Electricity prices in Europe are expected to remain volatile through 2025, with Italy projected to have some of the highest rates among major European economies. This trend reflects the ongoing challenges in the energy sector, including the transition to renewable sources and the impact of geopolitical events on supply chains. Despite efforts to stabilize the market, prices still have not returned to pre-pandemic levels, such as in countries like Italy, where prices are forecast to reach ****** euros per megawatt hour in August 2025. Natural gas futures shaping electricity costs The electricity market's future trajectory is closely tied to natural gas prices, a key component in power generation. Dutch TTF gas futures, a benchmark for European natural gas prices, are projected to be ***** euros per megawatt hour in July 2025. The reduced output from the Groningen gas field and increased reliance on imports further complicate the pricing landscape, potentially contributing to higher electricity costs in countries like Italy. Regional disparities and global market influences While European electricity prices remain high, significant regional differences persist. For instance, natural gas prices in the United States are expected to be roughly one-third of those in Europe by March 2025, at **** U.S. dollars per million British thermal units. This stark contrast highlights the impact of domestic production capabilities on global natural gas prices. Europe's greater reliance on imports, particularly in the aftermath of geopolitical tensions and the shift away from Russian gas, continues to keep prices elevated compared to more self-sufficient markets. As a result, countries like Italy may face sustained pressure on electricity prices due to their position within the broader European energy market. As of August 2025, electricity prices in Italy have decreased to ****** euros per megawatt hour, reflecting ongoing volatility in the market.

In 2022, the average end-use electricity price in the United States stood at around 12.2 U.S. cents per kilowatt-hour. This figure is projected to decrease in the coming three decades, to reach some 11 U.S. cents per kilowatt-hour by 2050.

Dataset Description Title: Electricity Market Dataset for Long-Term Forecasting (2018–2024)

Overview: This dataset provides a comprehensive collection of electricity market data, focusing on long-term forecasting and strategic planning in the energy sector. The data is derived from real-world electricity market records and policy reports from Germany, specifically the Frankfurt region, a major European energy hub. It includes hourly observations spanning from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2024, covering key economic, environmental, and operational factors that influence electricity market dynamics. This dataset is ideal for predictive modeling tasks such as electricity price forecasting, renewable energy integration planning, and market risk assessment.

Features Description Feature Name Description Type Timestamp The timestamp for each hourly observation. Datetime Historical_Electricity_Prices Hourly historical electricity prices in the Frankfurt market. Continuous (Float) Projected_Electricity_Prices Forecasted electricity prices (short, medium, long term). Continuous (Float) Inflation_Rates Hourly inflation rate trends impacting energy markets. Continuous (Float) GDP_Growth_Rate Hourly GDP growth rate trends for Germany. Continuous (Float) Energy_Market_Demand Hourly electricity demand across all sectors. Continuous (Float) Renewable_Investment_Costs Investment costs (capital and operational) for renewable energy projects. Continuous (Float) Fossil_Fuel_Costs Costs for fossil fuels like coal, oil, and natural gas. Continuous (Float) Electricity_Export_Prices Prices for electricity exports from Germany to neighboring regions. Continuous (Float) Market_Elasticity Sensitivity of electricity demand to price changes. Continuous (Float) Energy_Production_By_Solar Hourly solar energy production. Continuous (Float) Energy_Production_By_Wind Hourly wind energy production. Continuous (Float) Energy_Production_By_Coal Hourly coal-based energy production. Continuous (Float) Energy_Storage_Capacity Available storage capacity (e.g., batteries, pumped hydro). Continuous (Float) GHG_Emissions Hourly greenhouse gas emissions from energy production. Continuous (Float) Renewable_Penetration_Rate Percentage of renewable energy in total energy production. Continuous (Float) Regulatory_Policies Categorical representation of regulatory impact on electricity markets (e.g., Low, Medium, High). Categorical Energy_Access_Data Categorization of energy accessibility (Urban or Rural). Categorical LCOE Levelized Cost of Energy by source. Continuous (Float) ROI Return on investment for energy projects. Continuous (Float) Net_Present_Value Net present value of proposed energy projects. Continuous (Float) Population_Growth Population growth rate trends impacting energy demand. Continuous (Float) Optimal_Energy_Mix Suggested optimal mix of renewable, non-renewable, and nuclear energy. Continuous (Float) Electricity_Price_Forecast Predicted electricity prices based on various factors. Continuous (Float) Project_Risk_Analysis Categorical analysis of project risks (Low, Medium, High). Categorical Investment_Feasibility Indicator of the feasibility of energy investments. Continuous (Float) Use Cases Electricity Price Forecasting: Utilize historical and projected price trends to predict future electricity prices. Project Risk Classification: Categorize projects into risk levels for better decision-making. Optimal Energy Mix Analysis: Analyze the balance between renewable, non-renewable, and nuclear energy sources. Policy Impact Assessment: Study the effect of regulatory and market policies on energy planning. Long-Term Strategic Planning: Provide insights into investment feasibility, GHG emission reduction, and energy market dynamics. Acknowledgment This dataset is based on publicly available records and market data specific to the Frankfurt region, Germany. The dataset is designed for research and educational purposes in energy informatics, computational intelligence, and long-term forecasting.

