Graph and download economic data for Equity Market Volatility Tracker: Macroeconomic News and Outlook: Interest Rates (EMVMACROINTEREST) from Jan 1985 to Oct 2025 about volatility, uncertainty, equity, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

Policy interest rates in the U.S. and Europe are forecasted to decrease gradually between 2024 and 2027, following exceptional increases triggered by soaring inflation between 2021 and 2023. The U.S. federal funds rate stood at **** percent at the end of 2023, the European Central Bank deposit rate at **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate at **** percent. With inflationary pressures stabilizing, policy interest rates are forecast to decrease in each observed region. The U.S. federal funds rate is expected to decrease to *** percent, the ECB refi rate to **** percent, the Bank of England bank rate to **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate to **** percent by 2025. An interesting aspect to note is the impact of these interest rate changes on various economic factors such as growth, employment, and inflation. The impact of central bank policy rates The U.S. federal funds effective rate, crucial in determining the interest rate paid by depository institutions, experienced drastic changes in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The subsequent slight changes in the effective rate reflected the efforts to stimulate the economy and manage economic factors such as inflation. Such fluctuations in the federal funds rate have had a significant impact on the overall economy. The European Central Bank's decision to cut its fixed interest rate in June 2024 for the first time since 2016 marked a significant shift in attitude towards economic conditions. The reasons behind the fluctuations in the ECB's interest rate reflect its mandate to ensure price stability and manage inflation, shedding light on the complex interplay between interest rates and economic factors. Inflation and real interest rates The relationship between inflation and interest rates is critical in understanding the actions of central banks. Central banks' efforts to manage inflation through interest rate adjustments reveal the intricate balance between economic growth and inflation. Additionally, the concept of real interest rates, adjusted for inflation, provides valuable insights into the impact of inflation on the economy.

The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The benchmark interest rate in Japan was last recorded at 0.50 percent. This dataset provides - Japan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

In September 2025, global inflation rates and central bank interest rates showed significant variation across major economies. Most economies initiated interest rate cuts from mid-2024 due to declining inflationary pressures. The U.S., UK, and EU central banks followed a consistent pattern of regular rate reductions throughout late 2024. In September 2025, Russia maintained the highest interest rate at 17 percent, while Japan retained the lowest at 0.5 percent. Varied inflation rates across major economies The inflation landscape varies considerably among major economies. China had the lowest inflation rate at -0.3 percent in September 2025. In contrast, Russia maintained a high inflation rate of 8 percent. These figures align with broader trends observed in early 2025, where China had the lowest inflation rate among major developed and emerging economies, while Russia's rate remained the highest. Central bank responses and economic indicators Central banks globally implemented aggressive rate hikes throughout 2022-23 to combat inflation. The European Central Bank exemplified this trend, raising rates from 0 percent in January 2022 to 4.5 percent by September 2023. A coordinated shift among major central banks began in mid-2024, with the ECB, Bank of England, and Federal Reserve initiating rate cuts, with forecasts suggesting further cuts through 2025 and 2026.

The benchmark interest rate in Canada was last recorded at 2.25 percent. This dataset provides - Canada Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median (FEDTARMD) from 2025 to 2028 about projection, federal, median, rate, and USA.

The 'Fed Interest Rate Decision' is an economic event where the Federal Reserve announces changes to the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which banks lend to each other overnight.-2025-07-30

The benchmark interest rate in Pakistan was last recorded at 11 percent. This dataset provides - Pakistan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Please refer to: https://data.imf.org/en/news/accessing%20international%20financial%20statistics

Financial News Events Dataset - Comprehensive Description

Overview

This synthetic dataset contains 3,024 records of financial news headlines centered around major market events from February 2025 to August 2025. The dataset captures real-time market dynamics, sentiment analysis, and trading patterns across global financial markets, making it ideal for financial analysis, sentiment modeling, and market prediction tasks.

