During the period beginning roughly in the mid-1980s until the Global Financial Crisis (2007-2008), the U.S. economy experienced a time of relative economic calm, with low inflation and consistent GDP growth. Compared with the turbulent economic era which had preceded it in the 1970s and the early 1980s, the lack of extreme fluctuations in the business cycle led some commentators to suggest that macroeconomic issues such as high inflation, long-term unemployment and financial crises were a thing of the past. Indeed, the President of the American Economic Association, Professor Robert Lucas, famously proclaimed in 2003 that "central problem of depression prevention has been solved, for all practical purposes". Ben Bernanke, the future chairman of the Federal Reserve during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and 2022 Nobel Prize in Economics recipient, coined the term 'the Great Moderation' to describe this era of newfound economic confidence. The era came to an abrupt end with the outbreak of the GFC in the Summer of 2007, as the U.S. financial system began to crash due to a downturn in the real estate market.

Causes of the Great Moderation, and its downfall

A number of factors have been cited as contributing to the Great Moderation including central bank monetary policies, the shift from manufacturing to services in the economy, improvements in information technology and management practices, as well as reduced energy prices. The period coincided with the term of Fed chairman Alan Greenspan (1987-2006), famous for the 'Greenspan put', a policy which meant that the Fed would proactively address downturns in the stock market using its monetary policy tools. These economic factors came to prominence at the same time as the end of the Cold War (1947-1991), with the U.S. attaining a new level of hegemony in global politics, as its main geopolitical rival, the Soviet Union, no longer existed. During the Great Moderation, the U.S. experienced a recession twice, between July 1990 and March 1991, and again from March 2001 tom November 2001, however, these relatively short recessions did not knock the U.S. off its growth path. The build up of household and corporate debt over the early 2000s eventually led to the Global Financial Crisis, as the bursting of the U.S. housing bubble in 2007 reverberated across the financial system, with a subsequent credit freeze and mass defaults.

In 2020, the GDP shrunk by *** percent in Australia, and inflation was at an all-time low at *** percent over the last 20 years. In 2021, the GDP is predicted to grow by *** percent, and inflation to grow by *** percent. According to the forecast, the Gross Domestic Product and inflation will grow weakly over the next five years in Australia.

Monaco MC: Inflation:(GDP) Gross Domestic ProductDeflator data was reported at 5.303 % in 2023. This records an increase from the previous number of 3.221 % for 2022. Monaco MC: Inflation:(GDP) Gross Domestic ProductDeflator data is updated yearly, averaging 2.363 % from Dec 1971 (Median) to 2023, with 53 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 13.657 % in 1975 and a record low of -0.241 % in 2004. Monaco MC: Inflation:(GDP) Gross Domestic ProductDeflator data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Monaco – Table MC.World Bank.WDI: Inflation. Inflation as measured by the annual growth rate of the GDP implicit deflator shows the rate of price change in the economy as a whole. The GDP implicit deflator is the ratio of GDP in current local currency to GDP in constant local currency.;World Bank national accounts data, and OECD National Accounts data files.;Median;

Graph and download economic data for Gross Domestic Product: Implicit Price Deflator (GDPDEF) from Q1 1947 to Q1 2025 about implicit price deflator, headline figure, inflation, GDP, and USA.

Inflation, GDP deflator (annual %) in United States was reported at 2.4181 % in 2024, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. United States - Inflation, GDP deflator (annual %) - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on July of 2025.

This research focuses on the longer-term monetary relationships in historical data. Charts describing the 10-year average growth rates in the M2 monetary aggregate, nominal GDP, real GDP, and inflation are used to show that there is a consistent longer-term correlation between M2 growth, nominal GDP growth, and inflation but not between such nominal variables and real GDP growth. The data reveal extremely long cycles in monetary growth and inflation, the most recent of which was the strong upward trend in M2 growth, nominal GDP growth, and inflation during the 1960s and 1970s, and the strong downward trend since then. Data going back to the 19th century show that the most recent inflation/disinflation cycle is a repetition of earlier long monetary growth and inflation cycles in the United States historical record. Also discussed is a measure of bond market inflation credibility, defined as the difference between averages in long-term bond rates and real GDP growth. By this measure, inflation credibility hovered close to zero during the 1950s and early 1960s, but then rose to a peak of about 10 percent in the early 1980s. During the 1990s, the bond market has yet to restore the low inflation credibility that existed before inflation turned up during the 1960s. The conclusion is that the risks of starting another costly inflation/disinflation cycle could be avoided by monitoring monetary growth and maintaining a sufficiently tight policy to keep inflation low. An environment of credible price stability would allow the economy to function unfettered by inflationary distortions, which is all that can reasonably be expected of monetary policy, and is precisely what should be expected.

