starting in 2021, spikes in inflation have cut consumers' spending power, while rising interest rates have constrained residential construction spending. While inflation has been tempered, the recent tariff announcements by the Trump administration remain a threat to product prices. Revenue for home improvement stores is expected to swell at a CAGR of 1.7% to $292.8 billion through the end of 2025, including growth of 1.9% in 2025 alone. The residential market boomed in 2020 as consumers stayed inside, resulting in more consumers with time to spend looking at new homes. Sales of home appliances, lumber, tools, hardware and lawn equipment were boosted. However, mounting inflationary pressure in 2022 led the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. Since home improvement stores are tied to residential sector growth, rising interest rates cut housing sales that year, leading to faltering revenue. Since the pandemic, exploding e-commerce sales have been a boon for the industry. Home improvement stores will continue to improve their online platforms to strengthen sales in the coming years. Growing economic uncertainty has lifted sales of DIY products while limiting profit growth. Moving forward, interest rates are expected to drop, benefiting home improvement stores. Tariffs could result in higher interest rates, potentially upending the industry. Still, consumer spending power will remain relatively low, suppressing residential activity. Although residential activity is expected to slow, rising disposable income will boost spending on appliances and gardening equipment. There will be a trend of consumers opting for smaller appliances and upgrades rather than making significant investments in new construction or renovations. Home improvement store revenue is expected to climb at a CAGR of 2.1% to $325.3 billion through the end of 2030. The growing efficiency of online operations will cause profit to swell.

Graph and download economic data for Personal Consumption Expenditures Excluding Food and Energy (Chain-Type Price Index) (PCEPILFE) from Jan 1959 to Apr 2025 about chained, core, energy, headline figure, PCE, consumption expenditures, consumption, personal, inflation, price index, indexes, price, and USA.