Bond Fund Sales Market Outlook

The bond fund sales market size was valued at approximately USD 10 trillion in 2023 and is projected to reach around USD 15 trillion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.5%. This growth is primarily driven by increasing investor demand for stable and diversified income streams amidst global economic uncertainties. The market size expansion is fostered by factors such as an aging global population seeking more conservative investment options, heightened volatility in equity markets, and favorable regulatory changes supporting bond fund investments.

One of the primary growth factors for the bond fund sales market is the demographic shift towards an aging population, particularly in developed regions such as North America and Europe. As more individuals approach retirement age, there is a heightened need for investment products that offer steady income with reduced risk exposure. Bond funds, known for their relatively stable returns and lower volatility compared to equity funds, serve as an attractive option for this demographic. Additionally, the increasing life expectancy rates globally are pushing retirees to seek long-term investment solutions that can provide consistent income streams over extended periods.

Another significant growth driver is the evolving regulatory landscape that favors bond investments. Governments and financial regulatory bodies in various regions are implementing rules and guidelines that promote transparency and investor protection in the bond markets. These regulatory changes increase investor confidence and make bond funds more appealing to both retail and institutional investors. Furthermore, the introduction of green bonds and other socially responsible investment (SRI) products within the bond fund market is drawing interest from a growing segment of environmentally and socially conscious investors.

Technological advancements and the proliferation of digital investment platforms are also contributing to the growth of the bond fund sales market. Online platforms and robo-advisors are making it easier for retail investors to access and manage bond fund investments with lower fees and greater convenience. These platforms provide investors with tools and resources to make informed investment decisions, thereby increasing the participation rate of individual investors in the bond market. This digital transformation is democratizing access to bond funds and expanding the market's reach across various investor segments.

Regionally, the bond fund sales market exhibits diverse growth patterns. North America and Europe are expected to maintain their dominance due to their mature financial markets and high levels of investor awareness and engagement. However, the Asia-Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR during the forecast period, driven by rapid economic growth, rising disposable incomes, and increasing investor sophistication. Latin America and the Middle East & Africa regions are also witnessing growing interest in bond funds, albeit at a slower pace, as these markets gradually develop and integrate into the global financial system.

Fund Type Analysis

Government bond funds are a cornerstone of the bond fund market, offering investors a relatively low-risk investment option backed by government securities. These funds have been traditionally appealing to risk-averse investors, including retirees and conservative institutional investors. The demand for government bond funds is amplified during periods of economic uncertainty, as they are perceived as safe havens. The increasing issuance of government bonds to finance fiscal stimulus and infrastructure projects globally is also contributing to the growth of this segment. Moreover, central banks' policies, such as quantitative easing, have increased the liquidity and attractiveness of these bonds.

Corporate bond funds represent a significant portion of the bond fund market, providing higher yields compared to government bonds, albeit with increased risk. These funds invest in bonds issued by corporations to finance their operations and expansions. The corporate bond market is highly dynamic, with companies frequently entering and exiting the market based on their financing needs and credit ratings. The growth of this segment is supported by strong corporate earnings and favorable economic conditions that enhance companies' ability to service their debt. Additionally, the trend towards globalization and cross-border investments is expanding the market for corporate bond funds.

As of December 30, 2024, the major economy with the highest yield on 10-year government bonds was Turkey, with a yield of 27.38 percent. This is due to the risks investors take when investing in Turkey, notably due to high inflation rates potentially eradicating any profits made when using a foreign currency to investing in securities denominated in Turkish lira. Of the major developed economies, United States had one the highest yield on 10-year government bonds at this time with 4.59 percent, while Switzerland had the lowest at 0.27 percent. How does inflation influence the yields of government bonds? Inflation reduces purchasing power over time. Due to this, investors seek higher returns to offset the anticipated decrease in purchasing power resulting from rapid price rises. In countries with high inflation, government bond yields often incorporate investor expectations and risk premiums, resulting in comparatively higher rates offered by these bonds. Why are government bond rates significant? Government bond rates are an important indicator of financial markets, serving as a benchmark for borrowing costs, interest rates, and investor sentiment. They affect the cost of government borrowing, influence the price of various financial instruments, and serve as a reflection of expectations regarding inflation and economic growth. For instance, in financial analysis and investing, people often use the 10-year U.S. government bond rates as a proxy for the longer-term risk-free rate.

Graph and download economic data for Interest Rates: Long-Term Government Bond Yields: 10-Year: Main (Including Benchmark) for United States (IRLTLT01USM156N) from Apr 1953 to Apr 2025 about long-term, 10-year, bonds, yield, government, interest rate, interest, rate, and USA.

