Since the monthly counting of the Geopolitical Risk Index (GPR) started in 1985, the index peaked in ************, immediately after the 9/11 terrorist attack on the World Trade Center and Pentagon in the United States. The attack is perceived to be the deadliest terrorist attack in the 20th and 21st centuries and ultimately caused the start of the so-called war on terror, with U.S. invasions of Afghanistan (2001) and Iraq (2003) following in the aftermath. Russia-Ukraine war The GPR was also high in ********** following Russia's invasion of Ukraine at the end of February that year. The attack on an independent state meant that the relations between Russia and the West reached a new low after the collapse of the Soviet Union, and several sanctions were imposed on Russia. 1991: a turbulent year Apart from the 9/11 attacks in 2001, the index reached its highest level in ************. This was a result of the ongoing Gulf War following Iraq's invasion of Kuwait, but also Soviet troops storming the Lithuanian capital to stop the country's secession from the Soviet Union. Additionally, a massacre of Tutsi in Rwanda highlighted the growing tensions in the East African country, which ultimately resulted in the genocide in 1994.

Key information about Australia Geopolitical Risk Index

• Australia Geopolitical Risk Index was reported at 0.165 % in Feb 2025.
• This records an increase from the previous number of 0.082 % for Jan 2025.
• Australia Geopolitical Risk Index data is updated monthly, averaging 0.069 % from Jan 1985 to Feb 2025, with 482 observations.
• The data reached an all-time high of 0.515 % in Mar 2022 and a record low of 0.005 % in Feb 1989.
• Australia Geopolitical Risk Index data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Dario Caldara and Matteo Iacoviello.
• The data is categorized under World Trend Plus’s Geopolitical Risk Index – Table: Geopolitical Risk Index: By Country.

Key information about Argentina Geopolitical Risk Index

• Argentina Geopolitical Risk Index was reported at 0.045 % in Feb 2025.
• This records an increase from the previous number of 0.031 % for Jan 2025.
• Argentina Geopolitical Risk Index data is updated monthly, averaging 0.025 % from Jan 1985 to Feb 2025, with 482 observations.
• The data reached an all-time high of 0.263 % in Nov 2018 and a record low of 0.000 % in Sep 2021.
• Argentina Geopolitical Risk Index data remains active status in CEIC and is reported by Dario Caldara and Matteo Iacoviello.
• The data is categorized under World Trend Plus’s Geopolitical Risk Index – Table: Geopolitical Risk Index: By Country.

Main data files comprise 22 variables in three subcategories of risk (political, financial, and economic) for 146 countries for 1984-2021. Data are annual averages of the components of the ICRG Risk Ratings (Tables 3B, 4B, and 5B) published in the International Country Risk Guide. Indices include: political: government stability, socioeconomic conditions, investment profile, internal conflict, external conflict, corruption, military in politics, religion in politics, law and order, ethnic tensions, democratic accountability, and bureaucratic quality; financial: foreign debt, exchange rate stability, debt service, current account, international liquidity; and economic: inflation, GDP per head, GDP growth, budget balance, current account as % of GDP. Table 2B provides annual averages of the composite risk rating. Table 3Ba provides historical political risk subcomponents on a monthly basis from May 2001-February 2022. Also includes the IRIS-3 dataset by Steve Knack and Philip Keefer, which covers the period of 1982-1997 and computed scores for six additional political risk variables: corruption in government, rule of law, bureaucratic quality, ethnic tensions, repudiation of contracts by government, and risk of expropriation. Additional data files provide country risk ratings and databanks (economic and social indicators) for new emerging markets for 2000-2009.

Country Risk Assessment helps businesses to confidently evaluate global markets by incorporating country evaluation into strategic planning. Analysing trends over time to forecast and proactively plan for potential market shifts.

Country Risk Assessment is an estimate of the average credit risk of a country’s businesses. It is drawn up based on macroeconomic, financial and political data. It offers: - An indication of a country’s potential influence on businesses’ financial commitments. - Insight into the economic and political environment that could impact credit risk.

Dataset Structure and Content: Assessment Coverage: 20 sample companies with country risk evaluations Geographic Diversity: Multiple countries represented via ISO-3166 alpha2 country codes.

