Fuel prices, already high due to a recovering post-pandemic economy, surged even higher after Russia's invasion of Ukraine on February 2022. As of May of that same year, UCOME (used cooking oil methyl ester) average wholesale prices were higher than any other fuel, standing at 2,607 U.S. dollars per metric ton of oil equivalent. This represented an increase of over 124 percent when compared to 2018/2019 average prices. However, the largest price increase was reported for TME (tallow methyl ester). As of May 2022, TME's average wholesale price amounted to 1,112 U.S. dollars per metric ton of oil equivalent, up by more than 133 percent in comparison to 2018/2019.

The average monthly price for natural gas in the United States amounted to *** nominal U.S. dollars per million British thermal units (Btu) in October 2025. By contrast, natural gas prices in Europe were about three times higher than those in the U.S. Prices in Europe tend to be notably higher than those in the U.S. as the latter benefits from being a major hydrocarbon producer. Europe's import reliance European prices for natural gas rose most notable throughout the second half of 2021 and much of 2022, peaking at over ** U.S. dollars per million Btu in August 2022. The sharp rise was due to supply chain issues and economic strain following the COVID-19 pandemic, which was further exacerbated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in early 2022. As a result of the war, many countries began looking for alternative sources, and Russian pipeline gas imports to the European Union declined as a result. Meanwhile, LNG was a great beneficiary, with LNG demand in Europe rising by more than ** percent between 2021 and 2024. How domestic natural gas production shapes prices As intimated, the United States’ position among the leaders of worldwide natural gas production is one of the main reasons for why prices for this commodity are so low across the country. In 2024, the U.S. produced more than ************ cubic meters of natural gas, which allays domestic demand and allows for far lower purchasing prices.

Natural gas producers are facing turbulent times. Europe has traditionally relied on Russia and Norway as internal sources of natural gas, while countries such as the US, Qatar and Algeria are major sources of imports (although accounting for a much smaller share of overall consumption). Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has shaken up Europe’s natural gas supply structure, with European governments making efforts to reduce their dependence on Russian gas supplies. Revenue is forecast to swell at a compound annual rate of 16.2% to €113.9 billion over the five years through 2025. Revenue expanded in 2021 and 2022 as a sharp hike in natural gas prices and a post-pandemic rise in demand drove an increase in exploration and production activity. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine led to a spike in natural gas prices, with the impacts of reduced demand for gas and a decrease in Russian gas production outweighed by soaring wholesale prices and heightened demand for other natural gas reserves, spurring a jump in revenue. An ongoing reduction in demand for natural gas and easing prices caused revenue to dip in 2023 and 2024. In 2025, revenue is slated to bounce back by 53.3% owing to geopolitical uncertainties, including trade wars and fresh sanctions on Russia, buoying natural gas prices. Revenue is forecast to rise at a compound annual rate of 2.3% over the five years through 2030 to just under €128 billion. The gas market will continue to be shaped by geopolitical tensions into the medium term, with the International Energy Agency expecting natural gas prices to remain high until 2025 as countries continue to shift their supply structure. Following this, natural gas demand and prices are set to fall as Europe continues to expand its renewables capacity.

As a result of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in late February 2022, the value of Russian gas imports to the European Union soared. The import value of Russian gas stood at around 171.8 million euros on February 21, just days before the start of the Russia-Ukraine war. By April 4, the Russian gas import value had surged to nearly 265 million euros. While the gas import value decreased substantially in spring and summer 2022, so did the gas import volume. In effect, the European Union paid more for less gas.