The statistic shows the value of global bond trading worldwide from the first to the fourth quarter of 2017. The value of global bond trades amounted to approximately 5.04 trillion U.S. dollars in the fourth quarter of 2017.

The U.S. dollar was the currency most commonly used for deals on the international debt capital market in the fourth quarter of 2024. At that time, the value of deals in that currency was 639 billion U.S. dollars. What is debt capital market? The debt market is the part of the capital market on which fixed-interest securities are traded. These securities include, for example, government, municipal, corporate or mortgage bonds. It allows the companies and governments to raise capital through issuance of debt securities. In case a company or a government decides to collect additional money on debt capital market, it issues debt securities and sells them to investors. Depending on financial situation of the company issued bonds can obtain different ratings. The better the company is perceived in the market, the lower interest rates it has to pay for raised capital. Other ways of raising capital Some companies can access money via venture capital or private equity funding, where money comes from high net worth individuals, investment funds, banks or other financial institutions. For larger and well-established companies going public can be an option and raising money among investors. This process is called initial public offering (IPO).

China Bond Yield: Treasury Bond: 10 Year data was reported at 1.679 % pa in 16 May 2025. This records a decrease from the previous number of 1.680 % pa for 15 May 2025. China Bond Yield: Treasury Bond: 10 Year data is updated daily, averaging 3.254 % pa from Mar 2006 (Median) to 16 May 2025, with 4806 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 4.722 % pa in 20 Nov 2013 and a record low of 1.596 % pa in 06 Feb 2025. China Bond Yield: Treasury Bond: 10 Year data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by China Central Depository & Clearing Co., Ltd. The data is categorized under China Premium Database’s Money Market, Interest Rate, Yield and Exchange Rate – Table CN.MF: PBC & CCDC: Treasury Bond and Other Bond Yield: Daily.

The yield on US 30 Year Bond Yield eased to 4.96% on June 9, 2025, marking a 0.01 percentage point decrease from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.04 points and is 0.36 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. United States 30 Year Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

Government Bond Yield: Daily: 10 Years data was reported at 7.300 % in 03 Jul 2019. This records an increase from the previous number of 7.240 % for 02 Jul 2019. Government Bond Yield: Daily: 10 Years data is updated daily, averaging 10.410 % from Jan 2016 (Median) to 03 Jul 2019, with 852 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 16.890 % in 26 Jan 2016 and a record low of 7.240 % in 02 Jul 2019. Government Bond Yield: Daily: 10 Years data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by National Treasury Secretariat. The data is categorized under Brazil Premium Database’s Interest and Foreign Exchange Rates – Table BR.MI001: Government Bonds Yield. Public Title name: NTN-F 2027 Available rate for the investor to resell the title to the National Treasury. The selling rate is always slightly higher than the purchase rate to protect National Treasury from fluctuations between one pricing and another. Disclose only the selling price at opening.

Lucror Analytics: Proprietary Hedge Funds Data for Credit Quality & Bond Valuation

At Lucror Analytics, we provide cutting-edge corporate data solutions tailored to fixed income professionals and organizations in the financial sector. Our datasets encompass issuer and issue-level credit quality, bond fair value metrics, and proprietary scores designed to offer nuanced, actionable insights into global bond markets that help you stay ahead of the curve. Covering over 3,300 global issuers and over 80,000 bonds, we empower our clients to make data-driven decisions with confidence and precision.

By leveraging our proprietary C-Score, V-Score , and V-Score I models, which utilize CDS and OAS data, we provide unparalleled granularity in credit analysis and valuation. Whether you are a portfolio manager, credit analyst, or institutional investor, Lucror’s data solutions deliver actionable insights to enhance strategies, identify mispricing opportunities, and assess market trends.

What Makes Lucror’s Hedge Funds Data Unique?

Proprietary Credit and Valuation Models Our proprietary C-Score, V-Score, and V-Score I are designed to provide a deeper understanding of credit quality and bond valuation:

C-Score: A composite score (0-100) reflecting an issuer's credit quality based on market pricing signals such as CDS spreads. Responsive to near-real-time market changes, the C-Score offers granular differentiation within and across credit rating categories, helping investors identify mispricing opportunities.

V-Score: Measures the deviation of an issue’s option-adjusted spread (OAS) from the market fair value, indicating whether a bond is overvalued or undervalued relative to the market.

V-Score I: Similar to the V-Score but benchmarked against industry-specific fair value OAS, offering insights into relative valuation within an industry context.