Risk Classification System: The dataset employs a standardized A-E rating scale to categorize country risk levels: A1: Very good macroeconomic outlook with stable political context and quality business climate (lowest default probability) A2: Good macroeconomic outlook with generally stable political environment A3: Satisfactory outlook with some potential shortcomings A4: Reasonable default probability with potential economic weaknesses B: Uncertain economic outlook with potential political tensions C: Very uncertain outlook with potential political instability D: Highly uncertain outlook with very unstable political context E: Extremely uncertain outlook with extremely difficult business conditions (highest default probability)

Application Context: This sample demonstrates how country risk assessments can be systematically documented and tracked over time. Each assessment includes comprehensive evaluations of the macroeconomic environment, political stability, and business climate factors that directly influence payment behavior and default probabilities. The dataset structure allows for both current and historical tracking, enabling trend analysis and comparative risk evaluation across different national markets. It serves as a representative example of how comprehensive country risk data can be organized and utilized for strategic business decision-making. Note: This is sample data intended to demonstrate the structure and capabilities of a country risk assessment system.

Learn More For a complete demonstration of our Country Risk Assessment capabilities or to discuss how our system can be integrated with your existing processes, please visit https://business-information.coface.com/economic-insights to request additional information.

The Compass Series of Indexes is comprised of three unique and complementary Indexes that gauge the extent of global political, macroeconomic, and geopolitical risk: A Military Conflict Risk Index in five key geopolitical conflict regions, a Cold War Two Index in Russia, the US, and China, and a Polarization Risk Index in the G7 economies. Collectively, they provide investors, policymakers, and other decision makers with otherwise unavailable and comprehensive datafeeds that allow them to confirm and refute hypotheses and confidently navigate these risks.

The Cold War Index The Cold War II Index tracks – in Russia, the US, and China – six public sentiment indicators related to the geopolitical conflict and five current and future economic conditions indicators. The Index runs 24/7 and, unlike typical polls in these countries, draws on broad-based, anonymous, non-incented opinion.

The Military Conflict Risk Index The Military Conflict Risk Index measures, on a continuous, real-time basis, the perceptions of military conflict intensification from citizens in five major geopolitical conflicts: Russia-Ukraine, China-Taiwan, India-Pakistan, Iran-Israel, and South Korea-North Korea.

The Polarization Risk Index The Polarization Risk Index measures, on a quarterly basis, polarization within each G7 country as a key indicator of political stability. The Index uniquely draws on broad-based, anonymous opinion, minimizing biases associated with conventional polling.

The Researcher Datasets from the PRS Group provide annual and monthly weighted average risks across countries from 1984 on a wealth of Political, Economic and Financial risk topics for 140 monitored countries. This monthly Political Risk index is based on a 50 possible points across 15 detailed subcomponents . These are subcomponents for the five political components: Government Stability, Socioeconomic Conditions, Investment Profile, Internal Conflict and External Conflict.

As of October 2019, the average Political Risk Index scoring for Sub-Saharan Africa was **. In comparison, the global average Political Risk Index scoring for the same time period was **. This indicates a higher political risk level of the Sub-Saharan Africa region in comparison to the global average.

The Researcher Datasets from the PRS Group provide annual and monthly weighted average risks across countries from 1984 on a wealth of Political, Economic and Financial risk topics for 140 monitored countries. The Composite risk index is based on a possible 100 points and aggregates political, financial and economic risk using the PRS Composite Risk Rating formula.

The climate risk index takes fatalities and monetary damages of extreme weather events into account to generate its index score. The most affected country by such events between 2000 and 2019 was Puerto Rico. The country only scored **** points. The higher the score the less total and average fatalities per inhabitant were recorded. Likewise, fewer total damages, and damages as a share of the gross domestic product, mean a higher score. Together these four factors make up the index.

Index on political risks based on empirical data. The Subnational Resilience (SURE) and the Subnational Safety (SUSAFE) datasets identifies political risks for location, logistics and investment security at an early stage and helps to develop targeted adaptation strategies. Political instability poses an immediate and highly complex set of risks to business interests and well-being. Politically motivated violence is particularly dangerous because war, terrorism and political unrest can cause considerable damage to companies in all sectors. Companies‘ concerns with regard to political risks are the physical well-being of employees abroad, local staff and partners, risk of production sites and disruption of production cycles and lines of communication and transport. Data-driven solutions, such as the Subnational Resilience (SURE) and the Subnational Safety (SUSAFE) datasets, help clients to timely assess both current and structural risks to travel safety, investments and supply chain networks.

