Just as in many other countries, the housing market in the UK grew substantially during the coronavirus pandemic, fueled by robust demand and low borrowing costs. Nevertheless, high inflation and the increase in mortgage rates has led to house price growth slowing down. According to the forecast, 2024 is expected to see house prices decrease by three percent. Between 2024 and 2028, the average house price growth is projected at 2.7 percent. A contraction after a period of continuous growth In June 2022, the UK's house price index exceeded 150 index points, meaning that since 2015 which was the base year for the index, house prices had increased by 50 percent. In just two years, between 2020 and 2022, the index surged by 30 index points. As the market stood in December 2023, the average price for a home stood at approximately 284,691 British pounds. Rents are expected to continue to grow According to another forecast, the prime residential market is also expected to see rental prices grow in the next years. Growth is forecast to be stronger in 2024 and slow down in the period between 2025 and 2028. The rental market in London is expected to follow a similar trend, with Central London slightly outperforming Greater London.
According to the forecast, the North East and Wales are the regions in the United Kingdom estimated to see the highest overall growth in house prices over the five-year period between 2024 and 2028. Just behind are North West, Yorkshire & the Humber, and Scotland, which are forecast to see house prices increase by 20.2 percent over the five-year period. In London, house prices are expected to rise by 13.9 percent.
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The UK residential real estate market, valued at approximately £360.27 billion in 2025, is projected to experience robust growth, driven by several key factors. Strong population growth, particularly in urban centers, fuels consistent demand for housing, while low interest rates and government initiatives aimed at boosting homeownership further stimulate market activity. The market is segmented into apartments and condominiums, and landed houses and villas, with each segment exhibiting unique growth trajectories. Apartments and condominiums, particularly in London and other major cities, are expected to see higher demand due to affordability concerns and lifestyle preferences, while landed houses and villas continue to appeal to those seeking more space and privacy, particularly in suburban or rural areas. Competition among major developers such as Berkeley Group, Barratt Developments, and others influences pricing and construction activity. While challenges exist, such as fluctuating economic conditions and rising construction costs, the overall outlook for the UK residential real estate market remains positive. The market's performance is also influenced by broader economic factors, such as inflation and employment rates, and is likely to see regional variations, with London and the South East generally commanding higher prices. The market's growth is expected to continue through 2033, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.75%. This growth will likely be influenced by factors such as evolving demographic trends (including increasing urbanization and family sizes), government policies impacting the housing market, and technological advancements impacting the construction and sales processes. International investment continues to play a significant role, especially in prime London properties. However, the market is susceptible to external shocks, such as changes in interest rates or economic downturns. Understanding these factors is crucial for investors and stakeholders operating within the UK residential real estate sector. Market analysis suggests continued demand for sustainable and energy-efficient housing, influencing the development of future projects. This comprehensive report provides an in-depth analysis of the UK residential real estate market, covering the period from 2019 to 2033. With a base year of 2025 and a forecast period spanning 2025-2033, this research offers invaluable insights for investors, developers, and industry professionals seeking to navigate this dynamic market. The report leverages extensive data analysis, covering key segments, emerging trends, and major players, to provide a clear understanding of market dynamics and future growth potential. High-search-volume keywords like UK property market, UK house prices, London property market, UK residential real estate investment, build-to-rent UK, multifamily UK, and UK housing market forecast are integrated throughout to ensure maximum online visibility. Recent developments include: May 2023: A UAE-based investment manager, Rasmala Investment Bank, has launched a USD 2bn ( €1.8bn) UK multifamily strategy for a five-year period to build a USD 2bn portfolio of UK residential properties. The strategy is focused on the UK market for multifamily properties through a Shariah-compliant investment vehicle, initially targeting the serviced apartment (SAP) and BTR (build-to-rent) subsectors within and around London. Seeded by Rasmala Group, the strategy is backed by an active investment pipeline for the next 12 – 18 months., November 2022: ValuStrat, a Middle East consulting company, increased its foothold in the UK by acquiring an interest in Capital Value Surveyors, a real estate advisory services company with offices in London. The UK continues to be one of the most established real estate markets worldwide and attracts foreign investors regularly. They are excited to expand their presence there to better serve all of their clients, both in the UK and the Middle East.. Key drivers for this market are: Demand for New Dwellings Units, Government Initiatives are driving the market. Potential restraints include: Supply Chain Disruptions, Lack of Skilled Labour. Notable trends are: Increasing in the United Kingdom House Prices.