Comprehensive Global Coverage Our datasets cover over 3,300 issuers and 80,000 bonds across global markets, ensuring 90%+ overlap with prominent IG and HY benchmark indices. This extensive coverage provides valuable insights into issuers across sectors and geographies, enabling users to analyze issuer and market dynamics comprehensively.

Data Customization and Flexibility We recognize that different users have unique requirements. Lucror Analytics offers tailored datasets delivered in customizable formats, frequencies, and levels of granularity, ensuring that our data integrates seamlessly into your workflows.

High-Frequency, High-Quality Data Our C-Score, V-Score, and V-Score I models and metrics are updated daily using end-of-day (EOD) data from S&P. This ensures that users have access to current and accurate information, empowering timely and informed decision-making.

How Is the Data Sourced? Lucror Analytics employs a rigorous methodology to source, structure, transform and process data, ensuring reliability and actionable insights:

Proprietary Models: Our scores are derived from proprietary quant algorithms based on CDS spreads, OAS, and other issuer and bond data.

Global Data Partnerships: Our collaborations with S&P and other reputable data providers ensure comprehensive and accurate datasets.

Data Cleaning and Structuring: Advanced processes ensure data integrity, transforming raw inputs into actionable insights.

Primary Use Cases

1. Portfolio Construction & Rebalancing Lucror’s C-Score provides a granular view of issuer credit quality, allowing portfolio managers to evaluate risks and identify mispricing opportunities. With CDS-driven insights and daily updates, clients can incorporate near-real-time issuer/bond movements into their credit assessments.

2. Portfolio Optimization The V-Score and V-Score I allow portfolio managers to identify undervalued or overvalued bonds, supporting strategies that optimize returns relative to credit risk. By benchmarking valuations against market and industry standards, users can uncover potential mean-reversion opportunities and enhance portfolio performance.

3. Risk Management With data updated daily, Lucror’s models provide dynamic insights into market risks. Organizations can use this data to monitor shifts in credit quality, assess valuation anomalies, and adjust exposure proactively.

4. Strategic Decision-Making Our comprehensive datasets enable financial institutions to make informed strategic decisions. Whether it’s assessing the fair value of bonds, analyzing industry-specific credit spreads, or understanding broader market trends, Lucror’s data delivers the depth and accuracy required for success.

Why Choose Lucror Analytics for Hedge Funds Data? Lucror Analytics is committed to providing high-quality, actionable data solutions tailored to the evolving needs of the financial sector. Our unique combination of proprietary models, rigorous sourcing of high-quality data, and customizable delivery ensures that users have the insights they need to make smarter dec...

The yield on Peru Government Bond Yield rose to 6.64% on June 6, 2025, marking a 0.04 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.09 points, though it remains 0.36 points lower than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Peru 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

Japan Ref Stat Prices (Yields): Corporate Bonds >4 yrs & <5 yrs:BBB-rated data was reported at 0.378 % pa in Sep 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.383 % pa for Aug 2018. Japan Ref Stat Prices (Yields): Corporate Bonds >4 yrs & <5 yrs:BBB-rated data is updated monthly, averaging 0.632 % pa from Oct 2013 (Median) to Sep 2018, with 60 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 1.934 % pa in Nov 2013 and a record low of 0.377 % pa in Jun 2018. Japan Ref Stat Prices (Yields): Corporate Bonds >4 yrs & <5 yrs:BBB-rated data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Japan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Japan – Table JP.M007: Bonds: Yield.

In the second quarter of 2024, the value of the international debt capital market transactions amounted to approximately 1.4 trillion U.S. dollars. The debt market is the part of the capital market on which fixed-interest securities are traded. These securities include, for example, government, municipal, corporate or mortgage bonds. Bonds – additional information The bond market, also known as the credit or fixed income market, is a market that trades in debt. The two most well known parts of the bond market are the primary and secondary capital markets. The primary market is the market that deals with the issuance of new securities and is an important part of the financial markets system. The bonds issued on the primary market are subsequently traded on the secondary markets. A bond is an instrument of indebtedness. The issuer of the bond is obliged to pay the bond holder the principal amount and the pre-agreed interest when the bond reaches maturity. The interest rates are generally payable at fixed intervals. Bonds provide the borrower with external funds in order to finance long-term investments, or, where government bonds are concerned, to finance government expenditure. Bonds are most often bought and traded by institutions such as central banks, pension funds or hedge funds. They are generally seen as being less volatile that stocks, especially the short and medium termed bonds. Bonds suffer from less day-to-day volatility than stocks but are still subject to risk. They are subject to credit and liquidity risks, among others.