UK Electricity decreased 17.25 GBP/MWh or 16.84% since the beginning of 2025, according to the latest spot benchmarks offered by sellers to buyers priced in megawatt hour (MWh). This dataset includes a chart with historical data for the United Kingdom Electricity Price.

Wholesale electricity prices in the United Kingdom hit a record-high in 2022, reaching **** British pence per kilowatt-hour that year. Projections indicate that prices are bound to decrease steadily in the next few years, falling under **** pence per kilowatt-hour by 2030.

Germany Electricity decreased 25.38 EUR/MWh or 21.93% since the beginning of 2025, according to the latest spot benchmarks offered by sellers to buyers priced in megawatt hour (MWh). This dataset includes a chart with historical data for Germany Electricity Price.

Electricity prices in Germany are forecast to amount to ***** euros per megawatt-hour in September 2025. Electricity prices in the country have not yet recovered to pre-pandemic levels. Electricity price recovery German electricity prices began recovering back to pre-energy crisis levels in 2024, a period driven by a complex interplay of factors, including increased heating demand, reduced wind power generation, and water scarcity affecting hydropower production. Despite Germany's progress in renewable energy sources, with over ** percent of gross electricity generated from renewable sources in 2023, the country still relies heavily on fossil fuels. Coal and natural gas accounted for approximately ** percent of the energy mix, making Germany vulnerable to fluctuations in global fuel prices. Impact on consumers and future outlook The volatility in electricity prices has directly impacted German consumers. As of April 1, 2024, households with basic supplier contracts were paying around ** cents per kilowatt-hour, making it the most expensive option compared to other providers or special contracts. The breakdown of household electricity prices in 2023 showed that supply and margin, along with energy procurement, constituted the largest controllable components, amounting to **** and **** euro cents per kilowatt-hour, respectively. While prices have decreased since the 2022 peak, they remain higher than pre-crisis levels, underscoring the ongoing challenges in Germany's energy sector as it continues its transition towards renewable sources.

This dataset provides values for ELECTRICITY PRICE reported in several countries. The data includes current values, previous releases, historical highs and record lows, release frequency, reported unit and currency.

The average wholesale electricity price in September 2025 in the United Kingdom is forecast to amount to*******British pounds per megawatt-hour, a decrease from the previous month. A record high was reached in August 2022 when day-ahead baseload contracts averaged ***** British pounds per megawatt-hour. Electricity price stabilization in Europe Electricity prices increased in 2024 compared to the previous year, when prices stabilized after the energy supply shortage. Price spikes were driven by the growing wholesale prices of natural gas and coal worldwide, which are among the main sources of power in the region.

… and in the United Kingdom? The United Kingdom was one of the countries with the highest electricity prices worldwide during the energy crisis. Since then, prices have been stabilizing, almost to pre-energy crisis levels. The use of nuclear, wind, and bioenergy for electricity generation has been increasing recently. The fuel types are an alternative to fossil fuels and are part of the country's power generation plans going into the future.

Retail residential electricity prices in the United States have mostly risen over the last decades. In 2023, prices registered a year-over-year growth of 6.3 percent, the highest growth registered since the beginning of the century. Residential prices are projected to continue to grow by two percent in 2024. Drivers of electricity price growth The price of electricity is partially dependent on the various energy sources used for generation, such as coal, gas, oil, renewable energy, or nuclear. In the U.S., electricity prices are highly connected to natural gas prices. As the commodity is exposed to international markets that pay a higher rate, U.S. prices are also expected to rise, as it has been witnessed during the energy crisis in 2022. Electricity demand is also expected to increase, especially in regions that will likely require more heating or cooling as climate change impacts progress, driving up electricity prices. Which states pay the most for electricity? Electricity prices can vary greatly depending on both state and region. Hawaii has the highest electricity prices in the U.S., at roughly 43 U.S. cents per kilowatt-hour as of May 2023, due to the high costs of crude oil used to fuel the state’s electricity. In comparison, Idaho has one of the lowest retail rates. Much of the state’s energy is generated from hydroelectricity, which requires virtually no fuel. In addition, construction costs can be spread out over decades.