Natural gas producers are facing turbulent times. Europe has traditionally relied on Russia and Norway as internal sources of natural gas, while countries such as the US, Qatar and Algeria are major sources of imports (although accounting for a much smaller share of overall consumption). Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has shaken up Europe’s natural gas supply structure, with European governments making efforts to reduce their dependence on Russian gas supplies. Revenue is forecast to swell at a compound annual rate of 16.2% to €113.9 billion over the five years through 2025. Revenue expanded in 2021 and 2022 as a sharp hike in natural gas prices and a post-pandemic rise in demand drove an increase in exploration and production activity. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine led to a spike in natural gas prices, with the impacts of reduced demand for gas and a decrease in Russian gas production outweighed by soaring wholesale prices and heightened demand for other natural gas reserves, spurring a jump in revenue. An ongoing reduction in demand for natural gas and easing prices caused revenue to dip in 2023 and 2024. In 2025, revenue is slated to bounce back by 53.3% owing to geopolitical uncertainties, including trade wars and fresh sanctions on Russia, buoying natural gas prices. Revenue is forecast to rise at a compound annual rate of 2.3% over the five years through 2030 to just under €128 billion. The gas market will continue to be shaped by geopolitical tensions into the medium term, with the International Energy Agency expecting natural gas prices to remain high until 2025 as countries continue to shift their supply structure. Following this, natural gas demand and prices are set to fall as Europe continues to expand its renewables capacity.

This statistic shows the stock prices of selected oil and gas commodities from January 2, 2020 to February 4, 2025. After the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, energy prices climbed significantly. The highest increase can be observed for natural gas, whose price peaked in August and September 2022. By the beginning of 2023, natural gas price started to decline.

Natural gas producers are facing turbulent times. Europe has traditionally relied on Russia and Norway as internal sources of natural gas, while countries such as the US, Qatar and Algeria are major sources of imports (although accounting for a much smaller share of overall consumption). Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has shaken up Europe’s natural gas supply structure, with European governments making efforts to reduce their dependence on Russian gas supplies. Revenue is forecast to swell at a compound annual rate of 16.2% to €113.9 billion over the five years through 2025. Revenue expanded in 2021 and 2022 as a sharp hike in natural gas prices and a post-pandemic rise in demand drove an increase in exploration and production activity. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine led to a spike in natural gas prices, with the impacts of reduced demand for gas and a decrease in Russian gas production outweighed by soaring wholesale prices and heightened demand for other natural gas reserves, spurring a jump in revenue. An ongoing reduction in demand for natural gas and easing prices caused revenue to dip in 2023 and 2024. In 2025, revenue is slated to bounce back by 53.3% owing to geopolitical uncertainties, including trade wars and fresh sanctions on Russia, buoying natural gas prices. Revenue is forecast to rise at a compound annual rate of 2.3% over the five years through 2030 to just under €128 billion. The gas market will continue to be shaped by geopolitical tensions into the medium term, with the International Energy Agency expecting natural gas prices to remain high until 2025 as countries continue to shift their supply structure. Following this, natural gas demand and prices are set to fall as Europe continues to expand its renewables capacity.

Natural gas producers are facing turbulent times. Europe has traditionally relied on Russia and Norway as internal sources of natural gas, while countries such as the US, Qatar and Algeria are major sources of imports (although accounting for a much smaller share of overall consumption). Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has shaken up Europe’s natural gas supply structure, with European governments making efforts to reduce their dependence on Russian gas supplies. Revenue is forecast to swell at a compound annual rate of 16.2% to €113.9 billion over the five years through 2025. Revenue expanded in 2021 and 2022 as a sharp hike in natural gas prices and a post-pandemic rise in demand drove an increase in exploration and production activity. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine led to a spike in natural gas prices, with the impacts of reduced demand for gas and a decrease in Russian gas production outweighed by soaring wholesale prices and heightened demand for other natural gas reserves, spurring a jump in revenue. An ongoing reduction in demand for natural gas and easing prices caused revenue to dip in 2023 and 2024. In 2025, revenue is slated to bounce back by 53.3% owing to geopolitical uncertainties, including trade wars and fresh sanctions on Russia, buoying natural gas prices. Revenue is forecast to rise at a compound annual rate of 2.3% over the five years through 2030 to just under €128 billion. The gas market will continue to be shaped by geopolitical tensions into the medium term, with the International Energy Agency expecting natural gas prices to remain high until 2025 as countries continue to shift their supply structure. Following this, natural gas demand and prices are set to fall as Europe continues to expand its renewables capacity.