Prices for prime residential real estate in Outer London are expected to grow year-on-year, achieving a cumulative increase of over 15 percent until 2028. According to a August 2024 forecast, prices growth will be slower at first, but accelerate toward the end of the period. Meanwhile, Central London prime property prices are projected to experience a stronger growth rate.
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According to the forecast, house prices in London are expected to fall slightly in 2024, followed by a recovery in the following years. The decline can be explained with the cost of living crisis and the dramatic increase in borrowing costs. As the economy recovers in the next five-years, house prices for mainstream properties are forecast to rise by almost 14 percent. In 2023, the average house price in London ranged between 350,000 British pounds and 1.4 million British pounds, depending on the borough. Barking and Dagenham, Bexley, Newham, and Croydon were some of the most affordable boroughs to buy a house.
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The Report Covers UK Residential Real Estate Market Overview and Trends. The Market is Segmented by Type (Apartments and Condominiums and Landed Houses and Villas) and by Key Regions (England, Wales, Northern Ireland, Scotland, and Other Regions).
Prices for prime residential real estate in Central London were expected to decline slightly in 2024, followed by a gradual increase until 2028, according to a August 2024 forecast. During the five-year period, the prices are forecast to rise by 16.4 percent. In comparison, regional prime property prices and Outer London prime property prices are forecast to grow at a lower rate.
Residential Real Estate Market Size 2024-2028
The residential real estate market size is forecast to increase by USD 482.1 billion at a CAGR of 4.6% between 2023 and 2028.
The market is experiencing significant growth, driven by increasing demand from a growing population and urbanization trends. This demand is further fueled by marketing initiatives from real estate developers and agents, who are leveraging digital platforms and creative campaigns to attract buyers. However, regulatory uncertainty poses a challenge to market growth, with varying regulations and policies in different regions impacting investment decisions. For companies seeking to capitalize on market opportunities, it is essential to stay informed of regulatory changes and adapt strategies accordingly. Additionally, collaboration with local experts and partnerships with regulatory bodies can help navigate complex regulatory landscapes and ensure compliance. Overall, the market presents significant opportunities for growth, but requires a strategic approach to address regulatory challenges and effectively target demand. Companies that can navigate these challenges and adapt to local market conditions will be well-positioned to succeed in this dynamic market.
What will be the Size of the Residential Real Estate Market during the forecast period?
Request Free SampleThe market continues to exhibit activity, driven by strong economic fundamentals and population growth. In nominal terms, the market size reached an all-time high in the latest fiscal year, with discerning buyers demonstrating continued interest in spacious accommodations. However, macroeconomic headwinds, such as rising interest rates and inflation, pose challenges for some potential homebuyers. Economic factors, including GDP per capita and purchasing power, remain essential support for the housing market. Despite these conditions, property launches in the luxury residential sector have shown resilience, catering to the demand for high-end living spaces. Residential construction remains a critical component of the market, with new housing units being added to meet the growing demand for homes. Overall, the market is expected to remain a significant contributor to the economy, offering opportunities for both investors and homebuyers.
How is this Residential Real Estate Industry segmented?
The residential real estate industry research report provides comprehensive data (region-wise segment analysis), with forecasts and estimates in 'USD billion' for the period 2024-2028, as well as historical data from 2018-2022 for the following segments. Mode Of BookingSalesRental/LeaseTypeApartments and condominiumsLanded houses and villasGeographyAPACChinaJapanNorth AmericaUSEuropeGermanyUKSouth AmericaMiddle East and Africa
By Mode Of Booking Insights
The sales segment is estimated to witness significant growth during the forecast period.
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The Sales segment was valued at USD 896.60 billion in 2018 and showed a gradual increase during the forecast period.
Regional Analysis
APAC is estimated to contribute 54% to the growth of the global market during the forecast period.Technavio’s analysts have elaborately explained the regional trends and drivers that shape the market during the forecast period.
