The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4.50 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Chicago Fed National Activity Index in the United States increased to -0.28 points in May from -0.36 points in April of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Range, Midpoint (FEDTARRM) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, federal, rate, and USA.

United States FOMC Projection: Federal Funds Rate: Range: Y3: Lower End data was reported at 2.400 % in Dec 2024. This stayed constant from the previous number of 2.400 % for Sep 2024. United States FOMC Projection: Federal Funds Rate: Range: Y3: Lower End data is updated quarterly, averaging 2.000 % from Sep 2015 (Median) to Dec 2024, with 20 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.900 % in Sep 2015 and a record low of 0.100 % in Dec 2020. United States FOMC Projection: Federal Funds Rate: Range: Y3: Lower End data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.M005: Federal Funds Rates: Summary of Economic Projections: Federal Reserve Board.

FOMC Fed Funds Rate Projections - Low Range: 2 years of historical data from 2025 to 2027.

Dataset Description

This dataset contains the actual and predicted federal funds target rate for the United States from 1990 to 2023. The federal funds target rate is the interest rate at which depository institutions lend their excess reserves to each other overnight. It is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and is a key tool used by the Federal Reserve to influence the economy.

The dataset includes the following five columns:

Release Date: The date on which the data was released by the Federal Reserve. Time: The time of day at which the data was released. Actual: The actual federal funds target rate. Predicted: The predicted federal funds target rate. Forecast: The forecast federal funds target rate.

Data Usage

This dataset can be used for a variety of purposes, including: - Analyzing trends in the federal funds target rate over time. - Forecasting the future path of the federal funds target rate. - Assessing the effectiveness of monetary policy. - Data Quality

The data for this dataset is of high quality. The Federal Reserve is a reputable source of data and the data is updated regularly.

Data Limitations

The data for this dataset is limited to the United States. Additionally, the data does not include information on the factors that influenced the Federal Open Market Committee's decision to set the federal funds target rate.

United States FOMC Projection: Change in Real GDP: Range: Y3: Upper End data was reported at 2.500 % in Dec 2024. This stayed constant from the previous number of 2.500 % for Sep 2024. United States FOMC Projection: Change in Real GDP: Range: Y3: Upper End data is updated quarterly, averaging 2.400 % from Sep 2015 (Median) to Dec 2024, with 21 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.000 % in Sep 2020 and a record low of 2.000 % in Sep 2017. United States FOMC Projection: Change in Real GDP: Range: Y3: Upper End data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.A026: NIPA 2023: GDP by Expenditure: Constant Price: saar: QoQ: Projection: Federal Reserve Board.

FOMC Real GDP Growth Rate Projection: 16 years of historical data from 2009 to 2025.

United States FOMC Projection: Core PCE Inflation: Central Tendency: Y3: Lower End data was reported at 2.000 % in Dec 2024. This stayed constant from the previous number of 2.000 % for Sep 2024. United States FOMC Projection: Core PCE Inflation: Central Tendency: Y3: Lower End data is updated quarterly, averaging 2.000 % from Sep 2015 (Median) to Dec 2024, with 20 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.000 % in Dec 2024 and a record low of 1.900 % in Dec 2020. United States FOMC Projection: Core PCE Inflation: Central Tendency: Y3: Lower End data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I: PCE Price Index: Projection: Federal Reserve Board.

United States FOMC Projection: Unemployment Rate: Range: Y3: Upper End data was reported at 4.000 % in Dec 2021. This stayed constant from the previous number of 4.000 % for Sep 2021. United States FOMC Projection: Unemployment Rate: Range: Y3: Upper End data is updated quarterly, averaging 4.200 % from Sep 2019 to Dec 2021, with 5 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 6.000 % in Sep 2020 and a record low of 4.000 % in Dec 2021. United States FOMC Projection: Unemployment Rate: Range: Y3: Upper End data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.G033: Current Population Survey: Unemployment Rate: Projection: Federal Reserve Board.

Content

Series is calculated as the spread between 3-Month LIBOR based on US dollars (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USD3MTD156N) and 3-Month Treasury Bill (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DTB3). The series is lagged by one week because the LIBOR series is lagged by one week due to an agreement with the source. Starting with the update on June 21, 2019, the Treasury bond data used in calculating interest rate spreads is obtained directly from the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield).

Context

This is a dataset from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis hosted by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED). FRED has a data platform found here and they update their information according to the frequency that the data updates. Explore the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis using Kaggle and all of the data sources available through the St. Louis Fed organization page!

• Update Frequency: This dataset is updated daily.

• Observation Start: 1986-01-02

• Observation End : 2019-12-04

Acknowledgements

This dataset is maintained using FRED's API and Kaggle's API.

Cover photo by Sidharth Bhatia on Unsplash
Unsplash Images are distributed under a unique Unsplash License.

Content

The Chicago Fed's National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI) provides a comprehensive weekly update on U.S. financial conditions in money markets, debt and equity markets and the traditional and "shadow" banking systems. Positive values of the NFCI indicate financial conditions that are tighter than average, while negative values indicate financial conditions that are looser than average.