In the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the national average gasoline price in the U.S. rose sharply. In response, President Biden wanted Congress to temporarily suspend the 18.4 cents per gallon federal gasoline tax. However, critics pointed out that gas tax suspension could: (1) undermine U.S. climate policy goals by encouraging the use of gasoline cars, (2) threaten U.S. national security by providing additional oil revenue to the Russian government to expanding its military capacity, and (3) undermine the economy by defunding federal highway infrastructure. To systematically test how these critiques influenced public support for gas tax suspension, in May 2002, we administered an online survey experiment to a representative sample of U.S. respondents (N=1,705). We found that in spite of high inflation during the months when the survey was conducted, national security and the economy frames reduced public support for the gas tax suspension while the climate frame had no such effect.

During the week ending October 10, 2025, the price of automotive fuels in France recorded a slight decrease. The price of diesel was approximately **** euros per liter, including all taxes. The inflation since 2022 relates to increasing uncertainty over motor fuel supplies after Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24, 2022, and with the Hamas-Israel conflict that started in October 2023.

The Gas Utilities industry in Europe has been anything but steady recently. The Russia-Ukraine war has rocked the whole supply chain, with Russia tightening its gas supply, Europe hustling to cut its reliance on Russian gas and gas prices shooting up following the initial invasion. Amid unprecedented price increases and threats to the supply of gas into Europe, European governments have been forced to step in to support customers and protect energy supplies. All that aside, the industry remains threatened by a long-term decline in gas consumption and accelerating efforts to transition to renewable sources of energy. Revenue is forecast to climb at a compound annual rate of 1.4% over the five years through 2025, reaching €401.9 billion. This growth is almost solely attributable to a spike in revenue recorded during 2022, which followed a recovery from pandemic-induced lows during 2021, when prices and demand recovered as global economic activity rebounded. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine kicked off a period of significant disruption in energy markets, with a surge in gas prices leading to record revenue and profitability for gas manufacturers while causing substantial losses for gas suppliers. Wholesale prices have eased from record highs as European governments have reduced reliance on Russian gas. At the same time, a drop in demand for gas has also contributed to a revenue contraction since the height of the energy crisis. Revenue is set to decline by 3.9% in 2025. Revenue is forecast to increase at a compound annual rate of 1% to €422.2 billion over the five years through 2030. European markets are set to pursue a green revolution in the coming years, with investment in renewable energy sources gathering pace as European governments strive towards emissions reduction targets. Investment in green alternatives to natural gas is likely to lead to a fall in demand, with plans set out by the European Commission to at least triple solar thermal capacity by 2030, displacing the consumption of nine billion cubic metres of gas annually. Gas prices are set to continue to stabilise in the short term, before falling rapidly as renewable generation capacity rises.

The Gas Utilities industry in Europe has been anything but steady recently. The Russia-Ukraine war has rocked the whole supply chain, with Russia tightening its gas supply, Europe hustling to cut its reliance on Russian gas and gas prices shooting up following the initial invasion. Amid unprecedented price increases and threats to the supply of gas into Europe, European governments have been forced to step in to support customers and protect energy supplies. All that aside, the industry remains threatened by a long-term decline in gas consumption and accelerating efforts to transition to renewable sources of energy. Revenue is forecast to climb at a compound annual rate of 1.4% over the five years through 2025, reaching €401.9 billion. This growth is almost solely attributable to a spike in revenue recorded during 2022, which followed a recovery from pandemic-induced lows during 2021, when prices and demand recovered as global economic activity rebounded. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine kicked off a period of significant disruption in energy markets, with a surge in gas prices leading to record revenue and profitability for gas manufacturers while causing substantial losses for gas suppliers. Wholesale prices have eased from record highs as European governments have reduced reliance on Russian gas. At the same time, a drop in demand for gas has also contributed to a revenue contraction since the height of the energy crisis. Revenue is set to decline by 3.9% in 2025. Revenue is forecast to increase at a compound annual rate of 1% to €422.2 billion over the five years through 2030. European markets are set to pursue a green revolution in the coming years, with investment in renewable energy sources gathering pace as European governments strive towards emissions reduction targets. Investment in green alternatives to natural gas is likely to lead to a fall in demand, with plans set out by the European Commission to at least triple solar thermal capacity by 2030, displacing the consumption of nine billion cubic metres of gas annually. Gas prices are set to continue to stabilise in the short term, before falling rapidly as renewable generation capacity rises.