France Electricity decreased 10.35 EUR/MWh or 14.82% since the beginning of 2025, according to the latest spot benchmarks offered by sellers to buyers priced in megawatt hour (MWh). This dataset includes a chart with historical data for France Electricity Price.

Given the key role of renewable energies in current and future electricity markets, it is important to understand how they affect firms' pricing incentives in these markets. In this paper, we study whether renewables depress electricity market prices, and how this effect depends on their degree of market price exposure. Our theoretical analysis shows that paying renewables with fixed prices, rather than with market-based prices, is relatively more effective at curbing market power when the dominant electricity firms own large shares of the renewable capacity, and vice-versa. To test this prediction, our empirical analysis leverages several short-lived changes to renewable energy pricing mechanisms in the Spanish electricity market. In this context, we find that the switch from full price exposure to fixed prices caused a 2-4% reduction in the average price-cost markup.

Graph and download economic data for Average Price: Electricity per Kilowatt-Hour in U.S. City Average (APU000072610) from Nov 1978 to Aug 2025 about electricity, energy, retail, price, and USA.

Spain Electricity decreased 37.21 EUR/MWh or 27.39% since the beginning of 2025, according to the latest spot benchmarks offered by sellers to buyers priced in megawatt hour (MWh). This dataset includes a chart with historical data for Spain Electricity Price.

Electricity Trading Market Outlook

The global electricity trading market size was valued at approximately $X billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around $X billion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of X.X% from 2024 to 2032. This growth is driven by rising demand for energy, advancements in smart grid technologies, and the increasing penetration of renewable energy sources.

One of the primary growth factors in the electricity trading market is the global shift towards renewable energy sources. As nations strive to reduce their carbon footprints, the integration of renewable energy into the grid has become a critical strategy. This has created a complex and dynamic electricity market, where trading becomes essential for balancing supply and demand. Furthermore, the development of energy storage technologies like batteries is enhancing the reliability and efficiency of renewable energy, making it more viable and attractive for trading.

Another significant growth factor is the advancement in smart grid and digital technologies. The implementation of smart meters, IoT devices, and advanced analytics allows for real-time monitoring and management of energy consumption and distribution. These technologies facilitate more efficient electricity trading by providing accurate data and insights, enabling market participants to make informed decisions. Additionally, blockchain technology is being explored for its potential to create transparent and secure trading platforms, further driving the market's growth.

The deregulation and liberalization of electricity markets in various regions have also contributed to the growth of electricity trading. By breaking down monopolistic structures and allowing multiple players to participate in the market, competition is enhanced, leading to better pricing and innovation. This deregulation is particularly evident in regions like North America and Europe, where policies have been enacted to encourage market-based electricity systems, fostering a conducive environment for electricity trading.

From a regional perspective, the Asia Pacific region is expected to witness significant growth in the electricity trading market. The region's rapid industrialization, urbanization, and economic growth are driving increased energy consumption. Moreover, countries like China and India are heavily investing in renewable energy projects and modernizing their grid infrastructure to support efficient electricity trading. The strong policy support and government incentives in these countries further bolster the market's expansion in the region.

Type Analysis

Electricity trading by type can be segmented into Day-Ahead Trading, Intraday Trading, and Forward Trading. Day-Ahead Trading involves buying and selling electricity one day before the actual delivery. This type of trading allows market participants to plan their electricity needs and manage their portfolios effectively. The growth of renewable energy sources, which are often intermittent, has increased the importance of Day-Ahead Trading for balancing supply and demand. Furthermore, advancements in forecasting technologies are improving the accuracy of day-ahead market predictions, making this segment more reliable and attractive.

