UK Gas fell to 72.60 GBp/thm on December 2, 2025, down 1.67% from the previous day. Over the past month, UK Gas's price has fallen 11.75%, and is down 40.33% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. UK Natural Gas - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

The National Balancing Point (NBP), the UK's natural gas benchmark, amounted to 78.76 British pence per therm on October 27, 2025, for contracts with delivery in November. Prices are generally higher in the winter months due to greater gas heating demand, especially in weeks of colder weather. The UK NBP, along with the Dutch TTF, serve as benchmarks for natural gas prices in Europe. Impact on consumer prices and household expenditure post-2022 Fluctuations in wholesale natural gas prices often have immediate impacts on UK consumers. In 2024, the consumer price index for gas in the UK rose to 146.2 index points, using 2015 as the base year. This increase has translated into higher household expenditure on gas, which reached approximately 18.71 billion British pounds in 2024. This figure represents a 40 percent increase from 2021, highlighting the growing financial burden on UK households. Consumption patterns and supply challenges The residential and commercial sectors remain the largest consumers of natural gas in the UK, using an estimated 42 billion cubic meters in 2024. This was followed by the power sector, which consumed about 13 billion cubic meters. The UK's reliance on gas imports has grown due to declining domestic production. This shift has led to an increased dependence on liquefied natural gas imports and pipeline inflows to meet demand.

Natural gas rose to 4.94 USD/MMBtu on December 3, 2025, up 2.04% from the previous day. Over the past month, Natural gas's price has risen 13.71%, and is up 62.29% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Natural gas - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

TTF Gas fell to 27.92 EUR/MWh on December 3, 2025, down 0.17% from the previous day. Over the past month, TTF Gas's price has fallen 14.22%, and is down 40.94% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. EU Natural Gas - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

The average gas price in Great Britain in July 2025 was 79.28 British pence per therm. This was five pence lower than the same month the year prior and follows a trend of increasing gas prices. Energy prices in the UK Energy prices in the UK have been exceptionally volatile throughout the 2020s. Multiple factors, such as a lack of gas storage availability and the large share of gas in heating, have exacerbated the supply issue in the UK that followed the Russia-Ukraine war. This has also led to many smaller suppliers announcing bankruptcy, while an upped price cap threatened the energy security of numerous households. The United Kingdom has some of the highest household electricity prices worldwide. How is gas used in the UK? According to a 2023 survey conducted by the UK Department for Energy Security and Net Zero, 58 percent of respondents used gas as a heating method during the winter months. On average, household expenditure on energy from gas in the UK stood at some 24.9 billion British pounds in 2023, double the amount spent just two years prior.

Daily data showing SAP of gas, and rolling seven-day average, traded in Great Britain over the On-the-Day Commodity Market (OCM). These are official statistics in development. Source: National Gas Transmission.

In 2024, the price of natural gas in Europe reached 11 constant U.S. dollars per million British thermal units, compared with 2.2 U.S. dollars in the U.S. This was a notable decrease compared to the previous year, which had seen a steep increase in prices due to an energy supply shortage exacerbated by the Russia-Ukraine war. Since 1980, natural gas prices have typically been higher in Europe than in the United States and are expected to remain so for the coming two years. This is due to the U.S. being a significantly larger natural gas producer than Europe. What is natural gas and why is it gaining ground in the energy market? Natural gas is commonly burned in power plants with combustion turbines that generate electricity or used as a heating fuel. Given the fact that the world’s energy demand continues to grow, natural gas was seen by some industry leaders as an acceptable "bridge-fuel" to overcome the use of more emission-intensive energy sources such as coal. Subsequently, natural gas has become the main fuel for electricity generation in the U.S., while the global gas power generation share has reached over 22 percent. How domestic production shapes U.S. natural gas prices The combination of hydraulic fracturing (“fracking”) and horizontal drilling can be regarded as one of the oil and gas industry’s biggest breakthroughs in decades, with the U.S. being the largest beneficiary. This technology has helped the industry release unprecedented quantities of gas from deposits, mainly shale and tar sands that were previously thought either inaccessible or uneconomic. It is forecast that U.S. shale gas production could reach 36 trillion cubic feet in 2050, up from 1.77 trillion cubic feet in 2000.

