Graph and download economic data for FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median (FEDTARMD) from 2025 to 2027 about projection, federal, median, rate, and USA.

The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 4.50 percent. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - United States Fed Funds Rate - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

The U.S. federal funds effective rate underwent a dramatic reduction in early 2020 in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The rate plummeted from 1.58 percent in February 2020 to 0.65 percent in March, and further decreased to 0.05 percent in April. This sharp reduction, accompanied by the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing program, was implemented to stabilize the economy during the global health crisis. After maintaining historically low rates for nearly two years, the Federal Reserve began a series of rate hikes in early 2022, with the rate moving from 0.33 percent in April 2022 to 5.33 percent in August 2023. The rate remained unchanged for over a year, before the Federal Reserve initiated its first rate cut in nearly three years in September 2024, bringing the rate to 5.13 percent. By December 2024, the rate was cut to 4.48 percent, signaling a shift in monetary policy in the second half of 2024. In January 2025, the Federal Reserve implemented another cut, setting the rate at 4.33 percent, which remained unchanged throughout the following months. What is the federal funds effective rate? The U.S. federal funds effective rate determines the interest rate paid by depository institutions, such as banks and credit unions, that lend reserve balances to other depository institutions overnight. Changing the effective rate in times of crisis is a common way to stimulate the economy, as it has a significant impact on the whole economy, such as economic growth, employment, and inflation. Central bank policy rates The adjustment of interest rates in response to the COVID-19 pandemic was a coordinated global effort. In early 2020, central banks worldwide implemented aggressive monetary easing policies to combat the economic crisis. The U.S. Federal Reserve's dramatic reduction of its federal funds rate - from 1.58 percent in February 2020 to 0.05 percent by April - mirrored similar actions taken by central banks globally. While these low rates remained in place throughout 2021, mounting inflationary pressures led to a synchronized tightening cycle beginning in 2022, with central banks pushing rates to multi-year highs. By mid-2024, as inflation moderated across major economies, central banks began implementing their first rate cuts in several years, with the U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and European Central Bank all easing monetary policy.

The inflation rate in the United States declined significantly between June 2022 and May 2025, despite rising inflationary pressures towards the end of 2024. The peak inflation rate was recorded in June 2022, at *** percent. In August 2023, the Federal Reserve's interest rate hit its highest level during the observed period, at **** percent, and remained unchanged until September 2024, when the Federal Reserve implemented its first rate cut since September 2021. By January 2025, the rate dropped to **** percent, signalling a shift in monetary policy. What is the Federal Reserve interest rate? The Federal Reserve interest rate, or the federal funds rate, is the rate at which banks and credit unions lend to and borrow from each other. It is one of the Federal Reserve's key tools for maintaining strong employment rates, stable prices, and reasonable interest rates. The rate is determined by the Federal Reserve and adjusted eight times a year, though it can be changed through emergency meetings during times of crisis. The Fed doesn't directly control the interest rate but sets a target rate. It then uses open market operations to influence rates toward this target. Ways of measuring inflation Inflation is typically measured using several methods, with the most common being the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The CPI tracks the price of a fixed basket of goods and services over time, providing a measure of the price changes consumers face. At the end of 2023, the CPI in the United States was ****** percent, up from ****** a year earlier. A more business-focused measure is the producer price index (PPI), which represents the costs of firms.

Graph and download economic data for Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit (DFEDTARU) from 2008-12-16 to 2025-07-04 about federal, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Midpoint was 3.25% in January of 2027, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Midpoint reached a record high of 5.40 in January of 2023 and a record low of 0.10 in January of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Midpoint - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Range, Low was 0.60000 Fourth Qtr. to Fourth Qtr. % Chg. in January of 2027, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Range, Low reached a record high of 5.30000 in January of 2021 and a record low of -5.50000 in January of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Range, Low - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median was 3.00% in March of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median reached a record high of 4.30 in April of 2012 and a record low of 2.40 in March of 2022. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Median - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Range, Low was 3.90000 Fourth Qtr., % in January of 2027, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Range, Low reached a record high of 6.60000 in January of 2020 and a record low of 3.50000 in January of 2019. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Range, Low - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

United States - Chicago Fed Midwest Economy Index was 0.68741 Index Standard Deviation in May of 2021, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Chicago Fed Midwest Economy Index reached a record high of 4.31270 in September of 2020 and a record low of -9.68290 in June of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Chicago Fed Midwest Economy Index - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

Inflation Rate in the United States increased to 2.40 percent in May from 2.30 percent in April of 2025. This dataset provides - United States Inflation Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Median was 1.80000 Fourth Qtr. to Fourth Qtr. % Chg. in March of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Median reached a record high of 2.00000 in September of 2015 and a record low of 1.80000 in September of 2016. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Growth Rate of Real Gross Domestic Product, Median - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on June of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for 30-Day Average SOFR (SOFR30DAYAVG) from 2018-05-02 to 2025-07-03 about 1-month, financing, overnight, average, securities, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Real-time Sahm Rule Recession Indicator (SAHMREALTIME) from Dec 1959 to Jun 2025 about recession indicators, academic data, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 5-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS5) from 1962-01-02 to 2025-06-18 about maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, 5-year, rate, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity, Quoted on an Investment Basis (DGS30) from 1977-02-15 to 2025-07-02 about 30-year, maturity, Treasury, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

The benchmark interest rate in Japan was last recorded at 0.50 percent. This dataset provides - Japan Interest Rate - actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news.

United States - Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit was 4.50% in July of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit reached a record high of 5.50 in July of 2023 and a record low of 0.25 in December of 2008. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Federal Funds Target Range - Upper Limit - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.

Graph and download economic data for Moody's Seasoned Baa Corporate Bond Yield (BAA) from Jan 1919 to Jun 2025 about Baa, bonds, yield, corporate, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

United States - Chicago Fed National Activity : Sales, Orders and Inventories was -0.04000 Index in April of 2025, according to the United States Federal Reserve. Historically, United States - Chicago Fed National Activity : Sales, Orders and Inventories reached a record high of 1.37000 in June of 2020 and a record low of -2.25000 in April of 2020. Trading Economics provides the current actual value, an historical data chart and related indicators for United States - Chicago Fed National Activity : Sales, Orders and Inventories - last updated from the United States Federal Reserve on July of 2025.