Intraday Trading, on the other hand, occurs within the same day of delivery and provides a mechanism for market participants to manage unexpected changes in electricity supply or demand. This type of trading is becoming increasingly vital as the share of renewable energy grows, given its variability. The need for real-time adjustments in electricity trading to accommodate fluctuations in renewable energy generation is driving the growth of the Intraday Trading segment. Additionally, the rise of digital platforms and automation tools is facilitating quicker and more efficient intraday market transactions.

Forward Trading involves contracts for the purchase or sale of electricity for future delivery, ranging from months to years ahead. This segment is essential for hedging against price volatility and ensuring long-term price stability. Utilities and large industrial consumers often engage in forward contracts to secure their future electricity needs at predetermined prices. The increasing trend of long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with renewable energy providers is also boosting the growth of the Forward Tra

According to a recent forecast, industrial electricity prices in Europe in 2030 will be lowest in Germany if an electricity price compensation for companies is enacted. France will account for the second-lowest electricity price for enterprises if the ARENH tariff program is maintained. In the ARENH program, businesses have access to nuclear power at a regulated tariff.

Household electricity prices in China amounted to 7.5 U.S. dollar cents per kilowatt-hour in June 2024. Residential electricity prices increased steadily in the country from September 2020 to September 2021, when it reached 9.3 U.S. dollar cents per kilowatt-hour, and decreased to less than eight U.S. dollar cents per kilowatt-hour in the following months. Growing demand for affordable electricity Through China’s decades of industrialization, increasing power demand has been a constant factor, and policymakers and utility companies have had to balance it with affordability for a population with a relatively low per capita income. Keeping residential electricity prices at a low level is vital, given that many depend on air conditioning in China’s harsh summer months. However, with China’s ongoing electrification of private and public transportation, the demand for electricity will only increase. From black coal to sustainable green The history of the electricity industry is one of constant change and adaptation. Despite its size, China is not rich in energy resources. With coal being the only available fuel, it has supplied electricity to 1.4 billion people and an economy that has undergone incredible growth in the past four decades. However, the reliance on coal has left behind a black legacy of high carbon emissions and severe air pollution. With the highest investments in renewables worldwide, China attempts to transform its energy industry into a sustainable future.

In 2024, the global average of the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) produced from onshore wind plants reached 34 U.S. dollars per megawatt-hour generated. This energy source accounted for the smallest LCOE that year, while nuclear energy had the highest.

Energy Prices In the Euro Area decreased to 144.19 points in August from 145.17 points in July of 2025. This dataset includes a chart with historical data for Euro Area Energy Prices.

As Australia looks to a cleaner future, solar power offers a bright alternative to emissions-intensive fossil fuels. Advances in solar photovoltaic (PV) technologies have made solar commercially viable, with China manufacturing most of the world's solar panels. In contrast to small-scale solar, which is covering more Australian homes than ever before, the utility-scale market remains relatively untapped. Buoyed by public sector support, private capital is now flooding into new solar projects and propelling capacity growth. Larger farms are being constructed to generate economies of scale and serve industrial firms. Amid vocal consumer and shareholder support for clean energy, businesses are adopting net-zero targets and locking in Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) with solar generators, while also creating demand for Large-scale Generation Certificates (LGCs). In recent years, solar generators have capitalised on inflated wholesale electricity prices and banked healthy profit margins. The lack of material inputs has saved solar generators from high coal and gas prices, which surged in 2021-22 and 2022-23. Wholesale electricity markets are pegged to global fossil fuel prices because fossil fuel electricity generation is important in Australia's electricity supply chain. This meant that while wholesale electricity prices surged to unprecedented highs, solar power generation’s profitability also rose sharply. This shock tapered off in 2023-24, with declining wholesale prices contributing to the industry's first ever decline in annual revenue. However, revenue is expected to expand 8.7% in 2024-25, as wholesale prices have jumped and generation capacity has continued to expand as more solar farms have come through the pipeline. In total, revenue is expected to have surged at an annualised 28.9% over the five years through 2024-25, to $2.1 billion. Solar power generators will face headwinds in the coming years. Wholesale markets are set to continue being erratic as renewable capacity grows and coal-fired generators start to close. Annual revenue will be constrained despite continued growth in the volume of power generated by large-scale solar. Electricity wholesale prices are forecast to recede, particularly over the medium term, as renewables account for a larger share of the energy mix. At the same time, LGC markets will contend with a fixed Renewable Energy Target, which is set at an already-met 33,000 GWh until 2030. Overall, revenue is projected to climb at an annualised 9.6% over the five years through 2029-30, to $3.4 billion.