The average monthly price for natural gas in the United States amounted to *** nominal U.S. dollars per million British thermal units (Btu) in October 2025. By contrast, natural gas prices in Europe were about three times higher than those in the U.S. Prices in Europe tend to be notably higher than those in the U.S. as the latter benefits from being a major hydrocarbon producer. Europe's import reliance European prices for natural gas rose most notable throughout the second half of 2021 and much of 2022, peaking at over ** U.S. dollars per million Btu in August 2022. The sharp rise was due to supply chain issues and economic strain following the COVID-19 pandemic, which was further exacerbated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in early 2022. As a result of the war, many countries began looking for alternative sources, and Russian pipeline gas imports to the European Union declined as a result. Meanwhile, LNG was a great beneficiary, with LNG demand in Europe rising by more than ** percent between 2021 and 2024. How domestic natural gas production shapes prices As intimated, the United States’ position among the leaders of worldwide natural gas production is one of the main reasons for why prices for this commodity are so low across the country. In 2024, the U.S. produced more than ************ cubic meters of natural gas, which allays domestic demand and allows for far lower purchasing prices.

The price of gas in the United Kingdom was *** British pence per therm in the fourth quarter of 2024. It is anticipated gas prices will increase to *** pence in the second quarter of 2025 before gradually falling to just under ** pence by the second quarter of 2027.
Surging energy costs and the cost of living crisis At the height of the UK's cost of living crisis in 2022, approximately ** percent of UK households were experiencing rising prices compared with the previous month. It was during 2022 that the UK's CPI inflation rate reached a peak of **** percent, in October of that year. Food and energy, in particular, were the main drivers of inflation during this period, with energy inflation reaching **** percent, and food prices increasing by **** percent at the height of the crisis. Although prices fell to more expected levels by 2024, an uptick in inflation is forecast for 2025, with prices rising by *** percent in the third quarter of the year. Global Inflation Crisis The UK was not alone in suffering rapid inflation during this time period, with several countries across the world experiencing an inflation crisis. The roots of the crisis began as the global economy gradually emerged from the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021. Blocked-up supply chains, struggled to recover as quickly as consumer demand, with food and energy prices also facing upward pressure. Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 led to Europe gradually weening itself of cheap Russian energy exports, while for several months Ukraine struggled to export crucial food supplies to the rest of the World.

Hong Kong SAR (China) Imports: UK: Natural & Manufactured Gas data was reported at 0.304 HKD mn in Jan 2025. This records an increase from the previous number of 0.028 HKD mn for Aug 2023. Hong Kong SAR (China) Imports: UK: Natural & Manufactured Gas data is updated monthly, averaging 0.092 HKD mn from Apr 2012 (Median) to Jan 2025, with 14 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.346 HKD mn in Jan 2022 and a record low of 0.004 HKD mn in Apr 2012. Hong Kong SAR (China) Imports: UK: Natural & Manufactured Gas data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Census and Statistics Department. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Hong Kong SAR (China) – Table HK.JA028: Imports: by Country and Commodity: by 2 Digit SITC Code.

United Kingdom Import: SITC: Vol: Gas, Natural & Manufactured data was reported at 5,921,063.100 Tonne in Sep 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 7,430,091.500 Tonne for Jun 2018. United Kingdom Import: SITC: Vol: Gas, Natural & Manufactured data is updated quarterly, averaging 7,004,207.800 Tonne from Dec 2004 (Median) to Sep 2018, with 56 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 13,626,524.700 Tonne in Mar 2013 and a record low of 1,564,750.900 Tonne in Sep 2005. United Kingdom Import: SITC: Vol: Gas, Natural & Manufactured data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by UK Trade Info. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United Kingdom – Table UK.JA012: Imports: Volume: By Commodity Group.