As of October 2019, the global average on the Political Risk Index was **. In comparison, Political Risk Index scoring for the Middle East and North Africa for the same time period was **. This indicates a higher political risk level in the MENA region in comparison to the global average.

Graph and download economic data for Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index: Current Price Adjusted GDP (GEPUCURRENT) from Jan 1997 to Aug 2025 about uncertainty, adjusted, GDP, indexes, and price.

As of 2019, ** percent of companies considered that political risk through trade or import and export embargo was a concern. At the same time ** percent of companies believed that political risk overall has increased worldwide since 2018.

The Researcher Datasets from the PRS Group provide annual and monthly weighted average risks across countries from 1984 on a wealth of Political, Economic and Financial risk topics for 140 monitored countries. The components of the ICRG Financial Risk Rating are Foreign Debt as a % of GDP, Exchange Rate Stability, Debt Service as a % of Exports of Goods & Services (XGS), Current Account as a % of Exports of Goods and Services, and International Liquidity.

The International Country Risk Guide (ICRG) produced by The PRS Group is a commercial source of country risk analysis and ratings. The Researcher's Datasets cover all 140 ICRG countries and include average ICRG political, economic, financial, and composite risk components from 1984 to the present. UBC provides access to two Researcher's Dataset tables with data from 1984 to the present: ICRG Table 2B. Annual averages of the composite risk rating, an element of the ICRG's Table 2B. ICRG's composite risk scores aggregates the political, financial, and economic ratings for each country's overall risk. ICRG Table 3B. Annual averages for each of the 12 components for Political Risk. Table 3B has risk ratings for: Bureaucracy quality Corruption Law and order Government stability Socioeconomic conditions Investment profile Internal conflict External conflict Military in politics Religious tensions Ethnic tensions Democratic accountability

Graph and download economic data for Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for United States (USEPUINDXD) from 1985-01-01 to 2025-09-25 about academic data, uncertainty, indexes, and USA.

As of October 2019, the Political Risk Index scoring for the Middle East and North Africa was **. In comparison, the global average of Political Risk Index scoring for the same time period was **. This indicates a higher political risk level of the MENA region in comparison to the global average.

In 2019, Mozambique was the most affected country, accounting for a climate risk index (CRI) of ***, due to the deadly tropical Cyclone Idai. Labelled as one of the worst weather-related catastrophes in the history of Africa, the cyclone wrecked havoc in Mozambique, Zimbabwe, and Malawi.

According to a 2024 study, the Philippines was the country with the highest natural disaster risk in the world. The Pacific archipelago was given a disaster risk index (WRI) of *****, followed by Indonesia, with a disaster risk index of *****. In contrast, Monaco and Andorra had the lowest natural disaster risk worldwide that year, with a WRI of **** and **** respectively. The WRI index is calculated by considering how exposed countries are to natural disasters together with how vulnerable they are to them. Natural disasters’ frequency Since the century began, natural disasters have become more frequent. Every single year since 2013 has recorded more than *** events. In 2023, *** disasters were reported worldwide, a ** percent increase compared to 2000. Considering that climate-related events are more common than geophysical ones (earthquakes, volcanic eruptions), accounting for roughly ** percent of all natural disasters in 2023, the general upward trend can be mostly associated with climate change and its impact on weather patterns and phenomena. The biggest natural disasters The earthquake and subsequent tsunami that hit Japan in March 2011 was the costliest natural disaster around the world since 1980, with losses reaching *** billion U.S. dollars. The Kobe earthquake from 1995 and the Sichuan earthquake from 2000 also rank among the costliest disasters on the past decades. Apart from earthquakes, hurricanes also tend to leave a considerable economic impact where they hit. ***** out of the *** biggest natural catastrophes, based on economic losses, were hurricanes, with Katrina, which hit the coasts of the U.S. in 2005, being the costliest.