Dataset Specifications

• Total Records: 3,024 rows
• Total Features: 12 columns
• Date Range: February 1, 2025 - August 14, 2025
• File Formats: CSV, JSON, XLSX
• Data Quality: ~5% null values strategically distributed for realistic data cleaning scenarios

Column Descriptions

Key Features & Statistics

Market Events Coverage (20 Categories)

• Stock Market Crashes & Rallies
• Interest Rate Changes & Central Bank Meetings
• Corporate Earnings Reports & IPO Launches
• Government Policy Announcements
• Trade Tariffs & Geopolitical Events
• Cryptocurrency Regulations
• Supply Chain Disruptions
• Economic Data Releases

Global Market Indices (18 Major Indices)

• US Markets: S&P 500, Dow Jones, Nasdaq Composite, Russell 2000
• Indian Markets: NSE Nifty, BSE Sensex
• European Markets: FTSE 100, DAX, Euro Stoxx 50, CAC 40
• Asian Markets: Nikkei 225, Hang Seng, Shanghai Composite, KOSPI
• Others: TSX, ASX 200, IBOVESPA, S&P/TSX Composite

News Sources (18 Reputable Publications)

Major financial news outlets including Reuters, Bloomberg, CNBC, Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, Economic Times, Forbes, and specialized financial publications.

Sector Distribution (18 Business Sectors)

Technology, Finance, Healthcare, Energy, Consumer Goods, Utilities, Industrials, Materials, Real Estate, Telecommunications, Automotive, Retail, Pharmaceuticals, Aerospace & Defense, Agriculture, Transportation, Media & Entertainment, Construction.

Data Quality & Preprocessing Notes

• Realistic Null Distribution: Approximately 5% null values in key columns (Headline, Sentiment, Index_Change_Percent, News_Url) to simulate real-world data collection challenges
• Balanced Sentiment Distribution: Mix of positive, neutral, and negative sentiment classifications
• Diverse Market Conditions: Index changes ranging from -5% to +5% reflecting various market scenarios
• Volume Variability: Trading volumes span 1M to 500M to represent different market liquidity conditions

Potential Use Cases

📈 Financial Analysis

• Market sentiment analysis and trend prediction
• Correlation studies between news events and market movements
• Trading volume pattern analysis

🤖 Machine Learning Applications

• Sentiment classification model training
• Market movement prediction algorithms
• News headline generation models
• Event-driven trading strategy development

📊 Data Visualization Projects

• Interactive market sentiment dashboards
• Time-series analysis of market events
• Geographic distribution of financial news impact
• Sector-wise performance visualization

🔍 Research Applications

• Academic research on market efficiency
• News impact analysis on different sectors
• Cross-market correlation studies
• Event study methodologies

Technical Specifications

• Memory Usage: Approximately 1.5MB across all formats
• **Proces...

Please refer to: https://data.imf.org/en/news/accessing%20international%20financial%20statistics

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

How accurate is machine learning in stock market? (TD Stock Forecast)

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data

The benchmark interest rate In the Euro Area was last recorded at 2.15 percent. This dataset provides - Euro Area Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

This dataset integrates multiple financial data sources to enable detailed stock market trend analysis and decision-making.

Key Features:

Daily Stock Trading Metrics – Includes open, high, low, close prices, and trading volume.

Macroeconomic Indicators – Covers GDP growth, inflation rates, and interest rates.

Sentiment-Labeled News – Financial news articles with positive, negative, or neutral sentiment tags.

Multisource Integration – Combines structured and unstructured financial data for deeper insights.

Comprehensive Market Coverage – Designed for stock trend analysis, investment strategies, and risk assessment.

Supports Predictive Modeling – Enables better understanding of market dynamics and investor sentiment.