United Kingdom Export: SITC: Vol: Gas, Natural & Manufactured data was reported at 3,730,501.200 Tonne in Sep 2018. This records an increase from the previous number of 1,765,038.100 Tonne for Jun 2018. United Kingdom Export: SITC: Vol: Gas, Natural & Manufactured data is updated quarterly, averaging 1,900,367.600 Tonne from Jun 1999 (Median) to Sep 2018, with 78 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4,636,483.000 Tonne in Sep 2016 and a record low of 504,652.500 Tonne in Sep 2007. United Kingdom Export: SITC: Vol: Gas, Natural & Manufactured data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by UK Trade Info. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United Kingdom – Table UK.JA024: Exports: SITC: Volume: By Commodity Group.

Electricity prices in Europe are expected to remain volatile through 2025, with Italy projected to have some of the highest rates among major European economies. This trend reflects the ongoing challenges in the energy sector, including the transition to renewable sources and the impact of geopolitical events on supply chains. Despite efforts to stabilize the market, prices still have not returned to pre-pandemic levels, such as in countries like Italy, where prices are forecast to reach ****** euros per megawatt hour in September 2025. Natural gas futures shaping electricity costs The electricity market's future trajectory is closely tied to natural gas prices, a key component in power generation. Dutch TTF gas futures, a benchmark for European natural gas prices, are projected to be ***** euros per megawatt hour in July 2025. The reduced output from the Groningen gas field and increased reliance on imports further complicate the pricing landscape, potentially contributing to higher electricity costs in countries like Italy. Regional disparities and global market influences While European electricity prices remain high, significant regional differences persist. For instance, natural gas prices in the United States are expected to be roughly one-third of those in Europe by March 2025, at **** U.S. dollars per million British thermal units. This stark contrast highlights the impact of domestic production capabilities on global natural gas prices. Europe's greater reliance on imports, particularly in the aftermath of geopolitical tensions and the shift away from Russian gas, continues to keep prices elevated compared to more self-sufficient markets. As a result, countries like Italy may face sustained pressure on electricity prices due to their position within the broader European energy market. As of August 2025, electricity prices in Italy have decreased to ****** euros per megawatt hour, reflecting ongoing volatility in the market.

These data accompany the publication "Trends, Reversion, and Critical Phenomena in Financial Markets".

They contain daily data from Jan 1992 to Dec 2019 on 24 financial markets, namely

• 6 equity indices: S&P 500, TSE 60, DAX 30, FTSE 100, Nikkei 225, Hang Seng
• 6 Interest rates for government bonds: US 10-year, Canada 10-year, Germany 10-year, UK 10-year, Japan 10-year, Australia 3-year
• 6 FX rates: CAD/USD, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, JPY/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD
• 6 Commodities: Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Gold, Copper, Soybeans, Live Cattle

The data are provided in 13 columns:

• Column 1: date
• Column 2: market
• Column 3: daily log return of futures on that market, normalized to have mean 0 and standard deviation 1 over the 28-year time period
• Columns 4-13: trend strengths in that market over 10 different time horizons of (2,4,8,16,32,64,128,256,512,1024) business days.

The trend strengths are defined in the accompanying paper. They are cut off at plus/minus 2.5. The daily log returns were computed from daily futures prices, rolled 5 days prior to first notice, which were taken from Bloomberg. The following mean returns and volatilites were used to normalize the daily log returns in column 3:

Market Mean St. Dev.

