100+ datasets found
  1. J

    Oil prices, gasoline prices, and inflation expectations (replication data)

    • journaldata.zbw.eu
    • jda-test.zbw.eu
    txt, zip
    Updated Dec 7, 2022
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    Lutz Kilian; Xiaoqing Zhou; Lutz Kilian; Xiaoqing Zhou (2022). Oil prices, gasoline prices, and inflation expectations (replication data) [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.15456/jae.2022327.072416
    Explore at:
    zip(118513277), txt(1970)Available download formats
    Dataset updated
    Dec 7, 2022
    Dataset provided by
    ZBW - Leibniz Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
    Authors
    Lutz Kilian; Xiaoqing Zhou; Lutz Kilian; Xiaoqing Zhou
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    It has long been suspected, given the salience of gasoline prices, that fluctuations in gasoline prices shift households' 1-year inflation expectations. Assessing this view empirically requires the use of dynamic structural models to quantify the cumulative effect of gasoline price shocks on household inflation expectations at each point in time. We find that, on average, gasoline price shocks account for 42% of the variation in these expectations. The cumulative increase in household inflation expectations from early 2009 to early 2013, in particular, is almost entirely explained by unexpectedly rising gasoline prices. However, there is no support for the view that the improved fit of the Phillips curve augmented by household inflation expectations during 2009 2013 is mainly explained by rising gasoline prices.

  2. T

    Gasoline - Price Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • tr.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jul 1, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Gasoline - Price Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/gasoline
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    json, csv, xml, excelAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 1, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Oct 3, 2005 - Jul 1, 2025
    Area covered
    World
    Description

    Gasoline rose to 2.10 USD/Gal on July 1, 2025, up 1.85% from the previous day. Over the past month, Gasoline's price has risen 1.77%, but it is still 18.30% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Gasoline - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  3. Gas Prices Dataset

    • figshare.com
    • dataverse.harvard.edu
    txt
    Updated May 31, 2023
    + more versions
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    Fernando Chirigati (2023). Gas Prices Dataset [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.3187531.v1
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    txtAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 31, 2023
    Dataset provided by
    Figsharehttp://figshare.com/
    figshare
    Authors
    Fernando Chirigati
    License

    CC0 1.0 Universal Public Domain Dedicationhttps://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    This is a version of the gas prices dataset used in the following paper:Data Polygamy: The Many-Many Relationships among Urban Spatio-Temporal Data Sets, F. Chirigati, H. Doraiswamy, T. Damoulas, and J. Freire. In Proceedings of the 2016 ACM SIGMOD International Conference on Management of Data (SIGMOD), 2016The dataset includes records of the average gasoline price in dollars per gallon for New York, from 2000 to 2014. The original data is available at the U.S. Energy Information Administration website: https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/gasdiesel/xls/pswrgvwall.xls

  4. OPEC oil price annually 1960-2025

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jun 17, 2025
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    Statista (2025). OPEC oil price annually 1960-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/262858/change-in-opec-crude-oil-prices-since-1960/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 17, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Worldwide
    Description

    The 2025 annual OPEC oil price stood at ***** U.S. dollars per barrel, as of May. This would be lower than the 2024 average, which amounted to ***** U.S. dollars. The abbreviation OPEC stands for Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and includes Algeria, Angola, Congo, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela, and the United Arab Emirates. The aim of the OPEC is to coordinate the oil policies of its member states. It was founded in 1960 in Baghdad, Iraq. The OPEC Reference Basket The OPEC crude oil price is defined by the price of the so-called OPEC (Reference) basket. This basket is an average of prices of the various petroleum blends that are produced by the OPEC members. Some of these oil blends are, for example: Saharan Blend from Algeria, Basra Light from Iraq, Arab Light from Saudi Arabia, BCF 17 from Venezuela, et cetera. By increasing and decreasing its oil production, OPEC tries to keep the price between a given maxima and minima. Benchmark crude oil The OPEC basket is one of the most important benchmarks for crude oil prices worldwide. Other significant benchmarks are UK Brent, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), and Dubai Crude (Fateh). Because there are many types and grades of oil, such benchmarks are indispensable for referencing them on the global oil market. The 2025 fall in prices was the result of weakened demand outlooks exacerbated by extensive U.S. trade tariffs.