United States US: Inflation:(GDP) Gross Domestic ProductDeflator data was reported at 1.799 % in 2017. This records an increase from the previous number of 1.276 % for 2016. United States US: Inflation:(GDP) Gross Domestic ProductDeflator data is updated yearly, averaging 2.379 % from Dec 1961 (Median) to 2017, with 57 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 9.336 % in 1981 and a record low of 0.759 % in 2009. United States US: Inflation:(GDP) Gross Domestic ProductDeflator data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s United States – Table US.World Bank.WDI: Inflation. Inflation as measured by the annual growth rate of the GDP implicit deflator shows the rate of price change in the economy as a whole. The GDP implicit deflator is the ratio of GDP in current local currency to GDP in constant local currency.; ; World Bank national accounts data, and OECD National Accounts data files.; Median;

Inflation, GDP deflator: linked series (annual %) in San Marino was reported at 2.7647 % in 2022, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. San Marino - Inflation, GDP deflator: linked series (annual %) - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on July of 2025.

Mexico MX: Inflation:(GDP) Gross Domestic ProductDeflator data was reported at 6.133 % in 2017. This records an increase from the previous number of 5.379 % for 2016. Mexico MX: Inflation:(GDP) Gross Domestic ProductDeflator data is updated yearly, averaging 7.962 % from Dec 1961 (Median) to 2017, with 57 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 142.836 % in 1987 and a record low of 1.023 % in 1968. Mexico MX: Inflation:(GDP) Gross Domestic ProductDeflator data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by World Bank. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Mexico – Table MX.World Bank.WDI: Inflation. Inflation as measured by the annual growth rate of the GDP implicit deflator shows the rate of price change in the economy as a whole. The GDP implicit deflator is the ratio of GDP in current local currency to GDP in constant local currency.; ; World Bank national accounts data, and OECD National Accounts data files.; Median;

Inflation, GDP deflator: linked series (annual %) in Japan was reported at 2.8738 % in 2024, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. Japan - Inflation, GDP deflator: linked series (annual %) - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on July of 2025.

The inflation rate in the United States is expected to decrease to 2.1 percent by 2029. 2022 saw a year of exceptionally high inflation, reaching eight percent for the year. The data represents U.S. city averages. The base period was 1982-84. In economics, the inflation rate is a measurement of inflation, the rate of increase of a price index (in this case: consumer price index). It is the percentage rate of change in prices level over time. The rate of decrease in the purchasing power of money is approximately equal. According to the forecast, prices will increase by 2.9 percent in 2024. The annual inflation rate for previous years can be found here and the consumer price index for all urban consumers here. The monthly inflation rate for the United States can also be accessed here. Inflation in the U.S.Inflation is a term used to describe a general rise in the price of goods and services in an economy over a given period of time. Inflation in the United States is calculated using the consumer price index (CPI). The consumer price index is a measure of change in the price level of a preselected market basket of consumer goods and services purchased by households. This forecast of U.S. inflation was prepared by the International Monetary Fund. They project that inflation will stay higher than average throughout 2023, followed by a decrease to around roughly two percent annual rise in the general level of prices until 2028. Considering the annual inflation rate in the United States in 2021, a two percent inflation rate is a very moderate projection. The 2022 spike in inflation in the United States and worldwide is due to a variety of factors that have put constraints on various aspects of the economy. These factors include COVID-19 pandemic spending and supply-chain constraints, disruptions due to the war in Ukraine, and pandemic related changes in the labor force. Although the moderate inflation of prices between two and three percent is considered normal in a modern economy, countries’ central banks try to prevent severe inflation and deflation to keep the growth of prices to a minimum. Severe inflation is considered dangerous to a country’s economy because it can rapidly diminish the population’s purchasing power and thus damage the GDP .

Inflation, GDP deflator (annual %) in Kiribati was reported at 2.0178 % in 2024, according to the World Bank collection of development indicators, compiled from officially recognized sources. Kiribati - Inflation, GDP deflator (annual %) - actual values, historical data, forecasts and projections were sourced from the World Bank on July of 2025.

This dataset enlists the details about annual inflation percentage of most countries in the world by GDP deflator from 1961 through 2018. Indicator Name as per the World Bank for this dataset is "Inflation, GDP deflator (annual %)" and its code is "NY.GDP.DEFL.KD.ZG".

View economic output, reported as the nominal value of all new goods and services produced by labor and property located in the U.S.

As of the third quarter of 2024, the GDP of the U.S. grew by 2.8 percent from the second quarter of 2024. GDP, or gross domestic product, is effectively a count of the total goods and services produced in a country over a certain period of time. It is calculated by first adding together a country’s total consumer spending, government spending, investments and exports; and then deducting the country’s imports. The values in this statistic are the change in ‘constant price’ or ‘real’ GDP, which means this basic calculation is also adjusted to factor in the regular price changes measured by the U.S. inflation rate. Because of this adjustment, U.S. real annual GDP will differ from the U.S. 'nominal' annual GDP for all years except the baseline from which inflation is calculated. What is annualized GDP? The important thing to note about the growth rates in this statistic is that the values are annualized, meaning the U.S. economy has not actually contracted or grown by the percentage shown. For example, the fall of 29.9 percent in the second quarter of 2020 did not mean GDP is suddenly one third less than a year before. In fact, it means that if the decline seen during that quarter continued at the same rate for a full year, then GDP would decline by this amount. Annualized values can therefore exaggerate the effect of short-term economic shocks, as they only look at economic output during a limited period. This effect can be seen by comparing annualized quarterly growth rates with the annual GDP growth rates for each calendar year.