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The market in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region held the largest market share in 2023 and is anticipated to continue leading the market growth during the forecast period. Key drivers of this expansion include population growth and increasing purchasing power, leading to a in demand for spacious accommodations. Rapid urbanization and economic fundamentals, such as GDP per capita, have fueled the construction of new housing units, particularly in countries like India and China. Furthermore, domestic demand and foreign homebuyers have contributed to the unsold inventory overhang, creating investment opportunities in underconstruction properties. Despite these positive indicators, challenges persist, including affordability concerns and critical input costs. In the context of the US housing market, the residential real estate sector offers investment opportunities through traditional options, such as home ownership and rental cash flow, as well as low-risk methods, like investment portfolios. Key economic factors, such as interest rates and supply metrics, impact residential property prices, which may vary in real and nominal terms. The market is also influenced by changing consumer preferences, regulatory reforms, and technological transformation, including home automation and cutting-edge strategies.
Market Dynamics
Our researchers analyzed the data with 2023 as the base year, along with the key drivers, trends, and challenges. A holi
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This dataset uses the median/lower quartile house price data sourced from ONS House Price Statistics for Small Areas (HPSSA) statistical release for years 2013-2015 and house price data sourced directly from Land Registry prior to 2013. This leads to slight differences in the distribution of affordability ratios before and after 2013 which should be noted if the dataset is used as a time series. It is planned to update the ratios with the HPSSA dataset for all years in the future. The house price data is then compared to the median/lower quartile income data of full time workers from the Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (ASHE) produced by the ONS. This data was derived from Table 576 and 577, available for download as an Excel spreadsheet from the Live tables page (https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/live-tables-on-housing-market-and-house-prices). More details about the data sources are also available in the link provided.
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License information was derived automatically
This dataset contains the ratio of lower quartile/median house price to lower quartile/median earnings in England
This dataset uses the median/lower quartile house price data sourced from ONS House Price Statistics for Small Areas (HPSSA) statistical release for years 2013-2015 and house price data sourced directly from Land Registry prior to 2013. This leads to slight differences in the distribution of affordability ratios before and after 2013 which should be noted if the dataset is used as a time series. It is planned to update the ratios with the HPSSA dataset for all years in the future.
The house price data is then compared to the median/lower quartile income data of full time workers from the Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (ASHE) produced by the ONS.
This data was derived from Table 576 and 577, available for download as an Excel spreadsheet from the Live tables page (https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/live-tables-on-housing-market-and-house-prices). More details about the data sources are also available in the link provided.
Rental rates of prime rental properties in Central London are forecast to increase by about one percent more than prime properties in the commuter zone between 2024 and 2028. Rental growth during this period is expected to reach 19 percent in Central London and almost 17 percent in Outer London. Most of the increase is forecast to take place in 2026. In comparison, rents of mainstream properties are expected to increase at a lower rate.
The borough with the highest property prices in London, Kensington and Chelsea, had an average price for a flat that was about 600,000 British pounds higher than the London average. London is the most populous metropolitan area in the UK, and living in it comes with a price tag. Unsurprisingly, the most expensive boroughs in terms of real estate prices are located in the heart of the metropolis: Kensington and Chelsea, the City of Westminster, and the City of London. In Kensington and Chelsea, home to several museums such as the Natural History Museum, the Victoria and Albert Museum, and the Science Museum, as well as galleries and theaters, the average price of apartments was over million British pounds. How have residential property prices developed in recent years? The average house price in England declined slightly in 2023 after increasing year-on-year since 2008. The housing market in Wales also experienced a mild correction, but prices in Scotland and Northern Ireland continued to grow. Since 2015, the base year of the UK House Price Index, house prices in London have risen by over 30 percent. In London, the cost of a flat decreased by 0.3 percent year-on-year as of June 2024. However, some of the most expensive boroughs recorded a decline of over 10 percent. Are residential property prices in London expected to grow in the future? Despite property prices declining in 2023, the market is forecast to continue to grow in the next five years, according to a March 2023 forecast. Some of the reasons for this are the robust demand for housing, the chronic shortage of residential properties and the anticipated decline in mortgage interest rates.
