Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median (FEDTARMD) from 2025 to 2028 about projection, federal, median, rate, and USA.

The 'Fed Interest Rate Decision' is an economic event where the Federal Reserve announces changes to the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which banks lend to each other overnight.-2025-09-17

The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The 'Fed Interest Rate Decision' is an economic event where the Federal Reserve announces changes to the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which banks lend to each other overnight.

The 'Fed Interest Rate Decision' is an economic event where the Federal Reserve announces changes to the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which banks lend to each other overnight.-2025-10-29

Graph and download economic data for Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit (DFEDTARU) from 2008-12-16 to 2025-12-01 about federal, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median was 3.10% in January of 2028, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median reached a record high of 5.40 in January of 2023 and a record low of 0.10 in January of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on December of 2025.

The inflation rate in the United States declined significantly between June 2022 and September 2025, despite rising inflationary pressures towards the end of 2024. The peak inflation rate was recorded in June 2022, at *** percent. In August 2023, the Federal Reserve's interest rate hit its highest level during the observed period, at **** percent, and remained unchanged until September 2024, when the Federal Reserve implemented its first rate cut since September 2021. By September 2025, the rate dropped to **** percent, signaling a shift in monetary policy. What is the Federal Reserve interest rate? The Federal Reserve interest rate, or the federal funds rate, is the rate at which banks and credit unions lend to and borrow from each other. It is one of the Federal Reserve's key tools for maintaining strong employment rates, stable prices, and reasonable interest rates. The rate is determined by the Federal Reserve and adjusted eight times a year, though it can be changed through emergency meetings during times of crisis. The Fed doesn't directly control the interest rate but sets a target rate. It then uses open market operations to influence rates toward this target. Ways of measuring inflation Inflation is typically measured using several methods, with the most common being the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The CPI tracks the price of a fixed basket of goods and services over time, providing a measure of the price changes consumers face. At the end of 2023, the CPI in the United States was ****** percent, up from ****** a year earlier. A more business-focused measure is the producer price index (PPI), which represents the costs of firms.

The 'Fed Interest Rate Decision' is an economic event where the Federal Reserve announces changes to the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which banks lend to each other overnight.-2025-03-19

Over the past ten years, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has repeatedly emphasized that future policy is data dependent. In this Economic Commentary , we investigate how financial markets expected future interest rates to change with the release of new data on inflation and labor market conditions. We find that the surprises in economic indicators have a stronger effect on the 2-year Treasury yield than on the expected federal funds rate to be set in the next FOMC meeting. This implies that markets understand that under the data-dependent approach, policy decisions do not heavily rely on the most recent data or short-run fluctuations, but, rather, rely more on the persistent trend of the economy. In addition, we observe that expected future interest rates have become more sensitive to surprises in inflation after 2022, suggesting that the FOMC’s determination to reduce inflation has been well-understood by the markets.

The 'Fed Interest Rate Decision' is an economic event where the Federal Reserve announces changes to the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which banks lend to each other overnight.-2025-06-18

🏛️ Federal Reserve Document Scraper

1. Dataset description

This repository contains code for downloading and organizing Federal Reserve documents from the official Federal Reserve Board website.

These files were used as part of my NLP project. While collecting data, my data collection code is inspired by centralbank_analysis by yukit-k. However, that implementation had some limitations:

❌ Incomplete handling of newer HTML structures on the Fed website

❌ No support for Greenbook/Tealbook files

❌ File naming and folder structure not ideal for downstream processing

❌ No handling of failed downloads or noisy formatting

So I made som key Improvements:

✅ Supports both Greenbook and Minutes. You can choose which type to download

✅ Automatic directory organization. Files are saved using a consistent format as:

FOMC_[document type]_YYYY-MM-DD

✅ Duplicate check & resume support: Prevents redundant downloads and handles broken links gracefully

✅ Modular and extensible codebase Easy to extend for other Fed documents (e.g., SEP, transcripts)

2. Data detail

This repository contains modules for downloading and processing various official publications of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). These documents, produced and released by the Federal Reserve, provide detailed insight into U.S. monetary policy formation, communication, and economic analysis over time.

Below is a reference guide to the major FOMC document types represented in this repository.

📅 FomcAgenda.py – Meeting Agendas

Agendas are created by the FOMC Secretariat in coordination with the Chair and outline the topics of discussion for each meeting, including standard items (e.g., open market operations, economic outlook) and special topics. Participants receive the agenda about one week in advance.

