Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median (FEDTARMD) from 2025 to 2028 about projection, federal, median, rate, and USA.

The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The 'Fed Interest Rate Decision' is an economic event where the Federal Reserve announces changes to the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which banks lend to each other overnight.

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LABEL_2: NeutralLABEL_1: HawkishLABEL_0: Dovish

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Please cite our paper if you use any code, data, or models. @inproceedings{shah-etal-2023-trillion, title = "Trillion Dollar Words: A New Financial Dataset, Task {&} Market Analysis", author = "Shah, Agam and Paturi, Suvan and Chava, Sudheer", booktitle = "Proceedings of the 61st Annual Meeting of the Association for… See the full description on the dataset page: https://huggingface.co/datasets/gtfintechlab/fomc_communication.

The 'Fed Interest Rate Decision' is an economic event where the Federal Reserve announces changes to the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which banks lend to each other overnight.-2025-07-30

Over the past ten years, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has repeatedly emphasized that future policy is data dependent. In this Economic Commentary , we investigate how financial markets expected future interest rates to change with the release of new data on inflation and labor market conditions. We find that the surprises in economic indicators have a stronger effect on the 2-year Treasury yield than on the expected federal funds rate to be set in the next FOMC meeting. This implies that markets understand that under the data-dependent approach, policy decisions do not heavily rely on the most recent data or short-run fluctuations, but, rather, rely more on the persistent trend of the economy. In addition, we observe that expected future interest rates have become more sensitive to surprises in inflation after 2022, suggesting that the FOMC’s determination to reduce inflation has been well-understood by the markets.

Graph and download economic data for Current New Orders; Diffusion Index for Federal Reserve District 3: Philadelphia (NOBNDIF066MSFRBPHI) from Mar 2011 to Nov 2025 about FRB PHI District, diffusion, new orders, orders, new, services, indexes, and USA.

The 'Fed Interest Rate Decision' is an economic event where the Federal Reserve announces changes to the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which banks lend to each other overnight.-2025-09-17

View data of the Effective Federal Funds Rate, or the interest rate depository institutions charge each other for overnight loans of funds.

Chicago Fed National Activity Index in the United States increased to -0.12 points in August from -0.28 points in July of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Chicago Fed National Activity Index - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

Graph and download economic data for St. Louis Fed Economic News Index: Real GDP Nowcast (STLENI) from Q2 2013 to Q3 2025 about nowcast, projection, real, GDP, rate, indexes, and USA.

Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index in the United States increased to -1.70 points in November from -12.80 points in October of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The 'Fed Interest Rate Decision' is an economic event where the Federal Reserve announces changes to the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate at which banks lend to each other overnight.-2025-03-19

Policy interest rates in the U.S. and Europe are forecasted to decrease gradually between 2024 and 2027, following exceptional increases triggered by soaring inflation between 2021 and 2023. The U.S. federal funds rate stood at **** percent at the end of 2023, the European Central Bank deposit rate at **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate at **** percent. With inflationary pressures stabilizing, policy interest rates are forecast to decrease in each observed region. The U.S. federal funds rate is expected to decrease to *** percent, the ECB refi rate to **** percent, the Bank of England bank rate to **** percent, and the Swiss National Bank policy rate to **** percent by 2025. An interesting aspect to note is the impact of these interest rate changes on various economic factors such as growth, employment, and inflation. The impact of central bank policy rates The U.S. federal funds effective rate, crucial in determining the interest rate paid by depository institutions, experienced drastic changes in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The subsequent slight changes in the effective rate reflected the efforts to stimulate the economy and manage economic factors such as inflation. Such fluctuations in the federal funds rate have had a significant impact on the overall economy. The European Central Bank's decision to cut its fixed interest rate in June 2024 for the first time since 2016 marked a significant shift in attitude towards economic conditions. The reasons behind the fluctuations in the ECB's interest rate reflect its mandate to ensure price stability and manage inflation, shedding light on the complex interplay between interest rates and economic factors. Inflation and real interest rates The relationship between inflation and interest rates is critical in understanding the actions of central banks. Central banks' efforts to manage inflation through interest rate adjustments reveal the intricate balance between economic growth and inflation. Additionally, the concept of real interest rates, adjusted for inflation, provides valuable insights into the impact of inflation on the economy.

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index in the United States decreased to -15 points in November from -4 points in October of 2025. This dataset provides - United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index in the United States decreased to -10.40 points in November from -5 points in October of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

United States - St. Louis Fed Economic News Index: Real GDP Nowcast was 0.36661 % Chg. at Annual Rate in July of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - St. Louis Fed Economic News Index: Real GDP Nowcast reached a record high of 19.45000 in July of 2020 and a record low of -31.28000 in April of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - St. Louis Fed Economic News Index: Real GDP Nowcast - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on November of 2025.

United States Diffusion Index: sa: Kansas Fed: Current New Orders for Exports data was reported at 6.000 NA in Nov 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 3.000 NA for Oct 2018. United States Diffusion Index: sa: Kansas Fed: Current New Orders for Exports data is updated monthly, averaging 2.000 NA from Jul 2001 (Median) to Nov 2018, with 209 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 18.000 NA in May 2008 and a record low of -16.000 NA in Mar 2009. United States Diffusion Index: sa: Kansas Fed: Current New Orders for Exports data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.S014: Tenth District Manufacturing Survey.

Kansas Fed New Orders Index in the United States decreased to -2 points in November from 1 points in October of 2025. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United States Kansas Fed New Orders Index.

United States Diffusion Index: sa: New York Fed: General Business Condition: Highe data was reported at 39.600 NA in Jul 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 37.700 NA for Jun 2018. United States Diffusion Index: sa: New York Fed: General Business Condition: Highe data is updated monthly, averaging 30.700 NA from Jul 2001 (Median) to Jul 2018, with 205 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 50.600 NA in Apr 2004 and a record low of 9.900 NA in Mar 2009. United States Diffusion Index: sa: New York Fed: General Business Condition: Highe data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The data is categorized under Global Database’s USA – Table US.S009: Empire State Manufacturing Survey.