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The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
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Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median (FEDTARMD) from 2025 to 2028 about projection, federal, median, rate, and USA.
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TwitterThe 'Fed Interest Rate Decision' is an economic event where the Federal Reserve announces changes to the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which banks lend to each other overnight.
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TwitterThe 'Fed Interest Rate Decision' is an economic event where the Federal Reserve announces changes to the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which banks lend to each other overnight.-2025-10-29
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High-frequency changes in interest rates around FOMC announcements are a standard method of measuring monetary policy shocks. However, some recent studies have documented puzzling effects of these shocks on private-sector forecasts of GDP, unemployment, or inflation that are opposite in sign to what standard macroeconomic models would predict. This evidence has been viewed as supportive of a "Fed information effect" channel of monetary policy, whereby an FOMC tightening (easing) communicates that the economy is stronger (weaker) than the public had expected. We show that these empirical results are also consistent with a "Fed response to news" channel, in which incoming, publicly available economic news causes both the Fed to change monetary policy and the private sector to revise its forecasts. We provide substantial new evidence that distinguishes between these two channels and strongly favors the latter; for example, (i) regressions that include the previously omitted public economic news, (ii) a new survey that we conduct of Blue Chip forecasters, and (iii) high-frequency financial market responses to FOMC announcements all suggest that the Fed and private sector are simply responding to the same public news, with relatively little role for a "Fed information effect".
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TwitterA monetary policy reaction function typically describes how a central bank’s policy rate responds to changes in economic fundamentals, such as inflation and labor market conditions, and other factors. We use minute-by-minute data on two-year Treasury yields to study the market-expected monetary policy reaction function from 2004 to 2024. We find that financial markets expected monetary policy to react more aggressively to inflation news during 2022–2024 than in the pre-COVID-19-pandemic period. In addition, we find that the sensitivity of the two-year Treasury yield to economic news other than core inflation and labor market conditions has decreased over time. This time-varying sensitivity to changes in economic fundamentals may reflect an actual change in the FOMC’s reaction function, or it may be associated with the fact that market participants became more attentive to inflation news after the pandemic recession period.
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Chicago Fed National Activity Index in the United States increased to -0.12 points in August from -0.28 points in July of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
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Graph and download economic data for St. Louis Fed Economic News Index: Real GDP Nowcast (STLENI) from Q2 2013 to Q3 2025 about nowcast, projection, real, GDP, rate, indexes, and USA.
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Graph and download economic data for Equity Market Volatility Tracker: Macroeconomic News and Outlook: Interest Rates (EMVMACROINTEREST) from Jan 1985 to Oct 2025 about volatility, uncertainty, equity, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.
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TwitterThe 'Fed Interest Rate Decision' is an economic event where the Federal Reserve announces changes to the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which banks lend to each other overnight.-2025-03-19
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You can find the web scraping scripts used to create the dataset, as well as the novel FinBERT sentiment analysis procedure (and also the sentiment results), on my GitHub. The repository link is below:
https://github.com/bobbydilan/FinBERT-Sentiment-Analysis-of-FED-Communications/tree/main
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TwitterMarket research data and analysis for The Fed’s Interest Rate Cut is Good News for Singapore Homeowners – Here’s Why
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Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index in the United States increased to -1.70 points in November from -12.80 points in October of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
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United States - St. Louis Fed Economic News Index: Real GDP Nowcast was 0.36661 % Chg. at Annual Rate in July of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - St. Louis Fed Economic News Index: Real GDP Nowcast reached a record high of 19.45000 in July of 2020 and a record low of -31.28000 in April of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - St. Louis Fed Economic News Index: Real GDP Nowcast - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.
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TwitterOverview with Chart & Report: Philadelphia Fed Employment Index reflects labor market conditions in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve zone. This region includes Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Delaware, i.e. states with high economic
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Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index in the United States decreased to -10.40 points in November from -5 points in October of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.
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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index in the United States decreased to -15 points in November from -4 points in October of 2025. This dataset provides - United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.
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TwitterOverview with Chart & Report: Fed Labor Market Conditions Index is calculated monthly using 19 parameters. They include the unemployment rate, wages, number of job cuts, etc. The Fed applies it to comprehensively assess the labor
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TwitterOverview with Chart & Report: Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index displays the business conditions in the fifth US constituency (new orders, backorders, warehousing and supplies) during the reported month compared to the previous
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Graph and download economic data for Economic Policy Uncertainty Index: News-Based Index for the United States (USEPUNEWSINDXM) from Jan 1900 to Oct 2025 about uncertainty, indexes, and USA.
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TwitterAttribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
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The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.