  5. Petroleum Data: Prices Application Programming Interface (API)

    • catalog.data.gov
    • data.amerigeoss.org
    • +1more
    Updated Jul 6, 2021
    + more versions
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    U.S. Energy Information Administration (2021). Petroleum Data: Prices Application Programming Interface (API) [Dataset]. https://catalog.data.gov/dataset/petroleum-data-prices-application-programming-interface-api
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    Dataset updated
    Jul 6, 2021
    Dataset provided by
    Energy Information Administrationhttp://www.eia.gov/
    Description

    Prices of petroleum products and crude oil. Weekly, monthly, and annual data available. Users of the EIA API are required to obtain an API Key via this registration form: http://www.eia.gov/beta/api/register.cfm

  6. F

    US Regular All Formulations Gas Price

    • fred.stlouisfed.org
    json
    Updated Jul 1, 2025
    + more versions
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    (2025). US Regular All Formulations Gas Price [Dataset]. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GASREGW
    Explore at:
    jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jul 1, 2025
    License

    https://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domainhttps://fred.stlouisfed.org/legal/#copyright-public-domain

    Area covered
    United States
    Description

    Graph and download economic data for US Regular All Formulations Gas Price (GASREGW) from 1990-08-20 to 2025-06-30 about gas, commodities, and USA.

  7. Brent crude oil price annually 1976-2025

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
    Updated Jun 17, 2025
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    Statista (2025). Brent crude oil price annually 1976-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/262860/uk-brent-crude-oil-price-changes-since-1976/
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 17, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Area covered
    Worldwide
    Description

    As of May 2025, the average annual price of Brent crude oil stood at 72 U.S. dollars per barrel. This is some eight U.S. dollars lower than the 2024 average. Brent is the world's leading price benchmark for Atlantic basin crude oils. Crude oil is one of the most closely observed commodity prices as it influences costs across all stages of the production process and consequently alters the price of consumer goods as well. What determines crude oil benchmarks? In the past decade, crude oil prices have been especially volatile. Their inherent inelasticity regarding short-term changes in demand and supply means that oil prices are erratic by nature. However, since the 2009 financial crisis, many commercial developments have greatly contributed to price volatility; such as economic growth by BRIC countries like China and India, and the advent of hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling in the U.S. The outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are examples of geopolitical events dictating prices. Light crude oils - Brent and WTI Brent Crude is considered a classification of sweet light crude oil and acts as a benchmark price for oil around the world. It is considered a sweet light crude oil due to its low sulfur content and a low density and may be easily refined into gasoline. This oil originates in the North Sea and comprises several different oil blends, including Brent Blend and Ekofisk crude. Often, this crude oil is refined in Northwest Europe. Another sweet light oil often referenced alongside UK Brent is West Texas Intermediate (WTI). WTI oil prices amounted to 76.55 U.S. dollars per barrel in 2024.

  8. T

    Crude Oil - Price Data

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • ar.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
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    TRADING ECONOMICS, Crude Oil - Price Data [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/crude-oil
    Explore at:
    csv, json, xml, excelAvailable download formats
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Mar 30, 1983 - Jul 2, 2025
    Area covered
    World
    Description

    Crude Oil fell to 65.37 USD/Bbl on July 2, 2025, down 0.12% from the previous day. Over the past month, Crude Oil's price has risen 3.09%, but it is still 21.43% lower than a year ago, according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks the benchmark market for this commodity. Crude Oil - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on July of 2025.

  9. Nigeria PMS pump price

    • kaggle.com
    Updated Jun 28, 2023
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    Azeez Akintonde (2023). Nigeria PMS pump price [Dataset]. https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/azeezakintonde/nigeria-pms-pump-price
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    CroissantCroissant is a format for machine-learning datasets. Learn more about this at mlcommons.org/croissant.
    Dataset updated
    Jun 28, 2023
    Dataset provided by
    Kagglehttp://kaggle.com/
    Authors
    Azeez Akintonde
    Area covered
    Nigeria
    Description

    This dataset titled "Nigeria PMS Pump Price" encompasses crucial economic indicators of Nigeria, including the GDP growth rate, PMS (Premium Motor Spirit) pump prices, CPI (Consumer Price Index), and Average Crude Oil prices. The PMS pump price data was meticulously collected from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), while the GDP, Crude Oil Price, and CPI data were sourced from the esteemed World Bank.

    This comprehensive dataset serves as a valuable resource for researchers, economists, and data analysts interested in examining the relationship between PMS pump prices and other economic factors in Nigeria. It offers a significant opportunity for in-depth analysis, trend identification, and policy evaluation related to the country's petroleum industry and overall economic performance.