S&P 500 2.217% 1.100% TSE 60 2.416% 1.067% DAX 30 1.199% 1.366% FTSE 100 1.053% 1.103% Nikkei 225 -0.483% 1.486% Hang Seng 0.768% 1.674% US 10-year 3.734% 0.366% Can. 10-year 3.637% 0.376% Ger. 10-year 4.141% 0.337% UK 10-year 2.983% 0.419% Jap. 10-year 4.453% 0.249% Aus. 3-year 3.029% 0.074% CAD/USD 0.048% 0.479% EUR/USD -0.222% 0.619% GBP/USD 0.316% 0.597% JPY/USD -0.761% 0.667% AUD/USD 0.851% 0.725% NZD/USD 1.563% 0.724% Crude Oil 0.093% 2.243% Natural Gas -2.649% 2.985% Gold 0.580% 0.987% Copper 0.936% 1.586% Soybeans 0.631% 1.360% Live Cattle 0.483% 0.894%

This data set is no longer updated. The information it contains is included in the council energy consumption data set. This dataset lists the costs and consumtion of gas and electricity of all schools in Leeds (council managed or otherwise) which use/used the Leeds City Council (LCC) energy contract supplied by Engie UK. Please note Comsumption values are in Kilowatt hours (kWh). The council's current supplier of electricity and gas is Engie UK. The council and Engie work in partnership to identify times when the price for the raw commodity (electricity or gas) is competitive on the market. The council will buy a specific volume based upon price and the shape of our consumption over the year. On top of this, Engie will bill the authority for any associated costs such as distribution, network, transmission etc. plus an administration fee. These costs will then be reflected in the overall cost of the commodity at each site. Not all schools have opted to use the council supplier for energy. Where this is the case the school will procure their own contract with a supplier and the council will not hold any data regarding their consumption or costs. Any enquiry regarding this will need to be directed through the school's Business Manager. Some schools may transfer into or out of the LCC contract part way through a financial year which will mean that that the data held by the council will not reflect a full financial year. This dataset only shows the costs and consumption of energy whilst the school is/was on the LLC contract. Some schools may have more than one meter (for different parts of the building or where they are transferring to smart meters) in which case the data for all meters is indicated in the dataset.

As of August 2025, the average annual price of Brent crude oil stood at 71.3 U.S. dollars per barrel. This is over nine U.S. dollars lower than the 2024 average. Brent is the world's leading price benchmark for Atlantic basin crude oils. Crude oil is one of the most closely observed commodity prices as it influences costs across all stages of the production process and consequently alters the price of consumer goods as well. What determines crude oil benchmarks? In the past decade, crude oil prices have been especially volatile. Their inherent inelasticity regarding short-term changes in demand and supply means that oil prices are erratic by nature. However, since the 2009 financial crisis, many commercial developments have greatly contributed to price volatility, such as economic growth by BRIC countries like China and India, and the advent of hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling in the U.S. The outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are examples of geopolitical events dictating prices. Light crude oils - Brent and WTI Brent Crude is considered a classification of sweet light crude oil and acts as a benchmark price for oil around the world. It is considered a sweet light crude oil due to its low sulfur content and low density and may be easily refined into gasoline. This oil originates in the North Sea and comprises several different oil blends, including Brent Blend and Ekofisk crude. Often, this crude oil is refined in Northwest Europe. Another sweet light oil often referenced alongside UK Brent is West Texas Intermediate (WTI). WTI oil prices amounted to 76.55 U.S. dollars per barrel in 2024.

Wholesale electricity prices in the United Kingdom hit a record-high in 2022, reaching **** British pence per kilowatt-hour that year. Projections indicate that prices are bound to decrease steadily in the next few years, falling under **** pence per kilowatt-hour by 2030.

Crude Oil fell to 59.17 USD/Bbl on December 2, 2025, down 0.25% from the previous day. Over the past month, Crude Oil's price has fallen 3.08%, and is down 15.40% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Crude Oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

Brent fell to 63.05 USD/Bbl on December 2, 2025, down 0.19% from the previous day. Over the past month, Brent's price has fallen 2.84%, and is down 14.36% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Brent crude oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.

LME Index rose to 4,700 Index Points on October 29, 2025, up 0.79% from the previous day. Over the past month, LME Index's price has risen 7.33%, and is up 13.22% compared to the same time last year, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. LME Index - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on December of 2025.