Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median (FEDTARMD) from 2025 to 2028 about projection, federal, median, rate, and USA.

A new text-analysis method finds that the wording of FOMC statements can have significant effects on financial markets.

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median was 3.10% in January of 2028, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median reached a record high of 5.40 in January of 2023 and a record low of 0.10 in January of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on September of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Central Tendency, Midpoint (UNRATECTM) from 2025 to 2028 about projection, civilian, unemployment, rate, and USA.

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, High was 3.90% in January of 2028, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, High reached a record high of 5.40 in January of 2023 and a record low of 0.10 in January of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, High - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on September of 2025.

This dataset contains the text from Federal Reserve FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting minutes and statements, collected by scraping the Federal Reserve's website. The data spans a specific period of time, providing insights into the central bank's monetary policy decisions and discussions.

Content

The dataset consists of the following columns:

• Date: The date of the FOMC meeting or statement release in the format YYYYMMDD.
• Type: Indicator for the type of document. 0 represents a statement, while 1 represents meeting minutes.
• Text: The text content of each paragraph in the meeting minutes or statements.

Acknowledgements

The data is collected from the official Federal Reserve website (https://www.federalreserve.gov) using a custom Python scraper built with BeautifulSoup.

Inspiration

This dataset can be used for various purposes, such as:

1. Analyzing the sentiment and tone of FOMC meeting minutes and statements over time.
2. Identifying key phrases and words that indicate changes in monetary policy.
3. Developing natural language processing models to predict future policy decisions based on historical data.
4. Investigating the relationship between FOMC meeting minutes/statements and financial market reactions.

In FOMC statements, qualitative descriptions of economic conditions can affect bond prices as much as quantitative information.

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Low was 2.90% in January of 2027, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Low reached a record high of 5.40 in January of 2023 and a record low of 0.10 in January of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Low - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on September of 2025.

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Range, Midpoint was 2.10000 Fourth Qtr. to Fourth Qtr. % Chg. in January of 2028, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Range, Midpoint reached a record high of 5.55000 in January of 2021 and a record low of -2.15000 in January of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Range, Midpoint - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on September of 2025.

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Central Tendency, High was 4.30000 Fourth Qtr., % in January of 2028, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Central Tendency, High reached a record high of 6.80000 in January of 2020 and a record low of 3.70000 in January of 2018. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Central Tendency, High - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on September of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Personal Consumption Expenditures less Food and Energy Inflation Rate, Central Tendency, Low (JCXFECTL) from 2025 to 2028 about core, projection, PCE, consumption expenditures, consumption, personal, inflation, rate, and USA.

United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Low was 2.50% in March of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Low reached a record high of 3.30 in June of 2015 and a record low of 2.00 in September of 2019. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Low - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on September of 2025.

United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Midpoint was 3.20% in March of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Midpoint reached a record high of 3.80 in June of 2015 and a record low of 2.50 in June of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Midpoint - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on September of 2025.

United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Personal Consumption Expenditures Inflation Rate, Range, Low was 2.00000 Fourth Qtr. to Fourth Qtr. % Chg. in March of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Personal Consumption Expenditures Inflation Rate, Range, Low reached a record high of 2.00000 in January of 2012 and a record low of 1.50000 in May of 2009. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Personal Consumption Expenditures Inflation Rate, Range, Low - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on September of 2025.

United States FOMC Projection: Federal Funds Rate: Central Tendency: Y3: Lower End data was reported at 2.900 % in Dec 2024. This records an increase from the previous number of 2.600 % for Sep 2024. United States FOMC Projection: Federal Funds Rate: Central Tendency: Y3: Lower End data is updated quarterly, averaging 2.500 % from Sep 2015 (Median) to Dec 2024, with 20 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 3.000 % in Sep 2015 and a record low of 0.100 % in Dec 2020. United States FOMC Projection: Federal Funds Rate: Central Tendency: Y3: Lower End data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M005: Federal Funds Rates: Summary of Economic Projections: Federal Reserve Board.

United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Range, High was 4.50000 Fourth Qtr., % in March of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Range, High reached a record high of 6.30000 in November of 2009 and a record low of 4.30000 in December of 2021. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Range, High - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on September of 2025.

United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Central Tendency, Low was 1.70000 Fourth Qtr. to Fourth Qtr. % Chg. in March of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Central Tendency, Low reached a record high of 2.50000 in May of 2009 and a record low of 1.70000 in September of 2016. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Central Tendency, Low - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on September of 2025.

United States FOMC Projection: Federal Funds Rate: Central Tendency: Y3: Upper End data was reported at 3.600 % in Dec 2024. This stayed constant from the previous number of 3.600 % for Sep 2024. United States FOMC Projection: Federal Funds Rate: Central Tendency: Y3: Upper End data is updated quarterly, averaging 3.200 % from Sep 2015 (Median) to Dec 2024, with 20 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.100 % in Sep 2023 and a record low of 0.400 % in Dec 2020. United States FOMC Projection: Federal Funds Rate: Central Tendency: Y3: Upper End data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M005: Federal Funds Rates: Summary of Economic Projections: Federal Reserve Board.

Yearly citation counts for the publication titled "The Greenspan years: an analysis of the magnitude and speed of the equity market response to FOMC announcements".

United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Low was 2.60% in March of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Low reached a record high of 3.50 in June of 2015 and a record low of 2.30 in June of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Low - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on September of 2025.