The Gas Utilities industry in Europe has been anything but steady recently. The Russia-Ukraine war has rocked the whole supply chain, with Russia tightening its gas supply, Europe hustling to cut its reliance on Russian gas and gas prices shooting up following the initial invasion. Amid unprecedented price increases and threats to the supply of gas into Europe, European governments have been forced to step in to support customers and protect energy supplies. All that aside, the industry remains threatened by a long-term decline in gas consumption and accelerating efforts to transition to renewable sources of energy. Revenue is forecast to climb at a compound annual rate of 1.4% over the five years through 2025, reaching €401.9 billion. This growth is almost solely attributable to a spike in revenue recorded during 2022, which followed a recovery from pandemic-induced lows during 2021, when prices and demand recovered as global economic activity rebounded. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine kicked off a period of significant disruption in energy markets, with a surge in gas prices leading to record revenue and profitability for gas manufacturers while causing substantial losses for gas suppliers. Wholesale prices have eased from record highs as European governments have reduced reliance on Russian gas. At the same time, a drop in demand for gas has also contributed to a revenue contraction since the height of the energy crisis. Revenue is set to decline by 3.9% in 2025. Revenue is forecast to increase at a compound annual rate of 1% to €422.2 billion over the five years through 2030. European markets are set to pursue a green revolution in the coming years, with investment in renewable energy sources gathering pace as European governments strive towards emissions reduction targets. Investment in green alternatives to natural gas is likely to lead to a fall in demand, with plans set out by the European Commission to at least triple solar thermal capacity by 2030, displacing the consumption of nine billion cubic metres of gas annually. Gas prices are set to continue to stabilise in the short term, before falling rapidly as renewable generation capacity rises.

The United States imported an average of 147,000 barrels of petroleum per day from Russia in 2022. The U.S. Congress passed a bill banning imports from oil, gas, coal, and other energy commodities from Russia in April 2022 as a reaction to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Other Western countries did the same as an effort to penalize and put economic pressure on Russia. According to a survey from March 2022, 49 percent of U.S. registered voters supported the government's sanctions on Russian oil exports.

Market and price uncertainty

Even though Russia was among the leading countries for petroleum imports into the U.S., market disruptions caused by the imposed sanctions have still severely impacted U.S. average gas prices. In June 2022, gasoline prices reached a new peak of more than five U.S. dollars per gallon. By comparison, diesel prices climbed to around 5.8 U.S. dollars. With the world still grappling with the economic repercussions brought on by the pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine war added another layer of uncertainty over market development. According to a June 2022 outlook, the average global GDP growth forecast change due to the Russia-Ukraine war was a 1.44 percent decrease to the projection made before the war. Only five countries out of the 42 included in the study were forecast to have a positive GDP growth.

Roughly half of U.S. registered voters support the government's sanctions on Russian oil exports. In the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the U.S. administration has imposed sanctions on Russia that also include trading of oil and gas. According to a survey from **********, ** percent of Democrats and ** percent of Republicans said they would welcome sanctions on oil even if it causes prices to rise. However, the same survey also found that nearly ** percent of U.S. registered voters are very concerned over the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on gasoline prices at home.