Overview with Chart & Report: BoJ Interest Rate Decision is made 8 times a year. The regulator's interest rate is used to provide loans to commercial banks. Establishing an interest rate is one of the main tools of the monetary

The benchmark interest rate in the United Kingdom was last recorded at 4 percent. This dataset provides - United Kingdom Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Jerome Powell FED Press Conference Transcripts Dataset

Dataset Overview

The most comprehensive collection of Jerome Powell's Federal Reserve press conference transcripts (2018-2025) - perfect for NLP, sentiment analysis, and financial market research!

This dataset contains clean, structured transcripts from every FOMC press conference where Jerome Powell spoke as Federal Reserve Chair, with automated name tagging and text cleaning for immediate use in machine learning projects, data analysis or research.

ML Project ideas:

• LLM fine tuning - Create a Jerome Powell LLM, and ask it what will the FED do
• Sentiment Analysis - How Powell's tone affects markets
• Topic Modeling - Key themes in Fed communications
• Named Entity Recognition - Financial figure identification
• Time Series Analysis - Policy evolution over time
• Predictive Modeling - Market reaction forecasting

📊 Dataset Statistics - Data Points: 50,000+ text segments - Time Coverage: 6+ years of Fed communications - Market Events: 3 major economic cycles - Policy Changes: 15+ interest rate decisions - Market Impact: $100+ billion in daily volatility

🔥 Community ideas:

1. "Powell Sentiment Index"

• Real-time Fed sentiment scoring
• Market Impact: Predict market reactions to Fed communications
• Social Sharing: Daily sentiment updates on Twitter/LinkedIn #### 2. "Fed Policy Predictor"
• Predict Fed decisions before they happen
• Accuracy: Historical prediction validation
• Engagement: Weekly prediction contests #### 3. "Powell Word Cloud Generator" ☁️
• Visual representation of Fed priorities
• Interactive: Real-time word cloud updates
• Shareable: Perfect for social media #### 4. "Market Reaction Analyzer" Quantify Powell's market impact
• Real-time: Live analysis during press conferences
• Trading: Identify profitable trading opportunities

Author: Jonathan Paserman

Overview with Chart & Report: ECB Interest Rate Decision is announced after the European Central Bank meetings, on which the monetary policy of the euro zone is discussed. The interest rate decisions are taken depending on the

This analysis presents a rigorous exploration of financial data, incorporating a diverse range of statistical features. By providing a robust foundation, it facilitates advanced research and innovative modeling techniques within the field of finance.

Mortgage Rates: Hot Economic Conjecture Puts the Squeeze on Homebuyers

Financial data:

• Historical daily stock prices (open, high, low, close, volume)

• Fundamental data (e.g., market capitalization, price to earnings P/E ratio, dividend yield, earnings per share EPS, price to earnings growth, debt-to-equity ratio, price-to-book ratio, current ratio, free cash flow, projected earnings growth, return on equity, dividend payout ratio, price to sales ratio, credit rating)

• Technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD, average directional index, aroon oscillator, stochastic oscillator, on-balance volume, accumulation/distribution A/D line, parabolic SAR indicator, bollinger bands indicators, fibonacci, williams percent range, commodity channel index)

Machine learning features:

• Feature engineering based on financial data and technical indicators

• Sentiment analysis data from social media and news articles

• Macroeconomic data (e.g., GDP, unemployment rate, interest rates, consumer spending, building permits, consumer confidence, inflation, producer price index, money supply, home sales, retail sales, bond yields)

Potential Applications:

• Stock price prediction

• Portfolio optimization

• Algorithmic trading

• Market sentiment analysis

• Risk management

Use Cases:

• Researchers investigating the effectiveness of machine learning in stock market prediction

• Analysts developing quantitative trading Buy/Sell strategies

• Individuals interested in building their own stock market prediction models

• Students learning about machine learning and financial applications

Additional Notes:

• The dataset may include different levels of granularity (e.g., daily, hourly)

• Data cleaning and preprocessing are essential before model training

• Regular updates are recommended to maintain the accuracy and relevance of the data