Germany DE: Government Bond Yield: Long Term data was reported at 0.283 % pa in 2017. This records an increase from the previous number of 0.090 % pa for 2016. Germany DE: Government Bond Yield: Long Term data is updated yearly, averaging 6.233 % pa from Dec 1957 (Median) to 2017, with 61 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 10.383 % pa in 1974 and a record low of 0.090 % pa in 2016. Germany DE: Government Bond Yield: Long Term data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by International Monetary Fund. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Germany – Table DE.IMF.IFS: Treasury Bill and Government Securities Rates: Annual.

The yield on Brazil 10Y Bond Yield rose to 14.18% on June 6, 2025, marking a 0.18 percentage point increase from the previous session. Over the past month, the yield has edged up by 0.21 points and is 2.30 points higher than a year ago, according to over-the-counter interbank yield quotes for this government bond maturity. Brazil 10-Year Government Bond Yield - values, historical data, forecasts and news - updated on June of 2025.

Japan Ref Stat Prices (Yields): Corporate Bonds >4 yrs & <5 yrs:AA-rated data was reported at 0.118 % pa in Oct 2018. This records a decrease from the previous number of 0.138 % pa for Sep 2018. Japan Ref Stat Prices (Yields): Corporate Bonds >4 yrs & <5 yrs:AA-rated data is updated monthly, averaging 0.141 % pa from Oct 2013 (Median) to Oct 2018, with 61 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 0.363 % pa in Oct 2013 and a record low of 0.037 % pa in Jun 2016. Japan Ref Stat Prices (Yields): Corporate Bonds >4 yrs & <5 yrs:AA-rated data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Bank of Japan. The data is categorized under Global Database’s Japan – Table JP.M007: Bonds: Yield.

Convertible Bond Market Outlook

The global convertible bond market size was valued at approximately USD 300 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around USD 500 billion by 2032, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.5% during the forecast period. This growth can be attributed to several factors, including increased demand for hybrid financial instruments that offer both debt and equity characteristics, favorable regulatory environments, and the continued search for higher yield investment opportunities amidst low interest rate scenarios globally.

One of the primary growth drivers for the convertible bond market is the increasing volatility in the equity markets, which has driven investors to seek instruments that offer both downside protection and upside potential. Convertible bonds, with their embedded equity options, provide a unique investment vehicle that meets these needs. Additionally, corporations have found convertible bonds to be an attractive financing option due to lower coupon rates compared to traditional bonds and the ability to convert debt into equity, which can be beneficial in managing their capital structure.

Another significant factor fueling the market's growth is the continuous innovation and customization of convertible bond structures. Financial institutions are developing new types of convertible bonds, such as contingent convertibles (CoCo bonds), which are designed to convert into equity under specific conditions. These innovations address the diverse needs of issuers and investors, enhancing the market's appeal and contributing to its expansion. Furthermore, the regulatory environment in key financial markets has been supportive of convertible bond issuance, providing a conducive framework for growth.

Moreover, the ongoing low-interest-rate environment in many developed economies has been a critical driver of the convertible bond market. Investors, in search of yield, are increasingly drawn to convertible bonds due to their potential for higher returns compared to traditional fixed-income securities. This trend is expected to continue as central banks maintain accommodative monetary policies, thereby supporting the demand for convertible bonds.

Regionally, North America holds the largest share of the global convertible bond market, driven by a robust financial infrastructure and a high level of corporate activity. However, Asia Pacific is anticipated to witness the fastest growth during the forecast period, fueled by increasing adoption of convertible bonds by corporations in emerging markets such as China and India. The dynamic economic environment in these countries, coupled with regulatory reforms aimed at deepening capital markets, is likely to boost the demand for convertible bonds.

Type Analysis

The convertible bond market can be segmented by type into Vanilla Convertible Bonds, Mandatory Convertible Bonds, Reverse Convertible Bonds, and Contingent Convertible Bonds. Vanilla convertible bonds are the most traditional form, offering straightforward conversion terms. Issuers favor these due to their simplicity and established market acceptance. The demand for vanilla convertibles is primarily driven by their balanced risk-reward profile, offering investors both fixed-income and equity upside potential, making them attractive in volatile market conditions.

Mandatory convertible bonds, on the other hand, require conversion into equity at a predetermined date. These bonds are particularly appealing to companies looking to raise equity capital without immediate dilution of existing shareholders. The structured conversion terms provide a predictable path for equity issuance, which can be advantageous for financial planning. Investors are drawn to mandatory convertibles for their higher yields compared to vanilla bonds, compensating for the mandatory conversion feature.