For further information, please visit the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago (http://www.chicagofed.org/webpages/publications/nfci/index.cfm).

Context

This is a dataset from the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago hosted by the Federal Reserve Economic Database (FRED). FRED has a data platform found here and they update their information according to the frequency that the data updates. Explore the Chicago Fed using Kaggle and all of the data sources available through the Chicago Fed organization page!

• Update Frequency: This dataset is updated daily.

• Observation Start: 1971-01-08

• Observation End : 2020-03-13

Acknowledgements

This dataset is maintained using FRED's API and Kaggle's API.

The license for this dataset is unknown. Please reach out directly to the Chicago Fed for more information on Commercial/Non-Commercial access.

Cover photo by Karina Carvalho on Unsplash
Unsplash Images are distributed under a unique Unsplash License.

United States FOMC Projection: Change in Real GDP: Central Tendency: Y3: Lower End data was reported at 1.800 % in Dec 2024. This stayed constant from the previous number of 1.800 % for Sep 2024. United States FOMC Projection: Change in Real GDP: Central Tendency: Y3: Lower End data is updated quarterly, averaging 1.800 % from Sep 2015 (Median) to Dec 2024, with 20 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 2.400 % in Sep 2020 and a record low of 1.500 % in Dec 2018. United States FOMC Projection: Change in Real GDP: Central Tendency: Y3: Lower End data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.A026: NIPA 2023: GDP by Expenditure: Constant Price: saar: QoQ: Projection: Federal Reserve Board.

United States Diffusion Index: sa: New York Fed: General Business Condition: Highe data was reported at 39.600 NA in Jul 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 37.700 NA for Jun 2018. United States Diffusion Index: sa: New York Fed: General Business Condition: Highe data is updated monthly, averaging 30.700 NA from Jul 2001 (Median) to Jul 2018, with 205 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 50.600 NA in Apr 2004 and a record low of 9.900 NA in Mar 2009. United States Diffusion Index: sa: New York Fed: General Business Condition: Highe data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.S009: Empire State Manufacturing Survey.

United States Diffusion Index: Philadelphia Fed: sa: General Business Conditions data was reported at 25.700 NA in Jul 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 19.900 NA for Jun 2018. United States Diffusion Index: Philadelphia Fed: sa: General Business Conditions data is updated monthly, averaging 10.800 NA from May 1968 (Median) to Jul 2018, with 603 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 58.500 NA in Mar 1973 and a record low of -57.900 NA in Dec 1974. United States Diffusion Index: Philadelphia Fed: sa: General Business Conditions data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.S010: Third District Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey.

United States Coincident Index: Philadelphia Fed: Connecticut data was reported at 125.036 NA in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 124.773 NA for Sep 2018. United States Coincident Index: Philadelphia Fed: Connecticut data is updated monthly, averaging 87.929 NA from Jan 1979 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 478 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 125.036 NA in Oct 2018 and a record low of 55.136 NA in Feb 1979. United States Coincident Index: Philadelphia Fed: Connecticut data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S007: State Coincident Index.

United States Coincident Index: Philadelphia Fed: Missouri data was reported at 119.679 NA in Jun 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 119.242 NA for May 2018. United States Coincident Index: Philadelphia Fed: Missouri data is updated monthly, averaging 88.750 NA from Jan 1979 (Median) to Jun 2018, with 474 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 119.679 NA in Jun 2018 and a record low of 58.944 NA in Dec 1982. United States Coincident Index: Philadelphia Fed: Missouri data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.S008: State Coincident Index.

United States Coincident Index: Philadelphia Fed: Alabama data was reported at 121.299 NA in Oct 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 121.064 NA for Sep 2018. United States Coincident Index: Philadelphia Fed: Alabama data is updated monthly, averaging 84.659 NA from Jan 1979 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 478 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 121.299 NA in Oct 2018 and a record low of 46.857 NA in Dec 1982. United States Coincident Index: Philadelphia Fed: Alabama data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S007: State Coincident Index.

United States Atlanta Fed Flexible CPI data was reported at -0.000 % in Apr 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of -0.006 % for Mar 2025. United States Atlanta Fed Flexible CPI data is updated monthly, averaging 0.003 % from Jan 1967 (Median) to Apr 2025, with 700 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.037 % in Sep 2005 and a record low of -0.057 % in Nov 2008. United States Atlanta Fed Flexible CPI data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.I: Sticky-Price CPI.

United States FB: AS: IBF Only: FR: FED Funds Purchased (FP) data was reported at 2.022 USD bn in Dec 2019. This records a decrease from the previous number of 2.678 USD bn for Sep 2019. United States FB: AS: IBF Only: FR: FED Funds Purchased (FP) data is updated quarterly, averaging 3.527 USD bn from Mar 2013 (Median) to Dec 2019, with 28 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 8.085 USD bn in Mar 2014 and a record low of 2.022 USD bn in Dec 2019. United States FB: AS: IBF Only: FR: FED Funds Purchased (FP) data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Board. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.KB043: Balance Sheet: Foreign Banks: All States.