The UK residential rental market is poised for significant growth, with forecasts indicating a cumulative increase of nearly 18 percent by 2029. This surge is expected to be front-loaded, with a robust eight percent rise anticipated in 2024. Rental growth has accelerated notably since 2021, with August 2024 experiencing a decade-high annual percentage growth. The trend reflects the complex interplay between housing affordability, mortgage rates, and supply of rental homes, as the UK housing market navigates a period of transition.
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The UK home improvement market size reached USD 14.4 Billion in 2024. Looking forward, IMARC Group expects the market to reach USD 21.6 Billion by 2033, exhibiting a growth rate (CAGR) of 4.3% during 2025-2033. The market is propelled by the rising demand for energy-efficient homes, increased focus on home aesthetics and interior design, growing adoption of smart home technology, and a rise in DIY projects and home renovation during the pandemic.
The average house price in the Canadian province of Prince Edward Island stood at 382,659 Canadian dollars in 2023 and was expected to decline in the next two years. By 2025, the average house price is forecast to reach 375,867 Canadian dollars. Compared to other provinces in Canada, Prince Edward Island stood below the national average in terms of house prices. Nevertheless, housing was still significantly more expensive than in Newfoundland and New Brunswick. House prices in Canada Prince Edward Island is one of the most affordable Canadian provinces for buying a house, with prices almost half below the national median in 2023. The national figure is somewhat skewed however by the extremely high cost of housing in British Colombia, and, to a lesser extent, Ontario. A better measure of affordability is the provincial house-price-to-income ratio, which shows Prince Edward Island to be the second most affordable province. Global comparison Canada is one of the most expensive countries in the OECD in terms of house-price-to-income ratio. In 2022, Canada scored higher than the United States, the UK, and Korea. That means that the cost of housing has increased at a much higher rate than the average income in the country.
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The Australian mortgage market was characterized by a sharp slowdown in mortgage balances in 2019 after years of growth – and this trend is expected to continue well into 2020. Property prices this year are expected to decline between 15% and 30% overall as COVID-19 temporarily freezes the market. However, mortgage balance growth to 2024 is expected to be positive overall, with the rebound beginning in 2021 Read More
Abstract copyright UK Data Service and data collection copyright owner. The original aims of the Migration and Housing Choice Survey (MHCS) were, firstly, to provide a comprehensive picture of the private housing market, including areas of search, criteria for selection of houses and the characteristics of first-time buyers; secondly, to support forecasts of housing requirement by providing an indication of the number and types of households which were being formed; and finally, to provide an input into future land allocation policies to meet housing requirements by, for example, illustrating movement between areas and tenure changes. It was hoped that the MHCS responses in Strathclyde would provide an input to the monitoring of Strathclyde's Structure Plan by providing information on the operation of the private sector housing market, in terms of migration patterns, search patterns and motivations. These developed into more general aims as the scale of the survey grew; firstly, to obtain information on the movers' characteristics; secondly, to explore their preferences for housing type and location; and thirdly and most importantly, to examine the motivation for their move. Generally, this national dataset aimed to examine the patterns and especially the processes involved in migration in Scotland. Main Topics: The dataset provides a broad range of information about respondents' house moving experiences, including relevant demographics and motivations for moving. Simple random sample 25% - right-to-buy and commercial properties were excluded before the sample was drawn
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Further information can be found by following the Local Government Transparency Code 2015 below.
Just as in many other countries, the housing market in the UK grew substantially during the coronavirus pandemic, fueled by robust demand and low borrowing costs. Nevertheless, high inflation and the increase in mortgage rates has led to house price growth slowing down. According to the forecast, 2024 is expected to see house prices decrease by three percent. Between 2024 and 2028, the average house price growth is projected at 2.7 percent. A contraction after a period of continuous growth In June 2022, the UK's house price index exceeded 150 index points, meaning that since 2015 which was the base year for the index, house prices had increased by 50 percent. In just two years, between 2020 and 2022, the index surged by 30 index points. As the market stood in December 2023, the average price for a home stood at approximately 284,691 British pounds. Rents are expected to continue to grow According to another forecast, the prime residential market is also expected to see rental prices grow in the next years. Growth is forecast to be stronger in 2024 and slow down in the period between 2025 and 2028. The rental market in London is expected to follow a similar trend, with Central London slightly outperforming Greater London.