    By exploring this dataset, users can gain valuable insights into the dynamics and fluctuations of Nigeria's PMS pump prices, along with its correlation with GDP growth, CPI, and Crude Oil prices over time.

    Disclaimer: The dataset has been compiled with utmost care and accuracy, drawing information from reliable sources. However, users are encouraged to exercise due diligence and verify the data's authenticity and relevance for their specific research or analytical purposes.

    We invite researchers and analysts to leverage this dataset for various studies, forecasting models, and policy-making initiatives related to Nigeria's petroleum sector.

    Note: The dataset will be periodically updated to ensure its relevance and incorporate the latest available data from the respective sources.

    Please feel free to contact us for any further inquiries or assistance related to this dataset.

  10. Gasoline report - international gasoline prices

    • open.canada.ca
    • data.ontario.ca
    csv, html, xlsx
    Updated Jun 13, 2025
    + more versions
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    Government of Ontario (2025). Gasoline report - international gasoline prices [Dataset]. https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/db90f229-be24-468a-bbce-46f710e7af76
    Explore at:
    xlsx, csv, htmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 13, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Government of Ontariohttps://www.ontario.ca/
    License

    Open Government Licence - Canada 2.0https://open.canada.ca/en/open-government-licence-canada
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    This dataset provides monthly, quarterly and annual average regular or premium unleaded gasoline pump prices, taxes and ex-tax pump prices in Canada, USA, France, Germany, Britain and Japan, all converted to Canadian cents per litre. To view charts and current fuel price data you can also visit the motor fuel prices page. *[USA]: United States of America

  11. k

    Natural Gas Prices

    • datasource.kapsarc.org
    • kapsarc.opendatasoft.com
    Updated Oct 4, 2022
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    (2022). Natural Gas Prices [Dataset]. https://datasource.kapsarc.org/explore/dataset/world-natural-gas-prices-1984-2015/
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    Dataset updated
    Oct 4, 2022
    Description

    This dataset contains information about world' solar natural gas prices from 1984. Data from BP. Follow datasource.kapsarc.org for timely data to advance energy economics research.Notes:* Source: 1984-1990 German Federal Statistical Office 1991-2016 German Federal Office of Economics and Export Control (BAFA).

    † Source: ICIS Heren Energy Ltd

    ‡ Source: Energy Intelligence Group, Natural Gas Week.

    Btu = British thermal units; cif = cost+insurance+freight (average prices)

  12. w

    Monthly and annual prices of road fuels and petroleum products

    • gov.uk
    • s3.amazonaws.com
    Updated Jun 26, 2025
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    Department for Energy Security and Net Zero (2025). Monthly and annual prices of road fuels and petroleum products [Dataset]. https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/oil-and-petroleum-products-monthly-statistics
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    Dataset updated
    Jun 26, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    GOV.UK
    Authors
    Department for Energy Security and Net Zero
    Description

    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/685aa478e9509f1a908eb11d/table_411_413_7_.xlsx">Monthly: Typical/average annual retail prices of petroleum products and a crude oil price index (QEP 4.1.1 to 4.1.3)

    MS Excel Spreadsheet, 1.05 MB

    This file may not be suitable for users of assistive technology.

    Request an accessible format.
    If you use assistive technology (such as a screen reader) and need a version of this document in a more accessible format, please email alt.formats@energysecurity.gov.uk. Please tell us what format you need. It will help us if you say what assistive technology you use.

    For enquiries concerning this table contact: energyprices.stats@energysecurity.gov.uk

  13. Weekly oil prices in Brent, OPEC basket, and WTI futures 2020-2025

    • statista.com
    • ai-chatbox.pro
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    Statista, Weekly oil prices in Brent, OPEC basket, and WTI futures 2020-2025 [Dataset]. https://www.statista.com/statistics/326017/weekly-crude-oil-prices/
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    Dataset authored and provided by
    Statistahttp://statista.com/
    Time period covered
    Jan 6, 2020 - Jun 30, 2025
    Area covered
    Worldwide
    Description