The Gas Utilities industry in Europe has been anything but steady recently. The Russia-Ukraine war has rocked the whole supply chain, with Russia tightening its gas supply, Europe hustling to cut its reliance on Russian gas and gas prices shooting up following the initial invasion. Amid unprecedented price increases and threats to the supply of gas into Europe, European governments have been forced to step in to support customers and protect energy supplies. All that aside, the industry remains threatened by a long-term decline in gas consumption and accelerating efforts to transition to renewable sources of energy. Revenue is forecast to climb at a compound annual rate of 1.4% over the five years through 2025, reaching €401.9 billion. This growth is almost solely attributable to a spike in revenue recorded during 2022, which followed a recovery from pandemic-induced lows during 2021, when prices and demand recovered as global economic activity rebounded. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine kicked off a period of significant disruption in energy markets, with a surge in gas prices leading to record revenue and profitability for gas manufacturers while causing substantial losses for gas suppliers. Wholesale prices have eased from record highs as European governments have reduced reliance on Russian gas. At the same time, a drop in demand for gas has also contributed to a revenue contraction since the height of the energy crisis. Revenue is set to decline by 3.9% in 2025. Revenue is forecast to increase at a compound annual rate of 1% to €422.2 billion over the five years through 2030. European markets are set to pursue a green revolution in the coming years, with investment in renewable energy sources gathering pace as European governments strive towards emissions reduction targets. Investment in green alternatives to natural gas is likely to lead to a fall in demand, with plans set out by the European Commission to at least triple solar thermal capacity by 2030, displacing the consumption of nine billion cubic metres of gas annually. Gas prices are set to continue to stabilise in the short term, before falling rapidly as renewable generation capacity rises.

The Gas Utilities industry in Europe has been anything but steady recently. The Russia-Ukraine war has rocked the whole supply chain, with Russia tightening its gas supply, Europe hustling to cut its reliance on Russian gas and gas prices shooting up following the initial invasion. Amid unprecedented price increases and threats to the supply of gas into Europe, European governments have been forced to step in to support customers and protect energy supplies. All that aside, the industry remains threatened by a long-term decline in gas consumption and accelerating efforts to transition to renewable sources of energy. Revenue is forecast to climb at a compound annual rate of 1.4% over the five years through 2025, reaching €401.9 billion. This growth is almost solely attributable to a spike in revenue recorded during 2022, which followed a recovery from pandemic-induced lows during 2021, when prices and demand recovered as global economic activity rebounded. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine kicked off a period of significant disruption in energy markets, with a surge in gas prices leading to record revenue and profitability for gas manufacturers while causing substantial losses for gas suppliers. Wholesale prices have eased from record highs as European governments have reduced reliance on Russian gas. At the same time, a drop in demand for gas has also contributed to a revenue contraction since the height of the energy crisis. Revenue is set to decline by 3.9% in 2025. Revenue is forecast to increase at a compound annual rate of 1% to €422.2 billion over the five years through 2030. European markets are set to pursue a green revolution in the coming years, with investment in renewable energy sources gathering pace as European governments strive towards emissions reduction targets. Investment in green alternatives to natural gas is likely to lead to a fall in demand, with plans set out by the European Commission to at least triple solar thermal capacity by 2030, displacing the consumption of nine billion cubic metres of gas annually. Gas prices are set to continue to stabilise in the short term, before falling rapidly as renewable generation capacity rises.

The price of gas in the United Kingdom was *** British pence per therm in the fourth quarter of 2024. It is anticipated gas prices will increase to *** pence in the second quarter of 2025 before gradually falling to just under ** pence by the second quarter of 2027.
Surging energy costs and the cost of living crisis At the height of the UK's cost of living crisis in 2022, approximately ** percent of UK households were experiencing rising prices compared with the previous month. It was during 2022 that the UK's CPI inflation rate reached a peak of **** percent, in October of that year. Food and energy, in particular, were the main drivers of inflation during this period, with energy inflation reaching **** percent, and food prices increasing by **** percent at the height of the crisis. Although prices fell to more expected levels by 2024, an uptick in inflation is forecast for 2025, with prices rising by *** percent in the third quarter of the year. Global Inflation Crisis The UK was not alone in suffering rapid inflation during this time period, with several countries across the world experiencing an inflation crisis. The roots of the crisis began as the global economy gradually emerged from the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021. Blocked-up supply chains, struggled to recover as quickly as consumer demand, with food and energy prices also facing upward pressure. Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 led to Europe gradually weening itself of cheap Russian energy exports, while for several months Ukraine struggled to export crucial food supplies to the rest of the World.

