7 datasets found
  1. F

    FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jun 18, 2025
    + more versions
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    (2025). FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDTARMD
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 18, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median (FEDTARMD) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, federal, median, rate, and USA.

  2. T

    United States - Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities

    • tradingeconomics.com
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Feb 9, 2020
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2020). United States - Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/smoothed-u-s-recession-probabilities-fed-data.html
    Explore at:
    csv, xml, excel, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Feb 9, 2020
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Jan 1, 1976 - Dec 31, 2025
    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    United States - Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities was 0.48% in April of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities reached a record high of 100.00 in March of 2020 and a record low of 0.00 in November of 1967. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on June of 2025.

  3. Yield Curve and Predicted GDP Growth

    • clevelandfed.org
    csv
    Updated Oct 5, 2020
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    Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (2020). Yield Curve and Predicted GDP Growth [Dataset]. https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/yield-curve-and-predicted-gdp-growth
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    csvAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Oct 5, 2020
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Federal Reserve Bank of Clevelandhttps://www.clevelandfed.org/
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    We use the yield curve to predict future GDP growth and recession probabilities. The spread between short- and long-term rates typically correlates with economic growth. Predications are calculated using a model developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Released monthly.

  4. F

    Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jul 3, 2025
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    (2025). Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SAHMREALTIME
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    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 3, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator (SAHMREALTIME) from Dec 1959 to Jun 2025 about recession indicators, academic data, and USA.

  5. F

    Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jul 1, 2025
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    (2025). Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1b77
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 1, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    View an estimate of the probability of recession based on employment, industrial production, real personal income, and real manufacturing and trade sales.

  6. F

    Deflation Probability

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated May 30, 2025
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    (2025). Deflation Probability [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/STLPPMDEF
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 30, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-requiredhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-citation-required

    Description

    Graph and download economic data for Deflation Probability (STLPPMDEF) from Jan 1990 to May 2025 about inflation and USA.

  7. T

    Canada Interest Rate

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • ko.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jun 4, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Canada Interest Rate [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/canada/interest-rate
    Explore at:
    csv, xml, json, excelAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 4, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Feb 7, 1990 - Jun 4, 2025
    Area covered
    Canada
    Description

    The benchmark interest rate in Canada was last recorded at 2.75 percent. This dataset provides - Canada Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

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(2025). FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDTARMD

FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median

FEDTARMD

Explore at:
5 scholarly articles cite this dataset (View in Google Scholar)
jsonAvailable download formats
Dataset updated
Jun 18, 2025
License

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

Description

Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median (FEDTARMD) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, federal, median, rate, and USA.

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