Reverse convertible bonds are more complex instruments that offer higher coupon rates but come with the risk of converting into equity if the underlying stock falls below a certain price. These bonds are typically used by sophisticated investors willing to take on additional risk for higher returns. Issuers benefit from lower costs compared to traditional debt, while investors benefit from attractive yields and potential equity participation. However, the inherent risk profile limits their appeal to risk-tolerant market participants.

Contingent convertible bonds (CoCo bonds) are designed to convert into equity under specific conditions, such as when a company&#0

As of 2023, the United States had the largest bond market worldwide, accounting for nearly 40 percent of the total. The European Union was second in the ranking, accouting for almost one fifth of the total outstanding value of corporate and government bonds worldwid, followed by China with 16.3 percent.

Indonesia Govt Bond Yield: IBPA: Tenor: 6 Yr data was reported at 7.025 % pa in 21 Aug 2019. This records a decrease from the previous number of 7.052 % pa for 20 Aug 2019. Indonesia Govt Bond Yield: IBPA: Tenor: 6 Yr data is updated daily, averaging 7.574 % pa from Oct 2008 (Median) to 21 Aug 2019, with 2651 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 21.345 % pa in 28 Oct 2008 and a record low of 4.508 % pa in 09 Feb 2012. Indonesia Govt Bond Yield: IBPA: Tenor: 6 Yr data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Indonesia Bond Pricing Agency. The data is categorized under Daily Database’s Government & Other Securities – Table ID.MD001: Government Bond Yield: Indonesia Bond Price Agency.

As of April 16, 2025, the yield for a ten-year U.S. government bond was 4.34 percent, while the yield for a two-year bond was 3.86 percent. This represents an inverted yield curve, whereby bonds of longer maturities provide a lower yield, reflecting investors' expectations for a decline in long-term interest rates. Hence, making long-term debt holders open to more risk under the uncertainty around the condition of financial markets in the future. That markets are uncertain can be seen by considering both the short-term fluctuations, and the long-term downward trend, of the yields of U.S. government bonds from 2006 to 2021, before the treasury yield curve increased again significantly in the following years. What are government bonds? Government bonds, otherwise called ‘sovereign’ or ‘treasury’ bonds, are financial instruments used by governments to raise money for government spending. Investors give the government a certain amount of money (the ‘face value’), to be repaid at a specified time in the future (the ‘maturity date’). In addition, the government makes regular periodic interest payments (called ‘coupon payments’). Once initially issued, government bonds are tradable on financial markets, meaning their value can fluctuate over time (even though the underlying face value and coupon payments remain the same). Investors are attracted to government bonds as, provided the country in question has a stable economy and political system, they are a very safe investment. Accordingly, in periods of economic turmoil, investors may be willing to accept a negative overall return in order to have a safe haven for their money. For example, once the market value is compared to the total received from remaining interest payments and the face value, investors have been willing to accept a negative return on two-year German government bonds between 2014 and 2021. Conversely, if the underlying economy and political structures are weak, investors demand a higher return to compensate for the higher risk they take on. Consequently, the return on bonds in emerging markets like Brazil are consistently higher than that of the United States (and other developed economies). Inverted yield curves When investors are worried about the financial future, it can lead to what is called an ‘inverted yield curve’. An inverted yield curve is where investors pay more for short term bonds than long term, indicating they do not have confidence in long-term financial conditions. Historically, the yield curve has historically inverted before each of the last five U.S. recessions. The last U.S. yield curve inversion occurred at several brief points in 2019 – a trend which continued until the Federal Reserve cut interest rates several times over that year. However, the ultimate trigger for the next recession was the unpredicted, exogenous shock of the global coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic, showing how such informal indicators may be grounded just as much in coincidence as causation.

Indonesia Corporate Bond Yield: IBPA: BBB: Tenor: 10 Yr data was reported at 13.721 % pa in 21 Aug 2019. This records a decrease from the previous number of 13.766 % pa for 20 Aug 2019. Indonesia Corporate Bond Yield: IBPA: BBB: Tenor: 10 Yr data is updated daily, averaging 14.257 % pa from Nov 2010 (Median) to 21 Aug 2019, with 2148 observations. The data reached an all-time high of 16.556 % pa in 21 Jan 2011 and a record low of 12.440 % pa in 17 Jan 2018. Indonesia Corporate Bond Yield: IBPA: BBB: Tenor: 10 Yr data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Indonesia Bond Pricing Agency. The data is categorized under Daily Database’s Government & Other Securities – Table ID.MD002: Corporate Bond Yield: Indonesia Bond Price Agency.