📄 FomcStatement.py – Policy Statements

FOMC statements are brief summaries of monetary policy decisions released immediately after each meeting. These statements have become a key communication tool since 1994 and are now issued after every scheduled meeting, even if policy remains unchanged.

📝 FomcMinutes.py – Meeting Minutes

Minutes provide a concise, narrative summary of policy discussions and rationales. Since 2004, they are released three weeks after each meeting. The minutes include details on voting outcomes and dissenting views, and are eventually included in the Fed’s Annual Report.

🧾 FomcPresConfScript.py – Press Conference Transcripts

Beginning in 2011, the Fed Chair has held press conferences following certain FOMC meetings. These transcripts document the Chair’s remarks and responses to journalists, offering additional context and forward guidance. Released shortly after the meeting.

🗣️ FomcMeetingScript.py – Meeting Transcripts

Verbatim transcripts of FOMC meetings, produced from audio recordings and lightly edited for readability. They are released with a 5-year delay. For meetings prior to 1994, transcripts were reconstructed from raw records and may contain transcription uncertainties.

📚 FomcGreenbook.py – Greenbook (1964–2010)

The Greenbook, officially titled Current Economic and Financial Conditions, was prepared by Board staff and delivered to FOMC members six days before each meeting. It provided forecasts, data analyses, and economic outlooks.

Part 1: Summary and forecast

Part 2: Detailed breakdowns

Supplement: Late-breaking updates

📘 FomcBlueBook.py – Bluebook (1965–2010)

The Bluebook, titled Monetary Policy Alternatives, outlined potential policy options and risks. It was distributed shortly after the Greenbook and informed FOMC decisions. The document evolved from earlier versions like Money Market and Reserve Relationships.

🧠 FomcTealbook.py – Tealbook (2010–Present)

The Tealbook replaced both the Greenbook and Bluebook in June 2010. It is split into two parts:

Tealbook A: Current Situation and Outlook — Forecasts and financial developments

Tealbook B: Strategies and Alternatives — Policy options and simulations

Both are released with a 5-year lag.

📙 FomcBeigeBook.py – Beige Book

The Beige Book, published eight times a year, summarizes anecdotal economic conditions across the 12 Federal Reserve Districts. Based on business surveys, interviews, and internal reports, it is released ~two weeks before each meeting.

🧾 FomcTestimony.py – Testimony before Congress

This includes the Chair’s Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to Congress and other testimonies. These communications explain the Fed’s outlook and policies directly to lawmakers and the public.

📚 References

Federal Reserve – FOMC Archive

Wikipedia – Federal Open Market Committee

The 'Fed Interest Rate Decision' is an economic event where the Federal Reserve announces changes to the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which banks lend to each other overnight.-2025-12-10

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Range, Midpoint was 2.10000 Fourth Qtr. to Fourth Qtr. % Chg. in January of 2028, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Range, Midpoint reached a record high of 5.55000 in January of 2021 and a record low of -2.15000 in January of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Range, Midpoint - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on December of 2025.

The data show what are basically frequency distributions of interest rate projections by members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The twelve FOMC members vote on (and determine) the federal funds rate, but they also give their projections for future federal funds rates. The projections fall into the ranges given in the first column. Then the projection counts are tallied by current and future FOMC meeting months.

The following is from the Fed FOMC member projections website: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcprojtabl20230920.htm

Each participant's projections are based on his or her assessment of appropriate monetary policy. Longer-run projections represent each participant's assessment of the rate to which each variable would be expected to converge under appropriate monetary policy and in the absence of further shocks to the economy. The projections for the federal funds rate are the value of the midpoint of the projected appropriate target range for the federal funds rate or the projected appropriate target level for the federal funds rate at the end of the specified calendar year or over the longer run.

The benchmark interest rate in Japan was last recorded at 0.50 percent. This dataset provides - Japan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Midpoint was 3.25% in January of 2028, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Midpoint reached a record high of 5.40 in January of 2023 and a record low of 0.10 in January of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Midpoint - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

The 'Fed Interest Rate Decision' is an economic event where the Federal Reserve announces changes to the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which banks lend to each other overnight.-2024-05-01

The benchmark interest rate in India was last recorded at 5.50 percent. This dataset provides - India Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

The benchmark interest rate in the United Kingdom was last recorded at 4 percent. This dataset provides - United Kingdom Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.