    On June 30, 2025, the Brent crude oil price stood at 66.64 U.S. dollars per barrel, compared to 65.11 U.S. dollars for WTI oil and 68.35 U.S. dollars for the OPEC basket. OPEC prices fell that week as concerns over supply constraints related to the Israel-Iran conflict eased.Europe's Brent crude oil, the U.S. WTI crude oil, and OPEC's basket are three of the most important benchmarks used by traders as reference for oil and gasoline prices. Lowest ever oil prices during coronavirus pandemic In 2020, the coronavirus pandemic resulted in crude oil prices hitting a major slump as oil demand drastically declined following lockdowns and travel restrictions. Initial outlooks and uncertainty surrounding the course of the pandemic brought about a disagreement between two of the largest oil producers, Russia and Saudi Arabia, in early March. Bilateral talks between global oil producers ended in agreement on April 13th, with promises to cut petroleum output and hopes rising that these might help stabilize the oil price in the coming weeks. However, with storage facilities and oil tankers quickly filling up, fears grew over where to store excess oil, leading to benchmark prices seeing record negative prices between April 20 and April 22, 2020. How crude oil prices are determined As with most commodities, crude oil prices are impacted by supply and demand, as well as inventories and market sentiment. However, as oil is most often traded in future contracts (whereby a contract is agreed upon, while the product delivery will follow in the next two to three months), market speculation is one of the principal determinants for oil prices. Traders make conclusions on how production output and consumer demand will likely develop over the coming months, leaving room for uncertainty. Spot prices differ from futures in so far as they reflect the current market price of a commodity.

  14. G

    Monthly average retail prices for gasoline and fuel oil, by geography

    • open.canada.ca
    • www150.statcan.gc.ca
    • +1more
    csv, html, xml
    Updated May 26, 2025
    + more versions
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    Statistics Canada (2025). Monthly average retail prices for gasoline and fuel oil, by geography [Dataset]. https://open.canada.ca/data/en/dataset/cbb9182b-df94-4ae6-8a85-b75a34b2f990
    Explore at:
    csv, html, xmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    May 26, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    Statistics Canada
    License

    Open Government Licence - Canada 2.0https://open.canada.ca/en/open-government-licence-canada
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    Monthly average retail prices for gasoline and fuel oil for Canada, selected provincial cities, Whitehorse and Yellowknife. Prices are presented for the current month and previous four months. Includes fuel type and the price in cents per litre.

  15. T

    France Gasoline Prices

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • ru.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jun 29, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). France Gasoline Prices [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/france/gasoline-prices
    Explore at:
    json, csv, xml, excelAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 29, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Dec 31, 1995 - Jun 30, 2025
    Area covered
    France
    Description

    Gasoline Prices in France increased to 2.08 USD/Liter in June from 1.98 USD/Liter in May of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - France Gasoline Prices - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  16. T

    Italy Gasoline Prices

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • de.tradingeconomics.com
    • +13more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jun 30, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2025). Italy Gasoline Prices [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/italy/gasoline-prices
    Explore at:
    excel, csv, json, xmlAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 30, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Dec 31, 1995 - Jun 30, 2025
    Area covered
    Italy
    Description

    Gasoline Prices in Italy increased to 2.15 USD/Liter in June from 2.03 USD/Liter in May of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Italy Gasoline Prices - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  17. d

    Average Home Heating Oil Prices by Region: Beginning 1997

    • catalog.data.gov
    • data.ny.gov
    • +1more
    Updated Jun 28, 2025
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    data.ny.gov (2025). Average Home Heating Oil Prices by Region: Beginning 1997 [Dataset]. https://catalog.data.gov/dataset/average-home-heating-oil-prices-by-region-beginning-1997-3b0dd
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jun 28, 2025
    Dataset provided by
    data.ny.gov
    Description

    The Average Home Heating Oil Prices dataset provides New York residents and businesses with objective information on average residential retail heating fuel oil pricing in New York State and by region beginning September 8, 1997. Pricing data is obtained via surveys conducted by NYSERDA staff on a weekly basis during heating season (September to March) and bi-weekly during the rest of the year. All prices are listed in dollars per gallon. The Average Home Heating Oil Prices dataset, Average Residential Retail Kerosene Prices dataset, and Average Residential Retail Propane Prices dataset are collectively referred to as the Heating Fuel Prices dataset. For current and historical residential retail price data, regional comparisons, and fuel type comparisons, please visit the Home Heating Oil Prices Dashboard: https://www.nyserda.ny.gov/Researchers-and-Policymakers/Energy-Prices/Home-Heating-Oil/Average-Home-Heating-Oil-Prices The New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA) offers objective information and analysis, innovative programs, technical expertise, and support to help New Yorkers increase energy efficiency, save money, use renewable energy, accelerate economic growth, and reduce reliance on fossil fuels. To learn more about NYSERDA’s programs, visit nyserda.ny.gov or follow us on X, Facebook, YouTube, or Instagram.