The Gas Utilities industry in Europe has been anything but steady recently. The Russia-Ukraine war has rocked the whole supply chain, with Russia tightening its gas supply, Europe hustling to cut its reliance on Russian gas and gas prices shooting up following the initial invasion. Amid unprecedented price increases and threats to the supply of gas into Europe, European governments have been forced to step in to support customers and protect energy supplies. All that aside, the industry remains threatened by a long-term decline in gas consumption and accelerating efforts to transition to renewable sources of energy. Revenue is forecast to climb at a compound annual rate of 1.4% over the five years through 2025, reaching €401.9 billion. This growth is almost solely attributable to a spike in revenue recorded during 2022, which followed a recovery from pandemic-induced lows during 2021, when prices and demand recovered as global economic activity rebounded. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine kicked off a period of significant disruption in energy markets, with a surge in gas prices leading to record revenue and profitability for gas manufacturers while causing substantial losses for gas suppliers. Wholesale prices have eased from record highs as European governments have reduced reliance on Russian gas. At the same time, a drop in demand for gas has also contributed to a revenue contraction since the height of the energy crisis. Revenue is set to decline by 3.9% in 2025. Revenue is forecast to increase at a compound annual rate of 1% to €422.2 billion over the five years through 2030. European markets are set to pursue a green revolution in the coming years, with investment in renewable energy sources gathering pace as European governments strive towards emissions reduction targets. Investment in green alternatives to natural gas is likely to lead to a fall in demand, with plans set out by the European Commission to at least triple solar thermal capacity by 2030, displacing the consumption of nine billion cubic metres of gas annually. Gas prices are set to continue to stabilise in the short term, before falling rapidly as renewable generation capacity rises.

The Gas Utilities industry in Europe has been anything but steady recently. The Russia-Ukraine war has rocked the whole supply chain, with Russia tightening its gas supply, Europe hustling to cut its reliance on Russian gas and gas prices shooting up following the initial invasion. Amid unprecedented price increases and threats to the supply of gas into Europe, European governments have been forced to step in to support customers and protect energy supplies. All that aside, the industry remains threatened by a long-term decline in gas consumption and accelerating efforts to transition to renewable sources of energy. Revenue is forecast to climb at a compound annual rate of 1.4% over the five years through 2025, reaching €401.9 billion. This growth is almost solely attributable to a spike in revenue recorded during 2022, which followed a recovery from pandemic-induced lows during 2021, when prices and demand recovered as global economic activity rebounded. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine kicked off a period of significant disruption in energy markets, with a surge in gas prices leading to record revenue and profitability for gas manufacturers while causing substantial losses for gas suppliers. Wholesale prices have eased from record highs as European governments have reduced reliance on Russian gas. At the same time, a drop in demand for gas has also contributed to a revenue contraction since the height of the energy crisis. Revenue is set to decline by 3.9% in 2025. Revenue is forecast to increase at a compound annual rate of 1% to €422.2 billion over the five years through 2030. European markets are set to pursue a green revolution in the coming years, with investment in renewable energy sources gathering pace as European governments strive towards emissions reduction targets. Investment in green alternatives to natural gas is likely to lead to a fall in demand, with plans set out by the European Commission to at least triple solar thermal capacity by 2030, displacing the consumption of nine billion cubic metres of gas annually. Gas prices are set to continue to stabilise in the short term, before falling rapidly as renewable generation capacity rises.