In 2023, the United States had a real gross domestic product of about 22 trillion U.S. dollars (2017 chained). See the U.S. GDP for further information. Real Gross Domestic Product is an inflation-adjusted measure that reflects the value of all goods and services produced in a given year, expressed in base-year prices.

Real GDP in the U.S.

The real GDP of the U.S. has increased from 9.37 trillion U.S. dollars (2012 chained) in 1990 to 22 trillion U.S. dollars in 2023. Like many of the worlds major economies, the United States has experienced a steady growth in GDP over the last few years. The Indian economy was expected to experienced growth of 9.4 percent between 2020 and 2021, while China’s GDP was expected to grow 8.1 percent in the same period. One of the defining qualities of the United States’ economy is its diversity and advanced technological advancements. Industries such as finance, real estate, health care, and business and education services are large contributors to the economy, while the manufacturing sector accounts for about 11 percent of the country’s wealth.

The GDP generated by each state can also vary widely based on principal industries and production. In 2021, California had the highest state GDP in the United States, reaching 3.35 trillion U.S. dollars; comparatively, Vermont generated a GDP of 36.17 billion U.S. dollars in that year.

Inflation is generally defined as the continued increase in the average prices of goods and services in a given region. Following the extremely high global inflation experienced in the 1980s and 1990s, global inflation has been relatively stable since the turn of the millennium, usually hovering between three and five percent per year. There was a sharp increase in 2008 due to the global financial crisis now known as the Great Recession, but inflation was fairly stable throughout the 2010s, before the current inflation crisis began in 2021. Recent years Despite the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic, the global inflation rate fell to 3.26 percent in the pandemic's first year, before rising to 4.66 percent in 2021. This increase came as the impact of supply chain delays began to take more of an effect on consumer prices, before the Russia-Ukraine war exacerbated this further. A series of compounding issues such as rising energy and food prices, fiscal instability in the wake of the pandemic, and consumer insecurity have created a new global recession, and global inflation in 2024 is estimated to have reached 5.76 percent. This is the highest annual increase in inflation since 1996. Venezuela Venezuela is the country with the highest individual inflation rate in the world, forecast at around 200 percent in 2022. While this is figure is over 100 times larger than the global average in most years, it actually marks a decrease in Venezuela's inflation rate, which had peaked at over 65,000 percent in 2018. Between 2016 and 2021, Venezuela experienced hyperinflation due to the government's excessive spending and printing of money in an attempt to curve its already-high inflation rate, and the wave of migrants that left the country resulted in one of the largest refugee crises in recent years. In addition to its economic problems, political instability and foreign sanctions pose further long-term problems for Venezuela. While hyperinflation may be coming to an end, it remains to be seen how much of an impact this will have on the economy, how living standards will change, and how many refugees may return in the coming years.

Graph and download economic data for Real gross domestic product per capita (A939RX0Q048SBEA) from Q1 1947 to Q1 2025 about per capita, real, GDP, and USA.

Graph and download economic data for Gross Domestic Product Excluding Food and Energy (chain-type price index) (BB03RV1Q225SBEA) from Q2 1985 to Q1 2025 about chained, core, inflation, GDP, rate, price index, indexes, price, and USA.

In 2024, Japan's gross domestic product (GDP) grew by three percent at current prices, according to the second preliminary announcement in March 2025. A year earlier, the highest growth rate of Japan’s nominal GDP in almost three decades was recorded. The nominal GDP measures the value of all goods and services produced in an economy, including price changes. GDP growth and inflation Japan’s real GDP growth, which is adjusted for inflation, was lower at 0.1 percent. After decades of struggling with deflation and attempts to reach a two percent inflation target with economic stimulus packages and monetary easing policies, consumer prices in Japan increased by almost 3.3 percent in 2023, led by global inflation. This development prompted the Bank of Japan to shift its monetary policy and raise the short-term interest rate for the first time in 17 years in 2024. Japan lost its status as the third-largest economy Many countries have raised interest rates in response to higher inflation in the past years. Since Japan’s central bank has done so at a much slower pace, a widening interest gap emerged between Japan and other major economies of the world. This is also one of the reasons for the depreciation of the yen against the dollar. Due to the weak yen, Japan’s GDP declined when converted into U.S. dollars, resulting in Japan losing its status as the third-largest economy in terms of GDP to Germany in 2023.