  18. k

    World Daily Spot Prices for Crude Oil WTI and Brent

    • datasource.kapsarc.org
    • data.kapsarc.org
    • +1more
    Updated Jun 29, 2025
    + more versions
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    (2025). World Daily Spot Prices for Crude Oil WTI and Brent [Dataset]. https://datasource.kapsarc.org/explore/dataset/spot-prices-for-crude-oil-and-petroleum-products/
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Jun 29, 2025
    Area covered
    World
    Description

    This dataset contains information about daily spot prices for crude oil WTI and Brent from 1986. data from US Energy Information AdministrationNotes:Citation: "Spot Prices For Crude Oil And Petroleum Products". Eia.gov. N.p., 2016. Web. 10 Mar. 2016.

  19. T

    Vietnam Gasoline Prices

    • tradingeconomics.com
    • it.tradingeconomics.com
    • +12more
    csv, excel, json, xml
    Updated Jun 15, 2025
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    TRADING ECONOMICS (2016). Vietnam Gasoline Prices [Dataset]. https://tradingeconomics.com/vietnam/gasoline-prices
    Explore at:
    csv, excel, xml, jsonAvailable download formats
    Dataset updated
    Jun 15, 2025
    Dataset authored and provided by
    TRADING ECONOMICS
    License

    Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Time period covered
    Dec 31, 1995 - Jun 30, 2025
    Area covered
    Vietnam
    Description

    Gasoline Prices in Vietnam increased to 0.80 USD/Liter in June from 0.74 USD/Liter in May of 2025. This dataset provides the latest reported value for - Vietnam Gasoline Prices - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news.

  20. m

    Data for: Rockets and feathers meet Joseph: Reinvestigating the oil–gasoline...

    • data.mendeley.com
    Updated Dec 9, 2016
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    Ladislav Kristoufek (2016). Data for: Rockets and feathers meet Joseph: Reinvestigating the oil–gasoline asymmetry on the international markets [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.17632/wpjc49nh64.1
    Explore at:
    Dataset updated
    Dec 9, 2016
    Authors
    Ladislav Kristoufek
    License

    Attribution-NonCommercial 3.0 (CC BY-NC 3.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/
    License information was derived automatically

    Description

    Abstract of associated article: We reinvestigate the “rockets and feathers” effect between retail gasoline and crude oil prices in a new framework of fractional integration, long-term memory and borderline (non)stationarity. The most frequently used error-correction model is examined in detail and we find that the prices return to their equilibrium value much more slowly than would be typical for the error-correction model. Such dynamics is usually referred to as “the Joseph effect”. The standard procedure is shown to be troublesome and we introduce two new tests to investigate possible asymmetry in the price adjustment to equilibrium under these complicated time series characteristics. On the dataset of seven national gasoline prices, we find no statistically significant asymmetry. The proposed methodology is not limited to the gasoline and crude oil case but it can be utilized for any asymmetric adjustment analysis.

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Lutz Kilian; Xiaoqing Zhou; Lutz Kilian; Xiaoqing Zhou (2022). Oil prices, gasoline prices, and inflation expectations (replication data) [Dataset]. http://doi.org/10.15456/jae.2022327.072416

Oil prices, gasoline prices, and inflation expectations (replication data)

Explore at:
zip(118513277), txt(1970)Available download formats
Dataset updated
Dec 7, 2022
Dataset provided by
ZBW - Leibniz Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
Authors
Lutz Kilian; Xiaoqing Zhou; Lutz Kilian; Xiaoqing Zhou
License

Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
License information was derived automatically

Description

It has long been suspected, given the salience of gasoline prices, that fluctuations in gasoline prices shift households' 1-year inflation expectations. Assessing this view empirically requires the use of dynamic structural models to quantify the cumulative effect of gasoline price shocks on household inflation expectations at each point in time. We find that, on average, gasoline price shocks account for 42% of the variation in these expectations. The cumulative increase in household inflation expectations from early 2009 to early 2013, in particular, is almost entirely explained by unexpectedly rising gasoline prices. However, there is no support for the view that the improved fit of the Phillips curve augmented by household inflation expectations during 2009 2013 is mainly explained by rising gasoline prices.

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